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Steven Cress Reviews His Top 10 Stocks For 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-16 22:20
Core Insights - The top 10 stock picks for 2025 yielded a return of 45.6%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's return of 17.6% [34] - The market has experienced volatility due to various factors, including trade disputes and shifts in investor sentiment towards safe havens like gold and silver [8][15] - The performance of stocks is heavily influenced by market sentiment, with a notable shift back to fundamentals following a truce in U.S.-China trade relations [37] Market Overview - The U.S. Dollar Index has decreased by approximately 9.5% year-to-date, indicating a shift away from the U.S. dollar [9] - Technology sector stocks have seen a year-to-date increase of 27%, while consumer staples and healthcare sectors have shown mixed performance [12] - The S&P 500 experienced a maximum pullback of 15% earlier in the year, which historically presents a buying opportunity for long-term investors [19] Stock Performance - The top 10 stocks included companies like Celestica and Credo, which have shown substantial growth, with Celestica up 240% since January 9 [54] - OppFi, initially performing well, faced challenges due to market sentiment but has recently returned to a Buy rating [56] - Stride has been downgraded to a Sell due to poor momentum and analyst revisions, reflecting a significant decline in performance [91] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times in the latter half of the year, indicating concerns about the labor market [23] - Major brokerage firms have reduced recession odds following a truce in trade disputes, which has positively impacted market sentiment [24] - Inflation remains a concern, complicating the Fed's decision-making regarding interest rates [25] Future Outlook - The upcoming webinar on January 6 will present the top stock picks for 2026, with expectations of continued focus on companies with strong fundamentals [98] - Analysts are optimistic about the growth potential of companies like Credo, which has a projected earnings growth rate of 78% over the next three to five years [51] - The market remains top-heavy, with 35% of the total market cap attributed to the Magnificent 7 stocks, raising questions about valuation sustainability [30]
MRVL Strengthens AI Connectivity Stack: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-12-16 16:31
Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) is positioning itself as a significant player in connectivity hardware solutions for AI infrastructure and data centers through its Golden Cable initiative, aimed at enhancing the Active Electrical Cable (AEC) ecosystem for quicker AI infrastructure deployment by cloud and hyperscaler customers [1][10] Group 1: Product and Technology Developments - AECs are essential for high-density, short-reach connections within and between racks, supporting next-generation 1.6T connectivity for ultra-fast networks. The Golden Cable initiative will allow MRVL's partners to validate cable architectures and receive support for integration and interoperability [2] - The company is benefiting from the adoption of scale-up switches that connect AI accelerators, which require multi-terabit bandwidth and ultra-low latency, supporting both open standard Ethernet and UALink fabrics [3] - Volume shipments of MRVL's next-generation 200G per lane 1.6T PAM DSPs are contributing positively to the company's performance, alongside the adoption of its Alaska PCIe 6 retimer product line by leading AI and data center infrastructure companies [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2026, MRVL's data center revenues reached $1.52 billion, marking a 37.8% year-over-year increase and a 1.8% sequential rise, driven by strong demand for electro-optic interconnect products and next-generation switch offerings. Carrier infrastructure revenues surged 98% year-over-year and 29% sequentially to $167.8 million [5][10] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Marvell Technology competes with Broadcom (AVGO) and Credo Technology (CRDO) in the connectivity market. Credo has a diverse portfolio and is experiencing strong growth in its AEC business, while Broadcom maintains a strong position in carrier Ethernet and telecom optical interconnects [6][7] Group 4: Valuation and Market Performance - MRVL shares have increased by 20.4% over the past six months, compared to a 36.8% growth in the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 7.35X, slightly below the industry's average of 7.46X. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MRVL's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 81% and 26%, respectively, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [11]
Top Stock Picks for Week of December 15, 2025
[Music] Stocks our strategists feel are poised to deliver positive returns are featured now in their top stock picks of the week. Welcome back to this week's top stock picks for the week of December 15th. My top pick is Crito Technology Group.Credo makes active electrical cables. So if you see the acronym AEC and they're often purple. We're going to get a a look at that as as this uh their homepage rolls by here.Um, and Jensen uses these for Nvidia uh, rack scale architectures. They're copper. Jensen still ...
Top 10 Quant Stocks 2025 Review: Steve Cress on 45% Returns, AI Winners & GARP Strategy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-15 15:06
Core Insights - The discussion focuses on the performance of the Top 10 stocks for 2025, highlighting the effectiveness of a quantitative (Quant) investment strategy that combines fundamental analysis with algorithmic processing to identify strong investment opportunities. Group 1: Quantitative Investment Strategy - The Quant system utilizes mathematical algorithms to identify investment opportunities, reflecting the work of traditional fundamental analysts while covering a broader range of stocks [10][12]. - The GARP (Growth At a Reasonable Price) strategy is emphasized, focusing on companies that exhibit strong value, profitability, growth, momentum, and analyst EPS revisions [10][11]. - The Quant system has shown significant performance, with a five-year return of 228% compared to Wall Street Strong Buys at 32% and the S&P 500 at 65% [14]. Group 2: Market Recap and Sentiment Analysis - The year 2025 has been characterized by volatility, with the CNN Fear & Greed Index showing sharp movements between extreme greed and fear, influenced by trade policy changes, labor data, and economic uncertainties [16][18]. - Key catalysts affecting market sentiment include U.S.-China trade disputes, conflicting labor data, a credit downgrade, and concerns over tech valuations and the AI bubble [17][18]. - The market has seen a rotation towards safe-haven assets like gold and consumer staples during periods of fear, while technology and cryptocurrency sectors have experienced risk-on sentiment [20][21]. Group 3: Performance of Top Stocks - The Top 10 stocks for 2025 have collectively outperformed the S&P 500, with an average return of 45.68% since January 9, compared to the S&P's 17.6% [43]. - Notable performers include Credo Technology, up 116%, and Celestica, up 240%, both benefiting from strong demand in AI-related sectors [55][60]. - The performance of stocks can fluctuate significantly due to market sentiment, with strong fundamentals often overlooked during periods of fear, leading to substantial upside potential when sentiment shifts back to fundamentals [44][46]. Group 4: Economic Indicators and Future Outlook - Economic data has been mixed, with the Federal Reserve cutting rates three times in the latter half of the year due to labor market concerns and inflation remaining sticky [31][32]. - Major brokerage firms have reduced recession odds following a truce in trade disputes, indicating a potential stabilization in market conditions [32]. - The upcoming Top 10 stocks for 2026 will be announced on January 6, with expectations that the market may present buying opportunities during any pullbacks [30].
