Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Best Buy's stock price fell by approximately 6% after the company lowered its annual forecast [1]

Core Viewpoint - Best Buy Co Inc reported disappointing first-quarter 2026 earnings, with sales and adjusted earnings falling short of analyst expectations [1][2]. Financial Performance - First-quarter sales decreased by approximately 1% year-over-year to $8.77 billion, missing the analyst consensus estimate of $9.22 billion [1]. - Adjusted earnings were reported at $1.15, below the consensus of $1.31 [2]. - The gross profit margin remained stable at 23%, while the operating margin declined from 3.5% to 2.5% [2]. Guidance and Outlook - The company updated its full-year guidance, expecting annual comparable sales growth to range from a decline of 1% to an increase of 1%, with an adjusted operating income rate similar to last year at approximately 4.2% [2][4]. - For Q2 FY26, comparable sales are expected to be slightly down compared to last year, with an adjusted operating income rate projected at approximately 3.6% [3]. - Fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings guidance was lowered from a range of $6.20-$6.60 per share to $6.15-$6.30 per share, compared to the consensus of $6.13 per share [3]. - Sales guidance was also reduced from $41.4 billion to $42.2 billion down to a new range of $41.1 billion to $41.9 billion, with the consensus around $41.44 billion [3]. Revenue Breakdown - Domestic revenue of $8.13 billion decreased by 0.9%, primarily due to a 0.7% decline in comparable sales [4]. - The decline in comparable sales was driven by decreases in home theater, appliances, and drones, partially offset by growth in computing, mobile phone, and tablet categories [4]. - Domestic online revenue increased by 2.1% on a comparable basis to $2.58 billion, representing 31.7% of total domestic revenue compared to 30.8% last year [4].

Company Impact - Best Buy lowered full-year forecasts for profits and sales for fiscal year 2026 due to expected tariff impacts [1][2] - Abercrombie & Fitch cut its profit outlook for 2025, citing a 30% tariff on imports from China and a 10% tariff on other imports, estimating a $50 million hit to profits [2] - Macy's reduced its full-year earnings per share outlook, attributing it to tariffs and moderation in consumer discretionary spending [3] - Target expects sales decline throughout 2025, previously projecting 1% growth, due to weaker spending amid tariff uncertainty [3] - Diageo warned of a likely $150 million hit to annual profits in 2025, planning to offset half of this impact through unspecified actions [4] - Walmart's CEO indicated that higher tariffs would lead to higher prices, as the company cannot absorb all the pressure from narrow retail margins [5] - Ford expects tariffs to reduce earnings before interest and taxes by about $1.5 billion in 2025, suspending its full-year guidance [8] - General Motors lowered its earnings forecast for 2025 to between $10 billion and $12.5 billion, down from $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, due to tariff impacts [11] Industry Trends - Companies across various sectors, including automotive, retail, and consumer goods, are withdrawing or lowering financial guidance due to tariff-related uncertainties [6][12] - The overall sentiment in the market reflects heightened caution, with many companies citing macroeconomic volatility and evolving trade policies as significant concerns [10][14] - The impact of tariffs is leading to increased operational costs and reduced consumer spending, affecting sales forecasts across multiple industries [9][15] - Airlines, including JetBlue and American Airlines, are pulling their full-year guidance due to macroeconomic uncertainty exacerbated by tariffs [12][16] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs is causing companies like Snap and Logitech to decline issuing future guidance, reflecting a broader trend of caution in financial forecasting [13][16]

Core Insights - Best Buy reported quarterly earnings of $1.15 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.09 per share, but down from $1.20 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 5.50% [1] - The company posted revenues of $8.77 billion for the quarter ended April 2025, slightly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.01%, but down from $8.85 billion year-over-year [2] - Best Buy shares have declined approximately 16.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 0.1% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.30 on revenues of $9.24 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $6.15 on revenues of $41.38 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Best Buy is currently unfavorable, leading to a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Consumer Electronics industry, to which Best Buy belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 7% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for the stock [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Best Buy's stock performance [5]

