全球市场同样面临压力，恒生指数周跌5.09%，标普500跌1.95%，纳斯达克跌2.74%，主要受到美联储 降息预期降温、美股AI叙事动摇等因素影响。 不过值得关注的是，周末美联储官员开始释放鸽派信号，纽约联储主席威廉姆斯（美联储三号人物）公 开表示"仍有降息空间"，这一表态或将缓解海外流动性担忧，为下周全球风险偏好的修复提供支撑。 本周全球资本市场经历了一场剧烈的风险资产抛售潮，A股市场未能独善其身。截至周五收盘，上证指 数周跌幅达3.90%，深证成指下跌5.13%，创业板指跌幅更高达6.15%，三大指数均创下阶段性新低。 全周市场呈现典型的"放量下跌"特征，特别是在周五，全市场成交额显著放大至1.98万亿元（较周四放 量近2600亿元），显示恐慌盘正在加速出逃。个股层面更是惨不忍睹，超过5000只个股下跌，近百只个 股跌停，市场情绪指标已降至冰点区间。 从板块表现来看，防御性板块相对抗跌，船舶制造、文化传媒、农业种植等主题板块逆势活跃；而前期 热门赛道则集体重挫，能源金属、电池、光伏设备等板块跌幅居前，这清晰地反映出资金正在从高估值 成长赛道向低估值防御板块进行切换。 同时需要密切关注美联储政策动向与全球 ...

新华财经上海11月22日电 2025年已接近尾声，全球大类资产配置有何趋势，A股市场哪些板块更具投资价值，跨年行情又会呈现出哪些新的特征？围绕资产 配置与股市行情，在近期举行的第十四届"沪上金融家"的颁奖活动上，来自九方智投的多位业界投资专家接受了新华财经采访。他们表示，增配人民币资产 或已成为全球资产配置的重要趋势，得益于中国经济稳健复苏和人工智能（AI）等科技创新的支撑，A股市场有望继续上行，跨年行情值得期待，新能源、 消费等板块具备投资价值。 人民币资产受全球资本配置青睐 今年以来，全球经济复苏分化、美国关税政策扰动、美联储降息博弈、美股AI泡沫讨论持续、中国资产重估叙事等多重因素相互交织，驱动着各类资产估 值重构与资金流向调整。全球资本正重新评估不同区域资产的风险收益比，并调整相关资产配置。 A股有望继续向上拓展空间 从今年全球大类资产配置来看，两条核心主线已清晰显现。九方智投首席投顾黄伟分析认为，第一条主线是避险，黄金等贵金属价格大幅上涨，成为全球资 金的重要选择，各国央行持续增持黄金，进一步印证了市场避险需求旺盛。第二条主线是风险资产的"洼地效应"，尽管全球股票市场流动性依然充裕，但美 债收益率上 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - UGI Corporation achieved record-adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.32, exceeding the revised guidance range of $3.00 to $3.15, driven by strong operational performance and tax benefits [4][17] - Free cash flow generated was approximately $530 million, which included cash from asset sales [4][22] - Total shareholder return for the year was 42%, reflecting strong operational strategy [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - AmeriGas reported EBIT of $166 million, a 17% increase year-over-year, with a 30% reduction in recordable incidents enhancing safety [17][22] - The regulated utilities segment achieved record EBIT of $403 million, up $3 million from the previous year, supported by a 10% increase in core market volumes [18] - Midstream and Marketing segment EBIT was $293 million, down $20 million due to lower margins and reduced income from equity method investments [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - UGI International reported EBIT of $314 million, a decrease of $9 million from the prior year, attributed to lower margins and reduced LPG volumes [19][21] - LPG volumes declined by 4% due to structural conservation and customer conversions to natural gas, partially offset by colder weather [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on operational excellence and portfolio optimization, with a long-term EPS growth target of 5%-7% [5][25] - Investments of approximately $900 million were deployed, primarily in natural gas businesses, to enhance infrastructure and system reliability [7][23] - AmeriGas is undergoing a transformation to improve customer service and operational efficiency, with a focus on safety and financial discipline [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth trajectory, anticipating a 5%-7% increase in reportable segment EBIT year-over-year [24][25] - The company expects to maintain strong operational performance despite anticipated higher interest expenses and normalization of the effective tax rate [24][25] - Future capital investments are projected between $4.5 billion and $4.9 billion to support strategic growth opportunities [25][26] Other Important Information - The company is committed to maintaining a leverage ratio at or below 3.75x for UGI Corporation and 4.0x for AmeriGas to ensure financial flexibility [26] - The operational and financial improvements at AmeriGas are expected to drive organic growth in the coming years [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance for midstream and LPG businesses - Management expects low double-digit growth across all business lines over the planning horizon, including midstream and LPG [34][35] Question: Update on NDAs and data center activity - There is significant ongoing activity with over 50 NDAs signed, indicating strong interest in growth opportunities in Pennsylvania [38] Question: Comments on potential electric utility market - The company continuously evaluates its portfolio for optimization opportunities but did not provide specific comments on the electric utility [40] Question: AmeriGas leverage targets - AmeriGas aims to achieve a leverage ratio below 4.5, driven by EBIT growth and deleveraging efforts [50][51] Question: Consistency of tax credits - Management confirmed that there will be no ongoing one-time tax credit items affecting future forecasts, leading to a normalized run rate [54] Question: CapEx and shareholder returns - Utility CapEx is expected to remain consistent or slightly increase, with a commitment to dividends in the future [56][57]

