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Core Insights - The article discusses Avista Corporation (AVA) and assigns a "Buy" rating with a stock price around $38 and a Fair Value estimate of approximately $42.1, highlighting the company's predictable business model [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment style combines fundamental analysis with options strategies, categorized as "Fundamental Options" [1] - Various investment strategies are pursued, including income-oriented investments, growth at a reasonable price, deep value based on discounted cash flow, and dividend aristocrats [1] - The company typically invests for the long term but also employs 20-25 options strategies for purposes such as hedging, bullish substitutes, neutral trades, trading volatility, and earnings-related trades [1] Group 2: Teaching and Community Engagement - The company has a passion for teaching and has experience as a formal and informal educator, including authoring a free local investing newsletter [1]

Core Insights - Avista Corporation (NYSE:AVA) is recognized as one of the 15 overlooked dividend stocks to consider for investment [1] - Mizuho has increased its price target for Avista from $39 to $42, maintaining a Neutral rating after the company's strong Q3 performance [2] - The company reported Q3 2025 revenues of $403 million, a 2.35% increase year-over-year, although it fell short of analysts' expectations by $14.7 million [3] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenues reached $403 million, reflecting a 2.35% increase compared to the same quarter last year [3] - The company had $210 million in liquidity available under its committed line of credit and $43 million under its letter of credit facility as of September 30, 2025 [3] - Avista plans to issue approximately $120 million in long-term debt and up to $80 million in common stock in 2026 [3] Capital Expenditures and Future Plans - CFO Kevin Christie reported $363 million in capital expenditures for the first three quarters of 2025, with total spending expected to reach $525 million for the year [4] - Potential capital opportunities could amount to $500 million between 2026 and 2029, including a request for proposals (RFP) and the addition of a large customer [4] Company Overview - Avista Corporation provides electricity and natural gas services, generating, transmitting, and distributing energy to customers across the Pacific Northwest [5]

Core Insights - During market turbulence, investors often seek dividend-yielding stocks, which typically have high free cash flows and offer substantial dividends [1] Company Ratings and Performance - **Edison International (NYSE:EIX)**: - Dividend Yield: 5.85% - Analyst Paul Fremont from Ladenburg Thalmann maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $52.5 to $55 on Oct. 30, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 62% [7] - Barclays analyst Nicholas Campanella maintained an Overweight rating and reduced the price target from $69 to $68 on Oct. 29, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 68% [7] - Recent News: Posted better-than-expected third-quarter results on Oct. 28 [7] - **Avista Corp (NYSE:AVA)**: - Dividend Yield: 4.85% - Wells Fargo analyst Shahriar Pourreza initiated coverage with an Equal-Weight rating and a price target of $38 on Oct. 28, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 68% [7] - Jefferies analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith maintained a Hold rating and raised the price target from $40 to $41 on Oct. 22, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 65% [7] - Recent News: Posted mixed quarterly results on Nov. 5 [7] - **Clearway Energy Inc (NYSE:CWEN)**: - Dividend Yield: 5.19% - Roth Capital analyst Justin Clare reiterated a Buy rating and raised the price target from $38 to $39 on Nov. 5, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 69% [7] - CIBC analyst Mark Jarvi maintained a Neutral rating and increased the price target from $35 to $37 on Oct. 21, 2025, with an accuracy rate of 68% [7] - Recent News: Posted upbeat quarterly results on Nov. 4 [7]

