Core Insights - D.R. Horton reported a revenue of $6.89 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 9.5% and an EPS of $2.03, down from $2.61 a year ago, although the revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.91% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The average selling price for homes closed was $365.5 million, slightly above the average estimate of $362.65 million [4] - Homes closed totaled 17,818, surpassing the average estimate of 17,341 [4] - Net sales orders for homes were 18,300, slightly below the average estimate of 18,613 [4] - The sales order backlog stood at 11,376, below the average estimate of 11,995 [4] Geographic Revenue Breakdown - Homebuilding revenue in the Northwest was $546.7 million, exceeding the estimate of $526.71 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 2.5% [4] - Homebuilding revenue in the North reached $989.5 million, above the estimate of $957.85 million, with a year-over-year increase of 5% [4] - Homebuilding revenue in the Southwest was $894.7 million, below the estimate of $948.6 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 21.5% [4] - Homebuilding revenue in South Central was $1.39 billion, slightly above the estimate of $1.35 billion, but down 6.6% year-over-year [4] Revenue Sources - Home sales revenue was $6.51 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $6.29 billion, but down 8.9% year-over-year [4] - Rental revenue was $109.5 million, significantly below the average estimate of $181.48 million, marking a year-over-year decline of 49.7% [4] - Financial services revenue was $184.6 million, above the average estimate of $168.25 million, with a year-over-year increase of 1.3% [4] - Overall homebuilding revenue was $6.53 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $6.31 billion, but down 8.9% year-over-year [4] Stock Performance - D.R. Horton shares have returned +2.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) has shown strong performance in the homebuilding sector, with significant revenue and profit growth, and is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities, particularly in the context of interest rates and housing policy discussions [2][3]. Financial Performance - D.R. Horton reported fiscal first-quarter earnings of $6.89 billion in revenue and $2.03 in profit-per-share, surpassing analyst estimates of $6.60 billion and $2.03 respectively [2]. - The company's shares have increased by 8.5% over the past year and by 9% year-to-date [2]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Evercore ISI raised the share price target for D.R. Horton to $169 from $167 while maintaining an In Line rating [2]. - UBS increased the price target to $193 from $191 and retained a Buy rating, reflecting an increase in the valuation multiple [2]. Market Position and Strategy - D.R. Horton is the largest homebuilder in the U.S. by volume, focusing on entry-level and first-time buyer segments, which is crucial in a market facing affordability challenges [3]. - The company benefits from operational efficiency, strong cash flow generation, and a 'land-light' strategy that mitigates balance sheet risk [3]. Recent Developments - The company reported stronger-than-expected home closings and new orders, with gross margins exceeding prior guidance and a 2% year-over-year decline in construction costs [3]. - Management has raised share repurchase guidance, indicating confidence in future cash flows [3].

