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Axon's Q4 Earnings Top Estimates on Solid Software & Sensors Sales
ZACKS· 2025-02-26 21:00
Core Insights - Axon Enterprise, Inc. reported strong financial results for Q4 2024, with adjusted earnings of $2.08 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.53, marking an 84.1% year-over-year increase [1] - Total revenues reached $575.1 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $566.1 million, and increased by 33.6% year over year, driven by strong demand for TASER and Axon Body 4 products [2] Financial Performance - For the full year 2024, Axon reported revenues of $2.08 billion, reflecting a 33.4% increase year over year, with adjusted earnings of $5.94 per share, up from $4.16 in 2023 [3] - In Q4, the Software & Sensors segment saw revenues rise 40.6% to $230.3 million, with adjusted gross margin increasing to 77.2% from 75.7% [4] - Sensors & Other revenues climbed 17.5% to $123.6 million, although adjusted gross margin declined to 36.2% from 47.5% due to product mix issues [5] - TASER segment revenues increased 37.1% year over year to $221.2 million, with adjusted gross margin improving to 63.7% from 57.6% [6] Cost and Margin Analysis - Axon's cost of sales rose 37.8% year over year to $229.3 million, while total operating expenses increased 63.5% to $361.6 million [7] - The adjusted gross margin for the company improved to 63.2% from 62% in the previous year [7] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - At the end of Q4 2024, Axon had cash and cash equivalents of $454.8 million, down from $598.5 million at the end of 2023 [8] - The company generated net cash of $408.3 million from operating activities in 2024, significantly higher than $189.3 million in the previous year, with adjusted free cash flow at $344.3 million compared to $148.1 million [8] Future Outlook - For 2025, Axon expects revenues to be between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, indicating approximately 25% year-over-year growth at the midpoint [9] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be in the range of $640 million to $670 million, with capital expenditures expected between $140 million and $180 million [9][10]
Axon's $129 Billion Market Opportunity In Focus: Analyst Sees Strong Product Innovation And More
Benzinga· 2025-02-26 19:38
Core Viewpoint - Axon Enterprise Inc is experiencing significant growth, with a strong fourth-quarter performance and an optimistic outlook for future revenue and market opportunities [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported fourth-quarter revenue of $575 million, reflecting a 34% year-over-year growth, driven by double-digit growth across all product segments [1]. - Current revenues stand at $2.1 billion, primarily from law enforcement, with only 15% market penetration [2]. Market Potential - Axon's total addressable market has increased to $129 billion from $77 billion in Q1 2024, attributed to acquisitions like Fusus and Dedrone [2]. - Significant opportunities exist in real-time operations, drones and robotics, and AI solutions, contributing $20 billion, $20 billion, and $17 billion, respectively, to the total addressable market [2]. Strategic Insights - The analyst noted skepticism regarding high total addressable market estimates but emphasized Axon's strong customer mindshare, product innovation, and go-to-market strategy as credible factors [3]. - Axon's international and enterprise opportunities are at an inflection point, with management focusing on international client engagement and the potential of TASER 10 and AI efficiencies to drive foreign contract wins [4]. Future Outlook - Management's guidance for FY25 is more bullish than in previous years, with a stronger pipeline suggesting potential upside as the year progresses [5]. - Axon met its aggressive $4.0 billion bookings target for 2H24, with a significant acceleration in calculated billings to 54% [4].
