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Corpay: Market Is Overlooking The Significant Quality Improvement
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-25 15:43
Group 1 - The article discusses the investment philosophy of seeking quality companies at reasonable valuations, emphasizing the importance of fundamentals in driving long-term share prices [1] - The focus is on predicting a business's earnings per share as a key metric for investment decisions [1] Group 2 - There are no specific company or industry disclosures or performance metrics provided in the documents [2][3]
Corpay Cross-Border Launches USCIS Navigator
Businesswire· 2025-11-24 13:30
Core Insights - Corpay, Inc. has launched USCIS Navigator, an automated payment solution aimed at U.S. immigration law firms to facilitate secure and efficient payments to the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) [1] - The solution was developed rapidly to address a critical regulatory change, ensuring compliance with the USCIS mandate effective from October 28, 2025 [1] Company Overview - Corpay, Inc. is recognized as a global leader in corporate payments, indicating its significant role in the financial technology sector [1] Industry Context - The introduction of USCIS Navigator reflects the ongoing evolution in payment solutions within the legal and immigration sectors, highlighting the need for compliance with regulatory changes [1]
Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Corpay Stock Will Climb or Sink?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-21 11:25
Core Insights - Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) is a global leader in corporate payments with a market cap of $19.4 billion, serving over 800,000 clients worldwide and providing modern payment solutions to manage expenses efficiently [1] Performance Overview - CPAY shares have underperformed the broader market, decreasing 24.9% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by 10.5% [2] - Year-to-date, CPAY stock is down 18.1%, compared to the S&P 500's return of 11.2% [2] - The company's shares also lagged behind the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund's 3.2% rise over the past 52 weeks and a 5.8% YTD gain [3] Recent Financial Results - Following Q3 2025 results on November 5, CPAY shares rose 6.2% after reporting adjusted EPS of $5.70 and revenue of $1.17 billion, reflecting a 14% increase [4] - The company achieved 11% organic revenue growth, driven by a 17% increase in the Corporate Payments segment, and a 14% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $676.7 million [4] - Management raised its full-year 2025 outlook, projecting adjusted net income of $1.50 billion to $1.52 billion and adjusted EPS of $21.14 to $21.34, supported by recent acquisitions and investments [4] Analyst Expectations - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, analysts forecast CPAY's EPS to grow 13.8% year-over-year to $20.18 [5] - The company's earnings surprise history shows it beat consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters [5] - Among 16 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with eight "Strong Buy" ratings, two "Moderate Buys," and six "Holds" [5] Price Target Insights - On November 6, JPMorgan reduced its price target on Corpay to $350 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating [6] - The mean price target of $353.54 indicates a 27.5% premium to CPAY's current price levels [6] - The highest price target of $440 suggests a potential upside of 58.7% [6]
What Makes Corpay (CPAY) a New Buy Stock
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 18:01
Core Insights - Corpay (CPAY) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating an upward trend in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2] - The Zacks rating system is based on earnings estimate revisions, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors [2][3] Earnings Estimates and Business Outlook - The upgrade reflects an improvement in Corpay's underlying business, with rising earnings estimates expected to positively impact its stock price [4] - Corpay is projected to earn $21.25 per share for the fiscal year ending December 2025, showing no year-over-year change, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 0.8% over the past three months [7] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a strong historical performance, particularly Zacks Rank 1 stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 1988 [6] - Corpay's upgrade to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [9]
Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) Presents at KBW Fintech Payments Conference 2025 Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-12 19:41
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
Corpay (NYSE:CPAY) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-11-12 17:40
