Group 1 - The previous investment thought on Hasbro Inc. (HAS) was a buy rating due to an attractive entry point from the pullback in share price and a positive growth recovery outlook [1] - The investment approach focuses on long-term investments while incorporating short-term shorts to uncover alpha opportunities, emphasizing bottom-up analysis of individual companies' fundamental strengths and weaknesses [1] - The investment duration is medium to long-term, aiming to identify companies with solid fundamentals, sustainable competitive advantages, and growth potential [1]

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations - Federal Reserve officials' comments have raised expectations for earlier interest rate cuts, with Governor Waller indicating support for cuts if high tariffs harm the job market [1] - Cleveland Fed President Mester suggested that rate action could occur as soon as June if clearer economic direction is obtained [1] Group 2: Stock Market Reactions - U.S. stock markets surged, with the Dow Jones up 1.23%, Nasdaq up 2.74%, and S&P 500 up 2.03%, driven by the anticipation of interest rate cuts [2] - Major tech stocks saw significant gains, with Tesla, Amazon, and Microsoft rising over 3%, while semiconductor stocks like Micron and Broadcom increased by over 6% [2] Group 3: Consumer Sentiment and Economic Concerns - A recent poll indicated that 47% of Americans believe tariffs will lead to significant price increases, with 53% expressing extreme concern over potential economic recession due to tariff policies [3][4] - Nearly 90% of respondents are worried about rising grocery prices in the coming months, reflecting deteriorating consumer sentiment [4] Group 4: Corporate Earnings and Forecast Adjustments - Procter & Gamble has lowered its revenue and profit expectations for fiscal year 2025, citing deteriorating consumer spending in the U.S. [4] - Hasbro warned of potential $300 million losses and up to $180 million in profit reductions if current tariff policies persist [4] - PepsiCo and American Airlines have also adjusted their annual profit forecasts downward due to increased production costs and economic uncertainty stemming from tariff policies [5] Group 5: Market Predictions and Analyst Adjustments - Deutsche Bank's strategy team has revised its year-end S&P 500 target down to 6,150 points, predicting a 5% decline in earnings, contrary to the general expectation of an 8% increase [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 17% to $887 million, driven by strong performance in the Magic business and licensing [22][8] - Adjusted operating profit rose 50% to $222 million, with an adjusted margin of 25.1%, a 5.5 percentage point improvement year-over-year [22][9] - Adjusted earnings per diluted share increased by 70% to $1.04, reflecting top-line growth and margin expansion [22][23] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wizards of the Coast segment revenue grew 46% to $462 million, with Magic revenue up 45% due to strong demand for recent releases [23][24] - Consumer products revenue declined by 4% to $398 million, but the adjusted operating loss improved by 18% to $31 million [26][22] - The entertainment segment saw a modest decline of 5% in revenue to $27 million, primarily due to deal timing [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted minimal impact from tariffs in Q1, with a focus on maintaining low costs and healthy margins through domestic sourcing [28][26] - Approximately 50% of the US toy and game volume originates from China, with plans to reduce this significantly [31][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is accelerating a $1 billion cost savings plan to offset tariff pressures and is prioritizing key price points to capture market share [12][22] - A multi-decade licensing agreement with Disney for Marvel and Star Wars was extended, enhancing category rights [14][15] - The company is diversifying its sourcing to mitigate tariff impacts, with a target to reduce China exposure below 40% by 2026 [111][112] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by the current global trade environment and the potential for higher consumer prices due to tariffs [16][17] - The guidance remains unchanged, supported by strong performance in games and licensing, but prolonged tariff conditions create unpredictability [33][39] - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the toy category, viewing it as a small luxury that tends to perform better than other discretionary categories [50][51] Other Important Information - The company generated $138 million in operating cash and returned $98 million to shareholders via dividends [28][29] - The company is committed to maintaining a balanced approach to capital allocation, focusing on core growth engines while prioritizing debt reduction [41][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: How are tariffs impacting consumer spending? - Management indicated that the impact of tariffs on consumer spending is expected to be similar to the 2008 recession, with a cautious outlook on the toy category's resilience [47][50] Question: What are the conversations with retailers regarding order patterns? - Management noted that discussions with retailers are fluid, with no significant cancellations observed, and emphasized a partnership approach to manage inventory [54][56] Question: Will prolonged tariffs create structural costs? - Management confirmed that there will be incremental tariff exposure next year if current duties continue, but they are diversifying supply chains to mitigate costs [69][70] Question: What is the outlook for the Wizards segment? - Management raised the full-year outlook for Wizards, expecting mid