Core Insights - The article highlights a trend of decreasing shareholder accounts among 149 companies, indicating a concentration of shares, with some companies experiencing a decline for over three consecutive periods [1][2] Group 1: Shareholder Account Trends - 20 companies have reported a continuous decrease in shareholder accounts for more than three periods, with the most significant decline being 9 periods for companies like Yihau New Materials and Shuangfei Group [1] - Yihau New Materials has the latest shareholder count of 15,208, reflecting a cumulative decrease of 34.46%, while Shuangfei Group has 18,803 shareholders, with a cumulative decline of 20.52% [1] - Other companies with notable declines include Huangsanghuan, Nanjing Energy, and XinNing Logistics, indicating a broader trend of decreasing shareholder numbers [1] Group 2: Market Performance - Among the companies with declining shareholder accounts, 5 have seen their stock prices rise, while 15 have experienced declines, with notable increases for Shuanghui Development (9.67%), George White (4.56%), and Nanjing Energy (2.11%) [2] - 25% of the companies that have seen a decrease in shareholder accounts outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with Shuanghui Development, George White, and Nanjing Energy showing relative returns of 11.26%, 5.31%, and 3.34% respectively [2] Group 3: Industry and Institutional Activity - The industries with the highest concentration of companies experiencing declining shareholder accounts include food and beverage, public utilities, and automotive, with 3, 3, and 2 companies respectively [2] - In terms of institutional interest, 5 companies with declining shareholder accounts were surveyed by institutions in the past month, with Shuanghui Development and Changhua Group being the most frequently researched [2] - The companies with the highest number of institutional participants in research include Xinhan New Materials (24), New Dairy (22), and Shuanghui Development (13) [2]

今天打开行情软件，估计不少朋友都倒吸一口凉气吧？沪指直接低开低走失守3900点，跌了2.45%，深证成指和创业板指跌得更狠，全市场超5000只个股飘 绿，手里的票要么绿油油要么原地踏步，是不是越看越慌，甚至想点开卖出键割肉离场？ 作为跑了20年财经的老记者，也是盯着中长线做投资的老兵，帮主见过太多这样的恐慌时刻。从2008年的1664点到2018年的2440点，每次市场跌得大家直 呼"扛不住"的时候，其实都是情绪在主导，而非基本面真的塌了。今天这波下跌也一样，前期涨得火的电池、能源金属、硅能源这些赛道股，不少资金赚了 钱想年末落袋为安，加上3900点这个心理关口一破，杠杆资金和止损盘集中出逃，越卖越跌形成了恶性循环，就像菜市场没人抢菜，商贩只能降价甩卖，不 管菜品好坏先清仓再说。 下周操作，帮主给中长线朋友三个实在建议。第一，绝对别割肉，尤其是手里拿着消费、金融、优质制造龙头的朋友，现在割肉就是把便宜筹码在地板上送 给别人，咱们做中长线图的是稳，不是跟着短期波动追涨杀跌。第二，分批布局，重点关注两类标的：一类是高股息的银行、公用事业股，它们分红稳定， 就像投资里的"压舱石"，现在股息率比不少理财还高；另一类是 ...