Financial Performance - Consolidated revenues decreased 10% to $6.9 billion compared to $7.6 billion in the prior year period [115]. - Net income attributable to D.R. Horton decreased 30% to $594.8 million compared to $844.9 million [124]. - Homebuilding revenues for the three months ended December 31, 2025, were $6.53 billion, a decrease of 8.9% compared to $7.17 billion in the prior year period [159]. - The company reported a pre-tax income of $0.2 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, a significant decline from $11.9 million in the same period last year [182]. - The company's pre-tax income for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $798.1 million, a decrease from $1.1 billion in the prior year period [201]. - Net income for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $535.2 million, compared to $3,154.8 million for the year ended September 30, 2025 [251]. Home Sales and Closings - Homes closed decreased 7% to 17,818 homes, with an average closing price of $365,500, down 3% [124]. - Homes closed in Q4 2025 totaled 17,818, generating revenues of $6.51 billion, down from 19,059 homes and $7.15 billion in Q4 2024, representing a 7% decrease in closing volume and a 3% decrease in average selling price [142]. - Net sales orders increased 3% to 18,300 homes, with the value of net sales orders remaining flat at $6.7 billion [124]. - The cancellation rate for sales orders remained stable at 18% for both Q4 2025 and Q4 2024, with total cancelled sales orders valued at $1.50 billion [137]. - Homes in backlog as of December 31, 2025, totaled 11,376, with a total value of $4.31 billion, reflecting a 3% increase in backlog volume compared to 11,003 homes valued at $4.30 billion in 2024 [138]. Margins and Costs - Home sales gross margin decreased to 20.4% from 22.7% in the prior year period [124]. - The gross profit margin from home sales decreased to 20.4% in Q4 2025 from 22.7% in Q4 2024, attributed to increased average costs and decreased average selling prices [146]. - Selling, General and Administrative (SG&A) expenses decreased by 1% to $632.5 million in Q4 2025, but as a percentage of revenues, SG&A increased to 9.7% from 8.9% in the prior year [153]. Regional Performance - The South Central region saw an 8% increase in net homes sold, totaling 4,931 homes in Q4 2025, while the Northwest region experienced a 9% decrease, selling 923 homes [132]. - Homebuilding revenues in the Southwest region decreased by 22% to $894.7 million in Q4 2025, with pre-tax income dropping to $88.6 million from $168.4 million [163]. - The Southeast region saw a 17% decline in homebuilding revenues to $1.46 billion, with pre-tax income falling to $143.4 million from $222.8 million [166]. - The North region experienced a 5% increase in homebuilding revenues to $989.5 million, but pre-tax income decreased to $119.9 million from $129.8 million [168]. Inventory and Land - As of December 31, 2025, total inventory amounted to $20,239.4 million, a slight decrease from $20,316.5 million on September 30, 2025 [171]. - The company controlled 590,500 lots as of December 31, 2025, with 145,500 lots owned and 445,000 lots under purchase contracts [173]. - The total remaining purchase price of lots controlled through land and lot purchase contracts was $26.7 billion as of December 31, 2025, up from $26.0 billion on September 30, 2025 [174]. - The company acquired SK Builders for approximately $80 million in cash, adding 160 homes in inventory and 260 lots, along with a backlog of 110 homes [158]. Cash Flow and Financing - Cash provided by operating activities was $854.0 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, compared to $646.7 million in the prior year period [237]. - Net cash used in investing activities was $116.2 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, including $82.1 million related to a business acquisition [239]. - Net cash used in financing activities was $1.2 billion for the three months ended December 31, 2025, primarily for stock repurchases and mortgage repurchase facilities [241]. - The company expects to fund short-term financing needs with existing cash and cash generated from operations, while long-term needs may be funded through the issuance of senior unsecured debt or equity securities [240]. Debt and Equity - Homebuilding debt was $3.2 billion, unchanged from September 30, 2025 [128]. - The ratio of debt to total capital was 18.8% at December 31, 2025, down from 19.8% at September 30, 2025 [207]. - The company has a $2.305 billion senior unsecured homebuilding revolving credit facility, with an option to increase to $3.0 billion, and $2.04 billion matures on December 18, 2029 [211]. - The company repurchased 4.4 million shares at a total cost of $669.7 million during the three months ended December 31, 2025, with $2.6 billion remaining under the stock repurchase authorization [215]. Rental Operations - Rental revenues decreased to $109.5 million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, down from $217.8 million in the prior year period [182]. - The rental property inventory was valued at $2.9 billion as of December 31, 2025, compared to $2.7 billion on September 30, 2025 [183]. - The gross profit margin for rental operations was 15.2% for the three months ended December 31, 2025, down from 16.0% in the prior year [181]. - Single-family rental homes inventory included 1,330 homes as of December 31, 2025, down from 1,420 homes on September 30, 2025 [183]. Future Outlook - The company plans to manage home pricing, sales incentives, and inventory levels based on local market demand, indicating a focus on affordability amid ongoing market challenges [136]. - The company expects to maintain elevated incentive levels throughout fiscal 2026, depending on market conditions and mortgage interest rates [148]. - The company anticipates greater revenues and pre-tax income in the third and fourth quarters of its fiscal year due to seasonal patterns in homebuilding [254].

