LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM)
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Wall Street Analysts Think LATAM (LTM) Could Surge 25.15%: Read This Before Placing a Bet
ZACKS· 2025-11-24 15:56
Core Viewpoint - LATAM (LTM) stock shows potential for upside, with a mean price target of $56.73 indicating a 25.2% increase from the current price of $45.33 [1] Price Targets - The average price target consists of four estimates ranging from $50.90 to $60.00, with a standard deviation of $4.32, suggesting a consensus among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate indicates a 12.3% increase, while the highest suggests a 32.4% upside [2] - A low standard deviation indicates greater agreement among analysts regarding price movement [9] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts are optimistic about LTM's earnings prospects, as indicated by a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions [4][11] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 5.4%, with two estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [12] Zacks Rank - LTM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] Conclusion on Price Targets - While the consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of the extent of potential gains, it does provide a directional guide for price movement [14]
8 Best Airline Stocks to Buy Heading into 2026
Insider Monkey· 2025-11-24 09:24
Core Insights - The article discusses the best airline stocks to consider for investment as the industry recovers from recent challenges, particularly focusing on the impact of the government shutdown and subsequent recovery efforts. Industry Overview - Air travel challenges in the U.S. are expected to continue despite the government's reopening, primarily due to manpower shortages at the FAA following the longest shutdown in history [2] - The FAA had mandated flight reductions at 40 major airports, which were initially set to increase to 8% and 10% on November 13 and 14, respectively, but have remained at 6% due to decreasing controller absences [2] - Nearly 1,000 flights were canceled and over 450 delayed nationally as of November 13, with significant disruptions reported at Chicago O'Hare [3] Company Insights - Delta Air Lines anticipates a return to normal operations soon, despite financial repercussions from the shutdown, expecting to reach full capacity in the coming days [4] - Ryanair Holdings plc is projected to recover from a 7% fare drop, with a six-month FY 2026 after-tax profit of EUR 2.54 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of EUR 2.5 billion [9] - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. reported a total operating revenue of $3.856 billion for Q3 2025, a 17.3% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDAR rising by 38.9% to $1.150 billion [14][15] Financial Performance - Ryanair forecasts FY26 traffic to exceed 207 million passengers, supported by early Boeing deliveries and strong demand, while also warning of potential fare challenges in the second half of the year [11] - LATAM Airlines' adjusted passenger CASK ex-fuel increased by 11.6% year-over-year to 4.4 cents, while RASK grew by 8.4% to 7.6 cents [15] - LATAM's net income for the year-to-date reached $1.0 billion, with a revised full-year EBITDAR outlook of $4.00-$4.10 billion [16]
LATAM Airlines Stock Price Rises 7.5% Since Q3 Earnings Release
ZACKS· 2025-11-19 18:25
Core Insights - LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) shares increased by 7.5% following the release of its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 14, 2025, primarily due to raised full-year guidance [1] - The company now expects 2025 revenues to be in the range of $14.4-$14.5 billion, up from the previous estimate of $14-$14.2 billion [1] - Adjusted operating income for 2025 is projected to be between $2.30 and $2.40 billion, an increase from the prior estimate of $2-$2.15 billion [2] Financial Performance - LATAM Airlines reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.30 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26 and reflecting a 30% year-over-year improvement [5] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $3.85 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.61 billion and growing 17.3% year over year, driven by an 18.5% increase in passenger revenues and a 6.3% increase in cargo revenues [5] - Adjusted operating expenses rose by 11.7% year over year to $3.15 billion, influenced by a 9.3% increase in passenger operations, although this was partially offset by an 11.4% reduction in average jet fuel prices [6] Capacity and Traffic - LATAM's consolidated capacity, measured in available seat-kilometers (ASKs), grew by 9.3% year over year, with a 10% increase in revenue passenger-kilometers (RPK) [7] - The load factor improved by 0.5 percentage points to 85.4%, indicating that traffic growth outpaced capacity expansion [7] - The airline transported 22.9 million passengers in the third quarter, marking an 8.3% increase year over year [7] Future Guidance - For 2025, total ASK growth is expected to be in the range of 8.0%-8.5%, slightly down from the previous estimate of 8.5%-9.5% [9] - LATAM Airlines anticipates maintaining liquidity above $4 billion for the current year [9] - The company plans to expand its fleet to 371 aircraft by the end of 2025, with further growth projected to 410 aircraft in 2026 and 422 aircraft in 2027 [9]