Summary of Corpay (NYSE: CPAY) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Corpay (NYSE: CPAY) - **Industry**: Corporate payments and vehicle payments Key Takeaways 1. **Growth Potential**: Corpay is experiencing high growth potential, particularly in the corporate payment space, with an organic growth rate of 9%-11% expected. The total addressable market (TAM) in both payable and cross-border segments is significant, indicating substantial untapped opportunities [3][4][5]. 2. **Business Segments**: The two largest segments, vehicle payments and corporate payments, account for over 80% of revenue. Corporate payments are expected to maintain high teens organic growth, while vehicle payments are showing mid-single-digit growth in the U.S. and high teens growth in Brazil [6][7][8]. 3. **Acquisitions**: Recent acquisitions, including investments in Avid and Alpha, are expected to enhance growth. The Alpha acquisition is projected to contribute at least $0.75 in cash EPS accretion by 2026, with significant revenue synergies anticipated from cross-selling opportunities [10][14][16]. 4. **Corporate Payments Strategy**: The corporate payments segment is divided into payables (40% of revenue) and cross-border business (60%). The focus is on expanding services to the office of the CFO, with a projected growth of over $2 billion by 2026 [9][11]. 5. **Stablecoin Strategy**: Corpay is investing in stablecoin technology to enhance cross-border payments, allowing for 24/7 fund availability. This strategy is seen as a competitive advantage, particularly in the merchant space and for clients in the private capital markets [25][26][29]. 6. **Lodging Business Performance**: The lodging segment has faced challenges, with a 5% year-over-year decline. However, there is optimism about repositioning and technology investments to drive future growth [22][23]. 7. **Gift Business Performance**: The gift segment has shown strong performance with nearly 60% EBITDA margins. The business is expected to continue performing well, although it is noted for its quarterly volatility [38][42]. 8. **Debt and Liquidity Management**: Corpay has increased its revolver by $1 billion and expects to generate significant cash flow, aiming for a leverage ratio of 2.8 by year-end. There is a focus on stock buybacks due to perceived undervaluation [31][32]. 9. **Divestiture Plans**: Corpay is exploring divestitures of non-core businesses within the vehicle payments segment, with potential proceeds of $1.5 billion to be redeployed for buybacks or additional M&A [33][35][36]. 10. **Sales Growth**: The company reported a 24% year-over-year increase in sales growth, indicating strong client acquisition efforts, particularly in the vehicle payments sector [20]. Additional Insights - **Market Conditions**: The payment space is described as challenging, with the company focusing on internal performance improvements to navigate these conditions [4]. - **Client Demand for Integration**: There is a growing demand from clients for integrated services between Corpay and Alpha, indicating a positive reception of the acquisition [17][18]. - **Focus on AI and Technology**: Corpay is leveraging AI-driven credit models to improve client retention and reduce credit losses in the vehicle payments business [46]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting Corpay's strategic direction, growth opportunities, and market challenges.
Corpay, Inc.(CPAY) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-11-10 21:24
Financial Performance - For the three months ended September 30, 2025, net revenues were $1,172.5 million, a 13.8% increase from $1,029.2 million in the same period of 2024[115]. - Net income attributable to Corpay for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $805.3 million, up 6.3% from $757.8 million in 2024[115]. - Adjusted net income attributable to Corpay for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $405.2 million, representing a 14.3% increase from $354.5 million in 2024[117]. - Total net revenues for the company reached $1,172.5 million, marking a 14% increase from $1,029.2 million in Q3 2024[127]. - Consolidated revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2025, were $1,172.5 million, reflecting a 13.9% increase compared to the prior period, driven by 11% organic growth[143]. - Total consolidated revenues were $3,280.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, an increase of 11.6% compared to the prior period[166]. - Operating income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $523.1 million, an increase of 11.7% compared to the prior period[150]. - Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,429.6 million, reflecting a 10.1% increase from the prior period[173]. - Net income attributable to Corpay increased to $277.