Core Viewpoint - Best Buy (BBY.US) reported a 0.9% year-over-year decline in revenue for Q1, totaling $8.77 billion, primarily due to a drop in same-store sales in both domestic and international markets [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue decreased to $8.77 billion, down 0.9% year-over-year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) were $1.15, exceeding the expected $1.09 but down from $1.20 in the same quarter last year [1] - Domestic gross margin increased by 10 basis points to 23.5%, attributed to improved performance in service categories, although offset by pressures in Best Buy Health and reduced profit-sharing income from private label and co-branded credit card arrangements [1] Sales Performance - Same-store sales in the U.S. fell by 0.7%, worse than the expected decline of 0.6%, driven by weak sales in drones, appliances, and home theater products, partially offset by growth in tablets, smartphones, and computers [1][2] - International revenue decreased by 0.6% to $640 million, impacted by negative foreign exchange effects of approximately 450 basis points and a 0.7% decline in same-store sales [2] Future Outlook - The company lowered its sales and profit forecasts, expecting fiscal year revenue between $41.1 billion and $41.9 billion, with a midpoint of $41.5 billion, slightly above market expectations [2] - Same-store sales growth is now projected to be a maximum of 1%, down from a previous estimate of 2%, due to ongoing tariff issues affecting imports from China [2] - EPS guidance was revised down from $6.20-$6.60 to $6.15-$6.30, with a midpoint of $6.225, compared to market expectations of $6.13 [2] Market Challenges - The company faces challenges due to a lack of attractive tech products to draw customers, although the upcoming launch of Nintendo's Switch 2 may positively impact same-store sales, with an expected growth of 1% over the next four quarters [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q1 revenue of $8.8 billion, slightly below last year, with an adjusted operating income rate of 3.8%, flat year over year [7][39] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased by 4% to $1.15, primarily due to lower investment income [39] - The gross profit rate improved by approximately 10 basis points to 23.4% compared to last year [41] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable sales growth was driven by computing, mobile phones, and tablets, while home theater, appliances, and drones saw declines, resulting in a domestic comparable sales decline of 0.7% [8][39] - The combined computing and tablet categories achieved 6% comparable sales growth [8] - Online sales grew year over year for the second consecutive quarter, accounting for nearly 32% of total domestic sales [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic revenue decreased by 0.9% to $8.1 billion, with international revenue of $640 million also down by 0.6% [40] - The revenue decrease included a negative foreign currency impact of approximately 450 basis points [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen its position as a leading omnichannel destination for technology while building new profit streams, including Best Buy Marketplace and Best Buy Ads [19][26] - Strategic priorities include improving omnichannel experiences, launching new profit streams, and driving operational effectiveness [19][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumers remain resilient despite persistent inflation, focusing on value and thoughtful spending on big-ticket items [9][68] - The company updated its annual outlook, lowering the full-year comparable sales range to down 1% to up 1% and expecting an adjusted operating income rate of approximately 4.2% [18][44] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing the impact of tariffs, with China now representing approximately 30% to 35% of product COGS, down from 55% [12][52] - The company continues to target roughly 60 days of forward supply for inventory management [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you help us understand the changes in China sourcing? - Management explained that China sourcing has decreased to 30-35% of COGS, with mitigation efforts from vendors and Best Buy helping to manage costs [52][53] Question: Did you see any pull forward in demand? - Management noted that while there may have been some pull forward in demand, it was difficult to quantify due to the Easter shift [60][61] Question: How is the advertising initiative performing? - Management indicated that incremental advertising revenue is expected to show up in gross margin, with plans to add more to revenue as the initiative develops [76][78] Question: What is the outlook for the marketplace launch? - Management confirmed that the marketplace is on track for a mid-year launch and is expected to be accretive overall despite potential cannibalization [93] Question: Are there other product launches to be excited about? - Management highlighted excitement around upcoming innovations in gaming, computing, and wearable technology, indicating strong consumer interest [95][96]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter revenue of $8.8 billion, slightly below last year, with an adjusted operating income rate of 3.8%, flat year over year [6][36] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased by 4% to $1.15, primarily due to lower investment income [36] - The gross profit rate improved by approximately 10 basis points to 23.4% compared to last year [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable sales growth was driven by computing, mobile phones, and tablets, while there were declines in home theater, appliances, and drones, resulting in a domestic comparable sales decline of 0.7% [6][35] - The combined computing and tablet categories saw a 6% growth in comparable sales [6] - Domestic revenue decreased by 0.9% to $8.1 billion, with international revenue down 0.6% to $640 million [37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that customer behavior remained resilient despite persistent inflation, with consumers being value-focused and thoughtful about big-ticket purchases [7][8] - Online sales grew year over year for the second consecutive quarter, accounting for nearly 32% of total domestic sales [6][7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen its position as a leading omnichannel destination for technology while building new profit streams, including Best Buy Marketplace and Best Buy Ads [16][22] - Strategic priorities include improving omnichannel experiences, launching incremental profit streams, and driving operational effectiveness [16][27] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current tariff environment and updated the annual outlook, lowering the full-year comparable sales range to down 1% to up 1% [15][41] - The company expects growth in computing and tablets driven by product replacement needs and ongoing innovation [31][92] Other Important Information - The company is actively mitigating tariff impacts through various strategies, including leveraging manufacturing flexibility and negotiating costs with vendors [12][52] - The company plans to maintain approximately 60 days of forward supply in inventory and feels good about inventory levels for the back-to-school season [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you help us understand the changes in China sourcing? - Management noted that the percentage of product COGS from China has decreased to approximately 30-35% from 55%, with half of the China-sourced products subject to 20% tariffs [50][51] Question: Did you see any pull forward in demand? - Management indicated that while there may have been some pull forward in demand, it was difficult to quantify due to the Easter shift impacting sales [56][58] Question: How do you view consumer behavior in light of tariffs? - Management stated that consumers remain resilient but are making trade-offs in their spending due to inflation and higher prices [64][66] Question: What is the expected impact of the marketplace on margins? - Management expects the marketplace to have a positive impact on operating income and gross profit rates, particularly in the back half of the year [83][89]

