Core Viewpoint - Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (CBSH) is positioned for top-line growth due to strong loan demand and high interest rates, although concerns about weak asset quality and elevated expenses persist [1] Group 1: Growth Drivers - Solid loan balances have recorded a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% from 2019 to 2024, contributing to revenue growth despite a decline in 2020, with a five-year CAGR of 4.2% [2] - Total revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.7% by 2027, with capital market fees projected to grow at 5.1% and loan fees and sales at 5% [3] Group 2: Interest Rates and Balance Sheet Strategy - The Federal Reserve's steady interest rates will support CBSH's net yield on interest-earning assets, which expanded to 3.47% in 2024 from 3.16% in 2023 and is expected to reach 3.75% by 2027 [4][5] - CBSH's balance sheet repositioning strategy, initiated in May 2024, involves selling debt securities and reinvesting proceeds at higher yields, which is anticipated to boost growth [4] Group 3: Capital and Liquidity Position - As of March 31, 2025, CBSH had total debt of $624.7 million and cash and due from banks totaling $3.3 billion, indicating strong earnings capacity to meet debt obligations [6] - CBSH has a history of consistent capital distribution, including a 5% stock dividend for over 25 years and a share repurchase program, enhancing shareholder value [7] Group 4: Near-Term Challenges - Asset quality has been deteriorating, with a significant rise in provisions for credit losses recorded in 2022 and 2023, and total net loan charge-offs (NCOs) showing a CAGR of 2.8% over four years ending in 2024 [8][9] - Non-interest expenses have increased at a CAGR of 4.4% over the last five years, primarily due to higher salaries and benefits, and are expected to continue rising amid technology investments and inflationary pressures [11]

Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.Individua ...

It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) . Shares have added about 9.4% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Commerce due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then ...

Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☑ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Commission File No. 001-365 ...

Investors interested in Banks - Midwest stocks are likely familiar with Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) and Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) . But which of these two companies is the best option for those looking for undervalued stocks? Let's take a closer look.Everyone has their own methods for finding great value opportunities, but our model includes pairing an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system with a strong Zacks Rank. The proven Zacks Rank puts an emphasis on earnings estimates an ...

Core Insights - Commerce Bancshares is experiencing growth in its wealth management business, with trust fees increasing by 11% year over year, driven by higher private client fees [1][3] - The company's non-interest income grew by 7% year over year, contributing to revenue diversification [2] - Non-interest income reached $159 million, accounting for 37.1% of total revenue, with trust fees specifically contributing $57 million [3] Wealth Management Growth - The wealth management business's trust fees increased by 10.7% compared to the same period last year, reflecting the company's strategic focus on this area [3] - Commerce Bancshares aims to expand its wealth management services by utilizing a new private banking loan and deposit system and entering new markets where wealth is concentrated [3] Financial Performance - The net interest income for Commerce Bancshares grew by 8% year over year, reaching a record high of $269 million in the first quarter [4] - The bank's credit profile remains strong, with robust capital and liquidity levels, positioning it well to serve customers amid economic uncertainties [5] Economic Outlook - The company acknowledges increasing uncertainty in the economic outlook due to tariffs, trade restrictions, and capital market adjustments, but believes it is well-positioned to navigate potential disruptions [6]

Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) reported $428.05 million in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 7.6%. EPS of $0.98 for the same period compares to $0.86 a year ago.The reported revenue represents a surprise of +2.91% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $415.93 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.93, the EPS surprise was +5.38%.While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to W ...