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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated earnings year-to-date in 2025 were $1.51 per diluted share compared to $1.44 in 2024, reflecting a growth of approximately 4.86% [3] - For Q3 2025, consolidated earnings were $0.36 per diluted share, up from $0.23 per diluted share in Q3 2024, indicating a year-over-year increase of about 56.52% [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date results at Avista Utilities were $1.63 per diluted share, reflecting a nearly 15% increase over 2024's year-to-date results, driven by regulatory outcomes and capital deployment [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The 2025 wildfire season concluded without public safety power shutoffs, attributed to strategic grid improvements and community collaboration [5][6] - The company is expanding its network of AI-enabled cameras for wildfire monitoring, aiming for coverage of high-risk areas by the end of 2026 [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to supporting reliable and affordable customer service, community investment, and shareholder value through strategic initiatives [4] - The 2025 all-source RFP aims to secure up to 425 megawatts of new capacity, with a focus on leveraging federal tax credits before they expire [10] - The company is evaluating new generation resources and system capacity to attract large load customers, which are central to long-term planning [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future opportunities, particularly in engaging with potential large load customers and the positive momentum in core business operations [16] - The expected return on equity at Avista Utilities is projected at 8.8%, with long-term earnings growth anticipated at 4%-6% from the midpoint of 2025 guidance [15] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures at Avista Utilities were $363 million in the first three quarters of 2025, with an expected total of $525 million for the year [13] - The company plans to issue up to $80 million of common stock in 2025, including $45 million already issued [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the $80 million equity needs for 2026 and potential divestitures - Management indicated that the $80 million equity needs are expected to be met through periodic offerings, and significant divestitures are not anticipated [20][21] Question: On the rate-based outlook and incremental CapEx opportunities - Management clarified that additional capital opportunities could help reach the top end of the 4%-6% growth range, but not exceed it [22][23] Question: About managing external risks in the upcoming Washington MYRP filing - Management explained that they have the option to refile if external risks impact the plan, allowing flexibility in response to inflation and investment opportunities [29][30] Question: On the mark-to-market process for other businesses - Management confirmed a quarter lag for some investments, with optimism about potential recovery in clean energy investment values [33] Question: Regarding the mix of debt and equity financing for incremental CapEx - Management expects a mix of approximately 50/50 for incremental capital financing, with base capital plans indicating $120 million in debt and $80 million in equity [34]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated earnings year-to-date in 2025 were $1.51 per diluted share compared to $1.44 year-to-date in 2024, reflecting a growth of approximately 4.86% [3] - For the third quarter of 2025, consolidated earnings were $0.36 per diluted share compared to $0.23 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2024, indicating a significant increase of about 56.52% [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date results at Avista Utilities were $1.63 per diluted share, reflecting a nearly 15% increase over 2024's year-to-date results, driven by regulatory outcomes and capital deployment [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The 2025 wildfire season concluded without the need for public safety power shutoffs, showcasing the effectiveness of the wildfire resiliency program [5] - The company received over 80 bids in its 2025 Request for Proposals (RFP), with 69 supply-side bids totaling nearly 14 GW of capacity and 17 demand response projects offering almost 300 MW [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on supporting reliable and affordable customer service, community investment, and shareholder value through strategic initiatives [4] - The company plans to submit its wildfire mitigation plan to the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, marking a significant step in compliance with new legislation [8] - The company is working on expanding its network of AI-enabled cameras for wildfire monitoring and early detection, aiming for coverage of high-risk areas by the end of 2026 [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future opportunities, particularly in engaging with potential large load customers, which are central to long-term planning and investment strategy [10] - The company confirmed its consolidated earnings guidance for 2025, with expectations of $2.52-$2.72 per diluted share, while Avista Utilities is expected to contribute towards the upper end of its range [15][16] Other Important Information - Capital expenditures at Avista Utilities were $363 million in the first three quarters of 2025, with an expected total of $525 million for the year and $3.7 billion from 2025 through 2030 [14] - The company issued $120 million of long-term debt in July and does not expect further debt issuances this year [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the $80 million equity needs for 2026 and potential divestitures - Management indicated that the expectation of up to $80 million for 2026 may change with additional capital investment opportunities, but significant divestitures are not anticipated [21] Question: On the rate-based outlook and incremental CapEx opportunities - Management clarified that additional capital opportunities could help reach the top end of the growth range of 4%-6% but would not exceed that range [22] Question: Managing external risks in the upcoming Washington MYRP filing - Management explained that if external risks arise, they have the option to refile the rate case, allowing for adjustments based on inflation or investment opportunities [30] Question: On the mark-to-market process for other businesses - Management confirmed that there is a quarter lag for some investments, and the current quarter reflects second-quarter values, with optimism about potential recovery in clean energy investments [34] Question: Mix of debt and equity financing for potential incremental CapEx - Management stated that the base capital plan for this year includes $120 million in debt and $80 million in equity, with incremental capital expected to be roughly 50/50 [35]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated earnings year-to-date in 2025 were $1.51 per diluted share, an increase from $1.44 in 2024 [3] - For Q3 2025, consolidated earnings were $0.36 per diluted share compared to $0.23 per diluted share for Q3 2024 [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date results at Avista Utilities were $1.63 per diluted share, reflecting a nearly 15% increase over 2024's year-to-date results [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The 2025 wildfire season concluded without the need for public safety power shutoffs, indicating effective risk management and operational preparedness [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to supporting reliable and affordable customer service, community investment, and shareholder value through strategic initiatives [4] - The 2025 all-source RFP aims to secure up to 425 megawatts of new capacity and at least 5 megawatts of demand response, with a positive response from bidders [9][10] - The company is focusing on leveraging federal tax credits for selected projects that need to begin construction by July 2026 [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future opportunities, particularly in engaging with potential large load customers, which are central to long-term planning and investment strategy [10][11] - The company expects capital expenditures of $525 million in 2025 and $3.7 billion from 2025 through 2030, with a growth rate of 6% [13][14] Other Important Information - The company confirmed its consolidated earnings guidance for 2025, with a range of $2.52-$2.72 per diluted share, impacted by valuation losses in other businesses [15][16] - The company plans to submit its wildfire mitigation plan to the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, marking a significant regulatory step [7][8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the $80 million equity needs for 2026 and potential divestitures - Management indicated that the expectation of up to $80 million for 2026 would not necessitate significant changes such as divesting other businesses [20] Question: Clarification on rate-based outlook and incremental CapEx opportunities - Management stated that additional capital opportunities could help reach the top end of the growth range of 4%-6% but would not exceed that [22] Question: Managing external risks in the upcoming Washington MYRP filing - Management explained that they have the option to refile if external risks like inflation impact the plan, allowing flexibility in their approach [27][28] Question: Mark-to-market values and potential impacts on year-end updates - Management confirmed a quarter lag for some investments, with optimism about potential recovery in clean energy investment values [32] Question: Mix of debt and equity financing for potential incremental CapEx - Management indicated that the base capital plan for this year is $120 million debt and $80 million equity, with incremental capital expected to be roughly 50/50 [33]

