Group 1: Momentum Investing Overview - Momentum investing involves following a stock's recent trend, with the aim of buying high and selling higher, capitalizing on established price movements [1] - The Zacks Momentum Style Score helps define momentum characteristics, with Alaska Air Group (ALK) currently holding a Momentum Style Score of B [2] Group 2: Alaska Air Group Performance - Alaska Air Group has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] - Over the past week, ALK shares increased by 3.65%, while the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry remained flat [5] - In the last month, ALK shares rose by 10.68%, significantly outperforming the industry’s 0.87% [5] - Over the past quarter, ALK shares have increased by 38.84%, and over the last year, they have gained 97.8%, compared to the S&P 500's 1.43% and 21.95% respectively [6] Group 3: Trading Volume and Earnings Outlook - ALK's average 20-day trading volume is 2,695,075 shares, which is a useful indicator of market interest [7] - In the past two months, 6 earnings estimates for ALK have been revised upwards, raising the consensus estimate from $5.77 to $6.03 [9] - For the next fiscal year, 3 estimates have increased while 1 has decreased, indicating a positive trend in earnings outlook [9] Group 4: Conclusion - Given the strong performance metrics and positive earnings revisions, ALK is positioned as a solid momentum pick with a Momentum Score of B [11]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher," contrasting with traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum when their valuations exceed future growth potential [1] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, identified through the Zacks Momentum Style Score [2] Group 2: Alaska Air Group (ALK) Analysis - Alaska Air Group (ALK) has shown a price increase of 8% over the past four weeks, indicating growing investor interest [3] - ALK has gained 37.3% over the past 12 weeks, demonstrating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [4] - The stock has a beta of 1.55, suggesting it moves 55% more than the market in either direction, indicating fast-paced momentum [4] - ALK has a Momentum Score of B, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock [5] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which attract more investors [6] - ALK is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.79, indicating it is reasonably valued at 79 cents for each dollar of sales [6] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - ALK is highlighted as a strong candidate for investment, with potential for further price appreciation [7] - There are additional stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, suggesting more investment opportunities [7] - Zacks offers over 45 Premium Screens to help identify winning stock picks based on various investing styles [8]

Company Performance - Alaska Air Group (ALK) has returned approximately 17.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Transportation sector's average return of 5.3% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ALK's full-year earnings has increased by 10.6% over the past quarter, indicating a positive trend in analyst sentiment [3] Industry Context - Alaska Air Group is part of the Transportation - Airline industry, which consists of 28 individual stocks and currently ranks 37 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The Transportation - Airline industry has gained an average of 15.3% so far this year, with ALK performing better than this average [6] Sector Ranking - The Transportation group, which includes Alaska Air Group, is currently ranked 16 within the Zacks Sector Rank, which evaluates 16 different groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks [2] - Alaska Air Group holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for future performance [3]

Core Viewpoint - Alaska Air Group (ALK) has gained attention as one of the most searched stocks, with a notable performance in the airline sector, raising questions about its future stock direction [1][2]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - For the current quarter, Alaska Air is projected to report a loss of $0.37 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +59.8% [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current fiscal year is $5.93, indicating a year-over-year increase of +21.8%, with a recent change of +2.3% [5]. - For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $7.69, representing a +29.6% change from the previous year, with a slight increase of +1.2% over the past month [6]. Revenue Growth - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $3.24 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of +45.2% [9]. - The revenue estimates for the current and next fiscal years are $14.78 billion and $15.6 billion, indicating changes of +26% and +5.6%, respectively [9]. Last Reported Results and Surprise History - Alaska Air reported revenues of $3.53 billion in the last quarter, a year-over-year increase of +38.4%, with an EPS of $0.97 compared to $0.30 a year ago [10]. - The reported revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.51 billion by +0.64%, and the EPS surprise was +106.38% [11]. - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters and topped revenue estimates three times during this period [11]. Valuation - Alaska Air is graded A in the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a discount compared to its peers [15]. - The evaluation of valuation multiples such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) is essential for determining the stock's fair value [13][14]. Bottom Line - The Zacks Rank 1 suggests that Alaska Air may outperform the broader market in the near term, making it a stock worth monitoring [16].

