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Buy the Surge in First Solar Stock Before It's Too Late?
ZACKS· 2025-10-16 22:01
Core Insights - First Solar (FSLR) is experiencing renewed excitement due to strong earnings potential driven by policy support, analyst upgrades, and solid business fundamentals [1] - The company is a significant beneficiary of the Inflation Reduction Act, which promotes clean energy investments, leading to increased long-term demand visibility [1] Production and Sales - First Solar's U.S. production facilities are sold out through 2028, specializing in cadmium telluride (CdTe) thin-film solar modules that outperform traditional silicon panels [2] - The stock has increased by approximately 10% this month and nearly 40% year-to-date, with a recent peak of $248 [2] Earnings Expectations - First Solar is expected to report Q3 results on October 30, with projected sales up 74% to $1.54 billion compared to $887.67 million in the same quarter last year [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are anticipated to rise 46% to $4.24, up from $2.91 in Q3 2024 [4] Technical Analysis - The stock has shown strong performance since breaking above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) in July, with expectations of high double-digit growth in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 [5] - Current support levels for the 50-day and 200-day SMAs are approximately $169 and $210 per share, respectively [6] Valuation Metrics - FSLR trades at a forward earnings multiple of 16X, which is a discount compared to the S&P 500 and its solar peers, and is over 20% below its decade-long median of 21X [8] Analyst Upgrades - Analysts have recently raised their price targets for First Solar, with several now exceeding $260, and Citigroup having the highest target at $300 [9] Earnings Estimate Revisions - First Solar currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with positive EPS revisions over the last quarter, although there has been a slight dip in the last week for FY25 and FY26 [13]
北美替代能源:核能、太阳能与人工智能-North America Alternative Energy _Nuclear, Solar & AI_ Windham
2025-10-13 01:00
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the North American alternative energy sector, focusing on nuclear, solar, and AI technologies, emphasizing the urgent need for clean electricity generation in the U.S. market [2][3][70]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Clean Electricity Demand**: The U.S. market is significantly short of clean electricity generation, with fossil fuels and aging nuclear accounting for approximately 80% of current electricity generation. A multi-decade build cycle is necessary to meet the demand for clean electricity, which includes solar, wind, storage, nuclear, and natural gas [2][4][70]. 2. **Nuclear and Solar Relationship**: The increased interest in nuclear energy is not detrimental to solar energy; rather, it highlights the need for a diverse energy mix to meet future electricity demands. The nuclear build timelines extend into the 2030s and 2040s, necessitating a long-term view on energy generation [2][3][101]. 3. **Solar and Storage Growth**: In the second quarter of 2025, U.S. electricity generation grew by 2.3% year-over-year, with solar contributing 78% of the incremental demand. Solar and storage accounted for about two-thirds of the approved capacity additions in the U.S. [4][41]. 4. **Investor Sentiment**: Following the resolution of U.S. solar policy uncertainties in mid-2025, investor interest in solar stocks is expected to increase, particularly for companies like First Solar (FSLR) and Nextracker (NXT) [5][7][11]. 5. **Corporate Renewable Demand**: Corporate Power Purchase Agreements (C-PPA) signed in 2024 grew by 60% year-over-year, with solar comprising 78% of total capacity. Major technology companies dominate this market, accounting for 80% of total capacity signed in 2025 year-to-date [41][55]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Tax Credits and Manufacturing**: The 45X advanced manufacturing tax credits are expected to benefit incumbent U.S. manufacturers like FSLR and NXT significantly, as they are positioned to capture a large share of the domestic manufacturing market [35][37][36]. 2. **Long-term Energy Transition**: The U.S. electricity generation carbon emissions have declined by approximately 35% since 2007, indicating ongoing progress in the energy transition. However, the transition is expected to continue for decades, with a need for diverse generation technologies [74][92]. 3. **Future Projections**: By 2050, the U.S. may require substantial new nuclear capacity to meet electricity demand, with projections suggesting a need for around 100GW of new nuclear capacity, alongside significant solar and wind installations [96][100]. 4. **Technological Disruption**: The potential for nuclear fusion to disrupt the energy generation landscape is acknowledged, with partnerships being formed to develop fusion power plants [117][120]. Conclusion The conference call highlights the critical need for a diversified energy strategy in the U.S. to meet future electricity demands, emphasizing the roles of solar, nuclear, and emerging technologies. The resolution of policy uncertainties and the growing corporate demand for renewable energy are expected to drive investment and growth in the sector.
