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Antero Resources: Thank Goodness For Premium Prices And Declining Costs
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-30 08:44
I analyze oil and gas companies like Antero Resources and related companies in my service, Oil & Gas Value Research, where I look for undervalued names in the oil and gas space. I break down everything you need to know about these companies -- the balance sheet, competitive position and development prospects. This article is an example of what I do. But for Oil & Gas Value Research members, they get it first and they get analysis on some companies that is not published on the free site. Interested? Sign up ...
Antero Resources Set For Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-16 13:28
Antero Resources (NYSE: AR ) sits, like a beautifully set table, ready for growth. Important changes in Washington, D.C. highlight the beauty of the table. We don't own a lot of shares, but we do own a small position, with plans to slowly add. ProducingI have been an investor for several decades enduring the 87 crash, 2000 crash, and 08 crash. I do use trading systems developed with TradeStation. I have enjoyed the rewards from both buy and hold and trading. My professional experiences includes several deca ...
Antero Resources (AR) Up 25.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2024-11-29 17:38
It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Antero Resources (AR) . Shares have added about 25.5% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Antero Resources due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts. Antero Resources Q3 Earnings Miss Es ...
AR You Ready? Why I'm Super Bullish On Antero Resources
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-20 21:33
Join iREIT on Alpha today to get the most in-depth research that includes REITs, mREITs, Preferreds, BDCs, MLPs, ETFs, and other income alternatives. 438 testimonials and most are 5 stars. Nothing to lose with our FREE 2-week trial .A few minutes before I started writing this, I took the first walk with my dog in the snow. This is the first walk through the snow in at least three years, as we were blessed withAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AM either through stock ...
This Is Why Natural Gas Stocks Have Been Surging Lately
ZACKS· 2024-11-13 21:01
Natural gas futures have been climbing steadily toward the $3/MMBtu mark, a key psychological level fueled by multiple catalysts. The commodity jumped 9.4% on Monday alone, its biggest one-day gain in eight months. December futures closed at $2.91 on the New York Mercantile Exchange yesterday. This upward momentum has also boosted gas-focused stocks, with companies like Comstock Resources (CRK) , Antero Resources (AR) , EQT Corporation (EQT) and Range Resources (RRC) seeing notable increases in their share ...
Oil's Ready to Rally: 3 Stocks to Buy as the Energy Sector Heats
MarketBeat· 2024-11-12 12:17
Core Viewpoint - The energy sector, particularly the oil industry, is experiencing significant price action and volume, indicating potential investment opportunities for investors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends and Investor Sentiment - Following the U.S. presidential election, oil drilling and production companies performed well, signaling positive future prospects for these stocks [2]. - Warren Buffett's acquisition of up to 29% of Occidental Petroleum Co. reflects a bullish sentiment towards oil investments [2]. Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Antero Resources Co. is trading at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 208.8x, significantly above the energy sector average of 13x, indicating a premium valuation [5]. - Analysts predict Antero Resources will transition from a net loss of $0.24 per share to a net earnings per share of $0.42 within the next 12 months, justifying its current valuation [6]. - The stock forecast for Antero Resources suggests a 12-month price target of $32.83, representing a 3.64% upside potential [4]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis of Oil Stocks - Occidental Petroleum is trading at a price-to-book (P/B) multiple of 2x, below the sector average of 3.5x, suggesting it may be undervalued with a forecasted upside of 27.49% [8][9]. - The stock forecast for Occidental Petroleum indicates a 12-month price target of $64.78, requiring a 55% rally from current levels to meet this target [7][9]. Group 4: High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunities - Transocean Ltd. has a high beta of 2.8, indicating significant volatility, but also a potential upside of 47.22% with a price target of $6.63 [10][11]. - Despite recent bearish price action, there has been a 6.3% decline in short interest, suggesting a shift in sentiment towards a more bullish outlook for Transocean [12][13].
