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Can Chegg Turn Its Skilling Pivot Into a True 2026 Comeback?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 16:20
Core Insights - Chegg, Inc. has redefined its business model with the introduction of Chegg Skilling, integrating Busuu and Chegg Skills to tap into the growing global skilling market, estimated at over $40 billion [1] Business Model and Growth Strategy - Chegg Skilling focuses on AI skills and upskilling for frontline workers, with both Busuu and Chegg Skills showing double-digit growth. The segment is projected to achieve $70 million in annual revenues by 2025, with a year-over-year growth rate of 14% [2] - The company is enhancing its B2B focus through successful partnerships, such as with Guild, to secure contracts from employers seeking scalable training solutions, with plans for expansion into Latin America [2] Financial Restructuring - Chegg is implementing a significant cost restructure, aiming to reduce non-GAAP expenses from $536 million in 2024 to under $250 million by 2026, alongside a 60% cut in capital expenditures next year [3] - Improved operational discipline has led to better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA results in Q3 2025, indicating that the new leaner model is starting to yield positive outcomes [3] Market Position and Competition - Chegg operates in a competitive ed-tech landscape alongside Duolingo and Udemy, each employing different strategies to capture market share [5][7] - Duolingo excels in language learning with a gamified app, while Udemy leverages a vast marketplace model with independent instructors to meet evolving professional learning needs [6] Stock Performance and Valuation - Chegg's stock has declined by 22.6% over the past month, underperforming compared to the Zacks Internet - Software industry and the S&P 500 Index [8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.35, indicating a discounted valuation compared to industry peers, which may present an attractive entry point for investors [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Chegg's 2025 loss has widened to 14 cents, while estimates for 2026 earnings have increased to 18 cents, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 118.7% for 2025 and a projected growth of 228.6% for 2026 [13][14]
Chegg Stock Plunges 45% in 3 Months: Should Investors Buy the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 14:16
Core Insights - Chegg, Inc. (CHGG) has experienced a significant decline of 45.4% in its stock price over the past three months, contrasting with a 10.1% decline in the Zacks Internet-Software industry and an 8.9% gain in the broader Computer and Technology sector [2][3] Company Performance - Chegg is facing multiple pressures, including declining traffic in its legacy academic services, substantial year-over-year revenue contraction, and an operational reset due to recent restructuring [3] - The company is transitioning towards a skilling-focused model, which is influenced by shifts in student behavior and competition from AI-driven alternatives [3] Restructuring and Cost Management - Chegg has implemented a major restructuring to enhance long-term profitability, dividing operations into a legacy academic business and a growth-oriented skilling business [9][10] - The restructuring has led to a 46% year-over-year reduction in non-GAAP operating expenses in Q3 2025, with expectations for total non-GAAP expenses to drop from $536 million in 2024 to under $250 million by 2026 [11] Skilling Business Growth - The consolidation of Busuu and Chegg Skills into a single "Chegg Skilling" unit is projected to achieve 14% year-over-year revenue growth for Q4 2025, with sustained double-digit growth anticipated beyond 2025 [12] - Demand for workforce training in areas such as AI and language learning is increasing, aligning with broader corporate training trends [12][13] Legacy Academic Operations - Despite challenges, the legacy academic services segment remains valuable, with over 130 million questions in its database, allowing for efficient operation with fewer resources [14] - This segment is expected to continue generating solid cash flow, providing funding for future investments in the skilling business [15] Financial Outlook - Chegg anticipates significant improvement in free cash flow in 2026, supported by lower operating expenses and capital expenditures [16] - Capital expenditures fell by 63% year-over-year in Q3 2025, with an additional 60% reduction expected in 2026, enhancing cash preservation while maintaining product quality [17] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Chegg's stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.34X, significantly lower than industry peers like Coursera and Udemy [18][20] - Earnings estimates for 2026 have increased to 18 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 228.6% [21] Investment Opportunity - Chegg's strategic restructuring, growth in the skilling business, and disciplined cost management create a solid foundation for potential recovery, making it an attractive investment opportunity despite near-term uncertainties [23]
教育公司的 AI 分水岭:增长、效率与重塑价值的三种答案
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-27 02:11
Core Insights - The education industry is shifting focus from "digital transformation" to "AI native" solutions, as evidenced by the distinct trajectories of three representative companies: Youdao, Duolingo, and Chegg, highlighting the profound impact of AI on educational business models [1] Youdao - Youdao's transformation is marked by a significant shift in revenue structure, with online marketing services surpassing learning services for the first time in Q3 2025, generating 7.4 billion RMB, a 51.1% increase year-on-year [3][4] - The company's total net revenue for Q1 2025 was 1.3 billion RMB, showing a slight decline, but operating profit reached 104 million RMB, a 248% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high for Q1 [2] - Youdao's AI-driven strategy has restructured its business model, with AI becoming a core component of its advertising and technology services, leading to a more profitable revenue stream [9] Duolingo - Duolingo has maintained a revenue growth rate of around 40% for six consecutive quarters, with Q3 2025 revenue reaching 271.7 million USD, a 41.08% year-on-year increase [10][11] - The integration of generative AI into course production and teaching processes has allowed Duolingo to rapidly launch 148 new language courses, significantly reducing reliance on human content creators [12] - The AI-driven teaching model has shifted the role of traditional teachers to a more supportive position, with the AI model taking on primary responsibilities in content generation and personalized feedback [12] Chegg - Chegg has experienced a steep decline in revenue, with Q3 2025 revenue dropping to 77.74 million USD, a 43.08% year-on-year decrease, marking the largest annual decline since its IPO [13][15] - The company is attempting to pivot towards "CheggMate," an AI learning partner, to shift from providing answers to offering explanations and personalized teaching, but faces challenges in attracting users accustomed to free solutions like ChatGPT [15][16] - Chegg's situation illustrates the urgent need for educational companies to redefine their value propositions in the face of AI's ability to directly replace traditional learning services [16] Industry Trends - The three companies represent different paths towards AI native solutions in the education sector, emphasizing a shift in core competitive advantages from product forms to AI capabilities that can redefine value chains [17][18] - AI is not merely an enhancement but a core force driving the direction of business models in the education industry, with the Chinese AI+ education market expected to exceed 70 billion RMB by 2025 [18]
