Group 1 - Corpay (NYSE: CPAY), previously known as Fleetcore, is identified as a promising GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) investment opportunity after an 8-month consolidation period [1] - The company has shown recent positive performance in new bookings and provides optimistic guidance for an 11% growth in bottom-line earnings [1] - The investment strategy focuses on value-oriented stocks that are undervalued and have near-term catalysts, with an investment horizon ranging from one quarter to two years [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Research Report Industry Overview - The report focuses on the payments ecosystem, particularly the impact of stablecoins on cross-border payments and the competitive landscape involving major players like Visa (V), Mastercard (MA), and Corpay (CPAY) [1][2]. Core Insights 1. **Stablecoins and Cross-Border Payments**: - Stablecoins do not provide significant speed or cost advantages for most cross-border flows, as G10 currencies dominate these transactions, making them already efficient [2]. - 80%+ of cross-border flows involve G10 currencies, with spreads in highly liquid currency pairs being as low as <1 basis point [2]. 2. **Last-Mile Conversion Issues**: - Stablecoins fail to address the last-mile conversion into fiat currency, which is essential for payments to be deposited into bank accounts [2]. - 95% of CPAY's cross-border revenue is linked to foreign exchange (FX) conversion, primarily in G20 currencies [2]. 3. **Business Adoption of Stablecoins**: - There is a growing willingness among consumers in volatile currency markets to hold stablecoins, but businesses still require local fiat for operations [2]. - The risk lies in businesses becoming more comfortable with holding balances in stablecoins [2]. 4. **FX Conversion Spreads**: - Spreads on FX conversion into exotic currencies are unlikely to compress with the rise of stablecoins, as liquidity remains a critical factor [2]. - In some markets, converting stablecoins can be more expensive than traditional currency conversions [2]. 5. **Disintermediation Risks**: - The disintermediation of traditional providers like CPAY in favor of crypto-native providers is deemed unlikely, as existing providers have established customer relationships and can integrate stablecoins more seamlessly [2]. 6. **Treasury Management Efficiency**: - Stablecoins can enhance treasury management and pre-funding of accounts in local markets, potentially improving margins [2]. 7. **Peer-to-Peer Remittance**: - Stablecoins may reduce basis risk for peer-to-peer remittance companies, potentially lowering consumer pricing by minimizing the time gap between fund availability and settlement [2]. 8. **Consumer Payment Risks**: - There is little belief that stablecoins pose a significant risk to Visa and Mastercard in consumer payments, as the current payment systems are convenient and secure [2]. Company-Specific Insights - **Corpay, Inc. (CPAY)**: - Price target set at $375 based on approximately 15x FY26E EPS estimate. Risks include fuel price volatility, FX fluctuations, regulatory changes, and competition [4]. - **Mastercard, Inc. (MA)**: - Price target set at $655 based on approximately 35x CY26E EPS estimate. Risks include macroeconomic factors, consumer spending, regulatory issues, and competition [5]. - **Payoneer Global Inc. (PAYO)**: - Price target set at $8.50 based on approximately 12x FY26 adjusted EBITDA estimate. Risks include macroeconomic conditions, consumer spending, competition, customer concentration, fraud, and data security [6]. - **Visa, Inc. (V)**: - Price target set at $410 based on approximately 32x FY26E EPS estimate. Risks include macroeconomic factors, consumer spending, regulatory issues, and competition [7]. Additional Considerations - The report highlights a significant investor interest in the payments sector, particularly regarding stablecoins and their implications for traditional payment systems [3]. - The analysis emphasizes the importance of understanding the liquidity dynamics and regulatory environment surrounding stablecoins and traditional payment methods [2][4][5][6][7].

Acquisitions - Corpay signed a definitive agreement to acquire GPS Capital Markets LLC for $725 million[5, 16] - The GPS acquisition is expected to close on January 1, 2025[6, 16] - Corpay expects to close the Paymerang acquisition on July 1, 2024, for approximately $475 million[9, 16] - These acquisitions are expected to increase existing Corporate Payments revenue by approximately 15%[12] Financial Performance and Projections - GPS Capital Markets LLC has experienced approximately 19% revenue CAGR since 2016 and has a mid 40% EBITDA margin[6, 7] - Paymerang has experienced over 20% annual revenue growth and is profitable[10] - Corpay anticipates Corporate Payments revenue to be between $1.325 billion and $1.425 billion[13] - With the acquisitions of GPS and Paymerang, Corporate Payments revenue is projected to increase by 15%, reaching between $1.525 billion and $1.625 billion[13] - Corpay expects its Corporate Payments business to approach approximately $2 billion in revenue in 2026[14] Capital Allocation - Corpay expects to deploy approximately $2.1 billion in capital[16] - Approximately $900 million is allocated for share repurchases year-to-date[16]