Axon's 4th Quarter Checks All the Boxes
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-26 14:15
Core Insights - Axon Enterprise reported strong fourth-quarter results, with revenue growth of 34% and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) growth of 84%, both exceeding expectations [2][3][5] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q4 2023 was $430 million, increasing to $575 million in Q4 2024, representing a 34% growth [2] - Adjusted EPS rose from $1.13 to $2.08, marking an 84% increase [2] - Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 37%, reaching $732 million, and now constitutes nearly half of total sales [2][4] - Operating cash flow reached $250 million, reflecting a 79% year-over-year growth [3] Profitability Metrics - Adjusted gross margin improved by 120 basis points year-over-year [3] - Net revenue retention rate was 123%, indicating that customers are spending 23% more than the previous year [2][8] Future Outlook - Axon has $10.1 billion in future contracted bookings and provided a revenue guidance of $2.6 billion for full-year 2025, surpassing analyst expectations [5] - The total addressable market is estimated to be $129 billion, with Axon's 2025 revenue expectation representing about 2% of this market [5] Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, Axon’s stock rose over 11% in after-hours trading, reflecting positive investor sentiment [6] Customer Engagement - The net revenue retention rate of 123% is one of the highest in the industry, suggesting increasing customer value perception [8]
Nasdaq Sell-Off: 2 AI Stocks to Buy Before They Soar 120% and 135%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-26 09:25
Group 1: Market Overview - The Nasdaq Composite fell 5% from its record high due to concerning economic data, including the lowest consumer sentiment in 15 months [1] - Despite the market downturn, analysts remain optimistic about potential gains for Arm Holdings and Axon Enterprise in the coming year [1] Group 2: Arm Holdings - Arm Holdings is a semiconductor company that primarily designs CPU architectures and licenses its intellectual property to clients [3] - The company’s processors are highly efficient, found in 99% of smartphones and 67% of other mobile devices, and are gaining market share in data centers [4] - Arm's Q3 fiscal 2025 revenue rose 19% to $983 million, driven by strong growth in royalty fees, while non-GAAP net income increased 26% to $0.39 per diluted share [5] - CEO Rene Haas emphasized Arm's role in the AI market, predicting increased demand for compute in AI cloud applications [6] - Wall Street estimates a 32% annual increase in Arm's adjusted earnings through fiscal 2026, leading to a current valuation of 96 times adjusted earnings [7] Group 3: Axon Enterprise - Axon specializes in public safety, known for its Taser products and a suite of sensors and software for law enforcement [8] - The company integrates AI into its products, such as using AI for transcribing and redacting audio and video in its digital evidence management software [9] - Axon launched Draft One, a generative AI application for automating report writing, which quickly reached a $100 million revenue pipeline [10] - Analysts project a 135% upside for Axon, with a bull-case target price of $1,150 per share from its current price of $488 [10] - Despite a recent downgrade due to valuation concerns, some analysts believe the market overreacted, and Axon shares present a buying opportunity [11][12] - Axon's earnings have consistently exceeded consensus estimates by an average of 34% over the last six quarters, suggesting potential for reasonable valuation if the trend continues [13]
Axon(AXON) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-26 01:37
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q4 revenue of $575 million, representing a 34% year-over-year increase, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of over 25% revenue growth [38][39] - Total revenue for the year exceeded $2 billion, nearly doubling from two years ago, with a consistent growth rate of over 30% for three consecutive years [28][39] - Adjusted gross margin was 63.2%, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 24.6%, with a full-year adjusted EBITDA margin of 25%, achieved a year ahead of schedule [40][41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - TASER revenue increased by 37%, Sensors by 18%, and Software & Services by 41% year-over-year [39] - The company booked over $5 billion in business last year, with about half closing in Q4, and TASER 10 orders outpacing TASER 7 by 2x [29][30] - The officer safety plan bookings in Q4 were the highest ever, with strong adoption of premium plans and emerging products [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International bookings grew nearly 50% sequentially in Q4, building on a 40% sequential growth in Q3 [32][33] - Enterprise bookings tripled year-over-year, with the largest deal in company history booked with a global logistics provider [33] - The total future contracted bookings exceeded $10 billion, indicating a healthy pipeline for future growth [35][41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage advancements in AI, real-time operations, and drones to double its overall opportunity set [31][39] - Investments in R&D and technology are prioritized to support growth and innovation, with a focus on enhancing customer safety and operational efficiency [40][46] - The company is exploring options for its headquarters due to challenges in Arizona's political and legal environment, with