从地域覆盖来看，无论是东部发达地区，还是中西部地区，各地税务机关均加强了税收监管和稽查力 度。值得注意的是，还有部分企业的补税来源于境外税务当局的要求，如因当地税务局对投资税收津贴 条件的不同理解而产生的补税。 综合观察，当前上市公司补税潮呈现出范围广、金额大、原因复杂的特点，暴露出上市公司在税务合规 和内部控制方面存在的普遍问题。税收征管技术的革新推动了补税潮的涌现，金税四期系统通过大数 据、人工智能等先进技术，实现了对企业经营全流程的多维度监控，大幅提升了税务机关发现涉税风险 的能力。系统能够精准识别发票异常、关联交易定价不合理、等多种风险点，并及时向企业推送风险提 醒。 近期，A股 上市公司出现一股补缴税款的浪潮，截至目前,已有超过60 家上市公司 相继发布 税务补缴公 告，主要涉及2021至2024年度补税事项，累计补税及滞纳金金额 超28亿元。这一现象引发了市场对上 市公司税务 合规性、内部控制质量及财务透明度的广泛关注。 这些企业中，多数是通过税局大数据检查启动的企业自查。涉及的行业包括 医药15 家、化工 11 家、半 导体12 家、公用事业与环保 8 家、消费零售 10 家、制造与建筑 7 家 ...

Group 1 - The stock price of Xin'ao Co., Ltd. reached a historical high, increasing by 2.06% to 21.28 yuan, with a trading volume of 6.9788 million shares and a transaction amount of 147 million yuan, resulting in a turnover rate of 0.23% [1] - The latest total market capitalization of Xin'ao Co., Ltd. in A-shares is 65.906 billion yuan, while the circulating market capitalization is not specified [1] - In the public utility sector, the overall decline is 1.32%, with four stocks, including Xin'ao Co., Ltd., showing an increase, with the top gainers being Dazhong Public Utility and Changjiang Electric Power, rising by 3.25% and 2% respectively [1] Group 2 - As of November 20, the margin balance for Xin'ao Co., Ltd. is 197 million yuan, with a financing balance of 195 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 15.3722 million yuan over the past ten days, a decline of 7.29% [1] - The company's Q3 report indicates that for the first three quarters, it achieved operating revenue of 95.893 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.92%, and a net profit of 3.426 billion yuan, down 1.87% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share at 1.1100 yuan and a weighted average return on equity of 14.0% [1]

Group 1 - The overall shareholding ratio of southbound funds in Hong Kong Stock Connect stocks is 19.37%, with 243 stocks having a shareholding ratio exceeding 20% [1] - As of November 20, southbound funds hold a total of 4,896.59 million shares, accounting for 19.37% of the total share capital of the stocks, with a total market value of 62,183.87 billion HKD, representing 14.69% of the total market value [1] - The highest shareholding ratio by southbound funds is in China Telecom, with 100.39 million shares held, representing 72.33% of the issued shares [1] Group 2 - Southbound funds with a holding ratio exceeding 20% are mainly concentrated in the healthcare, industrial, and financial sectors, with 56, 37, and 34 stocks respectively [2] - The top stocks with high southbound fund holdings include China Telecom, with a holding ratio of 72.33%, followed by Dazhong Public Utilities at 69.46% and Green Power Environmental at 69.45% [2] - A significant portion of the stocks with high southbound fund holdings are AH concept stocks, with 130 out of 243 stocks (53.50%) having a holding ratio over 20% being AH stocks [1][2]

