Economic Overview - U.S. stocks have experienced a rally due to impressive economic data, leading to optimism among investors regarding potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1][8] - Expectations for a rate cut in September increased after inflation data showed a slower-than-expected rise [2][8] Inflation Data - The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-over-month in July, lower than the consensus estimate of 0.3% [4] - Year-over-year, CPI increased by 2.7% in July, also below the expected 2.8% [5] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% in July, aligning with expectations, while year-over-year core CPI increased by 3.1%, slightly above the 3% forecast [5][6] Consumer Discretionary Stocks - Investing in consumer discretionary stocks is recommended due to the favorable economic outlook and anticipated rate cuts [2][11] - Notable consumer discretionary stocks include: - **The Walt Disney Company (DIS)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 17.7% for the current year, with revenues of $91.4 billion in fiscal 2024 [9][10] - **Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 40.9% for the current year [12][13] - **Hasbro, Inc. (HAS)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 19.5% for the current year [14] - **Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 31.4% for the current year [15][16] - **Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 19.8% for the current year [17]

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of overseas IP leaders, with significant revenue growth in the IP-related sector [2][3][4] - Disney's experience business showed resilience, with total revenue increasing by 2% year-on-year to $23.7 billion, and operating profit rising by 8% to $4.6 billion in Q3 FY25 [2] - Sanrio reported a remarkable 49% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1 FY26, with revenue from the China region doubling [3] - Bandai Namco achieved a steady revenue increase of 7.1% year-on-year in Q1 FY26, driven by strong performance from its IPs [3] - CyberAgent's media and IP business saw a 10.9% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 FY25, with significant profit increases in both media/IP and gaming sectors [4] Company Summaries - **Disney**: In Q3 FY25, the entertainment segment generated $10.7 billion in revenue (up 1% year-on-year), while the experience segment saw an 8% increase to $9.1 billion [2] - **Sanrio**: For Q1 FY26, the company reported revenue of 43.1 billion yen (up 49% year-on-year) and a net profit of 14.19 billion yen (up 38%) [3] - **Bandai Namco**: The company recorded revenue of 300.43 billion yen in Q1 FY26, with a net profit of 38.33 billion yen, reflecting a 12.6% year-on-year increase [3] - **CyberAgent**: The company achieved revenue of 210.78 billion yen in Q3 FY25, with a net profit of 8.24 billion yen, marking a 46.6% year-on-year increase [4] - **Hasbro**: In Q2 FY25, Hasbro reported revenue of $981 million, a slight decline of 1% year-on-year, with the Wizards segment growing by 16% [5] - **Mattel**: The company generated $1.019 billion in revenue in Q2 FY25, down 6% year-on-year, with mixed performance across different product categories [6] - **DeNa**: In Q1 FY25, DeNa's revenue reached 41.7 billion yen, a 23% year-on-year increase, with a significant rise in gaming revenue [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Increase Holding" [7] Core Viewpoints - Recent financial reports from overseas IP leaders show growth in IP-related revenues [2] - The overall market capitalization of the industry is 16,817.42 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 15,402.81 billion yuan [3] - The report highlights strong performance from key companies such as Bubble Mart, which has a projected EPS growth from 0.81 yuan in 2023 to 5.45 yuan in 2026, and a PE ratio decreasing from 316 in 2023 to 47 in 2026 [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Key Company Status - Bubble Mart: Current stock price is 278.0 yuan, with EPS projected to grow from 0.81 yuan in 2023 to 5.45 yuan in 2026, and a PE ratio decreasing from 316 to 47 [1] - Damai Entertainment: Current stock price is 1.2 yuan, with EPS projected to grow from 0.02 yuan in 2023 to 0.05 yuan in 2026, and a PE ratio decreasing from 54 to 22 [1] - Shanghai Film: Current stock price is 36.5 yuan, with EPS projected to grow from 0.28 yuan in 2023 to 0.73 yuan in 2026, and a PE ratio decreasing from 130 to 50 [1] - Zhongwen Online: Current stock price is 25.3 yuan, with EPS projected to recover from -0.33 yuan in 2024 to 0.09 yuan in 2026, and a PE ratio decreasing from 222 to 281 [1] - Rongxin Culture: Current stock price is 25.6 yuan, with EPS projected to recover from -0.53 yuan in 2024 to 0.47 yuan in 2026, and a PE ratio decreasing from 214 to 55 [1] Market Trends - Disney's total revenue increased by 2% year-on-year to 23.7 billion USD, with the entertainment sector generating 10.7 billion USD [5] - Sanrio reported a 49% year-on-year revenue increase to 430.97 billion JPY, with a 120% increase in revenue from the Chinese market [5] - CyberAgent's revenue grew by 10.9% year-on-year to 210.78 billion JPY, driven by strong performance in media and IP businesses [6] - Hasbro's Wizards segment saw a 16% revenue increase, primarily due to growth in the Magic: The Gathering franchise [6] - DeNa's gaming business maintained high growth, with a 23% year-on-year revenue increase to 417 billion JPY [6]