LATAM (LTM) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 20:31
Core Insights - LATAM reported a revenue of $3.86 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.3% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.61 billion by 6.68% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $1.30, an increase from $1.00 in the same quarter last year, also exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.26 by 3.17% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Passenger ASKs were reported at 44.52 billion, slightly below the estimated 44.61 billion [4] - Passenger RPKs reached 38.04 billion, marginally above the estimated 38.01 billion [4] - The Passenger Load Factor based on ASKs was 85.4%, exceeding the average estimate of 85.2% [4] - Cargo Yield based on RTKs was 36.70 cents, below the estimated 37.09 cents [4] - Passenger Revenues per ASK were reported at 7.60 cents, higher than the estimated 7.14 cents [4] - Cargo ATKs were 2.11 billion, above the estimated 2.08 billion [4] - Cargo Load Factor based on ATKs was 52.3%, slightly below the estimated 52.8% [4] - Passenger Yield based on RPKs was 8.90 cents, exceeding the estimated 8.39 cents [4] - Revenue from Passenger services was $3.39 billion, surpassing the estimated $3.19 billion [4] - Other income revenue was $57.35 million, slightly above the estimated $56.64 million [4] - Cargo revenue was reported at $404.5 million, below the estimated $407.36 million [4] Stock Performance - LATAM shares have returned -0.3% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by 1.5% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]
LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-17 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Group reported total revenues of $3.9 billion, an increase of 17.3% year over year, driven by growth in both passenger and cargo segments [16] - Passenger revenues rose by 18.5%, with premium traveler revenues increasing by more than 15% compared to the same period last year [17] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.1%, while adjusted EBITDA reached $1.15 billion during the quarter, and net income totaled $379 million, up 26% year over year [8][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM transported over 22.9 million passengers, with a consolidated load factor of 85.4% [8] - In Brazil, LATAM Airlines Brazil grew capacity by over 12% year over year, launching six new domestic routes [11] - The Spanish-speaking affiliates saw passenger RASC increase by 18% year over year, indicating strong performance in these markets [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The international segment showed stable demand, although the South America to the U.S. route experienced softer demand, primarily in leisure travel [27][30] - Domestic markets remained healthy, except for Chile, where industry traffic figures were stable compared to last year [12] - LATAM's international operations from Colombia were noted to be small and not significantly impacting overall international traffic [50] Company Strategy and Development Direction - LATAM is focused on maintaining disciplined execution and controlling costs while enhancing customer experience through product improvements [5][14] - The company announced the launch of a new Premium Comfort Class, set to roll out in 2027, to provide more choices for passengers [15] - LATAM's strategy includes a commitment to sustainability, as evidenced by the acquisition of 74 Embraer E2 aircraft, which will improve fuel efficiency by 30% per seat [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the prospects for the remainder of the year, despite softer demand in certain international segments [28] - The company anticipates high single-digit consolidated capacity growth for the next year, supported by a focus on efficiency and a robust fleet delivery schedule [14][21] - LATAM's financial strength and disciplined approach to capital allocation are seen as strategic assets that will enable the company to pursue growth opportunities [20] Other Important Information - LATAM executed a share repurchase program totaling $433 million, reflecting its disciplined capital allocation strategy [9][20] - The company ended the quarter with a liquidity level of 25.8% and an adjusted net leverage ratio of 1.5 times, aligning with its financial policy [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: International performance compared to Brazil and Spanish-speaking countries - Management noted stable and healthy demand in most international segments, with softer demand observed in South America to the U.S. primarily affecting leisure travel [27][30] Question: Update on the Brazilian law regarding free baggage - The law allowing passengers to carry a bag without charge has passed the lower chamber and is pending in the Senate, affecting both domestic and international