potential relocation if issues are not resolved [22][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the federal market, viewing potential funding cuts as an opportunity for increased business [52][54] - The company anticipates another record bookings year in 2025, with a strong pipeline and execution focus [36][44] - Management highlighted the transformative impact of AI tools on operational efficiency and customer satisfaction [68][136] Other Important Information - The company achieved a net revenue retention rate of 123%, reinforcing business visibility and predictability [39][122] - The company is entering 2025 with a clean inventory position and strong free cash flow generation above 60% [43][44] - CapEx is expected to be in the range of $140 million to $180 million, driven by increased TASER 10 capacity and investments in R&D [48][49] Q&A Session Summary Question: What portion of total revenues are from federal contracts? - Management indicated that there is no real concern regarding funding cuts, and they see more opportunities in the federal space moving forward [52][54] Question: What is the impact of the Ukraine war on drone-related business? - Management noted that the global focus on drone detection and defense has increased, positioning the company favorably in this market [58][61] Question: What is the adoption rate of AI tools? - Management reported that AI products are experiencing rapid adoption, with significant interest and deals being closed shortly after launch [68][69] Question: What is the status of the Flock Safety partnership? - Management stated that while they exited the partnership, both sides are interested in resuming it under new terms [76][78] Question: How is the federal business expected to expand? - Management expressed confidence in the continued expansion of body camera programs within federal law enforcement [80][81] Question: What is the outlook for TASER 10 supply and demand? - Management confirmed that demand for TASER 10 continues to outpace supply, and they are investing to increase capacity [124][125]
Axon (AXON) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-26 00:35
Axon Enterprise (AXON) reported $575.15 million in revenue for the quarter ended December 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 33.1%. EPS of $2.08 for the same period compares to $1.12 a year ago.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $566.07 million, representing a surprise of +1.60%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +35.95%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.53.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnin ...
Axon Enterprise (AXON) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-25 23:25
Axon Enterprise (AXON) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.08 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.53 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.12 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 35.95%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this maker of stun guns and body cameras would post earnings of $1.22 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.45, delivering a surprise of 18.85%.Over the last ...
Axon(AXON) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-02-25 22:08
INVESTOR PRESENTATION VIEW REPORT FEBRUARY 2025 INVESTOR DECK Q4 2024 OVERVIEW OUR ECOSYSTEM MARKET OPPORTUNITY FINANCIALS APPENDIX 2 SAFE-HARBOR STATEMENT Forward-looking statements in this letter include, without limitation, statements regarding: proposed products and services and related development efforts and activities; expectations about the market for our current and future products and services, including statements related to our user base and customer profiles; the impact of pending litigation; s ...
Axon(AXON) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Results
2025-02-25 21:08
Revenue Growth - Axon reported a 33% increase in annual revenue to $2.1 billion, marking the third consecutive year of over 30% growth[1]. - Q4 2024 revenue reached a record $575 million, up 34% year over year, with TASER revenue growing 37% to $221 million[2]. - Axon Cloud & Services revenue grew 41% year over year to $230 million, accounting for 40% of total revenue[2]. - The company expects 2025 annual revenue between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, reflecting approximately 25% growth[3]. - Axon surpassed $1 billion in annual recurring revenue and achieved total future contracted bookings of $10.1 billion[6]. - Future contracted bookings rose to $10.1 billion, reflecting a 42% year-over-year increase, with expectations to recognize 20% to 25% of this balance over the next 12 months[36]. - Axon anticipates full year 2025 revenue between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, representing approximately 25% annual growth at the midpoint[37]. Profitability and Margins - Adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be between $640 million and $670 million, with an expected margin of approximately 25%[37]. - Axon Cloud & Services gross margin decreased to 73.7% from 74.7% year-over-year, while adjusted gross margin improved to 77.2% from 75.7%[32]. - Sensors & Other gross margin decreased to 32.8% from 46.9% year-over-year, impacted by product mix and inventory reserve charges[32]. - Gross margin for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was $1.241 billion, up from $955.453 million for the same period in 2023, indicating a year-over-year growth of 30%[55]. - Adjusted gross margin for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, was 