Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q2 2025 decreased by 19%, primarily due to a planned reduction in motorcycle shipments and soft demand [10][27] - Consolidated operating income was $112 million, reflecting a 69% decline at HDMC, while HDFS operating income decreased by 2% [28][43] - Earnings per share for Q2 was $0.88, with global retail sales down 15% year over year [28][29] - Operating cash flow decreased by $68 million from the prior period, totaling $509 million [47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HDMC revenue decreased by 23% in Q2, driven by a 28% decline in motorcycle shipments [34][35] - HDFS revenue was $257 million, down 2% due to lower retail and commercial receivables [43] - LiveWire reported an operating loss of $19 million, an improvement from a $28 million loss in the prior year [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American retail sales were down 17%, while international markets saw a 12% decline [28][29] - In EMEA, retail was down 5%, with growth in Germany and the Benelux regions offset by declines in France and the UK [30] - Asia Pacific retail was down 21%, attributed to intense competition in the lightweight motorcycle segments [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company entered strategic partnerships with KKR and PIMCO for HDFS, aiming to enhance long-term value and reduce overall funding costs [4][5] - Plans to reduce debt by $450 million and accelerate a $1 billion share buyback program were announced [9][49] - The introduction of new entry-level products and a small displacement motorcycle is scheduled for 2026, targeting a price below $6,000 [20][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing economic uncertainty and elevated interest rates impacting customer purchasing behavior [10][11] - There are signs of improvement in customer traffic in North America, with expectations for positive retail performance in the second half of the year [66][67] - The company remains cautious about the global tariff environment, estimating a full-year impact of $50 million to $85 million from tariffs [42] Other Important Information - The HDFS transaction is expected to generate $1.25 billion in cash for Harley Davidson, representing about 40% of the current market cap [9][10] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders despite the challenging operating environment [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the components used to calculate the 1.75 times book value marker for the HDFS transaction? - The calculation is based on the proceeds from KKR and PIMCO's equity investment in the business, reflecting the premium paid versus the post-transaction book value [52][54] Question: What is driving the underlying profitability of HDFS? - The profitability has improved due to stabilization in used motorcycle values and better repossession rates, contributing positively to HDFS performance [56][58] Question: How does the company view current dealer inventories and what is the target for year-end? - The company expects a significant reduction in dealer inventory, targeting a double-digit decline by year-end [71] Question: What is the timing of the model launch shift? - The model year shift is planned for the fall, with new models being introduced to maintain excitement in dealerships [73][74] Question: Are there any guarantees associated with the HDFS transaction regarding growth in retail sales? - There are no guarantees for maintaining certain growth rates or loss levels; however, there is confidence in the business's ability to run profitably through cycles [88][89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue in Q2 2025 decreased by 19%, largely in line with expectations across HDMC and HDFS, while revenue also decreased at LiveWire [27] - Consolidated operating income for Q2 was $112 million, a decline of 69% at HDMC, while HDFS operating income decreased by 2% [28] - Earnings per share for Q2 was $0.88, with global retail sales down 15% year-over-year [28][29] - Operating cash flow was $509 million, down $68 million from the prior period, with total cash and cash equivalents at $1.6 billion, a decrease of $261 million year-over-year [46][47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HDMC revenue decreased by 23% in Q2, driven by a 28% decline in motorcycle shipments, totaling 36,000 units compared to 50,000 units in the prior year [34] - HDFS revenue was $257 million, a decrease of 2%, with operating income at $70 million, down 2% compared to last year [43] - LiveWire reported an operating loss of $19 million, an improvement from a $28 million loss in the prior Q2, with unit sales down to 55 from 158 [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American retail sales were down 17%, while international markets saw a decline of 12% [28][29] - In EMEA, retail was down 5%, with growth in Germany and the Benelux regions offset by declines in France and the UK [30] - Asia Pacific retail was down 21%, attributed to intense competition in the lightweight motorcycle segments [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has entered strategic partnerships with KKR and PIMCO for HDFS, aiming to enhance long-term value and reduce overall funding costs [3][5] - A new efficiency program will be introduced to enhance productivity, leveraging technology including AI for cost savings [11] - Plans to launch new entry-level products and a small displacement motorcycle are set for 2026, targeting an entry price below $6,000 [20][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing economic uncertainty and elevated interest rates impacting customer purchasing behavior [10][29] - There are signs of improvement in customer traffic in North America, with expectations for positive comp growth in the latter half of the year [64][65] - The company remains cautious about the global tariff environment, estimating a full-year impact from tariffs to be between $50 million and $85 million [42] Other Important Information - The HDFS transaction is expected to generate $1.25 billion in cash for Harley Davidson, allowing for debt reduction and share buybacks [9][49] - The company plans to reduce debt by $450 million and invest up to $300 million in future growth opportunities [49] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the components used to calculate the 1.75 times book value marker for the HDFS transaction? - The calculation is based on the proceeds from KKR and PIMCO for their equity investment in the business, reflecting the premium paid versus the post-transaction book value [51][53] Question: What is driving the underlying profitability of HDFS, and what is the normalized profitability expected in 2026? - The profitability has improved due to stabilization in used values and better repossession rates, with normalized earnings expected to be around $240 million to $250 million annually [55][62] Question: How does the company feel about current dealer inventories and the target for year-end? - The company expects a significant reduction in dealer inventory, targeting a double-digit decline by year-end [69][70] Question: What is the rationale for the 4.9% equity sale in the HDFS transaction? - The 4.9% limit is due to regulatory requirements from the FDIC regarding ownership percentages in the HDFS business [76][78]

Shares of Harley-Davidson surged Wednesday after the motorcycle maker announced plans to sell a nearly 10% stake and more than $5 billion of retail loans https://t.co/3xEJSSkeBL ...

