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Arbor Realty Trust: Will There Be Another Common Dividend Cut? I'm Buying The Preferreds
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-22 03:29
Group 1 - The equity market serves as a significant mechanism for wealth creation or destruction over the long term through daily price fluctuations [1] - Pacifica Yield focuses on long-term wealth creation by targeting undervalued high-growth companies, high-dividend stocks, REITs, and green energy firms [1]
Arbor(ABR) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-21 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Arbor Realty Trust had 192,161,707 shares of common stock and 16,173,761 shares of special voting preferred stock entitled to vote as of April 1, 2025 [6] - The company has sufficient votes to pass all resolutions proposed by the Board of Directors at the meeting [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific data on business lines or key metrics changes were provided in the meeting Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific market data or key metrics changes were provided in the meeting Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company ratified the appointment of Ernst and Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year, indicating a focus on maintaining strong governance and oversight [9][11] - The Board of Directors unanimously recommended the approval of the compensation of the company's named executive officers, reflecting a commitment to aligning executive compensation with company performance [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - No specific comments from management regarding the operating environment or future outlook were provided in the meeting Other Important Information - The meeting was conducted virtually, and the company expressed gratitude for stockholders' attendance and support [18] Q&A Session Summary - There were no questions from stockholders during the Q&A session [15]
Arbor Realty: Dividend Unlikely To Recover After 2025 As Multifamily Outlook Worsens
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-17 13:37
Core Insights - The article discusses the background and expertise of a financial analyst named Harrison, who has been active on Seeking Alpha since 2018 and has over a decade of market experience [1]. Group 1 - Harrison has professional experience in private equity, real estate, and economic research [1]. - He possesses an academic background in financial econometrics, economic forecasting, and global monetary economics [1].
Arbor Realty:Q1 Dividend Cut Foreshadows Continued Pressure
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-15 16:36
Group 1 - The article discusses Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE: ABR) and its investment potential, highlighting a previous analysis from February 2025 that indicated it was a good time to buy based on its risk premium relative to treasury rates [1] - The core investment style of the company is to provide actionable and clear investment ideas derived from independent research [1] Group 2 - The company claims to have assisted its members in outperforming the S&P 500 while avoiding significant losses during periods of high volatility in both equity and bond markets [2] - A trial membership is offered to potential investors to evaluate the effectiveness of the company's investment methods [2]
2 Real Estate Preferred Stocks For High Passive Income
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-07 19:22
Core Insights - Common stocks primarily offer potential for capital appreciation and dividend growth, while preferred stocks function similarly to bonds, providing relatively high yields [1] Group 1 - Preferred stocks, or "prefs," are highlighted for their bond-like characteristics [1] - The article emphasizes the role of preferred stocks in generating high yields [1]
Compared to Estimates, Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 16:30
Core Insights - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) reported a revenue of $240.69 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a decline of 25.1% year-over-year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.28, down from $0.47 in the same quarter last year, representing a surprise of -20.00% against the consensus estimate of $0.35 [1][4] - The reported revenue was also below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $244.25 million, resulting in a surprise of -1.45% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Interest income was reported at $240.69 million, compared to an average estimate of $243.16 million, marking a year-over-year decrease of 25.1% [4] - Other revenue from gain on sales, including fee-based services, was $12.78 million, exceeding the average estimate of $11.74 million, but down 23.3% year-over-year [4] - Revenue from mortgage servicing rights was $8.13 million, slightly below the average estimate of $8.45 million, with a year-over-year decline of 20.3% [4] - Total other revenue was reported at $58.72 million, surpassing the average estimate of $53.80 million [4] - Servicing revenue, net, was $25.60 million, below the average estimate of $29.89 million, reflecting an 18.8% decrease year-over-year [4] - Property operating income was reported at $4.39 million, significantly higher than the average estimate of $2.42 million [4] - Net interest income was $75.44 million, slightly above the average estimate of $74.09 million [4] - Other income was reported at $4.42 million, exceeding the average estimate of $1.57 million, with a year-over-year increase of 89.4% [4] - The diluted net earnings per share was $0.16, compared to the average estimate of $0.19 [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Arbor Realty Trust have returned -5.5% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite experienced a -0.5% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Arbor(ABR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported distributable earnings of $57.3 million or $0.28 per share, and $0.31 per share excluding one-time realized losses from the sale of REO assets [19] - The return on equity (ROE) for the first quarter was approximately 10% [19] - The company anticipates distributable earnings guidance of $0.30 to $0.35 per quarter for 2025 [19][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the balance sheet lending platform, the company originated $370 million of new bridge loans in the first quarter, with a target of $1.5 billion to $2 billion for 2025 [13] - The agency business had a slow first quarter, producing $6 million in originations and $731 million in loan sales, maintaining strong margins of 1.75% [25] - The investment portfolio grew to $11.5 billion at March 31, with an all-in yield of 7.85% [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a significant backup in long-term rates, creating headwinds for originations [7] - The delinquency rate decreased by 20% to $654 million as of March 31 compared to $819 million at December 31 [22] - The average cost of debt decreased to approximately 6.82% at March 31 from 6.88% at December 31 [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on resolving REO assets and delinquencies, viewing 2025 as a transitional year [18] - A transformational deal was announced with a $1.1 billion repurchase facility to finance assets in existing CLO vehicles, enhancing liquidity and efficiency [4][5] - The company aims to leverage the securitization market to drive higher returns on capital and increase future earnings [37] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the current rate environment is volatile and unpredictable, impacting the ability to forecast future earnings [8] - There is optimism regarding a potential reduction in interest rates, which could positively affect agency volumes and earnings [9] - The company is actively working to reposition underperforming assets and improve occupancy and net operating income (NOI) over the next 12 to 24 months [11] Other Important Information - The company has taken back approximately $197 million of REO assets and expects to see these assets grow to between $400 million and $500 million [52] - The average balance on debt facilities was down to approximately $9.4 billion for the first quarter compared to $9.7 billion in the fourth quarter [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for net growth in the Bridge portfolio in 2025? - Management expects net growth in the Bridge portfolio, targeting $1.5 billion to $2 billion in new business while managing runoff effectively [33] Question: What were the primary weaknesses in the 2022 and 2023 vintages? - Management highlighted that the multifamily sector experienced a long period of growth without corrections, leading to poor performance due to economic factors and management issues [39][41] Question: What is the current cash and liquidity situation? - The company has approximately $325 million in cash and liquidity, with plans to enhance leverage and grow liquidity through the securitization market [48][49] Question: What is the expected trajectory for NPLs and REO? - Management anticipates NPLs to decrease and REO to increase to between $400 million and $500 million, focusing on repositioning these assets [52][54] Question: What is the book value at the end of the quarter? - The book value was reported at $11.98 at the end of the quarter [76]
Arbor(ABR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported distributable earnings of $57.3 million or $0.28 per share, and $0.31 per share excluding one-time realized losses from the sale of two REO assets [19][12] - The return on equity (ROE) for the first quarter was approximately 10% [19] - The company anticipates distributable earnings guidance of $0.30 to $0.35 per quarter for 2025 [19][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The balance sheet lending platform originated $370 million in new bridge loans during the first quarter, with a target of $1.5 billion to $2 billion for 2025 [13][14] - The agency business had a slow first quarter, producing $6 million in originations and $731 million in loan sales, maintaining strong margins of 1.75% [25] - The investment portfolio grew to $11.5 billion at March 31, with an all-in yield of 7.85% [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a significant backup in long-term rates, creating headwinds for originations [7][8] - The delinquency rate decreased by 20% to $654 million as of March 31, compared to $819 million at December 31 [22] - The average cost of debt decreased to approximately 6.82% at March 31 from 6.88% at December 31 [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on resolving REO assets and delinquencies, viewing 2025 as a transitional year [18][12] - The strategy includes leveraging efficiencies in the securitization market and maintaining strong banking relationships to drive future earnings [5][7] - The company aims to reposition underperforming assets to increase occupancy and net operating income (NOI) over the next 12 to 24 months [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the current economic environment is characterized by volatility and uncertainty, particularly regarding interest rates [8][9] - There is optimism about potential rate reductions, which could positively impact agency volumes and earnings [9][12] - The management believes that the company is well-positioned to grow earnings and dividends again in 2026 if current challenges are addressed [12][18] Other Important Information - The company has successfully modified $38 million of loans and brought $39 million of loans back to performing status [10] - The company expects REO assets to increase to between $400 million and $500 million, with plans to aggressively manage and reposition these assets [52][54] - The book