to high teens revenue growth driven by strong demand for upcoming releases [36][80] Question: How is the company managing pricing strategies? - Management is focused on maintaining consistent prices for consumers while discussing potential pricing adjustments with retailers due to tariff impacts [59][60] Question: What is the company's strategy for reducing China exposure? - Management is accelerating efforts to reduce China sourcing below 40% by 2026, with a focus on diversifying manufacturing locations [111][112]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro experienced a revenue increase in Q1, driven by strong performance in its gaming segment, but faces challenges due to evolving tariff situations Financial Performance - Net revenues for Q1 reached $887 million, marking a 17% increase, with a 46% surge from Wizards of the Coast and licensed digital gaming [1] - Adjusted operating profit rose to $222 million, an increase of $74 million from the previous quarter, and the company generated $138 million in operating cash flow [2] Tariff Impact - The company stated that tariffs had no material impact on Q1 results, but anticipates a gross impact of $100 million to $300 million from tariffs in 2025 [2] - The estimated net profit impact in 2025 is projected to be between $60 million and $180 million, depending on trade policy and consumer behavior [3] Sourcing and Manufacturing Strategy - Approximately half of Hasbro's toy and game volume originates in China, necessitating sourcing diversification [3] - China will remain a key manufacturing hub due to specialized capabilities, while the company is working with customers to manage inventory and pricing strategies [4] Cost-Saving Measures - Hasbro is accelerating a $1 billion cost-savings plan to mitigate tariff pressures [4] - The company is focusing on maintaining key price points and strengthening retail partnerships to capture market share [4] Strategic Flexibility - The games business and strategic flexibility provide Hasbro with options to navigate potential tariff and consumer outcomes [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 17% to $887 million, driven by strong performance in the Magic business and licensing [22][8] - Adjusted operating profit rose 50% to $222 million, with an adjusted margin of 25.1%, a 5.5 percentage point improvement year-over-year [22][9] - Adjusted earnings per diluted share increased by 70% to $1.04, reflecting top-line growth and margin expansion [22][23] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wizards of the Coast segment revenue grew 46% to $462 million, with Magic revenue up 45% due to strong demand for recent releases [23][24] - Consumer products revenue declined by 4% to $398 million, but the adjusted operating loss improved by 18% to $31 million [26][22] - The entertainment segment saw a modest decline of 5% in revenue to $27 million, primarily due to deal timing [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted minimal impact from tariffs in Q1, with a focus on maintaining low costs and healthy margins through domestic sourcing [28][26] - Approximately 50% of the US toy and game volume originates from China, with plans to reduce this significantly [31][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is accelerating a $1 billion cost savings plan to offset tariff pressures and is prioritizing key price points to capture market share [12][22] - A multi-decade licensing agreement with Disney for Marvel and Star Wars was extended, enhancing category rights [14][15] - The company is diversifying its sourcing to mitigate tariff impacts, with a target to reduce China exposure below 40% by 2026 [111][112] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by the current global trade environment and the potential for higher consumer prices due to tariffs [16][17] - The guidance remains unchanged, supported by strong performance in games and licensing, but prolonged tariff conditions create unpredictability [33][39] - The company is optimistic about the resilience of the toy category, viewing it as a small luxury that tends to perform better than other discretionary categories [50][51] Other Important Information - The company generated $138 million in operating cash and returned $98 million to shareholders via dividends [28][29] - The company is committed to maintaining a balanced approach to capital allocation, focusing on core growth engines while prioritizing debt reduction [41][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: How are tariffs impacting consumer spending? - Management sees potential impacts on consumer spending similar to the 2008 recession, with the toy category expected to remain resilient [49][50] Question: What are the conversations with retailers regarding order patterns? - Retailers are managing inventory fluidly, with no significant cancellations observed, and discussions are ongoing about pricing strategies [54][55] Question: Will prolonged tariffs create structural costs? - Yes, there will be incremental tariff exposure next year if current duties continue, but the company is diversifying its supply chain to mitigate this [69][70] Question: How is the company managing pricing in light of tariffs? - The company is focused on maintaining consistent prices for consumers and is discussing pricing strategies with retailers [59][60] Question: What is the outlook for the Wizards segment? - The Wizards segment is expected to perform well, with strong demand signals and a raised full-year outlook [36][80] Question: How is the company addressing manufacturing shifts from China? - The company is accelerating its diversification efforts, with plans to reduce reliance on China for manufacturing [30][31]

