Core Viewpoint - Coty's latest quarterly report has led to a significant decline in its stock price, with investors reacting negatively to disappointing earnings and cautious guidance for the upcoming quarter [1][4]. Financial Performance - Coty reported a non-GAAP adjusted loss of $0.05 per share on sales of $1.25 billion, exceeding Wall Street's sales expectations by $40 million but falling short of earnings targets by $0.07 per share [4]. - The company's sales declined by 8.1% year over year in the quarter, indicating a weakening business performance [4][6]. Future Outlook - Management has reiterated guidance for like-for-like (LFL) sales to improve over the previous quarter, but expects a decline in LFL sales between 6% and 8% in fiscal Q1 [5]. - The outlook for earnings has worsened due to unexpected losses and anticipated sales declines in the current quarter [6].

Financial Performance - Coty reported an unexpected quarterly loss [1] Industry Trends - The beauty company attributed the loss to retailers being "cautious" [1]

Core Insights - Coty Inc. reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results with net revenues of $1,252.4 million, an 8% decline year-over-year, and an adjusted loss of 5 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of adjusted earnings of 1 cent [1][3][4] Financial Performance - The adjusted gross margin was 62.3%, down 190 basis points from the previous year, reflecting a normalization from elevated levels [5] - Adjusted operating income was $67.7 million, a 37% decline year-over-year, with an adjusted operating margin of 5.4%, down 250 basis points [6] - Adjusted EBITDA decreased 23% year-over-year to $126.7 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.1%, down 200 basis points [7] Segment Performance - Prestige segment net revenues were $760.6 million, a 5% decline, with a 7% decline on a like-for-like basis, primarily due to underperformance in the U.S. market [8][10] - Consumer Beauty segment net revenues amounted to $491.8 million, a 12% decline on both reported and like-for-like basis, driven by weakness in color cosmetics and body care categories [12][13] Regional Revenue Results - Americas segment reported net revenues of $511.2 million, a 12% decline, with a 10% decline on a like-for-like basis, mainly due to lower Prestige revenues [15] - EMEA segment generated net revenues of $574.2 million, a 4% decline, with a 9% decline on a like-for-like basis [16] - Asia Pacific segment reported net revenues of $167 million, an 8% decline, with a 9% decline on a like-for-like basis, although sell-out in most markets grew significantly [17] Future Outlook - Coty is entering fiscal 2026 with a focus on innovation and expansion, expecting gradual improvement in sales trends, with like-for-like sales forecasted to decline 6-8% in the first quarter and 3-5% in the second quarter [20][21] - The company anticipates a return to adjusted EBITDA growth in the second half of fiscal 2026, supported by multiple product launches and geographic expansion [23]

Coty shares dipped 20.2% to trade at $3.8750 on Thursday. These analysts made changes to their price targets on Coty following earnings announcement. Considering buying COTY stock? Here's what analysts think: Coty Inc. COTY posted mixed fourth-quarter fiscal results after the closing bell on Wednesday. The global beauty company reported fourth quarter revenue of $1.25 billion, surpassing Wall Street estimates of $1.20 billion. Coty posted an adjusted loss of 5 cents per share for the quarter, missing analys ...

