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Economic Currents: Record Black Friday, AI’s Job Market Impact, Crypto UBI, and Global Tech Investments
Stock Market News· 2025-11-30 01:38
Group 1: E-commerce Trends - U.S. online Black Friday sales reached a record $11.8 billion, marking a 9.1% increase year-over-year, significantly driven by AI-powered shopping tools which saw an 805% increase in traffic to retail sites [2][3][7] - Mobile shopping accounted for over half of all sales, with popular categories including video game consoles, electronics, and home appliances [3][7] - Cyber Monday is projected to continue the trend with anticipated sales of $14.2 billion, making it the largest online shopping day of the year [3] Group 2: Labor Market Dynamics - Entry-level job postings in the U.S. have declined by 16% year-over-year, raising concerns for young workers, particularly recent graduates and those aged 16 to 24, whose unemployment rate reached 10.5% in August [4][5][7] - Platforms like Handshake reported a 15% reduction in job listings compared to the last academic year, while applications per job increased by approximately 30%, indicating a mismatch in the labor market [5] Group 3: Technological Investments - Japan announced an additional budget allocation of approximately ¥252.5 billion (US$1.6 billion) to enhance its AI and semiconductor industries, part of a broader strategy that has committed around ¥5.7 trillion (US$36.5 billion) since 2021 [6][7][8] - The funding will support key projects, including the domestic chip venture Rapidus, which aims to mass-produce 2-nanometer chips by 2027 [7][8] Group 4: Cryptocurrency and Social Aid - A pilot Universal Basic Income program funded by Coinbase is distributing $12,000 in USDC stablecoin to 160 low-income residents in New York, exploring the effectiveness of cryptocurrency in social welfare [9][10] - The total funding for this project is approximately $2.6 million, with participants receiving payments in two stages [10] Group 5: Economic Policy and Market Performance - Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent credited President Trump's economic policies for a recovering bond market, with the U.S. Treasury market achieving a 6% total return year-to-date, its strongest performance since 2020 [11][12] - Plans for regulatory adjustments to enhance market liquidity include a revamped Treasury buyback program, with projections of a tenfold growth in the stablecoin market by the end of the decade [12]
X @Documenting ₿itcoin 📄
A new universal basic income experiment using cryptocurrency is underway in New York, where 160 young adults are being given $12,000 each no-strings-attached, paid straight into their blockchain wallet as part of a guaranteed-income study by Coinbase. https://t.co/6LbAxfJ9T5 ...
X @Coinbase 🛡️
Coinbase 🛡️· 2025-11-29 10:45
Wonder what's inside. https://t.co/kaqpY0ZtCW ...
Coinbase: The Crypto Selloff Has Created An Opportunity (NASDAQ:COIN)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-29 05:33
During the middle of the year, I reiterated my buy rating for Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN ). Despite continuing to rally for some time after my update, fortunes for the stock have reversed. Recently, theI'm a full-time investor with a strong focus on the tech sector. I graduated with a Bachelor of Commerce Degree with Distinction, major in Finance. I'm also a proud lifetime member of the Beta Gamma Sigma International Business Honor Society. My core values are: Excellence, Integrity, Transparency, & ...
Coinbase: The Crypto Selloff Has Created An Opportunity
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-29 05:33
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent performance of Coinbase Global, Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN), noting a reversal in stock fortunes after a previous rally [1] - The author maintains a buy rating for Coinbase despite the stock's recent downturn, indicating a belief in its long-term potential [1] Group 2 - The author emphasizes the importance of core values such as excellence, integrity, transparency, and respect in achieving long-term success in investments [1]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-11-29 02:00
A Coinbase and GiveDirectly pilot is giving $12,000 in USDC (a stablecoin) to low-income New Yorkers. The program takes inspiration from universal basic income experiments. https://t.co/tXqPX47D3J ...