Core Viewpoint - Alaska Air Group (ALK) reported strong fourth-quarter 2024 results, exceeding expectations and benefiting from increased air travel demand and the acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - ALK's Q4 2024 earnings per share reached 97 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 47 cents, marking a year-over-year increase of over 100% [3]. - The company experienced a 38.4% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by sustained leisure demand and a rise in corporate travel [4]. - Corporate revenues increased by 8% during the quarter, with First and Premium Class revenues up 10% and 11% year-over-year, respectively [4]. Guidance and Future Outlook - ALK's guidance for Q1 2025 indicates expected unit revenue growth in high single digits and capacity growth of 2.5-3.5% [5]. - The company anticipates earnings per share of over $5.75 in 2025, supported by a capacity growth of 2-3% and positive free cash flow generation [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Following the strong Q4 results and positive EPS outlook for 2025, analysts are optimistic and revising annual earnings estimates upward [6]. Fleet and Operational Efficiency - The acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings has expanded ALK's fleet to 365 aircraft, with plans to receive 14 737 MAX and three 787 aircraft from Boeing this year [8]. - The company is focusing on fleet upgrades, with new aircraft improving fuel efficiency by up to 30% compared to older models [7]. Shareholder Initiatives - ALK resumed share buybacks in 2023, repurchasing $248 million in Q4 2024 and $312 million for the full year, reducing the outstanding share count to 123 million [9][10]. - The company has initiated a new $1 billion share repurchase program, aiming to complete it within four years [10]. Valuation - ALK stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.65, which is below industry averages and competitor Delta Air Lines (DAL) at 0.69 [11]. - This attractive valuation, combined with strong earnings growth, positions ALK as a compelling option for value investors [12]. Investment Recommendation - Despite challenges from high labor costs, ALK is well-positioned for growth due to strong air travel demand and shareholder-friendly initiatives [13]. - The Wall Street average target price for ALK stock is $85.57, suggesting an upside of over 13% from current levels [13]. - ALK is considered a strong buy, reflecting a mix of value, growth potential, and resilience [14].

Have you been paying attention to shares of Alaska Air Group (ALK) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 14.5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $74.7 in the previous session. Alaska Air Group has gained 13.1% since the start of the year compared to the 6% move for the Zacks Transportation sector and the 14.4% return for the Zacks Transportation - Airline industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't mis ...

Alaska Air Group (NYSE: ALK ), the parent company of Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Horizon Air, is one of the larger players in the North American airline industry. With an operational focus on the West Coast of America, the group caters to one ofMountain Valley Value Investments specializes in identifying undervalued companies with strong growth potential across various sectors. Focused on long-term value and buying at the right price, we leverage deep industry insights and rigorous analysis to u ...

The Q4 earnings season has remained strong with companies from various sectors standing out in this week’s lineup. Notably, as of yesterday, earnings from the S&P 500 members were up 19.2% from Q4 2023.Able to crush their bottom-line expectations on Thursday, here are two intriguing stocks to keep an eye on in the coming weeks. Alaska Air Group – ALKZacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) Alaska Air Group (ALK)  stood out in the transportation sector as Q4 EPS of $0.97 blasted estimates of $0.47 a share by 106%. More im ...

It doesn't matter your age or experience: taking full advantage of the stock market and investing with confidence are common goals for all investors. Luckily, Zacks Premium offers several different ways to do both.Featuring daily updates of the Zacks Rank and Zacks Industry Rank, full access to the Zacks #1 Rank List, Equity Research reports, and Premium stock screens, the research service can help you become a smarter, more self-assured investor.It also includes access to the Zacks Style Scores. What are t ...

The Company has made reference in this presentation to financial metrics which are not in accordance with GAAP. Pursuant to Regulation G, we have provided reconcliliations of non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis within the Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Release filed concurrently with this presentation. Prior year non-GAAP financial metrics have been reconciled in previous SEC filings, and can be referenced therein. ALASKA AIR GROUP Q4 2024 ...