Core Insights - Chegg, Inc. reported break-even earnings in Q3 2025, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimate but showing a year-over-year decline [1][3][8] - Net revenues of $77.7 million surpassed the consensus mark but fell 43% year over year [3][8] - Following the earnings report, Chegg's shares rose by 3.4% in after-hours trading [1] Revenue Performance - The decline in performance was attributed to a decrease in the number of subscribers, lower enrollments in Chegg Skills, and reduced advertising revenues [2] - Subscription Services revenues decreased by 42% to $69.1 million, while Skills and Other product line revenues fell by 49% to $8.6 million [4] Operating Highlights - Gross profit decreased by 50.6% year over year to $46 million, with gross margin contracting by 900 basis points to 59% [5][8] - Total operating expenses dropped by 80% to $63.2 million from $315.5 million [5] - Adjusted EBITDA was $13.3 million, down from $22.3 million in the prior year [5][8] Liquidity and Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2025, Chegg had cash and cash equivalents of $38.2 million, down from $161.5 million in 2024 [6] - For the first nine months of 2025, net cash provided by operating activities was $24.5 million, a decrease from $107.1 million in the previous year [6] - Free cash flow at the end of Q3 was $2.8 million, down from $45.4 million a year ago [6] Q4 2025 Outlook - Chegg expects Q4 net revenues to be in the range of $70-$72 million, compared to $143.5 million in the same quarter last year [7][8] - Chegg Skilling revenues are projected to be $18 million [7] Margin and EBITDA Projections - The gross margin for Q4 is expected to be between 57% and 58%, down from 68% reported a year ago [9] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $10 million and $11 million, significantly lower than the $36.6 million reported a year ago [9]

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Core Insights - Chegg (CHGG) reported break-even quarterly earnings per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.14, and showing an improvement from earnings of $0.09 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +100.00% [1] - The company posted revenues of $77.74 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.77%, but down from year-ago revenues of $136.59 million [2] - Chegg shares have declined approximately 44.7% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 14.4% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Chegg's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4][6] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.01 on revenues of $88 million, and -$0.11 on revenues of $390.9 million for the current fiscal year [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Chegg belongs, is currently ranked in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, total revenue was $78 million, a decrease of 42% year-over-year, primarily due to reduced traffic leading to fewer subscribers and less subscription revenue [10] - Non-GAAP operating expenses were $49 million, a reduction of approximately $41 million, or 46% year-over-year, driven by restructuring efforts [11] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $13 million, representing a margin of 17% [11] - Free cash flow for Q3 was negative $900,000, impacted by a one-time $7.5 million settlement payment to the FTC and $5.5 million in severance payments [12] - The company concluded the quarter with cash and investments of $112 million and a net cash balance of $49 million [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has split into two units: Chegg Skilling, expected to have sustainable double-digit growth, and legacy academic services, focusing on cash generation [5][6] - Chegg Skilling is expected to end 2025 with strong momentum, anticipating a 14% year-over-year growth and full-year revenue of $70 million [8] - The legacy academic business is expected to generate cash for several years despite challenges from reduced Google traffic [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The skilling market is currently valued at over $40 billion, with a focus on workforce, AI, and language learning [7] - Chegg Skilling is positioned to capture growth in the B2B market, transitioning from a B2C model [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to rebuild and reinvent itself, focusing on the skilling market and leveraging its assets for long-term value creation [5][9] - A strategic shift towards the skilling market is seen as essential for future growth, with all growth resources allocated to this segment [16] - The company is investing in AI to enhance its offerings and improve operational efficiency [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the disruptive impact of AI on traditional business models and is adapting to these changes [5][6] - The company is optimistic about its ability to grow in the skilling market, with expectations of double-digit growth in the coming quarters [10][12] - Management believes they have hit the bottom and are now positioned for future growth and profitability [13] Other Important Information - The company has undergone significant restructuring, which included a reduction of nearly 400 employees to streamline operations [17] - The transition to a B2B model is expected to provide a more stable and secure business environment [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Strategic product priorities for skilling and resource allocation - All growth resources will be directed towards the skilling business, focusing on B2B opportunities and sustainable growth [16] Question: Support for the legacy academic business - The legacy business will continue to operate efficiently, leveraging its existing database and technology to generate cash [22] Question: Initiatives for the Busuu business and growth confidence - The company is focusing on repackaging learning mechanisms for B2B and leveraging AI for conversational learning [27][29] Question: Investments and channels for the skilling business - The company is exploring new distribution channels and building a B2B Salesforce to expand its market reach [34][36] Question: Impact of reduced traffic on skilling business - The skilling business is not expected to face headwinds from reduced traffic, as it is positioned for growth [38]

Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $78 million, a 43% decrease year-over-year[35] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $13 million, compared to $22 million in Q3 2024[37] - Free cash flow for Q3 2025 was -$1 million, impacted by $55 million in severance payments and a $75 million settlement payment[39] - Capital Expenditures (CapEx) in Q3 2025 were $6 million, down 63% year-over-year[39] - The company ended the quarter with $112 million in cash and investments, resulting in a net cash balance of $49 million[42] Business Strategy and Outlook - The company is splitting into two units: Chegg Skilling (growth business) and legacy academic services (cash flow generation)[8] - Chegg Skilling is expected to have sustainable double-digit growth[8] - Chegg Skilling revenue is expected to increase approximately 14% year-over-year in Q4 2025, driving total revenue of approximately $70 million for the year[10] - Q4 2025 total net revenue is guided to be between $70 million and $72 million[44] - Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA is guided to be between $10 million and $11 million[44] - Full-year 2025 CapEx is anticipated to be approximately $27 million, with a targeted further reduction of approximately 60% in 2026[39]

Financial Performance - Net revenues for Q3 2025 were $77,742,000, a decrease of 43% compared to $136,593,000 in Q3 2024[16] - Gross profit for Q3 2025 was $46,041,000, down from $93,173,000 in Q3 2024, reflecting a gross margin decline[16] - The net loss for Q3 2025 was $17,471,000, compared to a net loss of $212,639,000 in Q3 2024, indicating improved financial performance[16] - The total comprehensive loss for Q3 2025 was $17,384,000, compared to $202,773,000 in Q3 2024, showing a reduction in overall losses[17] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2025, the net loss was $70,618 thousand, a significant decrease from the net loss of $830,943 thousand for the same period in 2024, representing an 91.5% improvement[22] - Basic and diluted net loss per share for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $(0.16), compared to $(2.05) in 2024[43] - The company reported a basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.16 for Q3 2025, compared to $2.05 for Q3 2024[16] Cash and Assets - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $38,180,000 as of September 30, 2025, from $161,475,000 at December 31, 2024[14] - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $378,271,000, down from $868,951,000 at December 31, 2024[14] - The total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period was $40,794 thousand in 2025, a decrease from $154,982 thousand in 2024, representing a decline of 73.7%[23] - Long-lived assets as of September 30, 2025, totaled $143.7 million, down from $192.9 million as of December 31, 2024[88] Liabilities and Equity - Total liabilities decreased to $232,218,000 as of September 30, 2025, compared to $675,970,000 at December 31, 2024[14] - The accumulated deficit increased to $960,059,000 as of September 30, 2025, from $889,441,000 at December 31, 2024[14] - The balances of total stockholders' equity at September 30, 2025, were $146,053 thousand, down from $184,981 thousand at the same date in 2024, a decrease of 21%[20] Revenue Streams - Subscription Services revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $266.393 million, down 37% from $420.668 million in 2024[41] - Subscription Services generated $69.1 million in revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $119.8 million in 2024, a decrease of about 42%[88] Operating Expenses - Total operating expenses in Q3 2025 were $63,165,000, significantly lower than $315,463,000 in Q3 2024, primarily due to reduced research and development costs[16] - Share-based compensation expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $25,094 thousand, down from $69,267 thousand in 2024, indicating a reduction of 63.7%[22] - Total share-based compensation expense for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $5.9 million, a decrease from $21.9 million in the same period of 2024[77] Debt and Financing - The company repaid $416,492 thousand in convertible senior notes during the nine months ended September 30, 2025[22] - The estimated fair value of the 2026 notes was $52.6 million as of September 30, 2025, down from $105.8 million as of December 31, 2024[49] - The total interest expense recognized for the 2026 notes for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $41, while for the 2025 notes it was $495[58] Restructuring and Future Plans - Cumulative restructuring charges recorded as of September 30, 2025, amounted to $27.5 million from the May 2025 restructuring plan, with an estimated additional $2 million to $3 million expected in the next fiscal quarter[79] - The company expects to incur restructuring charges of approximately $15 million to $19 million related to the October 2025 restructuring plan, primarily for employee transition and severance payments[90] Legal and Regulatory Matters - A settlement of $55.0 million was reached regarding a securities fraud class action, with the company denying any allegations of fault[68] - The company incurred a monetary component of $7.5 million in a settlement agreement with the FTC related to consumer privacy practices[71] - As of September 30, 2025, the net impact of contingent liabilities less related insurance loss recovery was $7.0 million[72] Market Focus - The company continues to focus on the growing skilling market, offering innovative tools for workplace readiness and professional upskilling[26] Accounting Standards - The company has not early adopted recent accounting standards updates and is evaluating their potential impact[34][35][36]

