Credo Technology (CRDO)
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Will Credo's Strong Cash Position Aid in Capturing AI Opportunities?
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 16:40
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) achieved a remarkable revenue growth of 126% in fiscal 2025, ending the year with a strong cash position of $431.3 million and no debt [1][11] - The company anticipates revenues to exceed $800 million in fiscal 2026, indicating over 85% year-over-year growth, while maintaining a non-GAAP net margin nearing 40% [4][11] Financial Performance - In fiscal 2025, Credo generated cash flow from operating activities of $57.8 million in the fourth quarter, a significant increase of $53.6 million from the third quarter, driven by strong cash collections [1] - The company’s non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to grow at less than half the revenue growth rate, showcasing operational discipline [4] Market Position and Competitive Edge - Credo is positioned at the intersection of AI and data center build-outs, providing high-speed connectivity solutions through its active electrical cables, optical Digital Signal Processors, and PCIe retimers [2] - The company’s system-level approach, owning the entire stack of SerDes IP, Retimer ICs, and system-level design, allows for faster innovation cycles and strong cost efficiency [3] Industry Context and Challenges - The demand for high-speed connectivity solutions is accelerating as AI reshapes data center architectures, presenting growth opportunities for Credo [2] - However, the company faces challenges from increasing market competition and macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly from semiconductor giants like Broadcom and Marvell Technology [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - CRDO shares gained 14.1% in the past month, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry's growth of 0.2% [12] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for CRDO is 21.01, significantly higher than the sector's multiple of 8.54, indicating a premium valuation [13]
CRDO Rises 79% YTD: How Should Investors Approach the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) has demonstrated significant performance in the semiconductor sector, with a year-to-date stock surge of 79.1%, driven by strong AI demand and investor enthusiasm for next-generation data center connectivity solutions [1][8]. Performance Comparison - CRDO has outperformed the Electronic-Semiconductors sector's growth of 19.8% and the broader Computer and Technology sector's growth of 13.5%, while the S&P 500 Composite has increased by 8.5% during the same period [2]. - The stock price of CRDO reached a new 52-week high of $121.50, closing at $120.41, indicating strong market performance compared to peers like Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Marvell Technology (MRVL), and Cirrus Logic, Inc. (CRUS) [3][2]. Growth Drivers - CRDO's product offerings, including active electrical cables (AECs), optical Digital Signal Processors (DSPs), and PCIe retimers, are positioned to meet the increasing demand for high-speed, low-power connectivity in data centers [4]. - The AEC product line has shown double-digit sequential growth, with ZeroFlap AECs providing over 100 times improved reliability compared to traditional laser-based solutions, enhancing their attractiveness for data center applications [5]. - The optical business, particularly DSPs, has achieved revenue targets and is expected to expand customer diversity, further accelerating revenue growth [6]. Revenue Outlook - For fiscal 2026, CRDO anticipates revenues to exceed $800 million, representing over 85% year-over-year growth, with non-GAAP operating expenses expected to grow at less than half the revenue growth rate, leading to a non-GAAP net margin of nearly 40% [11]. - The company projects first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues between $185 million and $195 million, indicating a sequential growth of 12% at the midpoint and a year-over-year growth of 218.2% [12]. Challenges and Risks - CRDO faces increasing market competition and macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly related to tariff issues, which may impact growth [13][17]. - The company relies heavily on a few hyperscaler customers, with three customers contributing over 10% of revenues each, raising concerns about revenue stability if spending patterns change [14]. - The bullish outlook on AI investment is contingent on sustained capital expenditure in AI, which may not continue after initial buildouts [15]. Valuation Metrics - CRDO is trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 24, significantly higher than the Electronic-Semiconductors sector's multiple of 8.95, indicating a premium valuation [19]. - In comparison, Broadcom trades at a forward P/S multiple of 19.79, while Cirrus Logic and Marvell are at 2.89 and 7.41, respectively [20]. Investment Considerations - In a market driven by AI trends, CRDO is recognized as a key beneficiary with strong financials and increasing demand, although premium valuation and competitive pressures may limit near-term upside potential [21]. - Analysts suggest a cautious approach, recommending that potential investors wait for a more favorable entry point while existing shareholders may retain their positions due to the company's compelling long-term fundamentals [22].