Company Overview - Corpay shares have increased by approximately 0.3% since the last earnings report, underperforming the S&P 500 [1] - Recent estimates for Corpay have trended downward over the past month [2] Performance Metrics - Corpay has a subpar Growth Score of D and a similar score for momentum, with a value grade of C, placing it in the middle 20% for this investment strategy [3] - The overall aggregate VGM Score for Corpay is D, indicating a lack of strong performance across multiple investment strategies [3] Outlook - The downward trend in estimates suggests a negative shift in expectations for Corpay, which currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [4] - An in-line return is anticipated for Corpay in the upcoming months [4] Industry Comparison - Corpay is part of the Zacks Financial Transaction Services industry, where MasterCard has seen a gain of 3.1% over the past month [5] - MasterCard reported revenues of $7.25 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.2%, with EPS rising from $3.31 to $3.73 [5] - MasterCard's expected earnings for the current quarter are $4.05 per share, indicating a year-over-year change of 12.8% [6]

Summary of Corpay (CPAY) FY Conference Call - June 04, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Corpay (CPAY) - **Industry**: FinTech, specifically focusing on B2B payments - **Revenue**: $4 billion in the previous year, projected to reach $4.4 billion in 2025 - **Free Cash Flow**: Expected to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion in 2025 - **Geographic Focus**: Primarily operates in the U.S., North America, Brazil, the U.K., Europe, and Australia/New Zealand [7][8] Core Business Segments 1. **Corporate Payments** - Represents about 35% of total revenue - Growing at a rate of 15% to 20% annually - Focused on construction, transportation, logistics, and business services [11][12] - 60% of corporate payments are international, 40% domestic [14] 2. **Vehicle Payments** - Accounts for nearly 50% of revenue - Split into international, Brazil, and North America segments - 80% of vehicle payments are in the fuel space, with plans to diversify into other payment categories [17][18] 3. **Lodging Payments** - Represents just under 15% of overall revenue - Serves blue-collar workers, airlines, and insurance businesses [20][22] Financial Performance - **Revenue Growth**: 17% CAGR since IPO, with 19% growth in profits - **EBITDA Margins**: Mid-50s percentage, with fluctuations during acquisitions [24][25] - **Organic Revenue Growth Target**: 10% annually, with EBITDA expected to grow in the low to mid-teens [26][27] Strategic Initiatives - **Partnership with Mastercard**: Investment of $300 million for a stake in the cross-border payment business, expected to close in H2 2025 [31] - **Acquisition of Avid Exchange**: Investment of $550 million for a one-third stake, focusing on domestic payables [35] - **Focus on Financial Institutions**: Aiming to increase revenue from institutional clients, currently less than 10% of total revenue [34] Market Opportunity - **Total Addressable Market (TAM)**: B2B payments market estimated at $60 trillion, with Corpay holding only 2% to 3% market share [2][41] - **Retention Rate**: Over 92%, with improvements expected from enhanced client experience initiatives [48] Key Takeaways - Corpay is positioned as a leading provider in the corporate payments space with significant growth potential - The company is focused on strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance its service offerings and market reach - Continued emphasis on organic growth and capital allocation to maximize shareholder value [41][42]

Core Viewpoint - Purcell & Lefkowitz LLP is investigating Corpay, Inc. to determine if its directors breached fiduciary duties related to recent corporate actions [1] Group 1 - The investigation is on behalf of Corpay's shareholders [1] - Shareholders interested in their rights and options can contact Purcell & Lefkowitz LLP for more information [1] - The law firm specializes in representing shareholders affected by securities fraud and corporate misconduct [2]

Summary of Corpay (CPAY) FY Conference Call - May 20, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Corpay (CPAY) - **Event**: FY Conference Call - **Date**: May 20, 2025 Key Points Industry and Economic Outlook - The current economic environment is stable with no significant negative trends impacting the business at this time [3][4] - Political factors are creating some market churn, but Corpay's volumes and trends are steady and in line with expectations [4] Corporate Payments Segment - Corpay's corporate payments business consists of domestic payables and international payments, with a 60% to 40% split between cross-border and domestic payments [6] - Direct business accounts for approximately 90% of domestic payables revenue, indicating strong customer engagement and retention [7] Partnership with Mastercard - Corpay has entered into a partnership with Mastercard, which includes a $300 million investment for a 3% stake in Corpay's cross-border unit [9] - This partnership aims to enhance Corpay's visibility and access to tier two and tier three banks, where many international payments are made inefficiently in USD [11][12] - The collaboration is expected to contribute 2-3 percentage points to cross-border revenue growth by 2026 [13][14] Investment in Avid Exchange - Corpay has invested approximately $550 million for a one-third stake in Avid Exchange, partnering with TPG as the majority owner [16][17] - The investment aims to leverage Corpay's existing scale and expertise to drive growth in Avid Exchange [18] M&A Strategy - Corpay maintains a high appetite for mergers and acquisitions, focusing on strategic acquisitions that enhance core capabilities and shareholder value [24][25] - The company is looking to invest in corporate payment space opportunities that are accretive to earnings [26] Vehicle Payments Business - Corpay has shifted its focus to larger, healthier customers in the vehicle payments sector, moving away from micro-SMBs [29][30] - The company reports solid same-store sales trends and improved customer retention, with a churn rate of less than 7.5% [33][34] - The goal is to achieve 20% sales growth, contributing to 10% organic growth year-over-year [35] Brazil Market Strategy - Corpay has expanded its presence in Brazil through acquisitions of Gringo and ZapPay, enhancing its vehicle debt management offerings [46][48] - The Brazilian market is characterized by a high reliance on vehicles, and the new acquisitions have added 20 million incremental users to Corpay's platform [51] Lodging Segment Performance - The lodging segment faced a tough comparison in Q1 due to prior year events and has seen some softness in customer demand [56][57] - The company believes that its products provide cost savings and better oversight for customers, with expectations of mid-single-digit growth in the back half of the year [58] Non-Core Divestitures - Corpay is considering divesting non-core assets totaling approximately $2 billion to focus on growth areas that drive shareholder value [62][64] Electric Vehicle (EV) Strategy - Corpay has prepared to service fleet customers transitioning to electric vehicles, particularly in Europe, but notes that the EV market is currently not a hot topic [69][71] - The company is agnostic to fuel types and is positioned to support both petrol and electric vehicles [72][73] Additional Insights - The company is actively monitoring the macroeconomic environment and adjusting its strategies accordingly, particularly in the vehicle payments and corporate payments sectors [2][3] - Corpay's focus on strategic partnerships and acquisitions is aimed at enhancing its market position and driving long-term growth [24][25][26]