value at the end of the quarter was reported at $11.98 [77] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for the Bridge portfolio growth in 2025? - Management expects net growth in the Bridge portfolio, targeting $1.5 billion to $2 billion in new business, with runoff projected between $1.5 billion to $3 billion depending on interest rates [32][33] Question: What were the primary weaknesses in the 2022 and 2023 vintages? - Management indicated that the multifamily sector experienced a long period of growth without corrections, leading to poor performance due to rising rates, economic vacancy issues, and increased competition from inexperienced entrants [39][41] Question: What is the current liquidity situation and expectations for NPLs and REO? - The company has $325 million in cash and liquidity, with expectations for REO to rise to between $400 million and $500 million, while NPLs are projected to decrease as assets are repositioned [48][54] Question: How much of the reported income was non-cash? - The company reported $15.3 million of PIK (payment-in-kind) interest during the quarter, which is a moving number based on loan modifications and performance [66] Question: What is the company's stance on stock buybacks? - Management emphasized the importance of liquidity and will evaluate stock buybacks based on market conditions and opportunities for capital growth [78]
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Lags Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 14:40
Core Viewpoint - Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) reported quarterly earnings of $0.28 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.35 per share, and down from $0.47 per share a year ago, indicating a -20% earnings surprise [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $240.69 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.45%, and down from $321.29 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Arbor Realty Trust has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Arbor Realty Trust shares have lost about 20% since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's decline of -4.7% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.34 on revenues of $241.45 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.35 on revenues of $950.63 million [7] Industry Outlook - The REIT and Equity Trust industry is currently in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8]
Arbor(ABR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported distributable earnings of $57.3 million or $0.28 per share, and $0.31 per share excluding one-time realized losses from the sale of two REO assets [19] - The return on equity (ROE) for the first quarter was approximately 10% [19] - The company anticipates a quarterly distributable earnings guidance of $0.30 to $0.35 for 2025 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The balance sheet lending platform originated $370 million in new bridge loans during the first quarter, with a full-year guidance of $1.5 billion to $2 billion [12][13] - The agency business had a slow first quarter, producing $6 million in originations and $731 million in loan sales, maintaining strong margins of 1.75% [25] - The investment portfolio grew to $11.5 billion at March 31, with an all-in yield of 7.85% [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced a reduction in delinquencies, down 20% to $654 million at March 31 compared to $819 million at December 31 [22] - The average yield on core investments decreased to 8.15% from 8.52% due to a reduction in the average SOFR rate [26] - The overall net interest spread in core assets decreased to 1.26% from 1.44% [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on resolving REO assets and delinquencies, viewing 2025 as a transitional year to set up for growth in 2026 [18] - The company plans to leverage efficiencies in the securitization market to drive higher returns on capital [6][18] - The strategy includes repositioning underperforming assets to improve occupancy and net operating income (NOI) [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted significant uncertainty and volatility in the interest rate environment, impacting the ability to predict future performance [8] - The company expects continued challenges in the short term due to the drag on earnings from REO assets and delinquencies [12] - If interest rates decrease, it could positively impact the company's ability to convert non-interest earning assets into income-producing investments [11] Other Important Information - The company has successfully modified $38 million of loans and brought $39 million of loans back to full performance [10] - The company took back $197 million of REO assets in the first quarter, with expectations to increase REO assets to between $400 million and $500 million [52] - The company has managed to deleverage its business by 30%, reducing the leverage ratio to 2.8:1 [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for the Bridge Loan Portfolio - Management expects net growth in the bridge loan portfolio in 2025, targeting $1.5 billion to $2 billion in new business [32][34] Question: Reasons for Poor Performance in Previous Vintages - Management attributed poor performance to a combination of market corrections, economic factors, and inexperienced management in the multifamily sector [40][42] Question: Liquidity and NPLs Expectations - The company currently has $325 million in cash and liquidity, with expectations for NPLs to decrease as they work through the REO assets [48][54] Question: Non-Cash Income and Interest - The company reported $15.3 million of non-cash interest during the quarter, which is a moving number based on loan modifications [65][66] Question: Interest Rate Environment - Management discussed the impact of interest rates on business performance, noting that lower rates could enhance earnings potential [72][74]