LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM)
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LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-17 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Group reported total revenues of $3.9 billion, an increase of 17.3% year-over-year, driven by growth in both Passenger and Cargo segments [16] - Passenger revenues rose by 18.5%, with premium traveler revenues increasing by more than 15% compared to the same period last year [17] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.1%, while adjusted EBITDAR reached $1.15 billion during the quarter, and net income totaled $379 million, up 26% year-over-year [8][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM transported over 22.9 million passengers, with a consolidated load factor of 85.4% [8] - Passenger RASK increased by 8.4% year-over-year in US dollars, reflecting strong operational performance [11] - Cargo revenues grew by 6.3%, contributing to overall revenue growth [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Brazil, LATAM Airlines Brazil grew capacity by over 12% year-over-year, with a load factor increase of 2.2 percentage points [11] - Spanish-speaking affiliates saw passenger RASK increase by 18% year-over-year, indicating improved performance in those markets [11] - The international segment operated with high load factors, although demand to the U.S. was noted to be softer, particularly in leisure travel [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - LATAM is focused on maintaining disciplined execution and cost control while enhancing customer experience through product improvements [5][14] - The company plans to launch a new Premium Comfort Class in 2027, reflecting its commitment to offering more choices to passengers [15] - LATAM's fleet modernization strategy includes the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer E2 aircraft, which will improve regional connectivity and fuel efficiency [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand environment and the company's ability to maintain profitable growth despite some softness in international leisure travel [28] - The company anticipates high single-digit consolidated capacity growth for the next year, supported by efficiency and a robust fleet delivery schedule [14][21] - LATAM updated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDAR between $4 billion and $4.1 billion, reflecting a more constructive outlook [21][22] Other Important Information - LATAM executed a share repurchase program totaling $433 million, demonstrating a disciplined approach to capital allocation [9][20] - The company ended the quarter with a liquidity level of 25.8% and an adjusted net leverage ratio of 1.5 times, aligning with financial policy targets [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: International performance compared to Brazil and Spanish-speaking countries - Management noted stable demand in most international segments, with softer demand to the U.S. linked to leisure travel preferences [27][28] Question: Update on Brazil's legislation regarding free baggage - The law passed in Brazil allows passengers to carry a bag without charge for both domestic and international flights, but its implementation is still uncertain [33][34] Question: Impact of premium experience investments on revenue growth - Premium revenue is growing faster than capacity, contributing significantly to RASK improvements, driven by enhanced customer experience and product offerings [45][46] Question: Reasons for growth slowdown in international traffic - Management attributed the slowdown to external factors affecting leisure travel to the U.S., rather than a fundamental decline in demand [51] Question: Outlook on fleet and booking curve for next year - LATAM expects high single-digit ASK growth for 2026, with a total fleet of around 410 aircraft by year-end [60][62] Question: Lower percentage of hedge fuel this quarter - Management clarified that the current hedge fuel percentages are standard and consistent with past practices, with expectations for increases as quarters progress [66][68] Question: Expected impact of the pallet strike in Chile - Management indicated no clarity on the potential impact of the strike at this time [73]
LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-17 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Group reported total revenues of $3.9 billion, an increase of 17.3% year over year, driven by growth in both passenger and cargo segments [15][16] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.1%, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $1.15 billion during the quarter, and net income totaling $379 million, up 26% year over year [8][17] - Passenger revenues rose by 18.5%, with premium traveler revenues increasing by more than 15% compared to the same period last year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM transported over 22.9 million passengers, with a consolidated load factor of 85.4% [8] - Passenger RASC increased by 8.4% year over year in US dollars, reflecting strong operational performance [11] - Cargo revenues grew by 6.3%, contributing to the overall revenue increase [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Brazil