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Prediction: 1 EV Stock That Will Be Worth More Than Lucid 1 Year From Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-26 11:30
Core Viewpoint - Archer Aviation is positioned to have a more promising future compared to Lucid Motors, which has struggled to meet its production and delivery targets since going public [1][6]. Company Performance - Lucid initially aimed to deliver 20,000 vehicles in 2022, 49,000 in 2023, and 90,000 in 2024, but actual deliveries were significantly lower at 4,369 in 2022, 6,001 in 2023, and 10,241 in 2024 [2][4]. - Lucid's revenue grew from $608 million in 2022 to $808 million in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 15%, while its net loss increased from $2.56 billion to $3.06 billion [5]. - Lucid's stock has declined nearly 90% since its first post-merger trade, yet it maintains a market cap of $8.6 billion, which is 11 times last year's sales [5]. Market Position and Future Outlook - Archer Aviation's Midnight eVTOL aircraft offers advantages such as carrying a pilot and four passengers, traveling up to 100 miles, and reaching speeds of 150 miles per hour, making it suitable for urban air taxi services [8]. - Archer has a backlog of approximately $6 billion, with significant orders from major companies and organizations, including United Airlines and the U.S. Air Force [9]. - Archer plans to commence air taxi flights in Abu Dhabi and is awaiting FAA approval for U.S. operations, with production goals of 10 aircraft in 2025, 48 in 2026, 252 in 2027, and 650 in 2028 [10]. - Analysts project Archer's revenue to grow from $13 million in 2025 to $437 million in 2027, supported by a growing backlog and an expanding eVTOL market, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 35.3% from 2024 to 2030 [11]. Competitive Landscape - Archer benefits from an early mover advantage in the eVTOL market, while Lucid entered the saturated EV market later and has seen a decline in its reservation backlog [12]. - Archer's market cap is currently $7.5 billion, trading at 17 times its projected sales for 2027, while Lucid trades at less than two times its estimated sales for the same year [13]. - If Archer successfully launches its commercial air taxi services and gains FAA approval, it could achieve a market cap of $13.1 billion, surpassing Lucid's current valuation [14][15].
Uber Just Made a Huge Investment in Its Robotaxi Future. Here's What Investors Need to Know.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-25 11:00
Core Perspective - Uber Technologies is making a significant commitment to autonomous vehicles through a multi-year partnership with Lucid and Nuro, which could reshape its future in the ride-hailing market [1][9]. Investment Details - Uber will invest $300 million in Lucid and a separate "multi-hundred-million-dollar" investment in Nuro, aiming to deploy at least 20,000 robotaxis over the next six years [2]. Strategic Shift - This partnership marks a major shift in Uber's strategy, as it will own and operate the vehicles rather than just providing a user-facing platform, indicating a desire for more control in the evolving ride-hailing market [4][13]. Vehicle Specifications - The robotaxi fleet will utilize Lucid's Gravity SUV, which features a long 450-mile range and hardware redundancies, making it suitable for autonomous operations [6]. Competitive Landscape - The move is crucial as robotaxis are becoming a reality, with competitors like Waymo and Tesla already offering autonomous rides [7]. Control Over Future - By investing directly in Nuro and Lucid, Uber aims to secure its position in the market and avoid being sidelined by competitors who may choose to offer driverless rides through their own platforms [9][10]. Platform Advantages - Uber possesses strong brand recognition, extensive routing and pricing data, and expertise in fleet management, which may provide an edge over competitors in the autonomous vehicle space [11]. Current Business Performance - Uber's core business is performing well, with a 14% revenue increase to $11.5 billion in Q1 2025, and strong free cash flow generation, allowing time for the robotaxi fleet development [14][15]. Future Challenges - Building a robotaxi fleet is capital-intensive and requires effective execution, with production of vehicles not expected to begin until late 2026, amidst increasing competition [16]. Market Positioning - Uber is proactively making multiple investments in the robotaxi space to ensure it remains competitive as the market evolves, with the potential for significant returns if it becomes a leader in this sector [17].