Stock Screening Made Simple: A Closer Look
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 22:56
Group 1 - Stock screening is a common tool used by investors to navigate the overwhelming number of options available, similar to creating a grocery list [1][9] - The screening process can be tailored to individual preferences, as there is no one-size-fits-all approach [2] - Parameters in stock screening can be fine-tuned for various investing styles, including momentum, value, growth, and income [3] Group 2 - Value investors can utilize parameters such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio, and Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio to identify high-quality stocks trading at a discount [4] - Momentum investing focuses on stocks that have experienced buying pressure, with parameters like percentage price change over the last month and average volume [5] - Growth investing targets companies expected to grow sales and earnings at above-average levels, using parameters like last year's earnings growth rates and expected growth rates for the current year [6][7] Group 3 - Income-focused investing emphasizes dividend-paying stocks, which are often more stable and represent mature companies sharing profits with shareholders [8][10] - Parameters for searching dividend-paying stocks include current dividend yield and the 5-year historical dividend growth rate [10] - Zacks offers many pre-built custom screens for various investment strategies, making the screening process smoother for investors [9][11]
Credo: When Real Execution And Market Mania Collide
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-04 19:17
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group (NASDAQ: CRDO) is a high-speed connectivity solutions company that has experienced significant market interest, with share prices appreciating by nearly 300% over the past year, indicating a need for caution in investment decisions [1] Company Overview - Credo Technology Group specializes in high-speed connectivity solutions, which positions it well within a growing market [1] Market Performance - The company's share price has seen a substantial increase of approximately 300% in the last year, highlighting its strong market performance and investor interest [1]
Credo's Rally Seems To Be In Its Infancy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-02 05:40
Group 1 - The article discusses the significant correction of over 63% in Credo Technology (NASDAQ: CRDO) stock that occurred shortly after reaching a local peak in early February [1] - The author emphasizes the importance of filtering vast amounts of information to extract critical investment ideas, highlighting the expertise of Daniel Sereda, a chief investment analyst [1] - The investment group Beyond the Wall Investing provides access to high-quality analysis and insights that institutional market participants prioritize [1]
Has International Business Machines (IBM) Outpaced Other Computer and Technology Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 14:41
Investors interested in Computer and Technology stocks should always be looking to find the best-performing companies in the group. Is IBM (IBM) one of those stocks right now? Let's take a closer look at the stock's year-to-date performance to find out. IBM is a member of the Computer and Technology sector. This group includes 605 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of #5. The Zacks Sector Rank gauges the strength of our 16 individual sector groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank o ...
CRDO vs. ALAB: Which High Speed Connectivity Stock Has More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-07-22 15:21
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO) and Astera Labs, Inc (ALAB) are emerging players in high-speed connectivity solutions for AI and data center infrastructure, presenting an interesting comparison for investors [1] Group 1: CRDO Overview - CRDO's fiscal 2025 revenues increased by 126% year over year to $436.8 million, with fourth-quarter revenues surging 179.7% year over year to $170 million, indicating strong adoption of its connectivity solutions [2][9] - The company is gaining market presence in Ethernet and Active Electrical Cables (AECs), with AECs showing double-digit sequential growth in the fiscal fourth quarter [3] - CRDO's integrated approach, owning the entire stack of SerDes IP, Retimer ICs, and system-level design, enhances its innovation cycles and cost efficiency [3] - The optical business, particularly for Optical Digital Signal Processors (DSPs), is expected to drive the transition to 200 gig lane speeds, with CRDO's 3-nanometer 200-gig-per-lane optical DSP port speeds reaching up to 1.6 terabits per second [4] - Operating margin expanded by 2,500 basis points in fiscal 2025, showcasing the profitability of CRDO's business model [5] - For fiscal 2026, CRDO anticipates revenues to exceed $800 million, implying over 85% year-over-year growth [6] Group 2: ALAB Overview - Astera Labs reported a 144% year-over-year revenue growth in the last quarter, driven by its Aries and Taurus product lines [7][9] - The company is focusing on portfolio expansion with new products like Scorpio Fabric Switches and optical interconnects, which are expected to enhance its market position [10] - ALAB expects second-quarter 2025 revenues between $170 million and $175 million, reflecting a 7-10% quarter-over-quarter increase [11] - Increased R&D investment may impact margins if revenue growth does not keep pace, with operating expenses projected between $73 million and $75 million in the second quarter of 2025 [12] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - Over the past month, CRDO and ALAB have gained 13.2% and 41.8%, respectively [15] - CRDO is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 19.30X, while ALAB's ratio is 24.64X [16] - Analysts have significantly revised estimates for CRDO's bottom line upward in the past 60 days, while ALAB has seen marginal upward revisions [20][21] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Both CRDO and ALAB are well-positioned to benefit from the growing AI-driven data center market [22] - CRDO currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), while ALAB has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting CRDO may be a better investment pick at this time [22]