Core Insights - New Holland Brewing Co. is collaborating with Hasbro's Wizards of the Coast to launch a new limited-edition flavor, DUNGEONS & DRAGONS Coconut Rum Barrel Reserve, inspired by the Dragon Turtle [1][2] - The collaboration aims to celebrate storytelling through flavor, with plans for additional special releases later in the fall [2] - Dragon's Milk is recognized as one of the best-selling American-made stouts, known for its bourbon barrel aging and has received multiple awards [3] Company Overview - New Holland Brewing Company is a nationally renowned craft brewery and distiller based in Holland, Michigan, with a diverse beverage portfolio including Dragon's Milk Bourbon Barrel-Aged Stout [4] - The brewery operates an online store, three brewpubs, and three spirits tasting rooms in West Michigan [4] Hasbro Overview - Hasbro is a leading games, IP, and toy company with over 164 years of experience, reaching over 500 million consumers globally through various entertainment mediums [5][6] - The company focuses on unlocking value from both new and legacy intellectual properties, including DUNGEONS & DRAGONS and MAGIC: THE GATHERING [6] Wizards of the Coast Overview - Wizards of the Coast, a division of Hasbro, develops and publishes games that inspire creativity and build communities, with a focus on tabletop and digital platforms [8][9] - The division is known for its popular franchises, including DUNGEONS & DRAGONS and MAGIC: THE GATHERING, and has a diverse network of development studios [10]

Core Viewpoint - Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is investigating potential claims against Hasbro, Inc. due to allegations of mismanagement of inventory and fiduciary duty breaches by the board of directors during a specified class period [2][3]. Group 1: Class Action Lawsuit Details - A class action complaint was filed against Hasbro on November 13, 2024, covering a class period from February 7, 2022, to October 25, 2023 [2]. - The lawsuit alleges that Hasbro misrepresented the quality and appropriateness of its inventory levels compared to customer demand, leading to a significant buildup of unsold inventory [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Impact - On January 26, 2023, Hasbro previewed its fourth quarter results for fiscal year 2022, admitting to a 17% year-over-year revenue contraction and announcing a layoff of 15% of its global workforce, which caused the stock price to drop by over 8% [4]. - On October 26, 2023, Hasbro reported an 18% decline in Consumer Product revenues year-over-year and significantly reduced guidance for the remainder of the year, leading to an additional 11.7% drop in stock price [5].

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 __________________ FORM 10-Q __________________ (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 29, 2025 (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) or TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Commission File Number 1-6682 ______ ...

My previous investment thought on Hasbro Inc. (NASDAQ: HAS ) was a buy rating because growth tracked well against my expectation, and the setup for the rest of the year was de-risked with the FY25 guidance. It has been a I focus on long-term investments while incorporating short-term shorts to uncover alpha opportunities. My investment approach revolves around bottom-up analysis, delving into the fundamental strengths and weaknesses of individual companies. My investment duration is the medium to long-term. ...

Core Viewpoint - Hasbro (HAS) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook for its earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates as a key driver of stock price movements, with a strong correlation observed between earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock performance [4][6]. - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, Hasbro is projected to earn $4.70 per share, which remains unchanged from the previous year, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 7.2% over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks Rank stock-rating system categorizes stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade of Hasbro to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Core Insights - Sales of traditional toys by Hasbro and Mattel declined in Q2 due to delayed orders from retailers concerned about potential price increases from tariffs [2][4] - Both companies believe they are positioned to handle tariff impacts but are uncertain about consumer spending on toys amid rising household expenses [3][4] - Hasbro and Mattel reported earnings surprises, with Hasbro's net sales down 1% and Mattel's down 6%, both less than expected [4][5] Hasbro Insights - Hasbro's gaming segment, including Wizards of the Coast, saw a 16% revenue growth, while traditional toys decreased by 16% [6] - The recent release of Magic: The Gathering based on Final Fantasy achieved $200 million in revenue in one day, indicating strong demand [8] - Hasbro's CEO warned that popular toys might be hard to find during the holidays due to delayed orders, specifically mentioning Play-Doh Barbie and other new lines [9][10] Mattel Insights - Mattel is focusing on growth through its entertainment division, planning to release one to two films annually starting in 2026 [12] - The company is collaborating with OpenAI to enhance interaction with toy characters using AI technology [14] - Despite a larger-than-expected sales decline, Mattel reported growth in its American Girl brand and anticipates strong sales from upcoming product lines [15][16] Industry Trends - Both Hasbro and Mattel are diversifying away from traditional toys, with Hasbro's acquisition of Wizards of the Coast proving beneficial [5] - The toy industry is facing challenges from tariffs, but larger companies like Hasbro and Mattel have the financial resources to mitigate impacts and potentially gain market share [17]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for Hasbro (HAS) from $83 to $85 [1] Group 1 - The adjustment in target price indicates a positive outlook for Hasbro's stock performance [1]