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Nifty Bank Prediction Today – October 23, 2025: Nifty Bank futures: Price action hints at further rally
BusinessLine· 2025-10-23 05:24
Group 1 - Nifty Bank index opened at 58,315, showing a gap-up from Tuesday's close of 58,007, currently trading at 58,470, up 0.8% [1] - The advance/decline ratio is 10/2, indicating a bullish sentiment, with IDFC First Bank and Axis Bank as top performers, up 3.5% and 2.5% respectively [1] - Canara Bank and Bank of Baroda are the only losers in the Nifty Bank index, down 0.5% and 0.15% respectively [1] Group 2 - Nifty PSU Bank has gained 1.4% today, outperforming Nifty Private Bank, which is up 1.2% [2] Group 3 - October expiry Nifty Bank futures opened higher at 58,305, currently trading at 58,450, reflecting strong upward momentum [3] - The contract has marked a higher high in early trade, with expectations to move towards 59,000 despite a potential minor decline to 58,300 [3] Group 4 - If Nifty Bank futures slip below 58,100, the intraday outlook may turn bearish, but the chances of falling below this level are considered low [4] Group 5 - Trade strategy suggests buying Nifty Bank futures at 58,450 and on a dip to 58,300, with targets set at 59,000 and a stop-loss at 58,000 [5] - Supports are identified at 58,100 and 57,900, while resistances are at 59,000 and 59,250 [5]
First Bank (FRBA) Surpasses Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-22 22:51
Group 1: Earnings Performance - First Bank reported quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.46 per share, and up from $0.34 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +2.17% [1] - The company posted revenues of $37.97 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.39%, compared to year-ago revenues of $32.57 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, First Bank has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - First Bank shares have increased approximately 10.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 14.5% [3] - The company's earnings outlook, including current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters, will be crucial for investors [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.48 on revenues of $37.57 million, and $1.71 on revenues of $144.67 million for the current fiscal year [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Zacks Industry Rank for Banks - Northeast is currently in the top 29% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact stock performance [5] - The estimate revisions trend for First Bank was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, suggesting it will perform in line with the market [6]
First Bank Announces Third Quarter 2025 Net Income of $11.7 Million
Globenewswire· 2025-10-22 20:35
Strong net interest margin and operating efficiency drive robust earnings and tangible book value expansionHAMILTON, N.J., Oct. 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- First Bank (Nasdaq Global Market: FRBA) ("the Bank") today announced results for the third quarter of 2025. Net income for the third quarter of 2025 was $11.7 million, or $0.47 per diluted share, compared to $8.2 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2024. Return on average assets, return on average equity and return on average t ...
IDFC First Bank CEO V Vaidyanathan says microfinance stress is over, eyes 5.8% NIM in FY26
The Economic Times· 2025-10-20 11:05
Core Viewpoint - IDFC First Bank has overcome the challenges posed by its microfinance portfolio, with expectations for improved net interest margins and steady growth in asset quality and credit costs [1][5]. Financial Performance - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) is currently at 5.59%, with expectations to exceed 5.8% in FY26 as fixed deposits reprice lower [8][13]. - The bank's gross and net NPAs have declined both year-on-year and sequentially, indicating a recovery in asset quality [5][10]. - Special Mention Account (SMA) numbers and slippages have consistently improved over the past six quarters, leading to a reduction in credit costs [2][5]. Deposit Growth - IDFC First Bank's deposit base has increased from ₹40,000 crore in December 2018 to ₹2.7 lakh crore, representing more than a sixfold rise [6][7]. - Annual deposit growth is approximately ₹45,000–50,000 crore, reflecting the trust built with customers [7]. CASA Ratio and Cost of Funds - The bank's CASA ratio remains robust at over 50%, supported by competitive savings rates, with a goal to stabilize it in the 45–50% range [9]. - The easing of deposit costs is expected to contribute positively to NIM and overall income growth [8][13]. Future Outlook - The bank anticipates that its microfinance book will stabilize by Q4 FY25, with growth resuming alongside the broader portfolio thereafter [12]. - The initial assessment of new Expected Credit Loss (ECL) norms and regulatory changes appears favorable, with a marginally positive impact expected [11].
