Company Overview - Dana Incorporated is a leader in designing and manufacturing efficient propulsion and energy-management solutions for vehicles and machines globally [3][4] - The company reported sales of $10.3 billion in 2024 and employs 39,000 people across 30 countries [4] - Dana has been recognized as one of the "World's Most Ethical Companies" for 2025 and one of "America's Most Responsible Companies 2025" [4] Upcoming Financial Results - Dana will release its 2025 second-quarter financial results on August 5, 2025, with a press release at approximately 7 a.m. EDT [1] - A conference call and webcast will follow at 9 a.m. EDT, where senior management will discuss the results and answer questions [1] Accessing Conference Call - The conference call can be accessed via a toll-free number for domestic participants and a toll number for international participants [2] - Audio streaming and presentation slides will be available on Dana's investor website, with a replay accessible after the call [2]

Company Overview - Dana (DAN) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings of +29% to $0.40 per share, despite a revenue decline of 9.4% to $2.48 billion for the quarter ended June 2025 [3][12] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Dana is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +10.90%, indicating a strong likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12] Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Dana has been revised 2.35% higher over the last 30 days, reflecting a positive reassessment by analysts [4] - The earnings report is crucial for stock movement; better-than-expected results could drive the stock higher, while a miss may lead to a decline [2][15] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10] - Dana currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, further supporting the expectation of an earnings beat [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Dana had an earnings surprise of -23.53%, with actual earnings of $0.13 per share compared to an expected $0.17 [13] - Over the past four quarters, Dana has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14] Industry Context - In the Zacks Automotive - Original Equipment industry, Lear (LEA) is expected to report earnings of $3.23 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -10.3%, with revenues projected at $5.89 billion, down 2% [18] - Lear has an Earnings ESP of +0.27% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [19]

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Core Viewpoint - Several companies are enhancing shareholder value through dividends, buybacks, and debt paydown, which can lower risk and potentially increase stock value [1][2]. Group 1: Thor Industries - Thor Industries announced a $400 million buyback program, representing approximately 8.1% of its market capitalization [2][3]. - The company has repurchased over 340,000 shares, spending over $29 million from June 6 to June 23, indicating a belief that its shares are undervalued [3]. - Thor Industries has a dividend yield of 2.2%, contributing to its overall yield generation strategy [3]. Group 2: Fair Isaac - Fair Isaac announced a $1 billion buyback program, which is about 2.2% of its market capitalization of approximately $45 billion [4][5]. - The company has increased its buyback spending to nearly $300 million per quarter over the last 12 months, suggesting a view that its shares are undervalued [5][6]. - As of July 3, Fair Isaac's stock was trading around 21% below its all-time high, with a consensus price target implying over 24% upside potential [6]. Group 3: Dana - Dana plans to reduce its debt significantly by using $2.4 billion from the sale of its off-highway business, targeting a $2 billion debt paydown, which equates to a 77% debt paydown yield [8][9]. - The company intends to allocate $1 billion for dividends and buybacks through 2027, representing over 38% of its market capitalization [9]. - Dana's current dividend yield is 2.2%, and it aims to utilize multiple pathways to generate shareholder value [9][10].

Core Insights - Investors are evaluating the attractiveness of Dana (DAN) and Ferrari (RACE) for value investment opportunities [1] - Both companies currently have a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions and an improving earnings outlook [3] Valuation Metrics - DAN has a forward P/E ratio of 11.21, while RACE has a significantly higher forward P/E of 49.17 [5] - The PEG ratio for DAN is 1.08, suggesting a more favorable valuation relative to its expected earnings growth, compared to RACE's PEG ratio of 5.53 [5] - DAN's P/B ratio stands at 1.76, indicating a lower market value relative to its book value, whereas RACE has a P/B ratio of 31.3 [6] Value Grades - Based on the valuation metrics, DAN holds a Value grade of A, while RACE has a Value grade of D, suggesting that DAN is currently the superior value option [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher," contrasting with traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Characteristics - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum when their valuations exceed future growth potential [2] - Investing in bargain stocks with recent price momentum may be a safer approach [3] Group 2: Stock Analysis - Dana (DAN) - Dana (DAN) has shown a four-week price change of 3%, indicating growing investor interest [4] - Over the past 12 weeks, DAN's stock price has increased by 38.9%, with a beta of 2.11, suggesting it moves 111% higher than the market [5] - DAN has a Momentum Score of A, indicating a favorable time to invest [6] Group 3: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions has contributed to DAN's Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), which is associated with strong momentum effects [7] - DAN is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.25, indicating it is reasonably valued at 25 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 4: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides DAN, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen [8] - Investors can explore over 45 Zacks Premium Screens tailored to identify winning stock picks [9]

