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D.R. Horton: Strong Fundamentals And Valuation, But Technicals Warrant Caution
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-29 17:23
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential and diversification opportunities [1] Group 1: Investment Focus - The company has diversified its investments across various sectors including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels, indicating a strategic approach to portfolio management [1] - The entry into the US market in 2020 reflects a growing interest in international investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like banks, hotels, and logistics [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines since 2014 suggests a shift in investment preferences among local investors, moving towards more diversified financial products [1] - The trend of using stock markets for portfolio diversification rather than traditional savings methods indicates a broader acceptance of equity investments among individuals [1]
DR Horton: Positive Homebuilding Cycle All But Certain, Ignore Hiccups
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-28 21:02
Core Viewpoint - The stock has increased over 30% from the lows in April, indicating market recognition of the company's potential and qualitative attributes [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company aims to invest in firms with strong qualitative attributes, purchasing them at attractive prices based on fundamentals and holding them long-term [1] - The investment approach involves managing a concentrated portfolio to avoid underperformers while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [1] - The company may rate strong companies as 'Hold' if their growth opportunities do not meet the required threshold or if the downside risk is deemed too high [1]
D.R. Horton Misses on EPS but Beats on Revenue, Sets 2026 Targets
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-28 18:20
Group 1 - D.R. Horton reported fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of $3.04, which was below the consensus estimate of $3.29 [1] - The company's revenue for the quarter was $9.68 billion, exceeding forecasts of $9.42 billion [1] - Homebuilding revenue amounted to $8.5 billion, with 23,368 homes closed during the quarter [1] - Net sales orders increased by 5% to 20,078 homes, while the total value of new orders rose by 3% to $7.3 billion [1] Group 2 - For fiscal 2026, D.R. Horton projected revenue between $33.5 billion and $35.0 billion, compared to Wall Street's estimate of $34.85 billion [2] - The company guided for 86,000 to 88,000 home closings in fiscal 2026 [2]
D.R. Horton Stock Tumbles on Q4 Earnings Miss, Revenues Down Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 18:06
Core Insights - D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) reported mixed results for Q4 fiscal 2025, with earnings missing estimates while total revenues exceeded expectations, although both metrics declined year-over-year [2][7][11] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $3.04 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.29 by 7.6%, and down 22% from $3.92 year-over-year [7] - Total revenues reached $9.68 billion, a decrease of 3.2% year-over-year, but surpassed analysts' expectations of $9.5 billion by 1.9% [7] - The consolidated pre-tax profit margin was 12.4%, down from 17.1% a year ago [8] Segment Performance - Homebuilding revenues were $8.56 billion, down 4% year-over-year, with home sales at $8.54 billion, also down 4.4% [9] - Home closings decreased by 1% year-over-year to 23,368 homes [9] - Financial Services revenues decreased by 1.7% to $218.3 million [11] - Forestar contributed $670.5 million to total revenues, up from $551.4 million a year ago [12] Market Conditions - The housing market remains soft due to declining consumer confidence and affordability concerns, impacting home closings and backlog levels [3][4] - The sales order backlog decreased by 11.5% year-over-year to 10,785 homes, with a backlog value down 13.6% to $4.12 billion [10] Strategic Initiatives - The company is offering sales incentives to drive traffic and sales, although this negatively impacts margins [4] - D.R. Horton maintains strong liquidity of $6.6 billion and a low debt-to-total capital ratio of 19.8% [14][15] Dividend and Share Repurchase - The quarterly dividend was increased by 13% to 45 cents per share, to be paid on Nov. 20, 2025 [6] - The company repurchased 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion during fiscal 2025, with $3.3 billion remaining in stock repurchase authorization [16] Future Guidance - For fiscal 2026, D.R. Horton expects consolidated revenues between $33.5 billion and $35 billion, with homes closed anticipated to be between 86,000 and 88,000 [17]
DHI or SDHC: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 16:41
Core Insights - D.R. Horton (DHI) is currently viewed as a more attractive investment compared to Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) based on various valuation metrics and earnings outlook [1][3][7] Valuation Metrics - DHI has a forward P/E ratio of 13.20, while SDHC's forward P/E is 17.05, indicating DHI may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for DHI is 3.30, compared to SDHC's PEG ratio of 11.76, suggesting DHI has a better growth outlook relative to its price [5] - DHI's P/B ratio stands at 1.93, while SDHC's P/B ratio is 2.22, further supporting DHI's valuation advantage [6] Earnings Outlook - DHI is experiencing an improving earnings outlook, which enhances its attractiveness in the Zacks Rank model [7]