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro is facing significant financial impacts due to potential tariffs from the ongoing trade war, with estimates of a $300 million hit to its bottom line if the 145% levy on imports from China is implemented [1][2]. Financial Performance - Hasbro reported better-than-expected earnings, but the focus of investors and analysts was primarily on the implications of the trade war [1]. - The company maintained its full-year guidance, projecting a gross impact of $100 million to $300 million across the enterprise in 2025, depending on various tariff scenarios [2]. Tariff Impact - The CFO indicated that the forecast considers scenarios for China tariffs ranging from 50% to 145%, with an additional 10% for the rest of the world [2]. - CEO Chris Cocks noted that prolonged tariff conditions could lead to structural costs and increased market unpredictability, ultimately resulting in higher consumer prices [2]. Business Resilience - Despite the challenges, Hasbro believes it is well-positioned due to its robust games and licensing businesses and strategic flexibility [2]. - The U.S. games business benefits from digital and domestic sourcing, with many board games produced in Massachusetts [2]. - The Wizards of the Coast division has limited tariff exposure, with less than $10 million at risk due to domestic production in North Carolina, Texas, and Japan [2].

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Hasbro (HAS) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.04 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.67 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.61 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non- recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 55.22%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this toy maker would post earnings of $0.38 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.46, delivering a surprise of 21.05%. Over the last four quarters, the company has s ...

Q1 2025 Earnings APRIL 24, 2025 USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES Supplemental Financial Data the financial tables accompanying this presentation include non-GAAP financial measures as defined under SEC rules, specifically Adjusted operating profit. Adiusted operating margin. Adjusted net earnings and Adjusted net earnings per diluted share. which exclude, where applicable, acquired intangible amortization, strateqic transformation initiatives, restructuring and severance costs, loss on disposal of busines ...

Company News - Hasbro shares increased over 7% in premarket trading due to better profit margins and the announcement of new Star Wars toys as part of a deal with Disney [3] - Procter & Gamble's shares fell 1.3% after the company reported fiscal third-quarter revenue that missed Street estimates and lowered its guidance [3] - Comcast's shares rose nearly 1% after beating Street expectations on first-quarter profit, although the company continued to lose broadband subscribers [3] - PepsiCo's stock remained relatively unchanged after missing quarterly earnings and cutting its full-year outlook due to the negative impacts of tariffs [4] Market Overview - The S&P 500 added 88 points, or 1.7%, closing at 5,376, while the Dow rose 420 points, or 1.1%, finishing at 39,607, and the Nasdaq jumped 2.5% to 16,708 [5] - The S&P is still down 5.2% since the April 2 'liberation day' announcement, indicating ongoing volatility in the market [6] - Recent tariff relief discussions have led to a flattening of the Treasury yield curve, with 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields down, while the 2-year yield rose to its highest since April 11 [7]