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025[155]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $676.7 million, up from $594.7 million in Q3 2024, indicating a growth of 13.8%[237]. - Adjusted EBITDA margin for Q3 2025 was 57.7%, slightly down from 57.8% in Q3 2024[237]. Revenue Segmentation - Vehicle Payments segment generated $553.2 million in net revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2025, accounting for 47% of total revenues[121]. - Corporate Payments segment revenues increased to $409.7 million, representing 35% of total revenues for the same period[121]. - Vehicle Payments segment reported net revenues of $553.2 million for Q3 2025, a 9% increase from $506.8 million in Q3 2024[127]. - Corporate Payments segment achieved net revenues of $409.7 million, reflecting a significant 27% growth compared to $321.9 million in the same quarter last year[127]. - Corporate Payments revenues reached $1,154.3 million, marking a 31.8% increase, driven by 18% organic revenue growth and a 26% growth in spend volume[182]. - Lodging Payments revenues decreased to $127.0 million, a decline of 5.2% from the prior period, attributed to lower emergency-related activity[160]. - Lodging Payments revenues decreased by 2.9% to $357.0 million, primarily due to a decline in revenue per room night[184]. - Other revenues increased to $82.6 million, a 24.1% rise from the prior period, driven by increased gift card transaction volume[162]. - Other revenues increased by 9.4% to $203.1 million, driven by gift card sales and transaction volume[186]. Geographic Performance - The United States accounted for 49% of total revenues in the three months ended September 30, 2025, with net revenues of $575 million[126]. - Brazil's revenues increased to $183 million, representing 16% of total revenues for the same period[126]. - The company operates primarily in three geographies, generating 79% of revenues from the U.S., Brazil, and the U.K.[118]. Expenses and Taxation - Processing expenses rose to $248.8 million, an increase of 11.2% due to higher transaction volumes and acquisition-related costs[146]. - Selling expenses increased by 24.9% to $117.6 million, primarily due to marketing investments and higher sales commissions[146]. - The provision for income taxes for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $143.3 million, with an effective tax rate of 34.0%[153]. - Provision for income taxes increased to $336.0 million with an effective tax rate of 29.4% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $240.0 million and 24.1% in the prior period[177]. Acquisitions and Investments - The company has completed over 100 acquisitions since 2002, which have significantly contributed to its growth strategy[135]. - In October 2025, the company invested approximately $578 million for about 35% equity in a limited partnership, with an enterprise valuation of approximately $1.9 billion[138]. - The company acquired 100% of Gringo for approximately $153.7 million in February 2025, increasing its controlling interest in Zapay to approximately 86%[139]. - The company announced a cash offer to acquire 100% of Alpha Group International plc in July 2025, a leading provider of B2B cross-border foreign exchange solutions[138]. - The company completed the acquisition of AvidXchange in October 2025, enhancing its accounts payable automation solutions[139]. - In July 2025, the company announced a cash offer to acquire 100% of Alpha Group International plc for approximately £1.8 billion, completed on October 31, 2025[217][219]. - The acquisition of Alpha will be reflected in the Corporate Payments segment starting in Q4 2025[220]. - The company divested a lower growth private label fuel card portfolio for approximately $60 million in July 2025, with the transaction closing in October 2025[221]. - A strategic partnership with Mastercard was expanded in April 2025, involving a $300 million investment for a 2.8% interest in the cross-border business[222]. - In October 2025, the company invested approximately $578 million for a 35% equity stake in AvidXchange, with an enterprise valuation of approximately $1.9 billion[224][225]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - Total liquidity as of September 30, 2025, was approximately $3.4 billion, consisting of $1.4 billion available under the Credit Facility and $2.0 billion in unrestricted cash[189]. - Net cash provided by operating activities was $687.2 million, a decrease from $1,291.9 million in the prior period, primarily due to changes in working capital[194]. - Net cash used in investing activities was $282.9 million, a decrease from $378.2 million in the prior period, attributed to less spending on acquisitions[195]. - The company had $3.0 billion in borrowings outstanding on the Term Loan A and $3.1 billion on the Term Loan B as of September 30, 2025[200]. - The Securitization Facility commitment increased from $1.8 billion to $2.3 billion, extending its maturity to November 3, 2028[205]. Stock and Shareholder Information - The stock repurchase program authorized up to $9.1 billion, with $8.1 billion utilized to repurchase 33,951,728 shares, leaving $1.0 billion available for future repurchases[214][215][216]. - The company reported a total of 71,131 diluted shares for Q3 2025, a slight increase from 70,901 diluted shares in Q3 2024[234]. Management Insights - Corpay's management emphasizes the importance of adjusted net income and EBITDA as key performance indicators for evaluating operational strategies and financial performance[235]. - Organic revenue growth is calculated by adjusting current period revenue growth for macroeconomic changes and acquisitions, providing a clearer view of operational performance[129]. - Adjusted net income attributable to Corpay is calculated to eliminate non-recurring items, providing a clearer view of core operating performance[232].