D.R. Horton, Inc. 2025 Q4 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:DHI) 2025-10-28
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-28 16:01
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content or key points related to a company or industry [1]
D.R. Horton(DHI) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2025-10-28 15:28
Financial Performance - Net income attributable to D.R. Horton for Q4 fiscal 2025 decreased 29% to $905.3 million, with earnings per diluted share down 22% to $3.04[3] - For the fiscal year 2025, net income decreased 25% to $3.6 billion, and earnings per diluted share decreased 19% to $11.57[4] - Total revenues for the year ended September 30, 2025, were $34,250.4 million, a decrease of 6.9% compared to $36,801.4 million in 2024[32] - Net income for the year ended September 30, 2025, was $3,620.9 million, down 24.7% from $4,806.0 million in 2024[34] - The company reported a basic net income per share of $11.62 for the year ended September 30, 2025, down from $14.44 in 2024, a decrease of 19.5%[32] Revenue and Sales - Consolidated revenues for fiscal 2025 totaled $34.3 billion, with home sales revenues of $31.4 billion from 84,863 homes closed[7] - Home sales revenue for the year ended September 30, 2025, reached $31,432.0 million, representing a significant contribution to total consolidated revenues of $34,250.4 million[39] - Home sales revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $8,929.4 million, contributing to a consolidated revenue of $10,002.6 million[44] - For the year ended September 30, 2024, home sales revenue reached $33,903.6 million, with total consolidated revenue of $36,801.4 million[44] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash provided by operations was $3.4 billion in fiscal 2025, with total liquidity at year-end amounting to $6.6 billion[5] - Net cash provided by operating activities for the year ended September 30, 2025, was $3,420.9 million, an increase of 56.2% from $2,189.8 million in 2024[34] - Cash provided by operating activities for the year ended September 30, 2024, was $2,189.8 million, indicating strong operational cash flow[44] Shareholder Returns - The company increased its quarterly cash dividend by 13% to $0.45 per share, marking the twelfth consecutive year of dividend growth[11] - The company repurchased 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion during the year, reducing outstanding shares by 9%[17] - The company repurchased common stock totaling $4,281.6 million during the year ended September 30, 2025, compared to $1,787.5 million in 2024, an increase of 139.5%[34] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $35,471.2 million, a decrease from $36,104.3 million in 2024[30] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $2,985.4 million as of September 30, 2025, from $4,516.4 million in 2024, representing a decline of 33.9%[30] - Total liabilities increased to $10,729.0 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $10,279.9 million in 2024, an increase of 4.4%[30] - The total equity decreased to $24,742.2 million as of September 30, 2025, from $25,824.4 million in 2024, a decline of 4.2%[30] Operational Efficiency - Selling, general and administrative expenses for the year were $3,692.0 million, indicating a focus on operational efficiency[39] - The company incurred interest expenses of $241.7 million for the year ended September 30, 2025, compared to $203.7 million in 2024, an increase of 18.6%[32] Inventory and Backlog - The company’s inventory, including construction in progress and finished homes, totaled $7,648.5 million as of September 30, 2025[36] - As of September 30, 2025, the sales order backlog consisted of 10,785 homes valued at $4,120.1 million, down from 12,180 homes valued at $4,770.3 million as of September 30, 2024[53] - Total homes in inventory decreased from 37,400 in 2024 to 29,600 in 2025, representing a decline of approximately 20.9%[60] Market Trends - The cancellation rate for home sales orders was 20% in Q4 fiscal 2025, compared to 21% in the prior year quarter[11] - D.R. Horton plans to close between 86,000 to 88,000 homes in fiscal 2026, with consolidated revenues projected between $33.5 billion to $35.0 billion[24] - Net sales orders for the three months ended September 30, 2025, totaled 20,078 homes valued at $7,326.0 million, compared to 19,035 homes valued at $7,145.7 million in the same period of 2024[49]
D.R. Horton(DHI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - D.R. Horton reported consolidated pre-tax income of $1.2 billion on revenues of $9.7 billion for Q4 2025, with a pre-tax profit margin of 12.4% [7] - For the full year, consolidated pre-tax income was $4.7 billion, with a pre-tax profit margin of 13.8% [7] - Net income for Q4 was $905.3 million, or $3.04 per diluted share, on consolidated revenues of $9.7 billion [9] - The average closing sales price for Q4 was $365,600, down 1% sequentially and down 3% year-over-year [9] - The company generated $3.4 billion of cash from operations in fiscal 2025, representing 10% of total revenues [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home sales revenues for Q4 were $8.5 billion on 23,368 homes closed [9] - Net sales orders in Q4 increased 5% year-over-year to 20,078 homes, with order value increasing 3% to $7.3 billion [10] - The gross profit margin on home sales revenues in Q4 was 20%, down 180 basis points sequentially [11] - Rental operations generated $81 million