Summary of Dana (DAN) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - Dana is a leading supplier of drivetrain and e-propulsion systems, focusing on commercial and light vehicle markets [1][16]. Key Developments - **Off Highway Divestiture**: Dana announced the sale of its off-highway business to Allison for an enterprise value of approximately $2.7 billion, expecting to net around $2.4 billion after taxes and fees [2][7]. This divestiture is seen as a strategic move to enhance shareholder value and improve the company's balance sheet [3][4]. Financial Implications - **Debt Repayment**: Dana plans to use about $2 billion from the sale proceeds to reduce its debt, targeting a net leverage of 1x over the business cycle [9][37]. - **Capital Returns**: The company announced a plan to return up to $1 billion to shareholders through 2027, with $550 million expected to be returned around the closing of the deal [10][11]. Strategic Focus - **New Dana**: Post-divestiture, Dana aims to focus on its remaining businesses, enhancing profitability and efficiency while delivering best-in-class technologies [16][17]. The company is undergoing a cost reduction program targeting $300 million in savings, with $225 million expected to be realized this year [18][19]. Market Dynamics - **Production Stability**: Dana has observed stability in production schedules for light vehicle programs, which is beneficial for converting sales into profit [30][31]. However, there is ongoing weakness in the commercial vehicle sector due to macroeconomic factors [30]. Competitive Positioning - **Hybrid and EV Opportunities**: Dana sees significant growth potential in hybrid and electric vehicle markets, emphasizing its energy source agnostic approach [50][52]. The company is well-positioned to leverage its technologies in both traditional and emerging powertrains [51][56]. Operational Efficiency - **Cost Structure Review**: Dana is actively reviewing its cost structure, particularly in SG&A, to enhance operational efficiency [20][21]. The management is focused on maintaining profitability without pursuing growth for its own sake [40][41]. Customer Relationships - **Positive Customer Response**: Customers have responded positively to the divestiture, appreciating Dana's strong balance sheet and commitment to investing in their programs [28][49]. Industry Outlook - **M&A Considerations**: While there is ongoing discussion about consolidation in the industry, Dana is currently prioritizing the optimization of its existing portfolio over new acquisitions [45][46]. Conclusion - Dana is strategically positioning itself for future growth by focusing on its core businesses, enhancing operational efficiency, and capitalizing on opportunities in the hybrid and electric vehicle markets. The divestiture of the off-highway business is a pivotal move aimed at strengthening the company's financial health and shareholder returns.

Group 1 - Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) has agreed to acquire Dana Inc.'s Off-Highway business for approximately $2.7 billion, which manufactures mobile drivetrains and motion systems for heavy-duty vehicles [1][8] - The acquisition will allow Dana to streamline operations and focus on light- and commercial-vehicle supply, aligning with its cost-cutting efforts amid economic pressures [2][4] - Dana's Off-Highway business represented 27% of its total revenues of $10.28 billion in 2024 and operates in over 25 countries with a global customer base [3][8] Group 2 - The integration of expertise from both companies is expected to create new growth opportunities and develop tailored solutions for customers [4] - The transaction is projected to generate annual run-rate synergies of approximately $120 million and is planned to close by the end of Q4 2025, financed through cash and debt [4][8] - ALSN stock has increased by 39.2% over the past year, contrasting with a 5.7% decline in the industry [6]