Oracle, Marvell, And Oklo Are Among Top 10 Large Cap Losers Last Week (Dec. 8-Dec. 12): Are the Others in Your Portfolio? - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ALNY), AeroVironment (NASDAQ:AVAV), Bloom En
Benzinga· 2025-12-14 13:44
Core Insights - Several large-cap stocks experienced significant declines last week, indicating a broader market weakness affecting various sectors [1][2][3][4][5][6] Technology Sector - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd saw a drop of 20.09% due to weakness in the technology sector, influenced by Broadcom's cautious outlook and Oracle's delayed data center projects for OpenAI [2] - Oracle Corporation's shares fell 14.31% after reporting Q2 sales below estimates, leading to multiple analysts lowering their price targets [5] - Marvell Technology, Inc. decreased by 6.37% amid reports of Microsoft potentially switching to Broadcom for custom AI chip designs [4] Energy and Nuclear Sector - Bloom Energy Corporation's shares slumped 20.68%, reflecting overall market weakness affecting electrical equipment companies [1] - Oklo Inc. decreased by 16.73%, with uranium and nuclear-linked stocks facing pressure from Oracle's delayed data centers [3] Mixed Earnings and Guidance - AeroVironment, Inc. decreased by 15% after reporting mixed earnings and guidance, although Goldman Sachs maintained a Buy rating while lowering the price forecast from $486 to $429 [4] - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. saw a decline of 11.06% this week, contributing to the overall negative sentiment in the market [4] Other Notable Declines - Vertiv Holdings, LLC decreased by 13.55% following a downgrade from Wolfe Research [3] - CoreWeave, Inc. fell by 5.52%, caught in the broader tech sell-off triggered by Oracle's mixed fiscal second-quarter earnings [5] - Nebius Group N.V. experienced a decline of 9.61% this week, reflecting the overall market trend [6]
Credo: Record Q2 Validates AI Interconnect Thesis
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-13 10:09
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who buy shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to assist in visualizing market movements and potential price actions [1]
Credo: AEC Dominance, Pricing Power, And Operating Leverage Justify Premium Valuations
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-12 16:15
Core Insights - The article presents a perspective from a full-time analyst who aims to provide contrasting views on stock portfolios based on their unique insights and experience in the investment field [1] Group 1 - The analyst holds a beneficial long position in shares of NVDA and AVGO, indicating confidence in these stocks [2] - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting personal in-depth research and due diligence before making investment decisions, highlighting the inherent risks involved [3] - It clarifies that the analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered professional investment advice [3] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific financial data or performance metrics related to NVDA or AVGO, focusing instead on the analyst's personal insights and investment philosophy [1][2][3]
Credo: The Vendor AI Giants Can't Replace
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-11 15:25
Core Viewpoint - Credo Technology (CRDO) is transitioning from a component vendor to a reliability architect for AI clusters, emphasizing its Active Electrical Cable (AEC) which offers up to 1,000 times better reliability and significantly lower power consumption [1]. Group 1: Company Strategy - The company's shift in focus aims to enhance its role in the AI cluster market, positioning itself as a key player in reliability architecture [1]. - The AEC product is a cornerstone of this strategy, providing substantial improvements in reliability and efficiency, which are critical for AI applications [1]. Group 2: Investment Potential - The investment thesis for CRDO is based on its potential to capitalize on the growing demand for reliable AI infrastructure, suggesting a favorable outlook for long-term growth [1].
Momentum Group: Strong M&A Offsetting Organic Slowdown
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-11 15:25
Momentum Group AB (OTCPK: MMGRF ) contributes to what I call the Olympus of Swedish serial acquirers. A group of acquisition-driven industrial companies that consist of high-quality businesses, leading in various niches, but with the ability to successfullya 22-year-old self-taught investor, who is currently aiming for his Master of Science in Business Administration with focus on finance and accounting, meanwhile writing about interesting businesses.As an investor, I want to be involved in high-quality com ...
Credo Technology: Why I Am Still Bullish
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-11 04:30
Core Insights - Kennedy is a GARP-themed investor focusing on companies with aggressive growth prospects that are expected to become highly profitable within 1-2 years [1] - The investment philosophy emphasizes long-term discipline, consistent alpha generation, and a consideration of risk [1] - The goal is to empower the underprivileged and enhance financial literacy through investment insights [1] Company and Industry Summary - The investment strategy targets companies that are on a growth trajectory, indicating a preference for sectors with high potential for expansion [1] - The approach suggests a focus on identifying undervalued stocks that can deliver significant returns in the near term [1] - The emphasis on financial literacy indicates a broader mission to educate investors, potentially impacting market participation from less privileged demographics [1]