Financial Performance - Comparable sales decreased by 0.7% in Q1 FY26 compared to a decline of 6.1% in Q1 FY25[2] - Total revenue for Q1 FY26 was $8.767 billion, down from $8.847 billion in Q1 FY25, representing a decrease of 0.9%[2][4] - Adjusted diluted EPS for Q1 FY26 was $1.15, compared to $1.20 in Q1 FY25[2] - Net earnings for the three months ended May 3, 2025, were $202 million, down 17.9% from $246 million in the same period last year[27] - Domestic segment revenue was $8,127 million, a slight decrease of 0.9% compared to $8,203 million in the prior year[30] - Adjusted operating income remained stable at $333 million, with an adjusted operating income margin of 3.8%[34] Guidance and Expectations - The company expects FY26 adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of $6.15 to $6.30[1] - For Q2 FY26, the company anticipates comparable sales to be slightly down and adjusted operating income rate to be approximately 3.6%[4] - The updated FY26 guidance includes revenue expectations of $41.1 billion to $41.9 billion, with comparable sales growth projected between -1.0% to 1.0%[10] Revenue Sources - Domestic online revenue increased by 2.1% to $2.58 billion, accounting for 31.7% of total domestic revenue[5] - Comparable sales in the domestic segment decreased by 0.7%, while comparable online sales increased by 2.1%[30] Costs and Charges - The company incurred $109 million in restructuring charges in Q1 FY26, primarily related to the Best Buy Health business[12] - The restructuring charges for the quarter were $109 million, significantly higher than $15 million in the same period last year[35] Tax and Assets - The effective tax rate for Q1 FY26 was 8.6%, significantly lower than 24.7% in Q1 FY25, influenced by restructuring charges[13] - The effective tax rate for the quarter was 8.6%, compared to 24.7% in the same quarter last year[34] - Total assets decreased to $14,128 million from $14,752 million year-over-year, a decline of 4.2%[25] Cash Flow and Stock Repurchase - The company reported a total cash provided by operating activities of $34 million, significantly down from $156 million in the previous year[27] - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period were $1,435 million, down from $1,527 million year-over-year[27] - The company repurchased $100 million of common stock during the quarter, up from $50 million in the prior year[27] Profitability - The domestic gross profit rate improved to 23.5% from 23.4% in the previous year, driven by better performance in services[6]

Group 1 - Best Buy is set to announce its fiscal first-quarter earnings on May 29, 2025, with expected earnings of $1.09 per share and revenue of $8.82 billion, indicating a 4% year-over-year decrease in earnings and flat sales growth compared to the previous year [1] - For fiscal year 2026, Best Buy forecasts revenue between $41.4 billion and $42.2 billion, with comparable sales growth of 0% to 2% year-over-year, not accounting for potential tariff effects [2] - The company anticipates consumer behavior to remain cautious due to elevated inflation impacting household expenses, leading to a value-oriented approach to discretionary spending [2] Group 2 - Best Buy's stock has historically risen 58% of the time following earnings announcements, with a median one-day increase of 3.9% and a maximum recorded increase of 14% [1][4] - Over the past five years, there have been 19 earnings data points for Best Buy, with 11 positive and 8 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 58% of the time [4] - The correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can provide a lower-risk trading strategy, particularly if the correlation is strong [3]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast a decline in Best Buy's quarterly earnings and revenues, indicating potential challenges for the company in the upcoming earnings release [1][2]. Earnings Estimates - Best Buy is expected to report earnings of $1.09 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.2% [1]. - Revenue is anticipated to be $8.77 billion, showing a slight decline of 0.9% compared to the same quarter last year [1]. Revisions and Trends - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.2% over the past 30 days, indicating a reappraisal by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue by Product Category - Revenue from Domestic Computing and Mobile Phones is projected to be $3.53 billion, down 1.7% from the prior year [5]. - Revenue from Domestic Consumer Electronics is expected to reach $2.36 billion, reflecting a minimal decline of 0.1% [5]. - Domestic Appliances revenue is estimated at $1.07 billion, down 2.2% year-over-year [6]. - Revenue from Domestic Entertainment is forecasted to be $508.85 million, indicating a decline of 2.1% [6]. Geographic Revenue - Domestic revenue is estimated at $8.11 billion, down 1.1% from the previous year [7]. - International revenue is projected to be $639.25 million, reflecting a decrease of 0.7% [7]. Store Metrics - The total number of stores is expected to be 1,114, down from 1,117 in the same quarter last year [8]. - Domestic Yardbird Stand-Alone Stores are projected to be 21, compared to 23 a year ago [8]. - The number of Domestic U.S. Best Buy Outlet Centers is estimated at 25, up from 23 last year [8]. - Internationally, Canada Best Buy Mobile Stand-Alone Stores are expected to be 31, down from 32 [9]. - The number of Canada Best Buy Stores is projected to be 129, slightly up from 128 in the previous year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Best Buy shares have returned +7.2%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has returned +10.7% [9]. - Best Buy currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance in the near future [9].