Dana Incorporated Off Highway Business Divestiture Update Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Dana Incorporated (DAN) - **Event**: Off Highway Business Divestiture Update Conference Call - **Date**: June 12, 2025 Key Points Industry and Transaction Details - Dana announced the sale of its Off Highway business to Allison Transmission Holdings for an enterprise value of **$2.7 billion** [6] - The transaction is structured as a **100% cash deal** and is expected to close in **late Q4 2025**, subject to regulatory approvals [10][11] - The sale is expected to generate approximately **$2.4 billion** in net proceeds after liabilities, fees, taxes, and separation costs [10] Financial Implications - The sale allows Dana to achieve a **7x multiple** on the expected Off Highway 2025 adjusted EBITDA, capturing value not reflected in its stock price [7] - Dana plans to use about **$2 billion** of the proceeds to pay down debt, targeting a net leverage ratio of **1x** over the business cycle [11][17] - A total capital return of **$1 billion** to shareholders is planned through **2027**, with **$550 million** expected to be returned around the closing time [11][18] Business Focus Post-Divestiture - Post-transaction, Dana will focus on two main business segments: **light vehicle** and **commercial vehicle systems**, emphasizing leadership in both traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) and electrification technologies [13] - The aftermarket business is projected to contribute **10-12%** of total sales, providing a higher EBITDA margin profile [14] Cost Reduction and Financial Performance - Dana is on track with a **$300 million** cost savings plan, with **$225 million** expected to be realized this year [20][21] - The company anticipates generating **$225 million** in free cash flow for the year, aligning with estimates [20] - Adjusted EBITDA margins are expected to reach **10-10.5%** in 2026, with ongoing margin improvement initiatives [21][49] Market Outlook - North American commercial vehicle demand is expected to soften, while light vehicle demand remains stable [19] - The company is experiencing a decline in tariff exposure, which is becoming less of a risk [20] - Dana's backlog includes a robust pipeline of new business opportunities in both light and commercial vehicle segments [22] Shareholder Returns and Capital Allocation - The return of capital to shareholders will be executed through dividends and opportunistic share repurchases, with a focus on maintaining a conservative balance sheet [17][18][44] - The company is committed to returning **$1 billion** to shareholders, which represents approximately **40%** of its market cap [17] Additional Insights - The retained Off Highway business, generating about **$130 million** in sales, is expected to have marginal EBITDA contributions [59] - Dana's electrification strategy is being reassessed to align with market realities, with a focus on improving near-term cash flow [24][85] - The company is not heavily focused on regional market dynamics but rather on product capabilities and customer needs [93][96] Conclusion Dana Incorporated's divestiture of its Off Highway business marks a significant strategic shift aimed at enhancing shareholder value and focusing on core business segments. The transaction is expected to strengthen the company's balance sheet, improve financial flexibility, and position Dana for future growth in the light and commercial vehicle markets.

Acquisition Overview - Allison Transmission is acquiring Dana Off-Highway Business for approximately $2.7 billion[11] - The purchase price represents 6.8x Adjusted EBITDA (LTM 12/31/24) of approximately $400 million[11] and 5.2x including estimated run-rate synergies of approximately $120 million[11] - The deal is expected to close in late Q4 2025[11] Financial Highlights - The company anticipates net leverage of less than 3.0x at close, with a near-term target of less than 2.0x[11] - The acquisition is anticipated to be immediately accretive to diluted earnings per share[11] - Allison had $753 million in cash and $744 million available under the revolving credit facility as of March 31, 2025[11] Strategic Rationale - The acquisition expands Allison's global platform and end-market expertise[10] - It accelerates product innovation and enhances alternative propulsion capabilities[10] - The combination expands into adjacent, diverse, and attractive end-markets[10] Dana Off-Highway Business - Dana Off-Highway reported approximately $2.8 billion in net sales in 2024[16] - The business generated approximately $400 million in Adjusted EBITDA in 2024[16] - Free cash flow for Dana Off-Highway was approximately $280 million in 2024[16] Combined Company - The combined company is expected to achieve $6.0 billion in net sales[38] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to increase by 40% to $1.6-1.7 billion[38] - The combined Adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to be 27-29%[39] End-Market Mix - The combined company's end-market mix will include 45% On-Highway, 4% Defense, and 51% Off-Highway[32, 33] - Construction & Forestry represents 35% of Dana Off-Highway's end-market mix[18] - Agriculture accounts for 18% of Dana Off-Highway's end-market mix[18]