grew capacity by over 12% year over year, launching six new domestic routes [11] - In Spanish-speaking countries, LATAM's affiliates saw passenger RASC increase by 18% year over year [11] - The international segment maintained high load factors, although demand to the U.S. was noted to be softer, particularly in leisure travel [24][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - LATAM is focused on profitable growth, operational excellence, and maintaining cost control as key pillars of its strategy [16][18] - The company is committed to enhancing customer experience through initiatives like the new Premium Comfort Class and the inauguration of a new lounge in Lima [14][13] - LATAM's fleet modernization strategy includes the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer E2 aircraft, which will improve regional connectivity and fuel efficiency [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to continue improving and delivering on its purpose of elevating customer journeys [6] - The outlook for 2025 includes a focus on high single-digit consolidated capacity growth, supported by a healthy demand environment [21][22] - Management acknowledged external factors affecting international traffic, particularly leisure travel to the U.S., but remained optimistic about overall demand [24][36] Other Important Information - LATAM executed a share repurchase program totaling $433 million, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital allocation [9][19] - The company ended the quarter with an adjusted net leverage ratio of 1.5 times, aligning with its financial policy [19] - LATAM was recognized as a five-star global airline for 2026 by APEX, marking the fourth consecutive year of receiving this distinction [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: International performance compared to Brazil and Spanish-speaking countries - Management noted stable and healthy demand in most international segments, with softer demand to the U.S. linked to leisure travel preferences [24][25] Question: Update on Brazil's legislation regarding free baggage - Management confirmed that a law allowing free baggage and seat selection was passed by Brazil's lower chamber but is pending Senate approval [25][26] Question: Impact of premium experience investments on revenue growth - Management indicated that premium revenue is growing faster than capacity, contributing significantly to overall revenue improvements [31][32] Question: Reasons for growth slowdown in international traffic - Management attributed the slowdown to softer demand for leisure travel to the U.S., rather than a fundamental decline in demand [36] Question: Future capital allocation strategy - Management emphasized that business development and growth opportunities will take precedence in capital allocation decisions [29][30]
LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-17 13:00
Operational Performance - LATAM transported over 229 million passengers, supported by a 93% capacity growth (ASK) year-over-year[8] - Consolidated load factor reached 854%, a 05 percentage point increase compared to the third quarter of 2024[8] - Passenger unit revenue increased by 84% while maintaining broadly stable unit costs[8] Financial Highlights - Adjusted EBITDAR totaled US$1150 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 181%[8] - Net income reached US$379 million[8] - LATAM executed a share repurchase program for US$433 million[8] Strategic Initiatives - LATAM announced the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer aircraft to enhance connectivity in South America, including 24 firm orders and 50 purchase options[8, 9] - The Embraer E195-E2 offers a 30% lower fuel consumption per seat compared to previous-generation models[10] - LATAM will introduce Premium Comfort class in 2027 to enhance the long-haul experience[20] Guidance Update - LATAM updated its 2025 guidance, projecting an adjusted EBITDAR range between US$400 billion and US$410 billion and an adjusted operating margin between 160% and 165%[36]
Airline Stocks to Watch as the Government Shutdown Ends
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 21:36
Group 1: Airline Industry Overview - Airline stocks have shown resilience, particularly after the end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which had caused significant disruptions in flight operations [1] - The Zacks Transportation-Airline Industry is currently in the bottom 25% of over 240 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment for many airlines [2] Group 2: Notable Performers - LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) has gained +65% year-to-date, while International Consolidated Airlines Group (ICAGY) is up nearly +40% in 2025, both outperforming the Zacks-Transportation Airline Market's YTD return of +6% [3] - LTM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), and ICAGY has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] Group 3: Domestic Airline Stocks - SkyWest (SKYW) is highlighted as a buy-rated stock, with FY25 EPS estimates increasing from $9.95 to $10.33, a 4% rise, and FY26 EPS revisions up 7% from $10.33 to $11.08 [4][6] - United Airlines (UAL) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) are also noted for their appealing EPS growth prospects, both holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [6] Group 4: Revenue and Valuation - Major airlines like United and Delta may face revenue challenges due to flight disruptions, but they lead in international capacity and profitability margins [7] - UAL and DAL are attractively valued, trading around the industry average of 10X forward earnings and less than 1X forward sales [7] Group 5: Stocks to Avoid - There are six stocks in the Transportation-Airline Industry with a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) and two with a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), including Alaska Air Group (ALK) and Sun Country Airlines (SNCY) [9]
