丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨德尔玛（301332.SZ） [Table_Title] 行业竞争激烈，Q3 业绩小幅承压 报告要点 陈亮 SAC：S0490517070017 SFC：BUW408 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 德尔玛（301332.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 行业竞争激烈，Q3 业绩小幅承压 [Table_Summary] 2025 年前三季度，公司实现营业收入 23.84 亿元，同比下滑 0.63%；实现归母净利润 0.89 亿 元，同比下滑 14.66%；扣非归母净利润为 0.80 亿元，同比下滑 16.36%。单季度来看，公司 2025 Q3 实现营业收入 6.99 亿元，同比下滑 10.26%；实现归母净利润 0.20 亿元，同比下滑 44.34%；扣非归母净利润 0.16 亿元，同比下滑 48.12%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 公司基础数据 [Table_BaseData] 当前股价 ...

Core Insights - As of November 6, a total of 111 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets have experienced net buying from major funds for five consecutive days or more [1] - The stock with the longest consecutive net buying days is ST Zhongdi, which has seen net buying for 16 trading days [1] - Other notable stocks with significant net buying days include CITIC Metal, Haitian Flavoring, Guorui Technology, Derma, Xiamen Airport, China Enterprise, Bailong Oriental, and Hangcha Group [1]

Core Insights - The Shanghai Municipal Market Supervision Administration conducted a quality inspection of humidifiers, revealing that out of 35 batches tested, 7 were found to be non-compliant [2][5]. Summary by Categories Inspection Results - A total of 35 batches of humidifiers were inspected, with 7 batches failing to meet quality standards [2]. - Among the inspected products, 15 batches were sold through physical stores, with 1 batch failing, while 20 batches were sold online, with 6 batches failing [2]. - The inspection covered products from Shanghai, Anhui, and Zhejiang provinces, with 4 batches from Shanghai showing no non-compliance [2]. Non-compliance Analysis - The non-compliance issues primarily involved labeling and instructions, which are critical for consumer safety [5]. - Specific failures included the absence of necessary information such as rated voltage, power symbols, and manufacturer details, which could mislead consumers [5]. Consumer Guidance - Humidifiers are categorized into ultrasonic, cool evaporative (non-fog), and electric heating types, each with distinct advantages and suitability for different environments [6]. - Consumers are advised to prioritize well-known brands for better quality assurance and after-sales service [6]. - Key performance parameters to consider include humidification capacity (measured in mL/h), water tank capacity, noise levels, and safety features [7][8]. Additional Features and Considerations - Some humidifiers offer extra features like ion purification, aromatherapy, humidity display, and timer functions, which can enhance user experience [8]. - The price of humidifiers varies based on brand, type, and features, and consumers should balance cost with quality and performance [9].

10月30日，德尔玛跌1.12%，成交额3711.61万元。两融数据显示，当日德尔玛获融资买入额390.48万 元，融资偿还479.93万元，融资净买入-89.44万元。截至10月30日，德尔玛融资融券余额合计1.50亿 元。 分红方面，德尔玛A股上市后累计派现1.15亿元。 融资方面，德尔玛当日融资买入390.48万元。当前融资余额1.50亿元，占流通市值的5.83%，融资余额 超过近一年90%分位水平，处于高位。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，德尔玛十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第八大流通 股东，持股228.95万股，为新进股东。 融券方面，德尔玛10月30日融券偿还0.00股，融券卖出0.00股，按当日收盘价计算，卖出金额0.00元； 融券余量300.00股，融券余额2916.00元，超过近一年50%分位水平，处于较高位。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，广东德尔玛科技股份有限公司位于广东省佛山市顺德区北滘镇马龙村委会龙汇路4号之一， 成立日期2011年7月12日，上市日期2023年5月18日，公司主营业务涉及德尔玛是一家集自主研发、原创 设计、自有生产、自营销售于一体的创新家电品牌企 ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 23.84 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8,872.47 million yuan, with the third quarter alone contributing 6.99 million yuan to the net profit [2][3] - The water health business experienced double-digit growth, driven by strong performance in countertop water purifiers and filter products [4][5] Group 2: Strategic Development - The company adheres to a "multi-brand, multi-category, globalization" core strategy, focusing on the "Delmar" and "Philips" dual-brand approach to expand in home environment, water health, and personal health categories [3] - Future goals include enhancing product innovation, supply chain efficiency, and global channel layout, with an emphasis on green, energy-saving, and intelligent high-quality development [3] Group 3: Market and Operational Insights - The company is actively participating in e-commerce events like "Double Eleven," but the overall market environment is experiencing structural changes, leading to cautious consumer sentiment [3] - The new factory is expected to increase the proportion of self-produced products, positively impacting overall gross margin [5] Group 4: Future Plans and Acquisitions - The company is considering strategic acquisitions focused on emerging technologies and high-quality overseas brands and channels [5]