Could Buying Lucid Stock Today Set You Up for Life?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-25 07:32
Company Overview - Lucid is gaining attention for its electric vehicles (EVs), particularly the Air sedan, which has the longest battery range and recently set a Guinness World Record for distance traveled on a single charge. The Gravity SUV boasts the fastest charging time outside of China [1]. Market Challenges - Lucid's vehicles are currently priced out of reach for most consumers, with the cheapest sedan starting at approximately $70,000. A new model under $50,000 is expected, but production levels are too low to significantly impact sales [4][5]. - The EV market is facing challenges, with a 6% decline in sales in Q2. Recent legislation has eliminated the $7,500 federal tax credit for new EV purchases, which could further hinder sales. Although Lucid's vehicles did not qualify for the credit, the company previously benefited from a loophole [6]. - The federal government is involved in legal disputes over $5 billion allocated for EV charging infrastructure, which remains a barrier for potential buyers [7]. - Tariffs imposed by the government are increasing production costs for automakers, including Lucid, which may lead to price hikes for its vehicles [8]. Financial Performance - Lucid reported a non-GAAP net loss of $0.20 per share in the latest quarter, despite an improvement from the previous year. The company carries over $2 billion in debt [9]. - Leadership instability is a concern, with 11 executives, including the former CEO, leaving the company in the past two years. The current CEO has only been in position since February, adding to the uncertainty as the company seeks to ramp up production and achieve profitability [10]. Strategic Partnerships - A recent partnership with Uber involves Lucid supplying up to 20,000 Gravity SUVs over six years for $300 million. While this deal is a positive development, the company must demonstrate its ability to produce and deliver vehicles efficiently to meet Uber's needs [11]. Future Outlook - For Lucid to become a viable long-term investment, it must increase production, improve financial stability, and attract a broader customer base with more affordable EV options. Currently, the company is not positioned to provide consistent profitability or a reliable customer pipeline [12].
Robotaxi竞赛升温!特斯拉(TSLA.US)加速布局 优步(UBER.US)-Lucid(LCID.US)-Nuro结盟出击
智通财经网· 2025-07-25 07:16
Group 1 - The revolution of robotaxi services is gaining momentum, with Tesla aiming to cover half of the U.S. population by the end of 2025 [1] - Currently, Tesla's robotaxi fleet operates in a limited area in Austin, Texas, requiring the presence of employees or safety drivers in the vehicles [1] - Uber has partnered with Lucid Group and Nuro to launch a next-generation robotaxi service that combines high-end electric vehicles, mature autonomous driving technology, and Uber's global ride-hailing platform [1] Group 2 - Uber plans to deploy 20,000 or more Lucid vehicles equipped with Nuro's autonomous driving system within six years, making it one of the largest announced robotaxi collaborations to date [2] - The base model of these vehicles will have a range of approximately 450 miles per charge, and the Nuro Driver system will support Level 4 autonomous driving capabilities [2] - The robotaxi service is set to launch in a major U.S. city in 2026, with plans to expand to dozens of markets globally over the following six years [2]
X @Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
Tesla Owners Silicon Valley· 2025-07-23 21:36
Product Promotion - Lucid Motors Air Grand Touring 使用体验分享 [1] - Lucid Air 和 Gravity 将在 San Mateo County Event Center 展出 [1] - 活动门票购买链接:https://t.co/T5sY3Za0RW [1]
Lucid Is Down in Late Trading -- Is the Stock a Buy Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-23 19:35
Lucid's share price is dipping despite some seemingly positive news.Lucid (LCID -1.76%) stock has seen substantial volatility Wednesday, but it's swung to the red in late trading. The company's share price was down roughly 2% as of 3:15 p.m. ET, but it had been up as much as 5.8% earlier in the day.Lucid stock saw gains early in today's session after the company announced that it had signed on to a new mineral-sourcing initiative. The company published a press release today detailing its collaboration with ...
EV Stock Faceoff: Is NIO's Mass Appeal Outshining LCID's Luxury Lane?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:11
Core Viewpoint - NIO Inc. and Lucid Motors are pursuing different strategies in the electric vehicle (EV) market, with NIO targeting the mass market and Lucid focusing on luxury and performance [1][2]. Lucid Motors Overview - Lucid Motors produced 3,863 vehicles and delivered 3,309 in Q2 2025, showing year-over-year improvement but still missing Wall Street estimates [3] - The company has produced 6,075 vehicles in the first half of 2025, which is only a third of its 20,000-unit target for the year, raising concerns about demand [3][4] - Lucid's vehicles are priced above $70,000 for the Air sedan and just under $80,000 for the Gravity SUV, which may limit its market appeal as more affordable EVs enter the market [4] - Recent developments include compatibility with Tesla's Supercharger network, providing access to over 23,500 chargers, and a deal with Uber for 20,000 vehicles equipped with autonomous technology [5] - The Saudi government owns around 60% of Lucid and has committed to purchasing up to 100,000 vehicles over the next decade, but this reliance raises concerns about the company's independence [6] - Lucid ended Q1 2025 with $5.76 billion in liquidity but has a high annual cash burn of nearly $2 billion, leading to potential shareholder dilution [7] NIO Overview - NIO is expanding its ecosystem across the EV spectrum with a multi-brand strategy, including the ONVO brand for the mass market and the Firefly label for premium compact vehicles [8] - NIO sold 72,056 vehicles in Q2 2025, a 25.6% year-over-year