4 Value Plays With High Earnings Yield and Upside Potential
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 16:36
Core Insights - Value investing focuses on identifying undervalued assets trading below their intrinsic value, allowing investors to capitalize on market corrections over time [1] - Earnings yield is a crucial metric for value investors, calculated as earnings per share (EPS) divided by the current stock price, serving as an indicator of a stock's profitability relative to its market price [2][9] - A higher earnings yield suggests potential undervaluation and growth opportunities, while a lower yield may indicate overvaluation [2] Stock Picks - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is focused on enhancing core operations and expanding into new markets, with strong demand supporting growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 7% growth in sales and a 70% increase in earnings year-over-year for fiscal 2026 [8][9][10] - Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) is improving its operations across multiple regions, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate projecting 80% sales growth and 857% earnings growth year-over-year for 2025 [11][12] - LATAM Airlines (LTM) is benefiting from a lean cost structure and increased air travel demand, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasting 9% sales growth and 46% earnings growth year-over-year for 2025 [13][14] - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) is enhancing its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and cost-cutting measures, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate indicating 17% sales growth and an extraordinary 5,566% earnings growth year-over-year for 2025 [15][16] Investment Strategy - The primary screening criterion for stock selection is an earnings yield greater than 10%, supplemented by estimated EPS growth exceeding the S&P 500 and a minimum average daily trading volume of 100,000 [5][6] - Stocks priced at $5 or higher and those with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) are considered for potential outperformance in various market conditions [7]
LATAM Airlines' Q3 Earnings Coming Up: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 14:46
Core Insights - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 14, after market close, with a history of earnings surprises [1] - The company has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 4.04% [1][2] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for LTM's Q3 2025 revenues is $3.61 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.96% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) estimate for Q3 2025 remains unchanged at $1.26, indicating a 26% growth compared to the previous year [4] Influencing Factors - Rising labor costs may pressure Q3 margins, with geopolitical uncertainty, tariff-related pressures, and competition expected to impact operations negatively [4][8] - The company’s lean cost structure, expanding operations, and strategic partnerships are anticipated to support performance, alongside a recovery in air travel demand post-pandemic [6] Shareholder Actions - LATAM Airlines has been actively engaging in share repurchases, which enhances investor confidence and positively affects the bottom line [7] Cost Pressures - Increased labor and airport costs are likely to adversely affect the company's bottom-line performance, despite a decrease in aircraft fuel costs year-over-year [9] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for LATAM Airlines, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 2 [10]
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) Shareholder/Analyst Call - Slideshow (NYSE:LTM) 2025-10-22
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-22 23:01
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry, as it appears to be a technical issue regarding browser settings and ad-blockers [1]
LATAM Airlines September 2025 Traffic Improves Year Over Year
ZACKS· 2025-10-09 19:11