Core Insights - Chegg is set to announce its earnings results, with analysts expecting a significant revenue decline of 44.2% year on year to $76.28 million, following a previous quarter where it reported revenues of $105.1 million, down 35.6% year on year [1][2] Revenue Performance - Last quarter, Chegg exceeded analysts' revenue expectations by 3.8%, reporting revenues of $105.1 million, despite a year-on-year decline of 35.6% [1] - Analysts have generally reconfirmed their estimates for Chegg over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook heading into earnings, with the company having only missed Wall Street's revenue estimates once in the past two years [3] User Metrics - Chegg reported 2.62 million users, reflecting a significant decline of 39.9% year on year, alongside a notable miss in the number of services subscribers [1] Peer Comparison - In the consumer subscription segment, peers like Roku and Duolingo have shown contrasting performance, with Roku achieving a year-on-year revenue growth of 14% and Duolingo reporting a 41.1% increase, indicating a mixed environment for subscription services [4] Market Context - The consumer subscription stocks have generally underperformed, with an average decline of 3.6% over the last month, while Chegg's stock has dropped 28.7% during the same period [5]

Core Insights - Chegg, Inc. (CHGG) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 10, with previous quarter's adjusted EPS and net revenues exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates by 143.5% and 3.7%, respectively, although both metrics saw significant year-over-year declines of 58.3% and 36% [1][4]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the third-quarter adjusted loss per share remains unchanged at 14 cents, reflecting a substantial 255.6% year-over-year decline from an adjusted EPS of nine cents [4][11]. - The estimated net revenues for the upcoming quarter are projected at $76.4 million, indicating a 44.1% decrease from $136.6 million reported in the same quarter last year [4][11]. Revenue Drivers - Chegg's revenue performance is expected to decline due to a drop in subscriber numbers, attributed to reduced traffic from AI-driven search tools, particularly Google's AI overviews [6][7]. - The Subscription Services product line, which accounted for 85.4% of second-quarter 2025 net revenues, is anticipated to generate revenues between $67 million and $69 million, down from $119.8 million year-over-year [8][9]. - The Skills and Other product line is also expected to see a decline, with revenues estimated at $8.23 million, down from $16.8 million in the previous year [9]. Margin and Cost Structure - Gross margins are expected to narrow to 56-57%, down from 68% in the previous year, due to lower revenue leverage and increased restructuring-related costs [10][11]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to range from $7 million to $8 million, significantly lower than the $22.3 million reported in the same quarter last year [11]. Market Position and Valuation - Chegg's stock has increased by 30.3% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Internet - Software industry and the S&P 500 Index, while underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector [14]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.28, indicating a discount compared to peers like Coursera, Duolingo, and Stride, which have higher P/S ratios [15][16]. Strategic Outlook - Despite facing challenges from declining subscriber counts and revenue pressures, Chegg's focus on AI integration and upskilling initiatives may support future growth [17][18]. - The ongoing restructuring and rising administrative costs signal continued pressures on the bottom line, making immediate investment decisions less favorable [18][19].

Core Insights - The education technology (EdTech) sector is experiencing a transformation, with companies like Chegg and Duolingo showcasing different trajectories within this shift [1][2] - Chegg is facing challenges with declining subscriptions and revenues, while Duolingo is demonstrating strong growth and profitability [7][8] Chegg Overview - Chegg's core business is under pressure, with subscriptions dropping 40% year over year to 2.6 million in Q2 2025, leading to a 36% decline in total revenues to $105 million [3][6] - The company is focusing on two emerging businesses: Busuu, which saw a 15% year-over-year revenue increase, and Skills, targeting a $40 billion market [4][6] - Chegg is undergoing a major restructuring, including a 45% workforce reduction, to improve cash flow and focus on skilling initiatives, with expected revenues of $70 million in 2025 [6][12] - Despite the challenges, Chegg's adjusted EBITDA was $23 million at a 22% margin, indicating strong cost control [3][6] Duolingo Overview - Duolingo reported a 41% revenue increase to $252.3 million in Q2 2025, with daily active users rising 40% to 47.7 million [7][8] - The company is successfully upselling users into higher subscription tiers, benefiting from AI enhancements [9][10] - Duolingo's financial guidance remains strong, with bookings growth expected to exceed 32% for the full year 2025 [11][19] - The company is expanding its total addressable market with new subjects, such as a Chess course, which has surpassed one million daily active users [10][19] Stock Performance and Valuation - Chegg's stock has risen 44.2% in the past six months due to restructuring efforts, while Duolingo shares are down 31.8% amid market pressures [12][15] - Chegg's market capitalization is approximately $113.7 million, trading at 0.32X forward sales, reflecting investor caution [15][22] - In contrast, Duolingo has a market cap of around $12.5 billion, trading at 10.09X forward sales, indicating confidence in its growth trajectory [15][22] Analyst Expectations - Analysts maintain cautious expectations for Chegg, forecasting a 36.7% revenue decline in 2025 and a projected loss per share of 11 cents [17][19] - Duolingo's estimates show a projected EPS of $3.16 for 2025, with revenue expected to climb 36.2% [19][21] - The contrasting analyst sentiment highlights the divergent paths of the two companies, with Duolingo seen as a high-visibility growth compounder [19][22] Investment Outlook - Chegg is viewed as a turnaround story with potential upside, but revenue stability remains uncertain [22][24] - Duolingo is recognized for its robust operating performance and expanding profitability, making it a more favorable long-term investment [23][24]