Antero Resources: Propane Export Premiums Offset Impact Of Weak Natural Gas Prices
Seeking Alpha· 2024-11-01 22:04
Group 1 - The article promotes a free two-week trial for the investment group Distressed Value Investing, which offers exclusive research on various companies and investment opportunities [1] - The author, Aaron Chow, has over 15 years of analytical experience and co-founded a mobile gaming company that was acquired by PENN Entertainment, indicating a strong background in both analysis and industry experience [2] - Distressed Value Investing focuses on value opportunities and distressed plays, particularly in the energy sector, highlighting a niche investment strategy [2] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that past performance is not indicative of future results, which is a common disclaimer in investment-related content [3] - It clarifies that no specific investment recommendations are being made, and the views expressed may not represent the entire platform's opinions [3]
Top 3 Energy Stocks That Are Preparing To Pump In November
Benzinga· 2024-11-01 13:11
The most oversold stocks in the energy sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.The RSI is a momentum indicator, which compares a stock’s strength on days when prices go up to its strength on days when prices go down. When compared to a stock’s price action, it can give traders a better sense of how a stock may perform in the short term. An asset is typically considered oversold when the RSI is below 30, according to Benzinga Pro.Here's the latest list of major oversold players in th ...
Antero Resources(AR) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-10-31 17:40
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Antero Resources reported a reduction in drilling and completion capital budget to $650 million for 2024, a 28% decrease from 2023 while maintaining production levels [9][28] - The company achieved a free cash flow breakeven level of approximately $2.20, benefiting from low maintenance capital requirements and high exposure to liquids [23][24] - Total capital budget is expected to decrease by over $300 million in 2024 compared to the previous year while maintaining production [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company set a new quarterly record for completion stages, averaging 12.1 stages per day, a 51% increase compared to 2022 [7][8] - Total well costs have decreased by 8% since last year, reaching the lowest level since 2021 [8] - Antero's maintenance capital per Mcfe is $0.52, which is 41% below the peer average of $0.88 [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. propane demand exceeded 3 million barrels a day recently, driven by seasonal crop drying and heating demand [16] - Antero realized an average propane export premium of $0.22 per gallon in Q3, up from $0.08 to $0.09 per gallon at the start of the year [17] - Natural gas power burn demand is averaging 1.4 Bcf higher than last year, with expectations for continued growth driven by AI data centers and electric vehicles [19][20] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - Antero plans to continue focusing on improving operational efficiencies and has switched to an e-fleet for completion activities, potentially saving $150,000 to $200,000 per well [10] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from robust export premiums due to its unconstrained access at the Marcus Hook terminal [18] - Antero's firm transportation portfolio delivers 75% of its natural gas to the LNG corridor, providing direct exposure to growing LNG demand [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to maintain production levels while deferring completions based on natural gas prices [27][44] - The company anticipates that low rig counts and increased demand will support a tightening of inventories and lead to higher prices in 2025 and beyond [22] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a flexible capital program to adapt to market conditions [26] Other Important Information - Antero has built two DUC pads with 12 wells that are not being completed this year, with completion timing dependent on natural gas prices [31] - The company plans to use the first $600 million of free cash flow to reduce debt before considering buybacks [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance on DUCs and future completions - Management confirmed they have two DUC pads with 12 wells that are not being completed this year, with future completions dependent on natural gas prices [31][32] Question: Buyback strategy and free cash flow - The first $600 million of free cash flow will be used to reduce debt, with buybacks considered afterward [33] Question: Northeast LPG export advantage and premium sustainability - Management expects strong premiums to continue until new export capacity comes online in mid to late 2025 [35][36] Question: Conditions for completing DUCs - Completion of DUCs will depend on achieving a natural gas price of $2.50 or higher [39][40] Question: Maintenance capital and production levels - Maintenance capital is expected to be around $700 million to maintain production levels of 3.3 to 3.4 Bcfe per day [44][59] Question: Hedging strategy and future pricing - Management is monitoring the market for potential hedging opportunities but remains unhedged for now [51] Question: Impact of efficiencies on 2025 budget - The 2025 budget includes efficiencies and is expected to be lower due to improved operational performance [55]
Antero Resources (AR) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-10-30 22:45
Antero Resources (AR) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.12 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.03. This compares to earnings of $0.08 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -300%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this oil and natural gas producer would post a loss of $0.16 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.19, delivering a surprise of -18.75%.Over the last four quarters, ...