Chegg: Changing Segments Doesn’t Stem These Declines (CHGG)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-18 19:24
Group 1 - The article highlights that AI is the dominant narrative in the stock market this year, with Chegg, Inc. (CHGG) being significantly impacted by developments related to ChatGPT [1] - Chegg was previously known for its educational services, but its market position has been challenged due to the rise of AI technologies [1] - The author, Gary Alexander, has extensive experience in technology sectors and has contributed insights on the evolving themes in the industry since 2017 [1]
Top Economist Warns White-Collar Workers Are Facing Their 'Detroit Auto Worker' Moment As AI Begins Replacing Cognitive Jobs - Chegg (NYSE:CHGG), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN)
Benzinga· 2025-11-17 11:09
Core Insights - Economist Justin Wolfers warns that white-collar professionals are facing a significant threat from artificial intelligence (AI), likening their situation to that of Detroit auto workers in the 1970s [1][4] - Unlike previous technological revolutions that primarily affected blue-collar jobs, AI is now targeting cognitive work, impacting white-collar roles [2][3] Job Market Impact - Major corporations, including Amazon and UPS, have announced substantial layoffs, with Amazon planning to cut nearly 30,000 jobs and UPS increasing its job cuts to 48,000 [5][8] - Other companies also reported significant workforce reductions, including Chegg Inc. (45% of workforce), Target Corp. (1,800 roles), and Paramount Skydance Corp. (2,000 jobs) [8] AI and Market Performance - Despite employment concerns, AI-linked instruments have shown positive market performance, with futures for major indices like S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones trading higher [6] - A list of AI-linked ETFs indicates strong year-to-date and one-year performance, with some ETFs like Defiance Quantum ETF showing a 29.73% YTD return and 66.04% over one year [9]
Chegg to Stay Public, Slashes Workforce in Skilling-Focused Overhaul
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-13 18:38
Group 1 - Chegg, Inc. has decided to remain a standalone public company after a year-long strategic review, concluding that independence maximizes long-term shareholder value [1] - The company announced a restructuring plan aimed at strengthening cash flow and focusing on the $40+ billion skilling market, which includes reducing its workforce by 388 roles (about 45%) [2] - Chegg expects its "Skills" businesses to generate approximately $70 million in revenue for 2025, with double-digit growth anticipated in 2026 [2] Group 2 - Executive Chairman Dan Rosensweig has returned to the roles of president and CEO, while Nathan Schultz has taken on the role of executive advisor to the CEO and board [1] - The restructuring plan targets a reduction of $100–$110 million in non-GAAP expenses for 2026 and anticipates incurring $15–$19 million in severance charges [2] - Chegg reiterated its Q3 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, indicating a focus on delivering services with a lower cost structure [2]
Chegg Reports Breakeven Q3 Earnings, Revenues Down Y/Y, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 17:00
Core Insights - Chegg, Inc. reported break-even earnings in Q3 2025, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimate but showing a year-over-year decline [1][3][8] - Net revenues of $77.7 million surpassed the consensus mark but fell 43% year over year [3][8] - Following the earnings report, Chegg's shares rose by 3.4% in after-hours trading [1] Revenue Performance - The decline in performance was attributed to a decrease in the number of subscribers, lower enrollments in Chegg Skills, and reduced advertising revenues [2] - Subscription Services revenues decreased by 42% to $69.1 million, while Skills and Other product line revenues fell by 49% to $8.6 million [4] Operating Highlights - Gross profit decreased by 50.6% year over year to $46 million, with gross margin contracting by 900 basis points to 59% [5][8] - Total operating expenses dropped by 80% to $63.2 million from $315.5 million [5] - Adjusted EBITDA was $13.3 million, down from $22.3 million in the prior year [5][8] Liquidity and Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2025, Chegg had cash and cash equivalents of $38.2 million, down from $161.5 million in 2024 [6] - For the first nine months of 2025, net cash provided by operating activities was $24.5 million, a decrease from $107.1 million in the previous year [6] - Free cash flow at the end of Q3 was $2.8 million, down from $45.4 million a year ago [6] Q4 2025 Outlook - Chegg expects Q4 net revenues to be in the range of $70-$72 million, compared to $143.5 million in the same quarter last year [7][8] - Chegg Skilling revenues are projected to be $18 million [7] Margin and EBITDA Projections - The gross margin for Q4 is expected to be between 57% and 58%, down from 68% reported a year ago [9] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $10 million and $11 million, significantly lower than the $36.6 million reported a year ago [9]
Chegg, Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:CHGG) 2025-11-11
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-11 13:01
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]
Chegg (CHGG) Reports Break-Even Earnings for Q3
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 23:16
Core Insights - Chegg (CHGG) reported break-even quarterly earnings per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.14, and showing an improvement from earnings of $0.09 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +100.00% [1] - The company posted revenues of $77.74 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.77%, but down from year-ago revenues of $136.59 million [2] - Chegg shares have declined approximately 44.7% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 14.4% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Chegg's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4][6] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.01 on revenues of $88 million, and -$0.11 on revenues of $390.9 million for the current fiscal year [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, to which Chegg belongs, is currently ranked in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [5]