of pre-tax income on $805 million of revenues in Q4 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average number of active selling communities was up 1% sequentially and up 13% from the prior year [10] - The company’s home building lot position at year-end consisted of approximately 592,000 lots, with 25% owned and 75% controlled through purchase contracts [15] - Lot costs increased by 8% year-over-year on a per square foot basis [60] Company Strategy and Development Direction - D.R. Horton remains focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to shareholders [8] - The company plans to tailor product offerings and sales incentives based on demand in each market to maximize returns [8] - The strategic relationship with Forestar is vital for the company’s returns-focused business model, with Forestar reporting revenues of $671 million in Q4 [17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates that new home demand will continue to be impacted by affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment [21] - For fiscal 2026, the company expects consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 billion to $35 billion and homes closed to be in the range of 86,000 to 88,000 [21] - Management expressed a positive outlook for the housing market over the medium to long term, despite current volatility and uncertainty in the economy [23] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 4.6 million shares for $689 million in Q4 and 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion for the full year [19] - D.R. Horton’s fiscal year-end stockholders' equity was $24.2 billion, down 4% from a year ago, but book value per share was up 5% to $82.15 [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How to think about the transition from 20% gross margin in Q4 to 20%-20.5% in Q1? - Management indicated that the unusual impact from litigation costs is not expected to persist into Q1, and the baseline would reflect a more normal impact from warranty and litigation going forward [27] Question: Can you discuss the starts pace and how quickly it can ramp up? - Management acknowledged that starts were intentionally lower to align inventory and indicated confidence in ramping up starts to meet demand as needed [28] Question: What is the outlook for rental operations in Q1? - Management expects rental operations to be a bit softer in Q1, with a heavier delivery expected in the back half of the year [32] Question: Can you provide insight into the Southeast market performance? - Management noted that while some areas in Florida are struggling with inventory balance, overall demand in the Southeast remains choppy [74] Question: What are the expectations for lot costs moving forward? - Management indicated that lot costs are expected to remain sticky, with an 8% year-over-year increase noted [60]
D.R. Horton(DHI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - D.R. Horton reported consolidated pre-tax income of $1.2 billion on revenues of $9.7 billion for Q4 2025, with a pre-tax profit margin of 12.4% [7] - For the full year, consolidated pre-tax income was $4.7 billion, with a pre-tax profit margin of 13.8% [7] - Net income for Q4 was $905.3 million, or $3.04 per diluted share, on consolidated revenues of $9.7 billion [9] - The average closing sales price for Q4 was $365,600, down 1% sequentially and down 3% year over year [9] - The company generated $3.4 billion of cash from operations in fiscal 2025, representing 10% of total revenues [8][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home sales revenues for Q4 were $8.5 billion on 23,368 homes closed [9] - Net sales orders in Q4 increased 5% year over year to 20,078 homes, with order value increasing 3% to $7.3 billion [10] - The average price of net sales orders in Q4 was $364,900, flat sequentially and down 3% from the prior year [10] - Rental operations generated $81 million of pre-tax income on $805 million of revenues in Q4 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average number of active selling communities was up 1% sequentially and up 13% from the prior year [10] - The company’s home building lot position at year-end consisted of approximately 592,000 lots, with 25% owned and 75% controlled through purchase contracts [15] - In the Southeast region, particularly Florida, some markets like Jacksonville and Southwest Florida faced excess inventory issues [75] Company Strategy and Development Direction - D.R. Horton remains focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to shareholders [8] - The company plans to tailor product offerings and sales incentives based on demand in each market to maximize returns [8] - The company expects to generate consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 to $35 billion for fiscal 2026, with homes closed in the range of 86,000 to 88,000 [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that new home demand remains impacted by affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment [6] - The company anticipates that incentive levels will remain elevated in fiscal 2026, depending on demand strength during the spring selling season [12] - Management expressed a positive outlook for the housing market over the medium to long term, despite current volatility and uncertainty in the economy [23] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion in fiscal 2025, reducing the outstanding share count by 9% [20] - D.R. Horton’s book value per share increased by 5% year over year to $82.15 [20] - The company’s consolidated leverage at fiscal