Financial Performance - Q3 2025 earnings per diluted share were $0.36, compared to $0.23 in Q3 2024[8] - Year-to-date 2025 earnings per diluted share were $1.51, compared to $1.44 year-to-date 2024[8] - Avista Utilities contributed $0.38 earnings per diluted share in Q3 2025, compared to $0.25 in Q3 2024[8] - AEL&P reported a loss of $0.01 per diluted share in Q3 2025[8] - The company expects Avista Utilities to contribute toward the upper end of the 2025 guidance range of $2.43-$2.61 due to strong performance[23, 24] - The company expects to be at the low end of the consolidated guidance range of $2.52-$2.72 due to $0.16 per diluted share of losses at other businesses[23, 24] Regulatory Outcomes - Washington saw base electric revenue increase of $11.9 million (2%) in year 1 and $68.9 million (11.6%) in year 2, and base gas revenue increase of $14.2 million (11.2%) in year 1 and $4.0 million (2.8%) in year 2[12] - Idaho saw base electric revenue increase of $19.5 million (6.3%) in year 1 and $14.7 million (4.5%) in year 2, and base gas revenue increase of $4.6 million (9.2%) in year 1 and $0.2 million (0.4%) in year 2[12] - Oregon saw base revenue increase of $4.2 million (2% net of tax customer credits)[14] Capital Investments - The company anticipates base capital expenditure between 2025 and 2030, ranging from $525 million in 2025 to $705 million in 2030[16] - Transmission and distribution account for 46% of Avista Utilities' expected capital spend from 2025-2030[17] - Generation accounts for 17% of Avista Utilities' expected capital spend from 2025-2030[17] Balance Sheet and Liquidity - $45 million in common stock was issued through 9/30/2025[22] - $120 million in long-term debt was issued in July 2025[22] - The company has $253 million in available liquidity as of September 30, 2025[22]

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