Group 1 - BTIG lowered the price target on D.R. Horton (DHI) to $182 from $186 while maintaining a Buy rating on the shares [1] - The company reported strong home sales revenue and gross margin, which contributed to exceeding the firm's estimates [1] - The Q2 guidance for gross margin was lower than expected, indicating higher incentives due to weakened demand throughout Q1 [1]

Core Viewpoint - D.R. Horton, previously held by Berkshire Hathaway, is viewed as a strong investment opportunity following a recent decline in its stock price, despite Berkshire's exit from the position in Q3 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Market Context - D.R. Horton's current market capitalization is $46 billion, with a share price of $158.11, reflecting a daily change of 3.21% [3]. - The company has a gross margin of 23.27% and a dividend yield of 1.04% [3]. Group 2: Housing Market Dynamics - There is an ongoing housing shortage in the U.S., with Goldman Sachs estimating a need for an additional 3 million to 4 million homes to balance supply and demand [3][4]. - Housing affordability remains a significant issue, but a gradual recovery is predicted to begin in 2026, which could positively impact D.R. Horton and other homebuilders [4]. Group 3: Company Strengths - D.R. Horton has been the largest homebuilder in the U.S. by volume for 24 years, operating in 126 markets across 36 states, with 63% of its customers being first-time homebuyers [5]. - The company has industry-leading access to land, controlling 445,000 lots and owning 145,500 lots as of the end of 2025, more than any other top 10 homebuilder [6]. Group 4: Performance Metrics - D.R. Horton has outperformed the S&P 500 in total returns over the last three, five, and ten years, ranking in the top quartile of S&P 500 stocks over the past decade [7]. - The company has reduced its number of outstanding shares by 20% over the last five years and increased its dividend by 125% during the same period, indicating strong management performance [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $178.00 [1][5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue decline of 10% year-on-year to $6.89 billion and a net profit drop of 30% to $590 million in FY26Q1, with a gross margin decrease of 1.9 percentage points to 23.2% [1][2] - The decline in revenue is attributed to a decrease in both the number of units sold and the average selling price, with unit sales down 7% and average price down 3% year-on-year [2] - Despite the current pressures, the company is implementing measures to improve turnover efficiency and sales incentives, which may help stabilize performance [3] - The outlook suggests that easing interest rates could gradually alleviate the housing supply-demand imbalance in the U.S., potentially enhancing sales and profit elasticity for the company [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY26Q1 revenue was $6.89 billion, down 10% year-on-year, with net profit at $590 million, down 30% [1][2] - Gross margin for Q1 was 23.2%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 1.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company expects FY26 operating cash flow to reach $3 billion, with a plan for $2.5 billion in share buybacks and $500 million in dividends [4] Market Conditions - The U.S. housing market showed slight improvement in Q4 25, with a 20 basis point decrease in 30-year mortgage rates, although high rates and low affordability continue to suppress demand [3] - The company’s sales units and average price showed mixed results, with net sales units up 2.6% but average price down 2.4% year-on-year [3] Capital Structure and Shareholder Returns - The company maintains a healthy capital structure with a debt-to-asset ratio of 29%, down 1 percentage point from FY25Q4 [4] - Operating cash flow increased by 32% year-on-year to $850 million, with cash on hand exceeding $2.55 billion, more than double the bonds due in FY27-26 [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company’s net profit forecasts for FY26-28 are $3.442 billion, $4.059 billion, and $4.610 billion, respectively, with a CAGR of 9% over the three-year period [5] - The report maintains a price-to-tangible book value (P/TBV) estimate of 2.12x for FY26, reflecting a 35% valuation premium due to the company's leading market position and strong shareholder returns [5]

