By Marianna Parraga Jan 6 (Reuters) - Venezuela was loading crude only for U.S. major Chevron on Tuesday, while operations by state-run oil firm PDVSA to load cargoes for its main customers in China ​remained on hold for a fifth day, shipping data showed. U.S. forces captured President Nicolas Maduro on ‌Saturday and took him to New York to face drug charges. Interim President Delcy Rodriguez is now running the government, which the U.S. ‌has said it will oversee. The United States imposed a blockade o ...

美国《华尔街日报》6日爆料称，就在美军1月3日强行控制马杜罗总统夫妇的大约一个月前，美国总统 特朗普曾向几名美国石油公司高管传递了一个模糊但具诱惑力的信息："做好准备。"美媒称，特朗普当 时暗示，委内瑞拉即将发生巨变。 知情人士透露，虽然特朗普给了这些高管暗示，但他并未明确告知他们关于1月3日凌晨对加拉加斯发动 袭击的行动具体细节。美媒称，特朗普的暗示凸显了他与能源行业的紧密关联。特朗普的计划将在很大 程度上取决于美国石油公司是否愿意向委内瑞拉投资，尤其是目前唯一仍在当地运营的美国大公司雪佛 龙的态度。强行控制马杜罗后，特朗普3日在记者会上称："我们将让规模庞大的美国石油公司——那些 世界上规模最大的公司——进入委内瑞拉，投入数以十亿计美元，修复严重破损的基础设施，尤其是石 油基础设施。" 不过，4名熟悉此事的石油行业高管6日告诉路透社，美国三大石油公司——埃克森美孚、康菲石油和雪 佛龙尚未就委内瑞拉业务问题一事与政府进行任何对话。这与特朗普声称自己已在马杜罗被强行控制前 后与"所有"美国石油公司举行过会晤的说法相矛盾。知情人士称，目前雪佛龙对在委内瑞拉投入新资本 持谨慎态度。康菲石油与埃克森美孚目前尚未暗示 ...

2026.01. 07 本文字数：1688，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 钱小岩 封图 | 停泊在委内瑞拉苏利亚州马拉开波湖上的油轮 （新华社资料图） 美国能强行控制马杜罗，但要控制委内瑞拉的石油产业就没这么容易了。 据新华社报道，特朗普计划本周晚些时候召集美国石油巨头高管，商讨提高委内瑞拉石油产量事宜。 在美国干预委内瑞拉后的首场记者会，特朗普就毫不隐讳地表示，美国大型石油公司将前往委内瑞 拉。 上海国际问题研究院外交政策研究所所长牛海彬向第一财经记者表示，石油资源是特朗普对委内瑞拉 发起军事行动的重要考虑。美国副总统万斯1月4日在声明中也承认，石油是美国对委内瑞拉展开军 事行动的理由之一。 但事实上，委内瑞拉的石油很难立即成为"提款机"，这就解释了在特朗普的一腔热情下，美国石油 巨头的表态却趋向于保守。委内瑞拉石油出口如今已处于瘫痪状态，要恢复到往日的繁荣，需要长年 投入大量资金，而在这一过程中充满了不确定性。 美国油企与委内瑞拉 美军1月3日强行控制委内瑞拉总统马杜罗及其夫人并将其转移到美国国内，美国总统特朗普当天 就"预告"美国石油企业将大举投资委内瑞拉丰富的石油资源，恢复其石油出口，"为美 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chevron (CVX) shares have gained traction following the U.S. administration's military action in Venezuela, which is perceived as a favorable opportunity for U.S. oil companies [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Chevron's stock has broken above its major resistance level at $154, indicating bullish momentum in the near term [1]. - Despite the recent rally, Chevron's stock is still down approximately 5% from its 52-week high [2]. Group 2: Strategic Positioning - As the only major U.S. oil producer with ongoing operations in Venezuela, Chevron is well-positioned to lead reconstruction efforts in the country post-conflict [3]. - The anticipated regime change is expected to lift sanctions, allowing Chevron to recover billions in past debts, thereby enhancing its balance sheet significantly [3][4]. Group 3: Production Potential - Access to Venezuela's extensive oil reserves could substantially increase Chevron's production from the current level of 250,000 barrels per day [4]. Group 4: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citi analysts have maintained a "Buy" rating on Chevron, projecting that the stock could reach $179 in the near term, indicating a potential upside of 10% from current levels [5]. - The consensus rating for Chevron stock is currently "Moderate Buy," with price targets reaching as high as $206, suggesting a potential upside of 26% [8]. Group 5: Dividend Yield - Chevron offers a dividend yield of over 4%, making it an attractive long-term investment option [6].