Corpay (CPAY) Slipped on Investors’ Concerns
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-10 13:20
Core Insights - Pelican Bay Capital Management (PBCM) reported a 7.8% return for its Concentrated Value Strategy in Q3 2025, outperforming the Russell 1000 Value Index which returned 5.3% during the same period [1] - Year-to-date, PBCM's fund returned 11.2%, slightly below the index's 11.6% return [1] Company Overview: Corpay, Inc. (NYSE:CPAY) - Corpay, Inc. is a payment company focused on managing vehicle-related expenses for businesses and consumers [2] - As of November 7, 2025, Corpay's stock closed at $276.53, with a market capitalization of $19.527 billion [2] - The company experienced a one-month return of -2.12% and a 52-week decline of 25.89% [2] Performance and Market Conditions - Corpay's decline is attributed to investor concerns regarding labor market weakness affecting its corporate payments business and pressure from a significant drop in U.S. freight volumes impacting its truck-fleet fuel card business [3] - Despite these challenges, PBCM views the current industry weakness as an investment opportunity in the segment leader [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Corpay reported a 14% growth in both revenue and cash EPS [4] - The company is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 42 hedge fund portfolios holding its shares at the end of Q2 2025, up from 40 in the previous quarter [4]
Corpay Earnings Beat Estimates in Q3, Revenues Increase 14% Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-11-06 18:31
Core Insights - Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1][9] - Earnings per share reached $5.7, surpassing estimates by 1.2% and reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase [1][9] - Total revenues amounted to $1.2 billion, exceeding estimates slightly and showing a 13.9% increase from the previous year [1][9] Segment Performance - Vehicle payments generated revenues of $553.2 million, a 9% increase year-over-year, beating the estimate of $550.3 million [3] - Corporate payments revenues were $409.7 million, up 27% year-over-year, surpassing the estimate of $398.5 million [4] - Lodging payments revenues declined by 5% year-over-year to $127 million, missing the projection of $138 million [4] Financial Metrics - EBITDA increased by 12.5% year-over-year to $627.5 million, though it fell short of the estimate of $630.6 million [5] - The EBITDA margin was reported at 57.7%, down 10 basis points from the previous year [5] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - Corpay ended Q3 2025 with cash and cash equivalents of $2 billion, down from $2.2 billion in Q2 2025 [6] - Long-term debt decreased to $5.8 billion from $5.9 billion in the previous quarter [6] - The company utilized $378.9 million in cash from operating activities during the quarter, with capital expenditures of $50.9 million [6] 2025 Outlook - CPAY raised its revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $4.51-$4.53 billion, higher than the previous estimate of $4.41-$4.49 billion and above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.46 billion [7] - The guidance for adjusted net income per diluted share was increased to $21.14-$21.34, compared to the prior range of $20.86-$21.26, also above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $21.10 [7]
Corpay, Inc.(CPAY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-05 23:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q3 revenue of $1.172 billion, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth, driven by 11% organic revenue growth [14][15] - Cash EPS for Q3 was $5.70, also up 14% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS growing 17% on a constant macro basis [15][22] - The full year 2025 revenue guidance was increased to $4.515 billion, representing a 14% growth, and adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $21.24 per share, indicating a 12% growth [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The corporate payments segment achieved 17% organic growth in Q3, despite a 1% drag from float revenue compression due to lower interest rates [15][16] - The vehicle payment segment grew 10% organically, with the US vehicle payment segment accelerating to 5% [3][17] - The lodging business saw a decline of 5% in organic revenue, primarily due to lower emergency revenue [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Corporate payments revenue per spend volume decreased year-over-year, attributed to new payables and cross-border enterprise clients [16] - Spend volume in corporate payments increased by 57% on a reported basis, reaching over $68 billion in Q3, positioning the company for an annual run-rate exceeding $250 billion [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its corporate payments business, aiming for over $2 billion in revenue next year, which will represent about 40% of total revenue [6][7] - The company is pursuing M&A opportunities, having closed the AvidXchange investment and the Alpha acquisition, which are expected to enhance profitability and growth [10][11] - The company is also exploring stablecoin opportunities to enhance its payment systems and provide new services to clients [12][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the macroeconomic environment for 2026, anticipating better FX rates and lower interest rates, with expected organic revenue growth in the 9-11% range [5][6] - The company is confident in achieving strong earnings growth next year, driven by synergies from recent acquisitions and productivity improvements [6][30] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with liquidity of $3.5 billion and a leverage ratio of 2.4 times, indicating a strong balance sheet [20] - The company plans to continue share repurchases while maintaining leverage within target ranges [21][22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Corporate payments organic growth outlook for Q4 - Management expects core corporate payments growth to be around 16%, with a drag of 100 basis points from float, leading to a mid-teens growth rate overall [24] Question: Confidence in organic growth outlook for next year - Management is confident in achieving 10% organic growth, with expectations for mid-teens growth in corporate payments despite macro challenges [26] Question: Impact of Mastercard investment on revenue growth - The Mastercard investment is expected to add a point or two to revenue growth, with synergies from Alpha contributing around $300 million [28][29] Question: Update on AvidXchange's margin improvement - Management is focused on improving Avid's profitability and growth, with clear actions already taken to enhance performance [46] Question: Progress on divestitures - Management indicated that the divestiture process is underway, with first bids expected soon, and expressed confidence in selling decent businesses [42] Question: Sustainability of US fleet growth - Management noted improved retention and sales in the US vehicle payments segment, indicating a more sustainable growth trajectory [44]