Core Insights - Delmar's Q3 2025 performance fell short of market expectations, primarily due to intensified industry competition [2][4] Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, Delmar achieved revenue of 2.384 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1% [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 89 million yuan, down 15% year-on-year [1][2] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 80 million yuan, reflecting a 16% decline year-on-year [1][2] - In Q3 alone, revenue was 699 million yuan, a 10% year-on-year decrease [2][4] - The net profit for Q3 was 20 million yuan, down 44% year-on-year [2][4] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items for Q3 was 16 million yuan, a 48% decline year-on-year [2][4] Brand and Product Focus - The company is focusing on its core brands, "Delmar" and "Philips," with the "Delmar" brand covering home environment products [3] - In H1 2025, revenue from home environment products was 677 million yuan, a 3% year-on-year increase [3] - The "Philips" brand, which includes water health and personal care products, generated 657 million yuan in revenue for water health, a 14% year-on-year increase [3] - Personal care products saw a revenue decline of 9% year-on-year, totaling 342 million yuan [3] Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 32.01%, an increase of 0.80 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Selling expense ratio increased to 20.11%, up 1.93 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to heightened competition and reduced subsidies [4] - Management expense ratio rose to 4.78%, an increase of 0.58 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 2.88%, down 1.63 percentage points year-on-year [4] Future Outlook - The company has slightly lowered its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 144 million, 167 million, and 186 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 1.1%, 16.2%, and 10.9% respectively [4] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 32x, 28x, and 25x [4] - The company maintains an "overweight" investment rating, supported by a multi-brand strategy and growth in the water health category [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.384 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 89 million yuan, down 15% year-on-year [4][7]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 699 million yuan, a decline of 10% year-on-year, with a net profit of 20 million yuan, down 44% year-on-year [7]. - The company is focusing on its core brands, "德尔玛" and "飞利浦", with the latter showing double-digit growth in water health revenue during the first half of 2025 [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 3.589 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.6%. The net profit forecast for 2025 is 144 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.1% year-on-year [6]. - The gross profit margin for the third quarter of 2025 improved to 32.01%, an increase of 0.80 percentage points year-on-year [7]. - The report projects net profits of 1.44 billion yuan, 1.67 billion yuan, and 1.86 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 32, 28, and 25 [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.384 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 0.6%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 89 million yuan, down 14.7% year-on-year [4][7] - The company faced significant pressure in Q3 2025, with a revenue of 699 million yuan, a 10% year-on-year decline, and a net profit of 20 million yuan, down 44% year-on-year [7] - The company is focusing on its core brands, with the "Philips" brand showing double-digit growth in water health products, achieving a revenue of 657 million yuan in H1 2025, a 14% year-on-year increase [7] - The gross margin improved to 32.01% in Q3 2025, an increase of 0.80 percentage points year-on-year, despite an increase in expense ratios [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 3.589 billion yuan, with a projected year-on-year growth of 1.6% [6] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 144 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.1% [6] - The earnings per share for 2025 is estimated at 0.31 yuan, with a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 32 times [6] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in profitability, with net profits expected to reach 186 million yuan by 2027 [6][7]