Core Insights - Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) has experienced a 25% increase in share value over the past year, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's growth of 13.6% [1] Revenue and Earnings Outlook - CPAY's revenues are projected to grow by 11.3% year-over-year in 2025 and 10.6% in 2026, while earnings are expected to rise by 10.4% in 2025 and 16% in 2026 [3] - The company raised its 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $4.38-$4.46 billion, up from the previous estimate of $4.35-$4.45 billion, indicating continuous improvement from the third quarter of 2024's expectation of $3.98-$4.01 billion [4] Organic Revenue Growth - CPAY's organic revenues increased by 13% in 2022, 10% in 2023, and surged by 20% in 2024, driven by higher transaction volumes and revenues per transaction [5] Marketing and Sales Strategy - The company employs a multi-channel approach to expand its customer base, utilizing digital channels, direct sales forces, and strategic partnerships, which enhances the efficiency of its sales team [6] Acquisition Strategy - CPAY actively acquires companies to broaden its customer base and service offerings, with notable acquisitions including GPS Capital Markets and PayByPhone, which enhance its corporate payments and vehicle payment solutions [7][8]

Core Insights - Corpay and Computer Guidance Corporation have released a joint case study highlighting their integrated accounts payable automation solution for S.T. Wooten, a construction firm [1][4] - The partnership aims to modernize and streamline back-office operations for construction companies through secure payment automation within existing ERP systems [2][3] Company Overview - Computer Guidance Corporation provides a leading construction enterprise resource planning (ERP) solution, serving thousands of clients across North America, with over 20% of clients on top ENR lists [5] - Corpay is a global S&P 500 corporate payments company that processes 1.9 billion transactions annually and is the number one B2B commercial Mastercard issuer in North America [6][7] Solution Features - The integrated solution is built on a flexible, API-based framework that allows real-time data exchange between Corpay's payment automation platform and Computer Guidance's eCMS ERP system, enhancing visibility and accuracy while reducing manual processing [3][4] - The case study emphasizes the benefits of reducing payment friction, strengthening vendor relationships, and allowing accounts payable teams to focus on strategic initiatives [4][5] Market Impact - The collaboration between Corpay and Computer Guidance aims to simplify workflows, improve control, and drive meaningful cost savings for construction finance teams [5] - The unified spend management platform, Corpay Complete, offers various solutions including Payments Automation and Invoice Automation, which help clients automate and secure business payments [7]

Core Insights - Corpay, Inc. (CPAY) reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with a notable increase in corporate payment solutions sales, leading to an 8.1% rise in share price since the earnings release on May 6 [1] Financial Performance - CPAY achieved adjusted earnings per share of $4.51, slightly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth [2] - Total revenues reached $1 billion, marking a 7.5% increase from the previous year, although it slightly missed the consensus estimate [2] Segment Performance - The vehicle payments segment generated revenues of $487.1 million, a slight decline from the previous year, and fell short of the estimated $506.7 million; however, significant growth was noted in Brazil due to increased toll tag sales and improvements in electric vehicle offerings in the U.K. and Europe [3] - The corporate payments segment saw revenues of $352.7 million, a 33% year-over-year increase, surpassing the estimated $335.7 million, driven by strong sales of corporate payment solutions and improved payables revenues [4] - The lodging payments segment reported revenues of $110.2 million, a slight decrease from the year-ago quarter, but better than the estimated $115.8 million, attributed to low airline revenues and volume softness [5]