Core Insights - The recent political changes in Venezuela, particularly the ousting of President Nicolas Maduro by US President Trump, have revitalized interest in oil markets, especially for US equities that may benefit from access to Venezuelan crude [3][4] - Despite the political upheaval, oil prices have not seen significant upward movement, with ICE Brent trading above $62 per barrel, indicating a slow recovery from previous losses [8] - OPEC+ has decided to maintain current production quotas in Q1 2026, reflecting concerns over market stability and a weaker demand outlook [9] Company Developments - US oil major Chevron's shares have increased by 8% since the start of 2026, while refiner Valero Energy has seen an 11% rise in the same period [4] - US utility firm Vistra has agreed to acquire Cogentrix Energy for approximately $4.7 billion, which will enhance its portfolio with 10 natural gas-fired power plants [7] - Colombia's state energy firm Ecopetrol has taken full control of offshore blocks in its maritime zone after Shell relinquished three offshore gas projects [6] Market Trends - The S&P 500 Energy index has risen by 5% in 2025, outperforming the broader S&P 500, which only increased by 0.4% [5] - TotalEnergies has established a new joint venture in Nigeria with Chevron, acquiring a 40% stake in exploration licenses PPL 2000 and PPL 2001 [7]

北京时间1月6日晚，美股周二早盘小幅上扬。能源板块连续第二个交易日上涨。交易员在本周多项关键 数据公布前仍保持乐观。 道指涨142.70点，涨幅为0.29%，报49119.88点；纳指涨109.20点，涨幅为0.47%，报23505.02点；标普 500指数涨26.95点，涨幅为0.39%，报6929.00点。 周一美股收高，道指创历史新高。美国抓捕委内瑞拉领导人马杜罗后，美国总统特朗普呼吁美国能源巨 头投资这个石油资源丰富的国家，推动能源板块大涨。雪佛龙和埃克森美孚均录得显著涨幅，标普500 能源板块创下自7月8日以来的最大单日涨幅。 Innovator ETFs机构研究与投资策略主管Tom O'Shea表示："从历史上看，引发重大新闻的地缘政治事件 通常会造成短期波动并导致股价下跌。然而，此次标普500指数在行动后的首个交易日却上涨，能源股 领涨，市场预期美国企业可能从委内瑞拉潜在的基础设施重建中获益。国防股、贵金属和比特币也同步 上涨，表明投资者反应复杂多元。" 周二能源股再度上涨，雪佛龙、埃克森美孚、哈里伯顿及斯伦贝谢等个股普涨。 尽管委内瑞拉局势紧张，但投资者仍持续加仓股票，几乎未受干扰，推动由科技 ...

Key Takeaways CVX trades at a premium 23X forward P/E despite oil under $60 and weakening earnings forecasts.Chevron's earnings are more exposed to crude price volatility than peers like ExxonMobil and Shell.Downstream strength offers stability, but low oil prices still weigh heavily on Chevron's outlook.Chevron Corporation (CVX) heads into 2026 against a difficult backdrop, with oil prices stuck below $60 and global supply risks skewed toward oversupply. Over the past year, the stock has lagged the S&P 500 ...

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A key criterion for stock selection is insider buying at the new lower price, which may indicate confidence in the company's future [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines are used for visualizing support and resistance, and trend lines are drawn to identify patterns [1]

Core Insights - The recent political changes in Venezuela, including the removal of President Nicolas Maduro, have shifted investor focus to the country's oil sector, which is set for restructuring under U.S. oversight, benefiting Chevron Corp. as the only U.S. oil company active in Venezuela [3][6] - Chevron's stock saw a significant increase of nearly 6% (5.8%) following the news, indicating strong investor interest in energy stocks, particularly in oil [3] Chevron's Position in Venezuela - Chevron operates five exploration and drilling projects in Venezuela, covering 74,000 acres, positioning the company to deliver heavy crude to the U.S. market [4] - The company has established deepwater drilling operations in the Gulf of America, enhancing its upstream capabilities while also being prepared for downstream operations [4] Refining Capabilities - Chevron owns a sophisticated refining system on the U.S. Gulf Coast, particularly its Pascagoula, Mississippi refinery, which is designed to process heavy, sour crude from Venezuela [5] - This refining capability provides Chevron with a structural advantage, allowing it to efficiently process discounted heavy crude and capture higher refining margins as Venezuelan production potentially increases [5] Market Outlook - While the opportunity in Venezuela is significant for Chevron, the recovery of oil production is expected to take years, which may lead to near-term volatility in Chevron's stock [6]

Venezuela's main oil ports on Tuesday entered their fifth day without delivering crude for state-run PDVSA's customers in Asia, which are the OPEC country's main buyers, shipping data showed, as the U... ...