CRDO Eyes Growth: Will Retimer Business Fuel its Revenue Engine?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 14:16
Core Insights - The PCIe interface is crucial for AI clusters, facilitating high-speed connections among GPUs, CPUs, and endpoints, with increasing demand for faster data transmission and efficient hardware interconnects as AI workloads grow more complex [1][2] - Credo Technology Group's retimer solutions effectively address these demands, enhancing system performance and connectivity by minimizing data transfer bottlenecks [1][3] PCIe Retimer Market Overview - The PCIe Retimer market was valued at $1.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $2.8 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 11.5% from 2026 to 2033, indicating strong growth potential [5] - Credo's retimer business is positioned as a key growth driver, with expected revenues exceeding $800 million in fiscal 2026, reflecting over 85% year-over-year growth [5][8] Product and Technology Advancements - Credo's retimers and PCIe OSFP-XD AECs enhance PCIe cabling by overcoming limitations of PCB and passive cables, extending reach up to seven meters for in-rack and rack-to-rack applications [2] - The new PCIe Gen6 Retimer family, particularly the 2CAN Retimer, has passed compliance testing and demonstrated strong performance, with live demonstrations confirming its capabilities [3][4] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Astera Labs and Broadcom are advancing in the PCIe Retimer market, with Astera Labs focusing on next-gen data center infrastructure and Broadcom targeting enterprise and hyperscale data centers [6][8] - Broadcom's portfolio includes advanced technologies aimed at enhancing performance and connectivity across AI-driven infrastructure, further intensifying competition in the market [8][9] Financial Performance and Valuation - CRDO shares have surged 216.6% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry's growth of 27.9% [10] - The forward 12-month price/sales ratio for CRDO is 18.86, higher than the sector's multiple of 8.78, indicating strong market expectations [11]
Buy 3 AI Infrastructure Stocks Backed by Past Month's Solid Momentum
ZACKS· 2025-07-17 14:31
Industry Overview - The artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure sector is experiencing significant growth, with a bullish demand scenario and a projected capital expenditure increase of 46% year-over-year, reaching $325 billion by 2025 [3][4]. - The total addressable global sovereign AI market is estimated to be $1.5 trillion, indicating vast opportunities for investment and development in various fields such as healthcare, energy, and cybersecurity [4]. Company Highlights Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (CRDO) - Credo Technology is focused on high-performance serial connectivity solutions, particularly in AI server markets, with its Active Electrical Cables (AEC) gaining traction due to their reliability [9][10]. - The company has achieved significant milestones, including an 800-gig transceiver DSP design win and the introduction of ultra-low-power optical DSPs, which are expected to enhance industry standards [11][14]. - CRDO anticipates a revenue growth rate of 85.8% and earnings growth of over 100% for the current fiscal year, with a 37% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [14]. Jabil Inc. (JBL) - Jabil is benefiting from strong momentum in AI-powered data center infrastructure and has a diversified product portfolio that enhances its resilience against macroeconomic disruptions [15][16]. - The company has a projected revenue growth rate of 5.6% and earnings growth of 17.8% for the next fiscal year, with an 8.4% increase in earnings estimates over the past 30 days [17]. Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) - Lumentum designs and manufactures optical technologies that support AI applications, with a focus on high-speed telecommunications and data centers [18][20]. - The company has a strong collaboration with NVIDIA in developing photonic solutions, which are crucial for AI infrastructure [21]. - LITE expects a revenue growth rate of 32.8% and earnings growth of over 100% for the current fiscal year, with a slight improvement in earnings estimates recently [21].
Credo Bets Big on AEC Business: Will It Deliver Sustainable Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 15:15
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is strategically focusing on its Active Electrical Cable (AEC) product line, which has shown double-digit sequential growth in fiscal Q4 2025, with three hyperscalers contributing over 10% to quarterly revenues, indicating a growing market for Credo's solutions [1][2] Group 1: AEC Product Line - The AECs are becoming the "de-facto standard for intra-rack applications" in data centers, driven by their reliability, which is over 100 times better than laser-based optical solutions, and improved signal integrity compared to traditional direct attached cables (DACs) [2][11] - Credo's integrated system-level approach, encompassing SerDes IP, Retimer ICs, and system-level design, enhances innovation cycles and cost efficiency, positioning AECs as a growth engine for future revenues [3] Group 2: Revenue Projections - For fiscal 2026, Credo anticipates revenues to exceed $800 million, reflecting an over 85% year-over-year growth [4][11] - The company's shares have increased by 28.7% over the past month, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry, which grew by 9.9% [10] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Broadcom and Marvell Technology are also experiencing growth, with Broadcom reporting a 20% revenue increase driven by AI semiconductors, and Marvell expecting revenues of approximately $2 billion for Q2 fiscal 2026, indicating a 57% year-over-year growth [6][9]