year-end was 19.8%, with plans to maintain leverage around 20% over the long term [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How to think about the walk from the 20% gross margin in Q4 to the 20 to 20.5% in Q1? - Management indicated that the unusual impact from litigation in Q4 is not expected to persist into Q1, and the baseline would be a more normal impact from warranty and litigation going forward [27] Question: How quickly can the company ramp up starts to meet demand? - Management acknowledged that starts were intentionally lower to align inventory and expressed confidence in their ability to respond to market demand as it increases [28] Question: What is the outlook for rental operations and its impact on consolidated operating margin? - Management expects rental operations to be softer in Q1, impacting consolidated operating margin due to lower closings volume on the homebuilding side [32] Question: Can you provide insight into the Southeast market performance? - Management noted that while some areas in Florida are struggling with inventory balance, overall demand remains choppy across various markets [65] Question: What are the expectations for lot costs and stick and brick costs? - Management indicated that lot costs are expected to remain sticky, but they anticipate opportunities to renegotiate stick and brick costs down as the year progresses [56]
D.R. Horton(DHI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the fourth quarter, consolidated pre-tax income was $1.2 billion on revenues of $9.7 billion, resulting in a pre-tax profit margin of 12.4% [5] - For the full year, consolidated pre-tax income was $4.7 billion with a pre-tax profit margin of 13.8% [5] - Net income for the quarter was $905.3 million or $3.04 per diluted share, while for the year, net income was $3.6 billion or $11.57 per diluted share on revenues of $34.3 billion [7] - The average closing sales price for the quarter was $365,600, down 1% sequentially and down 3% year over year [7] - The company generated $3.4 billion of cash from operations after making home building investments totaling $8.5 billion [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Home sales revenues for the fourth quarter were $8.5 billion on 23,368 homes closed [7] - Net sales orders in the fourth quarter increased 5% year over year to 20,078 homes, with order value increasing 3% to $7.3 billion [8] - The average price of net sales orders in the fourth quarter was $364,900, flat sequentially and down 3% from the prior year [8] - Rental operations generated $81 million of pre-tax income on $805 million of revenues from the sale of 1,565 single-family rental homes and 1,815 multifamily rental units [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average number of active selling communities was up 1% sequentially and up 13% from the prior year [8] - The company’s home building lot position at year-end consisted of approximately 592,000 lots, with 25% owned and 75% controlled through purchase contracts [13] - In the Southeast region, particularly Florida, some markets like Jacksonville and Southwest Florida faced excess inventory issues [68] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to shareholders [6] - The strategy includes tailoring product offerings and sales incentives based on demand in each market to maximize returns [6] - The company plans to purchase approximately $2.5 billion of its common stock during fiscal 2026, in addition to paying dividends of around $500 million [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects new home demand to reflect ongoing affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment [19] - For fiscal 2026, the company anticipates generating consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 to $35 billion and homes closed to be in the range of 86,000 to 88,000 [19] - Management expressed a positive outlook for the housing market over the medium to long term despite current volatility and uncertainty in the economy [21] Other Important Information - The company’s return on equity was 14.6%, and return on assets was 10% [5] - The company repurchased 4.6 million shares of common stock for $689 million in the fourth quarter, totaling 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion for the full year [17] - The company’s book value per share increased by 5% from a year ago to $82.15 [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: How to think about the walk from the 20% gross margin in Q4 to 20-20.5% in Q1? - Management indicated that the unusual impact from litigation is not expected to persist into Q1, and the guide reflects the current environment and level of incentives [24][26] Question: How quickly can the company ramp starts to meet demand? - Management acknowledged that starts were intentionally lower to align inventory and expressed confidence in their ability to respond to market demand [25][26] Question: Is the outlook for Q1 anticipating seasonal lightness in profitability? - Management expects rental operations to be softer in Q1, impacting consolidated operating margin due to lower closings volume [29][30] Question: Can you provide additional color on the Southeast region's performance? - Management noted that while some markets in Florida are struggling with inventory balance, there are still bright spots throughout the state [68] Question: What are the expectations for lot costs and stick and brick costs? - Management expects lot costs to remain sticky, but anticipates reductions in stick and brick costs as they renegotiate terms [50][51]