Core Insights - LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) reported an 8.8% year-over-year increase in revenue passenger-kilometers (RPK) for September 2025, indicating strong growth in air traffic [1][2][8] - The airline's consolidated capacity, measured in available seat-kilometers (ASK), increased by 8.7% year-over-year, driven by a 9.6% rise in international operations and a 14% increase in domestic capacity in Brazil [1][2][8] - LATAM Airlines transported nearly 7.3 million passengers in September 2025, marking an 8% increase year-over-year, with a year-to-date total of 64.5 million passengers [3][8] Traffic and Capacity - The consolidated load factor for September 2025 was 84.2%, remaining flat compared to the previous year [2][8] - LATAM Airlines Brazil's domestic market experienced a significant year-over-year growth of 17% in RPK [2] Comparison with Other Airlines - Ryanair Holdings reported a 2% year-over-year increase in passengers transported, totaling 19.4 million in September 2025, with a load factor of 94% [5][6] - Ryanair carried 200.2 million passengers in its fiscal year ending March 2025, becoming the first European airline to achieve this milestone [6]
Airline Stocks Report Robust August 2025 Traffic Numbers: An Analysis
ZACKS· 2025-09-30 15:21
Industry Overview - The Zacks Airline industry is experiencing strong air travel demand, benefiting both domestic and international markets, with increased passenger volumes acting as a tailwind [1] - Higher bookings are positively impacting airlines' top-line performance, particularly in leisure travel, while business travel is also showing signs of recovery [1] Cost Factors - A decline in fuel expenses due to falling oil prices is contributing positively to the airlines' bottom-line growth, as fuel costs are a significant input for airlines [2] - However, high labor costs are a concern, with U.S. airlines facing labor shortages post-COVID, leading to increased bargaining power for labor groups and subsequent pay hikes [3] - Production delays at Boeing are affecting fleet expansion plans for U.S. airlines, and weak pricing power remains a challenge for the industry [3] Copa Holdings - Copa Holdings is benefiting from increased passenger volumes, with revenue passenger miles (RPM) improving by 9.8% year-over-year in August 2025 [5][6] - The company is expanding capacity, with available seat miles (ASM) increasing by 5.8% year-over-year, resulting in a load factor rise to 88.3% from 85.1% in August 2024 [6] Allegiant Travel Company - Allegiant reported a 12.1% increase in scheduled traffic (RPM) year-over-year for August 2025, while capacity (ASM) rose by 14.6% [7] - Despite the traffic increase, the load factor declined to 82.6% from 84.5% due to capacity growth outpacing demand [7] - Total departures grew by 15.9% year-over-year, with system-wide capacity improving by 14.4% [8] LATAM Airlines Group - LATAM Airlines reported a 9.4% year-over-year increase in consolidated capacity for August 2025, driven by a 12% increase in international operations and an 11.3% increase in domestic capacity in Brazil [11][12] - The consolidated traffic increased by 10.8% year-over-year, with a load factor growth of 1.1 percentage points to 85.4% [12] Ryanair Holdings - Ryanair transported 21 million passengers in August 2025, marking a 2% year-over-year increase and reflecting eight consecutive months of traffic growth [13][14] - The load factor remained stable at 96%, indicating consistent passenger demand [15] - Ryanair operated over 114,000 flights in August 2025, an increase from previous months, despite earlier delays in Boeing deliveries affecting growth [16]
Here's Why Investors Should Bet on LATAM Airlines Stock Now
ZACKS· 2025-09-26 19:21
Core Viewpoint - LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) is experiencing strong demand and operational efficiency, leading to impressive share performance, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1] Factors Favoring LTM Stock - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share (EPS) has been revised upward by 12.23% for the current year and 11.2% for 2026, indicating broker confidence [2] - LTM shares have surged 59.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Transportation – Airline industry's growth of 3.5% [3] Earnings Performance - LATAM Airlines has a mixed earnings surprise history, with earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters, meeting once, and missing once, resulting in an average surprise of 4.04% [5] - LTM currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [5] Industry Context - The airline industry has a Zacks Industry Rank of 76 out of 246, placing it in the top 31%, which is crucial as stock price movements are often influenced by industry performance [6] Growth Factors - LATAM Airlines benefits from strong operational efficiency and demand, with a 9.4% increase in consolidated capacity in August 2025, driven by a 12% rise in international operations, and a 9.1% increase in passenger traffic [7] - The airline transported nearly 7.7 million passengers in August 2025, reflecting a 9.1% increase from August 2024 [8] Customer Experience Enhancements - LATAM Airlines is enhancing customer experience with initiatives such as the launch of South America's first Premium Business suites and fleet-wide Wi-Fi starting in 2026 [8] - The airline has maintained a strong Net Promoter Score (NPS) of 56, rising to 60 among premium travelers, and has received nine Skytrax awards, including Best Airline in South America for six consecutive years [9] Sustainability Efforts - LATAM Airlines is committed to sustainability, implementing fuel-saving APM software and expanding its Avión Solidario program, reinforcing its focus on efficiency and social responsibility [9]