India pushes to expand rupee settlement with key trade partners
BusinessLine· 2025-10-20 08:34
Core Insights - India's central bank is facilitating the use of the rupee for international transactions with free-trade partners, aiming to strengthen the local currency over time [1][3] - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is establishing direct reference rates for currencies like the UAE dirham and Indonesian rupiah, expanding its currency links beyond the US dollar [2][4] - Prime Minister Modi's initiative to promote the rupee in global trade is part of a broader strategy to enhance India's economic stability and reduce reliance on foreign currencies [3][4] Currency Strategy - The RBI's actions are aligned with India's goal of becoming a "developed nation" by 2047, with expectations to become the world's fourth-largest economy this year and third by 2027-28 [4] - India is pursuing a multi-currency regime for global trade settlements, which is seen as a stable option for economic transactions [4] - The rupee is currently the second-worst performing currency in Asia, impacted by significant outflows from local stocks and high US tariffs [5] Trade Agreements - India has established free-trade agreements with over a dozen countries, including recent deals with the UK, Australia, and the UAE, and is negotiating with the US, EU, and others [6][7] - The country is actively discussing rupee invoicing in its trade negotiations, indicating a strategic push for local currency use in international trade [7] Internationalization Efforts - The Indian government aims to internationalize the rupee by enhancing its usability for trade and capital transactions among neighboring countries [9] - A central bank report from 2023 outlined goals for expanding currency swap arrangements and integrating Indian payments with other nations [9] - Currently, the rupee does not rank among the top 20 global payment currencies, with the US dollar holding a dominant share [10]
IDFC First Bank shares rally 3% as Q2 profit surges 75%. Should you buy, sell or hold?
The Economic Times· 2025-10-20 05:27
The bank’s net profit surged from Rs 200.69 crore in the year-ago quarter, while net interest income (NII) rose 6.8% YoY to Rs 5,112.57 crore, up from Rs 4,788 crore a year earlier. However, the net interest margin (NIM) declined 59 basis points year-on-year to 5.59%, down from 6.18% in Q2FY25 and 5.71% in the previous quarter.Asset quality remained steady, with gross NPA ratio easing 6 basis points YoY to 1.86%, while net NPA increased slightly by 4 basis points to 0.52%.Business momentum strongIDFC First ...
UAE’s IHC Takes Control of First Women Bank in G2G Deal
Crowdfund Insider· 2025-10-20 01:59
Core Insights - Abu Dhabi's International Holding Company (IHC) has acquired a majority stake in state-owned First Women Bank Ltd (FWBL) as part of Pakistan's first bank privatization under a government-to-government framework [1][2] - The investment signifies the strengthening economic ties between the UAE and Pakistan, aligning with IHC's strategy to develop resilient financial institutions [2][5] Company Overview - FWBL, established in 1989, operates as a full-service commercial bank with 42 branches across Pakistan, catering to retail, small business, and corporate clients [2] - IHC plans to ensure FWBL meets Pakistan's minimum capital requirements, enhance its balance sheet, and expand its operations post-acquisition [3] Strategic Plans - IHC intends to upgrade FWBL's core systems, automate processes, and integrate digital channels with analytics and artificial intelligence to improve service delivery [3] - A rebranding initiative is planned to broaden FWBL's mandate, focusing on financial inclusion and fostering a performance-driven culture [4] Market Context - IHC's investment reflects confidence in Pakistan's financial potential and aims to support the modernization of FWBL through technology [5] - As of recent filings, IHC is one of the largest listed investment firms in the Middle East, with a market capitalization of approximately 882 billion dirhams ($240 billion) [6]
Stocks in news: RIL, HDFC Bank, YES Bank, IndusInd Bank, RBL Bank, Jain Resource
The Economic Times· 2025-10-20 01:20