Financial Performance - Earnings per share for Q1 2025 was $0.98, an increase of 19.5% from $0.82 in Q1 2024[2] - Net income for Q1 2025 was $131.6 million, up from $112.7 million in Q1 2024, but down from $136.1 million in Q4 2024[2] - The return on average assets was 1.69%, while the return on average equity was 15.82%[7] - For Q1 2025, net income was $131.6 million, down from $136.1 million in Q4 2024 but up from $112.7 million in Q1 2024[24] - The effective tax rate for the company was 21.9% in the current quarter, consistent with the same quarter last year[43] Income and Revenue - Net interest income reached a record $269.1 million, reflecting a $2.5 million increase from the prior quarter and a 7.7% increase year-over-year[5] - Non-interest income totaled $158.9 million, a 6.8% increase compared to Q1 2024, with trust fees growing 10.7% to $57 million[5] - Total non-interest income for Q1 2025 was $158.9 million, an increase of $10.1 million or 6.8% year-over-year[34] - Trust fees increased by $5.5 million or 10.7% compared to the same period last year, driven by higher private client fees[36] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of March 31, 2025, were $32.4 billion, an increase of $368.3 million, or 1.2%, from the prior quarter[7] - Total assets increased to $32,364,964 thousand as of March 31, 2025, up from $31,996,627 thousand at December 31, 2024, representing a growth of 4.3%[16] - The total liabilities increased to $28,866,562 thousand from $28,664,152 thousand, reflecting a growth of 0.7%[16] Loans and Deposits - Average loan balances increased by 1.0% to $17.2 billion compared to the prior quarter[7] - Total loans reached $17,379,421 thousand, a slight increase from $17,220,103 thousand in the previous quarter, reflecting a growth of 0.9%[16] - Net loans amounted to $17,212,390 thousand, up from $17,057,361 thousand, indicating a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.9%[16] - Total deposits rose to $25,841,797 thousand, compared to $25,293,644 thousand at the end of the previous quarter, marking a growth of 2.2%[16] - Total average deposits decreased by $83.7 million, with significant declines in demand deposits and certificates of deposit[27] Expenses and Efficiency - Non-interest expense decreased by 3.0% to $238.4 million compared to Q1 2024[5] - Non-interest expense decreased to $238.4 million from $245.7 million year-over-year, mainly due to the absence of litigation settlement expenses[39] - The efficiency ratio improved to 55.6%, down from 61.67% in Q1 2024[9] Credit Quality - The allowance for credit losses on loans increased to $167.0 million, with a ratio of 0.96% to total loans[7] - The allowance for credit losses on loans was $167,031 thousand, slightly higher than $162,742 thousand in the previous quarter, indicating a proactive approach to risk management[16] - The provision for credit losses on loans was $15.1 million, up from $12.6 million in the previous quarter[22] - Non-accrual loans to total loans ratio increased to 0.13% from 0.11% in the previous quarter[22] - Net loan charge-offs for Q1 2025 were $10.8 million, with an annualized charge-off ratio of 0.25%[44] Capital and Dividends - Stockholders' equity increased to $3,498,402 thousand, up from $3,332,475 thousand, reflecting a growth of 5.0%[16] - The company maintained a stable capital surplus of $3,381,960 thousand, slightly down from $3,395,645 thousand in the previous quarter[16] - The company paid a cash dividend of $0.275 per common share, reflecting a 7.0% increase year-over-year[49] Securities and Investments - Investment securities totaled $9,601,068 thousand, an increase from $9,462,380 thousand, representing a growth of 1.5%[16] - Total average available for sale debt securities rose by $66.1 million to $9.2 billion, primarily due to higher U.S. government and federal agency obligations[26] - The unrealized loss on available for sale debt securities decreased by $157.7 million to $832.9 million at the end of the quarter[26] - Net securities losses amounted to $7.6 million, a significant decline from gains of $977 thousand in the prior quarter[38] Interest Rates - The net yield on interest earning assets increased to 3.56%, up from 3.49% in the prior quarter[29] - Interest expense decreased by $7.5 million to $1.89% from 2.04% in the prior quarter, primarily due to lower average rates on deposits[33]

Group 1 - Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) reported quarterly earnings of $0.98 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.93 per share, and up from $0.86 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 5.38% [1] - The company posted revenues of $428.05 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.91%, compared to year-ago revenues of $397.85 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Commerce has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates [2] Group 2 - The stock has lost approximately 5.7% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has declined by 8.3% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.96 on revenues of $423.04 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.90 on $1.69 billion in revenues [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Banks - Midwest is in the top 12% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8]

Core Viewpoint - Commerce Bancshares (CBSH) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.93 per share, an increase of 8.1% year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $415.93 million, reflecting a 4.6% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.8% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Financial Metrics - Analysts project the 'Efficiency Ratio' to be 58.3%, down from 61.7% in the same quarter last year [5]. - The 'Net Interest Margin' is expected to be 3.5%, compared to 3.3% in the same quarter last year [5]. - 'Average total interest earning assets' are estimated at $30.24 billion, slightly lower than the $30.37 billion reported in the same quarter last year [6]. - The 'Tier I Leverage Ratio' is forecasted at 12.4%, up from 11.8% a year ago [6]. - The 'Tier I risk-based capital ratio' is expected to reach 16.6%, compared to 15.4% in the previous year [6]. - The 'Total risk-based capital ratio' is estimated at 17.4%, up from 16.1% in the same quarter last year [7]. Non-Interest Income and Fees - 'Total Non-Interest Income' is projected to be $154.31 million, an increase from $148.85 million a year ago [8]. - 'Fully-taxable equivalent net interest income' is expected to be $262.38 million, compared to $251.31 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Trust fees' are anticipated to reach $56.05 million, up from $51.11 million in the previous year [9]. - 'Bank card transaction fees' are projected at $46.74 million, slightly down from $46.93 million a year ago [9]. - 'Deposit account charges and other fees' are expected to be $24.87 million, compared to $24.15 million in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Shares of Commerce have returned -4.5% over the past month, compared to a -6.1% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [11].