Company Performance - Harley-Davidson reported quarterly earnings of $0.88 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.99 per share, and down from $1.63 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -11.11% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.05 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.04%, and down from $1.36 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Harley-Davidson has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times, but has not beaten consensus revenue estimates [2] Stock Performance - Harley-Davidson shares have lost approximately 23.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 8.3% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Harley-Davidson is 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.94 on revenues of $1.02 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.79 on revenues of $3.78 billion [7] - The outlook for the Automotive - Domestic industry, to which Harley-Davidson belongs, is currently in the bottom 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact the stock's performance [8]

Q2 2025 Results and HDFS Transaction Announcement Wednesday, July 30, 2025 Q2 2025 PERFORMANCE HEADLINES 3 ▪ Delivered diluted EPS of $0.88 ▪ HDMC operating income margin of 5.9% ▪ HDMC revenue down 23% year-over-year ▪ Global motorcycle shipments decreased 28%, due primarily to planned dealer inventory reduction ▪ Global motorcycle retail sales down 15% year-over-year ▪ Global dealer inventories down 28%, compared to Q2 '24, as we continued to prioritize reducing global dealer inventory ▪ The cost of new o ...

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Harley-Davidson Delivers Second Quarter Financial Results and Announces HDFS Transaction with KKR and PIMCO MILWAUKEE (July 30, 2025) – Harley-Davidson, Inc. ("Harley-Davidson," "HDI," or the "Company"), (NYSE: HOG) today reported second quarter 2025 results and announced a transaction entered into by its subsidiary, Harley-Davidson Financial Services. "While our second quarter results continue to be impacted by a challenging commercial environment for discretionary products and an unc ...

Group 1 - Harley-Davidson is in advanced negotiations with Pimco and KKR to sell a stake in its financial subsidiary and existing motorcycle loan portfolio, with a potential deal size of $5 billion [1] - The financial services subsidiary, Harley-Davidson Financial Services (HDFS), provides inventory financing for dealers and loans for consumers purchasing Harley-Davidson and LiveWire motorcycles [1] - The transaction may be announced in the coming weeks, although details and scale could change as negotiations are ongoing [1] Group 2 - Harley-Davidson is facing challenges with sluggish sales growth and intense competition from rivals like Honda and BMW, with its stock price down approximately 22% this year [2] - The CEO, Jochen Zeitz, indicated in May that the HDFS transaction is progressing, with multiple institutions expressing interest [2] - The private credit market, valued at $5.2 trillion, is expanding, with firms acquiring stakes in consumer loan issuing entities and purchasing the loans they issue [2]

Financial Transactions - Harley-Davidson is in advanced talks to sell a stake in its financing unit [1] - The deal is worth $5 billion [1] - The deal includes Harley-Davidson's existing motorcycle loan portfolio [1] - Pimco and KKR are the potential buyers [1]

Group 1 - Harley-Davidson is expected to report Q2 2025 earnings on July 30, 2025, with consensus forecasts indicating earnings of approximately $0.96 per share, down from $1.63 in the same quarter last year, and revenue expected to be around $1.1 billion, reflecting a nearly 19% year-over-year decrease [2] - The decline in earnings and revenue suggests a diminishing interest in Harley's high-end motorcycles, attributed to low consumer confidence amid high interest rates and economic uncertainty [2] - The company has retracted its full-year 2025 outlook due to uncertainties related to trade policies and macroeconomic fluctuations, while management emphasizes commitment to cost control and stricter inventory management [2] Group 2 - Harley-Davidson currently has a market capitalization of $3.0 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $4.8 billion, generating $314 million in operating profits and $354 million in net income [3] - Historical trends indicate that there have been 17 earnings data points over the past five years, with 11 positive and 6 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 65% occurrence of positive returns [5] - The median of the 11 positive returns is 7.8%, while the median of the 6 negative returns is -6.8% [5] Group 3 - A strategy to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be effective, particularly if the correlation is strong [6] - The correlation between 1D and 5D returns can guide traders to position themselves "long" for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive [6] - The performance of peers can influence Harley-Davidson's stock reaction following earnings, with market adjustments potentially beginning prior to the earnings announcement [7]

Group 1 - Harley-Davidson has been facing challenges recently, with a previous recommendation of 'buy' made in late October 2022 [1] - The overall picture for the motorcycle manufacturer has deteriorated since the earlier positive outlook [1] Group 2 - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service focused on oil and natural gas, emphasizing cash flow and growth potential [1] - Subscribers benefit from a stock model account, detailed cash flow analyses of exploration and production firms, and live discussions about the sector [2]