63.2%, compared to 61.8% for the previous year[56]. - Gross margin for Q4 2024 was 60.1%, slightly down from 60.8% in Q3 2024 but consistent with 61.3% in Q4 2023[62]. - Adjusted gross margin for Q4 2024 was 63.2%, unchanged from Q3 2024 and an increase from 62.0% in Q4 2023[62]. Operating Performance - Operating cash flow increased 79% year over year to $250 million, supporting free cash flow of $225 million[24]. - Net income for Q4 2024 was $135.184 million, compared to $67.025 million in Q3 2024 and $57.061 million in Q4 2023, representing a significant increase of 101.5% year-over-year[55]. - Basic net income per share for Q4 2024 was $1.77, compared to $0.89 in Q3 2024 and $0.76 in Q4 2023, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 132.9%[55]. - Total operating expenses for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, were $1.183 billion, up from $798.603 million in 2023, marking a 48.3% increase[55]. - Non-GAAP net income for Q4 2024 was $168.284 million, an increase from $113.452 million in Q3 2024 and $85.864 million in Q4 2023[61]. Investments and Expenditures - Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be between $140 million and $180 million, focusing on R&D investments and capacity expansion[37]. - Research and development expenses for Q4 2024 were $134.585 million, an increase of 17.6% from $114.477 million in Q3 2024 and a 60.3% increase from $83.972 million in Q4 2023[55]. - The company reported a net cash used in investing activities of $490,573 thousand for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, compared to a net cash provided of $12,476 thousand in the previous year[67]. - Purchases of property and equipment for the three months ended December 31, 2024, were $24,801 thousand, slightly lower than $24,011 thousand in the same period of 2023[68]. Market Position and Strategy - The total addressable market (TAM) is estimated at $129 billion, with less than 2% penetration in annual revenue[12][14]. - Axon introduced AI-powered solutions, saving officers 2.2 million minutes through AI-driven incident reporting[4]. - The acquisition of Fusus enhances real-time crime center technology, supporting millions of livestreams across over 2,000 agencies[7]. - The company plans to realign its business segments to better reflect growth, transitioning to Connected Devices and Software & Services[26]. - Axon plans to continue focusing on product innovation and market expansion despite the identified risks and uncertainties[51]. Financial Position - Total current assets decreased to $2.3 billion as of December 31, 2024, from $2.4 billion a year earlier[66]. - Total liabilities increased to $2.1 billion as of December 31, 2024, compared to $1.8 billion in the previous year[66]. - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $454.8 million as of December 31, 2024, from $598.5 million a year earlier[66]. - The company’s total assets increased to $4.5 billion as of December 31, 2024, from $3.4 billion a year earlier[66]. - Deferred revenue increased to $155,641 thousand for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024, compared to $146,819 thousand for the same period in 2023, showing a growth of 6%[67].
Axon 2024 revenue grows 33% to $2.1 billion; third consecutive year of 30%+ annual growth
Prnewswire· 2025-02-25 21:01
Core Insights - Axon reported a strong performance in 2024, achieving a record quarterly revenue of $575 million in Q4, representing a 34% year-over-year growth, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of over 25% growth [2][18] - The company expects annual revenue for 2025 to be between $2.55 billion and $2.65 billion, reflecting approximately 25% annual growth [3][41] - Axon's total addressable market (TAM) is estimated to be $129 billion, indicating significant growth potential as the company continues to innovate and expand its product offerings [12][13] Financial Performance - Axon achieved a full-year net income margin of 18.1% and an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.0% [1][11] - Annual recurring revenue grew by 37% to $1.0 billion, driven by new customer adoption and upgrades to premium offerings [32] - The company reported a net income of $135 million for Q4 2024, with a net income margin of 23.5% [21] Product Innovations - Axon introduced a suite of AI-powered solutions aimed at enhancing public safety, which contributed to significant time savings for law enforcement [4] - The acquisition of Fusus strengthened Axon's Real-Time Operations platform, enabling real-time access to integrated data from various sources [5] - The Axon Drone as First Responder solution allows for rapid assessment and intervention, improving operational efficiency in emergency situations [6] Market Expansion - Axon's TAM penetration within U.S. state and local law enforcement is estimated to be below 15%, highlighting a robust growth opportunity [13] - The company identified new opportunities in international governments, expanding its market potential by $32 billion [23] - The enterprise market opportunity has grown by $23 billion, reflecting the increasing demand for integrated public and enterprise safety solutions [23] Operational Metrics - Future contracted bookings increased to $10.1 billion, up 42% year-over-year, indicating strong demand for Axon's products and services [32] - The company surpassed 1 million total software users and shipped over 200,000 TASER devices and 300,000 body cameras [11] - Operating cash flow increased by 79% year-over-year to $250 million, supporting a free cash flow of $225 million [22]