increase, driven by ONVO and Firefly, despite a decline in core brand sales [9][11] - The company aims to double its total deliveries from 2024, which were 221,970, indicating a need for accelerated growth [11] - NIO's vehicle margin improved to 10.2% in Q1 2025, up from 9.2% a year earlier, with expectations for new models to deliver margins near or above 20% [12] - NIO's battery swap technology and a network of over 3,400 stations globally provide a competitive edge in the crowded EV market [13] Price Performance & Valuation - Year-to-date, NIO shares have risen 15%, outperforming Lucid's stock performance [16] - NIO trades at a lower forward price-to-sales ratio compared to Lucid, which appears overpriced given its current challenges [17] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lucid suggests year-over-year growth of 26.4% and 30% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [19] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NIO indicates year-over-year growth of 31% and 59% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [20] Conclusion - NIO's broader market reach, improving margins, and multi-brand strategy position it more favorably compared to Lucid, which faces challenges with demand and financial stability [21][22]
Wall Street sets price targets for Tesla and Lucid for the next 12 months
Finbold· 2025-07-23 14:14
Core Insights - The automotive industry is experiencing significant changes due to President Trump's recent budget bill, prompting Wall Street analysts to adjust their ratings and price targets for electric vehicle stocks, particularly Tesla and Lucid Group [1] Tesla (TSLA) Analysis - Analysts have provided a range of price targets for Tesla, with the most optimistic projection reaching $500 and the most pessimistic at $19.05, indicating a potential downside of -94.26% from the current levels [3][6] - On July 21, Piper Sandler and Cantor Fitzgerald maintained their "Buy" ratings, with Cantor Fitzgerald lowering its target price from $355 to $335 [2] - Bank of America reiterated its "Hold" rating while raising its target from $305 to $334, suggesting a 2.68% upside [2] - As of the latest data, TSLA shares were trading at $333.24, reflecting a 3.31% gain over the past five days, with an average target price of $299.52 indicating a potential 10.12% downside [4] Lucid Group (LCID) Analysis - Lucid Group's price projections are notably lower than Tesla's, with the highest target set at $7 and the lowest at $1 [10] - On July 17, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and Benchmark Co. provided mixed ratings of "Hold," "Sell," and "Buy," respectively, with Benchmark Co. upgrading its target from $5 to $7 [7] - TD Cowen maintained a "Hold" rating with a target price of $2.3, while Stifel Nicolaus lowered its projection from $3.04 to $4 [7] - LCID stock was priced at $3.14, up 4.82% in the past five days, with an average target price of $2.91, indicating a potential 7.32% decline from current levels [8]
RecycLiCo Partners with Lucid to Strengthen North American Domestic Supply Chain for Critical Minerals and Metals
Globenewswire· 2025-07-23 13:31
Core Insights - RecycLiCo Battery Materials Inc. has become a founding member of the Minerals for National Automotive Competitiveness Collaboration (MINAC), aimed at enhancing the development and procurement of American-sourced critical minerals for automotive manufacturing [1][2][3] Group 1: Collaboration and Objectives - The partnership includes industry leaders such as Lucid, Alaska Energy Metals, Graphite One, and Electric Metals, focusing on establishing a circular supply chain for critical minerals [1][2] - MINAC aims to advance domestic mineral production through offtake agreements for American critical minerals, identify barriers to commercialization, and improve coordination between the mining and automotive sectors [7] Group 2: Technological Contributions - RecycLiCo's advanced hydrometallurgical process is recognized for its ability to recover high-purity, battery-ready materials from various sources, contributing to onshore sourcing of essential materials [2][3] - The collaboration is a response to the global trading environment's realignment and governmental initiatives promoting reliance on domestic sources, validating and scaling RecycLiCo's technology [3] Group 3: Leadership and Events - Richard Sadowsky, CEO of RecycLiCo, will participate in a roundtable event in Washington, D.C., alongside notable political figures, to discuss the collaboration's launch [4]
Graphite One Joins Lucid and Domestic Battery Materials Developers Pledging Strategic Collaboration to Promote Domestic Critical Minerals in the U.S. Automotive Supply Chain
Prnewswire· 2025-07-23 11:00
Core Points - Graphite One Inc. has entered into a Memorandum of Understanding with Lucid Group to form MINAC, aimed at reducing U.S. reliance on foreign critical minerals in the automotive supply chain [1][3] - MINAC was officially launched during a Capitol Hill event, highlighting bipartisan support from various state representatives [2] - The initiative aligns with Graphite One's strategy to establish a 100% U.S.-based advanced graphite materials supply chain, leveraging the Graphite Creek deposit, the largest in the U.S. [4] Company Strategy - Graphite One is developing a complete U.S.-based advanced graphite supply chain, including a manufacturing plant for battery anode materials in Warren, Ohio, and a recycling facility [4] - The company aims to become a leading American producer of high-grade anode materials integrated with domestic graphite resources, primarily for the lithium-ion electric vehicle battery market [6] Industry Context - MINAC represents a partnership among U.S. mineral and automotive producers to enhance domestic supply chains, supporting national security and American energy leadership [5] - The collaboration is expected to unlock billions in investments in mining, minerals processing, and manufacturing of derivative products, significantly reducing reliance on foreign nations [5]