Market Overview - The Nifty index maintains a positive tone with targets set at 26,000 and new lifetime highs anticipated, although traders are advised to focus on index heavyweights and larger midcaps due to broader market underperformance [1] Company Earnings - Reliance Industries (RIL) reported a 10% growth in consolidated Q2 net profit at Rs 18,165 crore compared to Rs 16,563 crore in the previous year, with revenue from operations at Rs 2.59 lakh crore, also up 10% YoY [2][15] - IDFC First Bank experienced a 75% YoY increase in standalone net profit to Rs 352.31 crore, although net interest income (NII) fell sharply by 40% YoY to Rs 5,112.57 crore [5][15] - IndusInd Bank posted a net loss of Rs 437 crore in Q2, reversing from a net profit of Rs 1,331 crore in the same quarter last year, with NII declining by 17.6% YoY to Rs 4,409 crore [6][15] - ICICI Bank reported a 5.2% YoY growth in profit after tax to Rs 12,359 crore and a 7.4% increase in NII to Rs 21,529 crore [7][15] - HDFC Bank's standalone net profit grew by 10.8% YoY to Rs 18,641.28 crore, with NII increasing by 4.8% YoY to Rs 31,550 crore [8][15] - UltraTech Cements saw a 75.2% YoY increase in net profit to Rs 1,232 crore, with net sales rising 21.3% YoY to Rs 19,371 crore [9][15] - JSW Energy reported a 17% decline in consolidated Q2 net profit to Rs 705 crore, while revenue from operations increased by 60% YoY to Rs 5,177 crore [10][15] - Yes Bank's net profit rose by 18% YoY to Rs 654 crore, with core net interest income increasing by 4.6% [13][16] Strategic Developments - RBL Bank plans to initiate a wealth management business following Emirates NBD's acquisition of a 60% stake for $3 billion, marking a significant cross-border acquisition in the Indian financial sector [11][15] - Realty firm Sobha is set to launch residential projects worth Rs 22,000 crore over the next 18 months across multiple cities [12][15] - IndiGo has placed a firm order for 30 additional A350-900 planes from Airbus to support its international expansion [14][16]
Bankruptcy court approves Future Supply Chain Solutions’ acquisition by Reliance Retail
The Economic Times· 2025-10-18 13:33
Core Insights - The bankruptcy court in Mumbai approved Reliance Retail Ventures Ltd's (RRVL) resolution plan for Future Supply Chain Solutions Ltd (FSCSL), allowing the logistics arm of the Future Group to join Reliance [6] - The revival plan received 91.71% approval from the secured lenders and proposes a payment of Rs 170 crore for the acquisition [6][1] - The total admitted claims against FSCSL amount to Rs 885 crore, with major creditors including Azim Premji Trust, IDFC First Bank, and JC Flowers Asset Reconstruction claiming over Rs 485 crore [6][1] Company Overview - Future Supply Chain Solutions is India's first fully integrated and IT-enabled end-to-end supply chain and logistics company, specializing in modern warehousing, express logistics, cold chain, and e-commerce logistics [6][5] - The company provides third-party logistics support across various sectors, including food and beverages, lifestyle, consumer electronics, automotive, engineering, home and furniture, healthcare, general merchandise, and e-commerce [5][6] Bidding Process - Out of seven bidders, two submitted resolution plans, but one was withdrawn, leaving RRVL as the sole remaining bidder [2][6] - Other interested bidders included Tatkal Loan India, One City Infrastructure, Globe Ecologistics, Shanti G.D. Ispat & Power, Camions Logistics Solutions, and Sugna Metals [4][6] Bankruptcy Context - FSCSL was admitted under the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process (CIRP) in January 2023 after defaulting on dues of approximately Rs 7.26 crore [4][6]
IDFC First Bank Q2 results: Standalone PAT shoots up by 75% YoY, NII cracks 40%
The Economic Times· 2025-10-18 11:44
Core Insights - IDFC Bank reported a significant 75.5% year-on-year increase in standalone net profit for Q2 FY26, reaching Rs 352.31 crore, up from Rs 200.69 crore in the same quarter last year [1][7] - The bank's net interest income (NII) experienced a sharp decline of 40% year-on-year, falling to Rs 5,112.57 crore from Rs 8,540.03 crore [1][7] - The net interest margin (NIM) decreased by 59 basis points year-on-year to 5.59%, compared to 6.18% a year ago and 5.71% in the previous quarter [2][7] Financial Performance - The gross non-performing asset (NPA) ratio improved slightly, declining by 6 basis points to 1.86%, while the net NPA increased by 4 basis points to 0.52% year-on-year [2][7] - Total customer business grew by 21.6% year-on-year, reaching Rs 5,35,673 crore as of September 30, 2025, compared to Rs 4,40,640 crore a year earlier [7] - Loans and advances rose by 19.7% year-on-year to Rs 2,66,579 crore from Rs 2,22,613 crore [7] - Customer deposits increased by 23.4% year-on-year to Rs 2,69,094 crore as of September 30, 2025, up from Rs 2,18,026 crore a year earlier [7] Deposits and Cost of Funds - CASA deposits grew by 26.8% year-on-year to Rs 1,38,583 crore, with the CASA ratio improving by 119 basis points to 50.07%, up from 48.88% in the same quarter last year [5][7] - The bank's cost of funds decreased by 23 basis points year-on-year to 6.23% [5][7] Management Commentary - The CEO of IDFC First Bank indicated that the stress in the microfinance institution (MFI) sector appears to be resolving, and the bank's asset quality has remained stable over the past decade [6][7] - The bank is experiencing improving operating leverage, with total business growth outpacing operational expenditure increases in both FY25 and H1 FY26 [6][7]