广发证券资深宏观分析师 陈嘉荔 gfchenjiali@gf.com.cn 广发宏观郭磊团队 摘要 第一， 根据美国劳工部 11 月 20 日公布数据 。 9 月新增非农 11.9 万人，高于预期的 5 万人 ，亦远高于达拉斯联储 估算的 3 万人 / 月就业平衡水平（即每 个月使劳动力市场保持平衡的新增岗位数量）。 从趋势上看，这是自 5 月以来首次新增岗位明显反弹，反映就业并非线性弱化，前期疲软一定程度上和 4 月关税 一次性冲击有关。从结构上拆解，医疗保健（ +5.7 万人）、休闲酒店（ +4.7 万人）和建筑业（ +1.9 万）为主要贡献；交通和仓储（ -2.5 万人）、专业服务 （ -2.0 万人）、制造业（ -0.6 万人）为主要拖累。 7-8 月合计下修 3.3 万人。 第二， 住户调查数据略弱，失业率继续有所回升。9 月美国失业率（ U3 ）上升 0.12pct 至 4.44% ，为本轮高点（年初为 4.0% ， 2024 年初为 3.7% ）。 其中就业人口上升 25.1 万人，失业人口上升 21.9 万人，劳动力人口规模增加 47 万人。劳动参与率小幅上升 0.1pct 至 62.4% ， ...

Group 1: Investment Strategies Overview - CITIC Securities released a comprehensive report on investment strategies for 2026, covering global capital markets, macroeconomic policies, A-shares, overseas markets, bond markets, asset allocation, and industry investment strategies [1] - The report includes insights from 19 research teams and spans approximately 30,000 words [1] Group 2: Pharmaceutical and Biotech Investment Strategies - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is entering a critical phase characterized by "innovation realization + global layout," supported by population and domestic demand, as well as manufacturing capabilities [3][4] - The industry needs to focus on internal supply chain security and compliance while exploring diversified international expansion [3] - Key investment opportunities for 2026 include innovation commercialization, global breakthroughs, policy optimization, and industry mergers and acquisitions [3][5][6] Group 3: Medical Device Investment Strategies - The medical device sector is expected to see performance improvements in 2026 due to policy easing, new product launches, and international expansion [14] - The long-term investment opportunities in this sector stem from innovation, internationalization, and mergers and acquisitions [14] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards high-value consumables and innovative technologies such as brain-computer interfaces and AI in healthcare [14][15] Group 4: Consumer Healthcare and Bioproducts - The traditional Chinese medicine sector is expected to recover from short-term pressures, with improved demand anticipated by year-end [9] - The blood products industry is focusing on supply growth and consolidation, with significant demand for immunoglobulin and factor products [10] - The vaccine sector is under pressure but is expected to improve with new product sales and international expansion [10] Group 5: Banking Sector Investment Strategies - The banking sector is expected to continue its weak recovery in 2025, with a focus on high dividend strategies [25][26] - The sector's fundamentals are stabilizing, with credit growth projected at 7%-8% and non-interest income expected to improve [26] - High dividend yield strategies are favored, particularly for state-owned banks and those with solid fundamentals [27] Group 6: Wealth Management and Financial Products - The wealth management sector is entering a phase of product transformation and structural optimization, with an expected growth rate of 10% in 2026 [28][33] - The focus is on multi-asset and multi-strategy products, with a significant increase in mixed product offerings anticipated [29][30] - The integration of AI and digital technologies is expected to enhance risk management and operational efficiency in wealth management [30] Group 7: Non-Banking Financial Institutions - The securities industry is poised for a new growth cycle, driven by policies that enhance capital market inclusivity and adaptability [35][36] - The industry is experiencing a shift from self-operated models to collaborative, light-asset business strategies [36][37] - The internationalization of Chinese securities firms is gaining momentum, providing new opportunities for growth [38][39] Group 8: Insurance Sector Trends - The insurance industry is expected to undergo significant changes during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on balancing interests among insurers, channels, and customers [43][44] - Key trends include the transformation of savings products, innovation in health insurance, and the development of new distribution channels [43][44] - The sector is anticipated to benefit from improved performance and valuation recovery, presenting investment opportunities [43][44] Group 9: Food and Beverage Sector - The food and beverage sector is recovering from a prolonged downturn, with a focus on premium products like liquor and health-oriented snacks [48][49] - The liquor industry is expected to stabilize as consumer confidence improves, with a focus on high-quality brands [49][50] - The snack and beverage segments are seeing growth driven by health trends and innovative product offerings [52][53]