Group 1 - The fourth quarter earnings season is gaining momentum, with major financial institutions like Charles Schwab and regional banks such as Fifth Third set to report results, alongside Netflix and Intel, which are expected to be focal points [1][5] - An optimistic consensus is emerging, with 7% of S&P 500 companies having reported fourth quarter results as of January 16, and analysts projecting an 8.2% increase in earnings per share for the quarter, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the index [2] - Analysts had initially anticipated an 8.3% increase in earnings per share heading into the reporting period, a decrease from the previous quarter's 13.6% growth rate, but expectations have been raised recently, particularly for technology companies [3] Group 2 - The current earnings season is expected to test the improved stock market breadth observed at the beginning of 2026, with ongoing themes from 2025, such as artificial intelligence and economic policies, continuing to influence market dynamics [4] - This week's earnings releases will also include reports from notable companies such as United Airlines, 3M Company, D.R. Horton, Johnson & Johnson, GE Aerospace, Procter & Gamble, Abbott Laboratories, and Capital One [5]

Core Viewpoint - D.R. Horton reported strong earnings for Q1 of fiscal 2026, exceeding analyst expectations despite a decline in revenue compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Net income for the quarter was $594.8 million, or $2.03 per diluted share, down from $844.9 million, or $2.61 per diluted share, in the same quarter last year [1]. - Revenue was $6.887 billion, a decrease from $7.613 billion a year earlier, but still surpassed the consensus estimate of $6.603 billion [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned $801.2 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends during the quarter, leveraging its strong financial position and cash flow generation [2]. Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, D.R. Horton shares increased by 3.1%, trading at $157.93 [2]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley maintained an Equal-Weight rating and lowered the price target from $132 to $129 [4]. - B of A Securities analyst Rafe Jadrosich maintained a Neutral rating and cut the price target from $162 to $158 [4]. - Evercore ISI Group analyst Stephen Kim maintained an In-Line rating and raised the price target from $167 to $169 [4].

Core Viewpoint - D.R. Horton reported strong earnings for Q1 of fiscal 2026, exceeding analyst expectations despite a decline in revenue compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Net income for the quarter was $594.8 million, or $2.03 per diluted share, down from $844.9 million, or $2.61 per diluted share, in the same quarter last year [1]. - Revenue was $6.887 billion, a decrease from $7.613 billion year-over-year, but still surpassed the consensus estimate of $6.603 billion [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned $801.2 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends during the quarter, highlighting its strong financial position and cash flow generation [2]. Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, D.R. Horton shares increased by 3.1%, trading at $157.93 [2]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Barclays analyst maintained an Equal-Weight rating and lowered the price target from $132 to $129 [4]. - B of A Securities analyst kept a Neutral rating and reduced the price target from $162 to $158 [4]. - Evercore ISI Group analyst maintained an In-Line rating and raised the price target from $167 to $169 [4].

Core Viewpoint - D.R. Horton Inc. reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue for Q1 of fiscal year 2026, but year-over-year declines in profitability led to a slight drop in stock price [2][3][8]. Financial Performance - Earnings per share (EPS) were $2.03 on revenue of $6.89 billion, surpassing expectations of EPS $1.98 on revenue $6.66 billion [2]. - Year-over-year revenue decreased by 9%, and EPS fell by 22%, with net income down 30% [3]. Market Sentiment - Despite solid headline numbers, the stock experienced a sell-off, attributed to overall market conditions and disappointing year-over-year performance [3][7]. - Analysts had a mixed outlook prior to the earnings report, with some bullish ratings from firms like Goldman Sachs maintaining a Buy rating and a price target of $195 [5][6]. Future Outlook - D.R. Horton maintained its full-year guidance, with expectations for revenue and earnings growth in the latter half of the fiscal year [3]. - A 3% rise in net orders was noted, driven by sales incentives, indicating potential for recovery [4][8]. Interest Rate Environment - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts have not alleviated pressure on housing affordability, as elevated mortgage rates continue to impact the market [9].