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Core Viewpoint - Coty Inc. experienced a significant stock decline, dropping nearly 23% to a new low since November 2020, following the release of its Q4 fiscal year 2025 earnings report, which showed a revenue decrease despite beating analyst expectations [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q4 FY2025 decreased by 8% year-over-year to $1.25 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.21 billion [1] - Net loss narrowed from $96.9 million in the same quarter last year to $68.8 million [1] - Adjusted earnings per share showed a loss of $0.05, while analysts had anticipated a profit of $0.01 per share [1] Challenges Faced - The company faced multiple challenges during the recent fiscal year, including a weak U.S. market, inventory destocking by retailers, and consumers seeking value [1]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of Estee Lauder and Coty indicates a challenging market environment for the cosmetics industry, leading to a decline in stock prices for major European cosmetics companies [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Estee Lauder and Coty reported a decline in quarterly sales, signaling ongoing revenue pressure in the short term [1] - L'Oreal's stock fell by 1.5%, Puig's stock decreased by 2.8%, and Beiersdorf's stock dropped by 2.3% following the announcements from Estee Lauder and Coty [1] Group 2: Market Environment - Analysts from UBS noted that the outlook for Estee Lauder and Coty serves as a reminder that the beauty industry has become more volatile and unpredictable compared to previous years [1] - Increased competition within the beauty sector is highlighted as a significant factor affecting market dynamics [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects full-year EBITDA to be above $1 billion, despite headwinds from tariffs impacting gross margins [11][72] - The major gap in EBITDA for the full year is driven by tariffs, which if excluded, would result in slightly negative EBITDA [11][70] - Free cash flow is projected to grow in fiscal 2026 [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The prestige fragrance category remains healthy, with low to mid-single-digit growth, while mass fragrance is also performing well [7][21] - The skincare category outperformed the market by 11%, driven mainly by e-commerce, with Lancaster growing significantly in China [27][26] - The mass fragrance category accounts for approximately 7% of net revenues and is experiencing growth due to the Treatonomics phenomenon [20][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Asian travel retail market is still heavily affected, but the beauty market in China is gradually improving, with prestige beauty showing positive growth [51] - The U.S. market is experiencing increased promotional activities, particularly in consumer beauty and color cosmetics [29][41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on increasing profitability in the color cosmetics category while managing promotional activities cautiously [17][29] - There is a strategic emphasis on innovation, particularly in the fragrance category, with significant launches planned for the second half of the year [13][14] - The company aims to make travel retail a discovery channel for new products, enhancing exclusivity and consumer attraction [49][50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current macroeconomic challenges but expresses confidence in returning to growth in the second half of fiscal 2026 [10][72] - The company is committed to divesting its stake in Velar and is actively contemplating options for this divestiture [62][102] - Management believes that the fragrance market will continue to grow, driven by consumer trends and the importance of scenting in daily life [39][40] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a new forecasting tool to improve inventory management and cash flow [81] - The management is focused on cash deleveraging as a top priority, with plans to refinance certain debts in 2026 [80][82] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more detail on the second half outlook? - Management expects sequential improvement in Q1 and Q2, with a return to growth in H2 as retailer inventory headwinds ease [6][10] Question: How is the company addressing the higher promotional environment? - The company is managing promotional activities cautiously and focusing on strategic revenue management to protect brand integrity [29][30] Question: What is the outlook for travel retail? - Travel retail is being positioned as a discovery channel, with exclusive product launches planned to attract consumers [49][50] Question: Are there any pullbacks in specific demographics for prestige fragrances? - Management reports no pullbacks in key demographics, with continued growth among Gen Z and Hispanic consumers [96][98] Question: What are the refinancing expectations around the 2026 maturity? - The refinancing will be consistent with the current secured structure, and the company is actively working on this [101][102]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects full-year EBITDA to be above $1 billion, despite headwinds from tariffs impacting gross margins [10][71] - The major gap in EBITDA for the full year is driven by tariffs, which if excluded, would result in slightly negative EBITDA [10][71] - Free cash flow is projected to grow in fiscal 2026 [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The prestige fragrance category remains healthy, with low to mid-single-digit growth, while mass fragrance is also performing well [6][19] - The skincare category outperformed the market by 11%, driven mainly by e-commerce, with brands like Lancaster growing significantly in China [25] - The mass fragrance category accounts for approximately 7% of net revenues and is experiencing growth due to the Treatonomics phenomenon [19][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Asian travel retail market is still heavily affected, but the beauty market in China is gradually improving, with prestige beauty showing positive growth [50] - The U.S. market is experiencing increased promotional activities, particularly in consumer beauty and color cosmetics [27][39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on increasing profitability in the color cosmetics category while managing promotional activities carefully [16][27] - There is a strong emphasis on innovation, with significant product launches planned for the second half of the year, including the Hugo Boss Beyond bottle [12][19] - The company aims to make travel retail a discovery channel for new products, enhancing exclusivity and consumer attraction [48] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current volatility in the market but expresses confidence in returning to growth in the second half of fiscal 2026 [8][71] - The company is committed to divesting its stake in Velar and is actively contemplating options for this divestiture [61][100] - Management believes that the fragrance market will continue to grow, driven by consumer trends and the increasing importance of scenting [37][96] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a new forecasting tool to improve inventory management and cash flow [81] - The management is focused on cash deleveraging and maintaining a healthy trajectory on cash and refinancing [80][82] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more detail on the second half outlook? - Management expects sequential improvement in Q1 and Q2, with a return to growth in H2 as retailer inventory headwinds ease [6][8] Question: How is the company addressing innovation fatigue in color cosmetics? - The company is shifting focus to traditional advertising for key products while dedicating innovative products to younger consumers [16][17] Question: What is the outlook for travel retail? - Travel retail is being positioned as a discovery channel, with exclusive product launches planned to attract consumers [48][50] Question: How is the company managing promotional activities? - The company is managing promotional activities cautiously to protect brand integrity while exploring new formats like paint sprays [27][39] Question: What are the expectations for refinancing and deleveraging? - The company plans to maintain a secured structure for refinancing and is focused on improving EBITDA trends to support deleveraging [99][100]

Group 1 - U.S. stock futures are lower, with Dow futures down approximately 100 points [1] - Coty Inc. reported mixed fourth-quarter fiscal results, with revenue of $1.25 billion, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $1.20 billion [1] - Coty posted an adjusted loss of 5 cents per share, missing analyst expectations for a profit of 2 cents per share [1] Group 2 - Coty shares fell 21.4% to $3.7900 in pre-market trading [2] - Canadian Solar Inc. shares decreased by 9.3% to $11.56 after disappointing second-quarter results and a cut in FY2025 sales guidance [4] - Shineco, Inc. shares declined 8.3% to $6.23 following a significant 37% increase the previous day [4] - Xunlei Limited shares dipped 5.1% to $6.95 after a 7% decline on Wednesday [4] - Rocket Pharmaceuticals, Inc. shares fell 5.1% to $3.56 after a 29% gain on Wednesday [4] - Telefónica, S.A. shares decreased by 4.5% to $5.45 in pre-market trading [4] - SuperX AI Technology Limited shares fell 3% to $31.85 after a 14% increase the previous day [4] - Bilibili Inc. shares dropped 2.8% to $24.60 following second-quarter results [4]