U.S. Markets Conclude Shortened Black Friday Session with Gains, Rate Cut Hopes Fueling Optimism
Stock Market News· 2025-11-28 21:07
Market Overview - U.S. stock markets closed higher on November 28, 2025, with all three major indexes extending a multi-day rally, driven by hopes for future interest rate cuts and positive economic data [1][12] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose 0.6% to 47,427.12, the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) increased by 0.7% to 23,214.69, and the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 0.5% to 6,812.61, marking the fifth consecutive session of increases for all three benchmarks [2] Weekly Performance - For the week, the Nasdaq surged 4.9%, the S&P 500 was up approximately 3.7%, and the Dow gained about 3.2% [3] - November was mixed; while the S&P 500 and Dow extended their winning streaks to seven months, the Nasdaq ended down 1.5%, attributed to reassessment of profitability timelines for major AI companies [3] Economic Data - Initial jobless claims decreased by 6,000 to 216,000, below the consensus estimate of 229,000, indicating a strong labor market [5] - Orders for durable goods rose by 0.5% in September, missing estimates, while non-defense capital goods orders increased by 0.9%, a key indicator for business spending [5] Upcoming Events - Market participants are monitoring the potential for another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month, which is a significant driver of market optimism [4] - Kevin Hassett is a key contender for the next Fed Chairman, with an announcement expected from President Trump before Christmas, which could influence monetary policy expectations [4] Individual Stock Performance - Intel (INTC) surged 10.2%, leading the S&P 500, following speculation it could become a foundry supplier for Apple (AAPL) processors [7] - Eli Lilly (LLY) shares slipped 2.6%, giving back some recent gains despite a market cap exceeding $1 trillion due to sales of weight-loss drugs [8] - Nvidia (NVDA) shares slid 1.8% amid competitive concerns, while other tech stocks like Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) saw gains of 1.3% and 1.8%, respectively [9] Sector Performance - Retailers performed well on Black Friday, with Walmart (WMT), Target (TGT), and Amazon (AMZN) finishing up roughly 1% to 2% [10] - Cryptocurrency-related stocks rose as Bitcoin moved above $90,000, with Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA), MicroStrategy (MSTR), and Coinbase Global (COIN) up by 7%, 5%, and 5%, respectively [11]
Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Turns Positive as Silver Hits Record High
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-28 19:03
Core Insights - Bitcoin is showing signs of demand recovery as the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index (CBPI) turns positive for the first time in weeks, indicating a potential stabilization in US demand for BTC [1][2][4]. Group 1: Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index - The Coinbase Premium had been in negative territory for most of November, reflecting weaker US demand, ETF outflows, and reduced liquidity [2]. - The recent positive shift in the premium suggests that US spot buyers are beginning to pay a slight premium again, indicating a recovery in domestic demand [2][4]. - Historically, the US market has led BTC price inflection points, especially during liquidity transitions or macroeconomic changes [4]. Group 2: Correlation with Silver - Silver has reached an all-time high above $55/oz, which coincides with the positive shift in the Coinbase Premium, suggesting a renewed appetite for hard assets [1][5]. - The correlation between Bitcoin and silver is typically low and unstable, but strong silver rallies alongside Bitcoin stabilization often indicate the end of fear-driven selling [5][6]. - The current decoupling of BTC and silver highlights that while they are not correlated today, macro conditions are beginning to favor flows into alternative assets [9][8].
X @Whale Alert
Whale Alert· 2025-11-28 17:50
🚨 🚨 🚨 649 #BTC (58,823,199 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutionalhttps://t.co/V8ci9dkluk ...
Coinbase vs. Riot Platforms: Which Bitcoin-Exposed Crypto Play Wins?
ZACKS· 2025-11-28 17:50
Core Insights - Bitcoin has gained traction as a decentralized asset, supported by favorable U.S. economic policies and increasing institutional participation [1] - The comparison between Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) and Riot Platforms (RIOT) highlights differing strategies for long-term growth in the cryptocurrency sector [1] Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) - Coinbase is positioned to benefit from pro-crypto policies under President Trump, with 83% of its revenues coming from the U.S., making it a central player in digital asset innovation [3] - The company is expanding its product offerings, including new trading instruments and a $100 million Bitcoin-backed loan to CleanSpark, enhancing its presence in crypto lending and decentralized finance (DeFi) [4][5] - Coinbase is also developing a low-cost Layer 2 network called Base to support on-chain activity and is pushing for stablecoin adoption through Coinbase Payments [5] - The company is actively acquiring firms to enhance its technological capabilities, with nine acquisitions in the year, including platforms for capital raising and derivatives trading [6] - Despite facing profitability challenges due to high costs, Coinbase's strategic acquisitions and favorable regulatory environment position it for long-term growth [7] Riot Platforms (RIOT) - RIOT focuses on a vertically integrated approach in Bitcoin mining, emphasizing scale, low-cost production, and a strong balance sheet [10] - The company is reallocating resources to develop high-margin data center services for AI and high-performance computing, with 1,862 MW of power capacity [12] - RIOT is developing its Corsicana data-center campus, which will support a total of 1-gigawatt power capacity, enhancing its position in the data center market [13] - The company holds over 19,000 Bitcoin and $400 million in cash, providing a solid foundation for future growth [23] - RIOT's strategy aims to secure leases with AI and cloud clients, shifting its revenue mix towards more stable, recurring streams [14] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for COIN's 2025 revenues indicates an 11.7% year-over-year increase, while EPS is expected to rise by 5.4% [15] - In contrast, RIOT's 2025 revenues are projected to increase by 74%, but its EPS is expected to decline by 164.7% year-over-year [16] - COIN shares have gained 6.7% year-to-date, while RIOT shares have increased by 46.5% in the same period [17] Valuation Metrics - Coinbase is trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 43.7, slightly below its three-year median of 44.6 [19] - RIOT's forward price-to-earnings multiple is -21.67, worse than its median of -18.82 over the past three years [19] Conclusion - Coinbase benefits from a diversified revenue base and strategic acquisitions, enhancing its regulatory standing and long-term growth trajectory [21][22] - RIOT is well-positioned due to its power capacity, data center leadership, and strong balance sheet, although it faces risks from Bitcoin price volatility [23] - Both companies carry a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with COIN's near-term growth prospects appearing stronger than RIOT's [24]