Here's Why First Solar (FSLR) Fell More Than Broader Market
ZACKS· 2025-10-10 22:46
Core Viewpoint - First Solar is experiencing fluctuations in stock performance, with a notable upcoming earnings report that is expected to show significant growth in earnings and revenue compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Company Performance - First Solar's stock closed at $226.08, down 3.51%, underperforming the S&P 500, which fell by 2.71% [1]. - Over the past month, First Solar's shares have appreciated by 15.24%, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 2.1% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.5% [1]. Upcoming Earnings - The earnings report is scheduled for October 30, 2025, with projected EPS of $4.24, indicating a 45.70% increase year-over-year [2]. - Quarterly revenue is expected to reach $1.54 billion, reflecting a 73.89% increase from the same period last year [2]. Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $15.08 per share, with revenue projected at $5.36 billion, representing increases of 25.46% and 27.43%, respectively [3]. - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they indicate the latest business trends, with positive revisions suggesting an optimistic outlook [3]. Valuation Metrics - First Solar's Forward P/E ratio is 15.54, which is lower than the industry average of 16.91, indicating a potential valuation discount [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.47, compared to the solar industry average of 0.86, suggesting favorable growth expectations relative to its valuation [7]. Industry Context - The solar industry, part of the Oils-Energy sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 62, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 industries [7]. - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses stocks based on estimate changes, currently rates First Solar as 3 (Hold) [5].
FSLR Looks Smarter Than ON Stock: Lower Valuation, Higher Growth
Forbes· 2025-10-09 14:45
Core Insights - FSLR presents a lower valuation (P/OpInc) compared to ON Semiconductor, yet shows superior revenue and operating income growth, suggesting FSLR may be a more attractive investment option than ON [2] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio aims to minimize stock-specific risk while providing growth potential, having consistently outperformed the S&P and achieved over 91% returns since its inception [4][6] Key Metrics Comparison - ON Semiconductor specializes in intelligent sensing and power solutions for automotive electrification, rapid-charging systems, and sustainable energy solutions across various applications [3] - A year-over-year analysis of ON Semiconductor's metrics may indicate whether the current stock price discrepancy is temporary or if ongoing underperformance suggests overvaluation [5][6] Investment Strategy - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio transforms stock-picking unpredictability into consistent market-beating results, providing a diversified strategy that may be more beneficial than investing in a single stock [2][4]
First Solar, Inc. to Announce Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on October 30, 2025
Businesswire· 2025-10-09 13:05
TEMPE, Ariz.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) (the "Company†) will report financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, after the market closes on Thursday, October 30, 2025. Conference Call Details are as follows: Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025 Time: 4:30 PM ET Live Webcast: investor.firstsolar.com Webcast Replay: Available through Saturday, November 29, 2025 Investors section of the Company's website approximately two hours after the call About First So. ...
Buy First Solar Stock for Value, Growth, and AI Energy Upside
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First Solar: Political Overhang Keeps Shares Range-Bound (NASDAQ:FSLR)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-08 14:27
In June of last year, I covered First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR ) and rated it a Hold, citing the high valuation dependence on government tax credits that could come under scrutiny or extinction under anExperience is difficult to learn. After 30 plus years of critically analyzing the nuts and bolts of businesses as diverse as airlines, oil, retail, mining to fintech and ecommerce plus the macro, monetary and political drivers. I continue to immensely enjoy learning and applying my experience to unravel, com ...
Why The Bull Run In First Solar Should Continue (NASDAQ:FSLR)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 17:30
Since the beginning of April, First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR ) stock has seen a single-session move of at least 7% a whopping 13 different times. Only one of those moves — an 8%-plus decline after a disappointing first-quarterI've been contributing to Seeking Alpha and other investment websites since 2011, with a general (though far from rigid) focus on value over growth. I got my Series 7 and 63 back in 1999, and watched the dot-com bubble peak and then burst in real time at a small, tech-focused retail b ...
Why The Bull Run In First Solar Should Continue
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 17:30
Since the beginning of April, First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR ) stock has seen a single-session move of at least 7% a whopping 13 different times. Only one of those moves — an 8%-plus decline after a disappointing first-quarter resultI've been contributing to Seeking Alpha and other investment websites since 2011, with a general (though far from rigid) focus on value over growth. I got my Series 7 and 63 back in 1999, and watched the dot-com bubble peak and then burst in real time at a small, tech-focused retail ...
Scandium Canada participates in Quebec's economic mission to Asia and announces corporate update
Thenewswire· 2025-10-07 17:30
Core Insights - Scandium Canada Ltd. is participating in the Asia 2025 Economic Mission to promote Quebec's leadership in critical minerals and strengthen international partnerships in the sector [1][3] - The Crater Lake project is highlighted as a significant primary source of scandium, with a new mineral resource estimate confirming its exceptional potential [4] - The mission emphasizes the importance of scandium in the energy transition, particularly in manufacturing solid oxide fuel cells and lightweight alloys for the aerospace sector [3] Company Developments - Scandium Canada presented the Crater Lake project to investors in Korea and Japan, showcasing Quebec's unique potential in scandium and its role in clean technology [2] - The company plans to complete a pre-feasibility study by June 2026 to optimize the project's technical and economic parameters [5] - A new bilingual website has been launched to enhance stakeholder engagement and reflect the company's vision [6] Strategic Positioning - The mission positions Quebec as a strategic partner for Asian markets seeking sustainable solutions, highlighting the growing demand for scandium in various industries [3] - Scandium Canada aims to become a leader in the scandium market by developing aluminum-scandium alloys and focusing on sustainable materials [8]