Performance Review - The company's 3Q25 performance was below expectations, with revenue of 2.384 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 0.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 89 million yuan, down 14.66% year-on-year [1] - In 3Q25, revenue was 699 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 10.26%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 20 million yuan, down 44.34% year-on-year, primarily due to pressure on the clean appliance business [1] - The water health business continued to grow, with a significant increase in retail sales of water dispensers, up 69.5% year-on-year, while the clean appliance business faced challenges, with online retail sales down 11.9% year-on-year [1] Financial Analysis - The company's gross margin reached 32.0% in 3Q25, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, driven by growth in the water health business and ongoing cost reduction efforts [2] - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios increased by 1.9, 0.6, and 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, respectively, influenced by declining revenue and increased R&D investment [2] - The net profit margin for 3Q25 was 2.9%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] Development Trends - The company is focusing on product innovation and expanding its SKU matrix in the water health business, aiming to leverage the brand strength of existing products to drive growth in other categories [3] - In the clean appliance business, the company is accelerating global expansion by targeting popular products to enter overseas markets, which is expected to create new growth momentum [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to competitive pressures in the clean appliance business, the company has lowered its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 9% and 8% to 150 million and 180 million yuan, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to 30.0 and 25.7 times the projected P/E ratios for 2025 and 2026 [4] - The target price has been reduced by 8% to 11.37 yuan, implying a potential upside of 13.5% from the current stock price [4]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - In September, industrial enterprises' profits improved year-on-year to 21.6%, up from 20.4% in August, driven by a low base effect and strong export performance [3] - Revenue growth for industrial enterprises also increased to 3.1% in September from 2.3% in August, indicating a positive trend in cash flow due to anti-involution policies [3] Group 2: Fixed Income Market Analysis - The bond market has shown signs of recovery in October, influenced by trade tensions and a loose liquidity environment, with expectations for a better fourth quarter compared to the third [5] - The market anticipates a controlled impact from new redemption regulations, with a focus on short to medium-term credit bonds as a primary investment strategy [5] Group 3: Oil and Gas Sector - Oil prices have entered a downward trend due to OPEC+ increasing production targets and seasonal demand decline, with Brent crude expected to average $68 in 2025 and $62 in 2026 [9] - Despite short-term volatility from geopolitical tensions, the long-term outlook suggests limited impact from sanctions on oil prices, with high-dividend energy companies presenting investment opportunities [9] Group 4: Real Estate and Construction - The real estate market is experiencing a decline in transaction volumes for both new and second-hand homes, attributed to high base effects and seasonal factors [8] - The construction sector shows mixed signals, with some recovery in cement supply and demand, while asphalt production rates have decreased [8] Group 5: Key Company Performances - Beike-W (2423 HK) is projected to benefit from a gradual market recovery, with a target price of HKD 65.64 based on a 26x PE ratio for 2026 [11] - Zhiou Technology (301376 CH) reported a revenue of CNY 60.8 billion for the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, and is expected to improve profitability as tariff risks ease [12] - Tianhai Defense (300008 CH) showed significant growth in Q3, with a revenue increase of 57.27% year-on-year, driven by strong orders in shipbuilding and defense sectors [14] - Kuka Home (603816 CH) reported steady revenue growth of 6.5% in Q3, with a focus on global expansion and brand strength [15] - Weixing New Materials (002372 CH) experienced a revenue decline of 9.83% in Q3, but is expected to see margin recovery as product prices stabilize [16] Group 6: Consumer Goods and Services - Salted Fish (002847 CH) reported a revenue increase of 14.7% year-on-year, with a focus on optimizing product categories and channels to enhance profitability [27] - Petty Co. (300673 CH) continues to see strong growth in its domestic brand, with a focus on single product strategies despite challenges in overseas markets [18] - Jiangsu Bank (601009 CH) reported a steady growth in net profit and revenue, driven by stable interest income and effective cost management [32]