flights [32][33] Question: Relevance of premium experience investments on revenue growth - Premium revenue is growing faster than capacity, contributing significantly to the improvement in RASC, driven by better execution and product enhancements [45][46] Question: Impact of international traffic slowdown in October - The slowdown is attributed to softer demand into the U.S. for leisure travel, not fundamentally affecting overall demand [51] Question: Order book and booking curve for next year - LATAM expects high single-digit ASK growth for 2026, with a total fleet of around 410 aircraft by year-end [60][62] Question: Lower percentage of hedge fuel this quarter - The current hedge fuel coverage is standard and consistent with past practices, with expectations for increases as the quarters progress [66][68] Question: Potential impact of the pallet strike in Chile - Management currently has no clarity on the potential impact of the strike and will provide updates as necessary [73]
LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-17 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Group reported total revenues of $3.9 billion, an increase of 17.3% year-over-year, driven by growth in both Passenger and Cargo segments [16] - Passenger revenues rose by 18.5%, with premium traveler revenues increasing by more than 15% compared to the same period last year [17] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.1%, while adjusted EBITDAR reached $1.15 billion during the quarter, and net income totaled $379 million, up 26% year-over-year [8][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM transported over 22.9 million passengers, with a consolidated load factor of 85.4% [8] - Passenger RASK increased by 8.4% year-over-year in US dollars, reflecting strong operational performance [11] - Cargo revenues grew by 6.3%, contributing to overall revenue growth [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Brazil, LATAM Airlines Brazil grew capacity by over 12% year-over-year, with a load factor increase of 2.2 percentage points [11] - Spanish-speaking affiliates saw passenger RASK increase by 18% year-over-year, indicating improved performance in those markets [11] - The international segment operated with high load factors, although demand to the U.S. was noted to be softer, particularly in leisure travel [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - LATAM is focused on maintaining disciplined execution and cost control while enhancing customer experience through product improvements [5][14] - The company plans to launch a new Premium Comfort Class in 2027, reflecting its commitment to offering more choices to passengers [15] - LATAM's fleet modernization strategy includes the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer E2 aircraft, which will improve regional connectivity and fuel efficiency [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand environment and the company's ability to maintain profitable growth despite some softness in international leisure travel [28] - The company anticipates high single-digit consolidated capacity growth for the next year, supported by efficiency and a robust fleet delivery schedule [14][21] - LATAM updated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting adjusted EBITDAR between $4 billion and $4.1 billion, reflecting a more constructive outlook [21][22] Other Important Information - LATAM executed a share repurchase program totaling $433 million, demonstrating a disciplined approach to capital allocation [9][20] - The company ended the quarter with a liquidity level of 25.8% and an adjusted net leverage ratio of 1.5 times, aligning with financial policy targets [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: International performance compared to Brazil and Spanish-speaking countries - Management noted stable demand in most international segments, with softer demand to the U.S. linked to leisure travel preferences [27][28] Question: Update on Brazil's legislation regarding free baggage - The law passed in Brazil allows passengers to carry a bag without charge for both domestic and international flights, but its implementation is still uncertain [33][34] Question: Impact of premium experience investments on revenue growth - Premium revenue is growing faster than capacity, contributing significantly to RASK improvements, driven by enhanced customer experience and product offerings [45][46] Question: Reasons for growth slowdown in international traffic - Management attributed the slowdown to external factors affecting leisure travel to the U.S., rather than a fundamental decline in demand [51] Question: Outlook on fleet and booking curve for next year - LATAM expects high single-digit ASK growth for 2026, with a total fleet of around 410 aircraft by year-end [60][62] Question: Lower percentage of hedge fuel this quarter - Management clarified that the current hedge fuel percentages are standard and consistent with past practices, with expectations for increases as quarters progress [66][68] Question: Expected impact of the pallet strike in Chile - Management indicated no clarity on the potential impact of the strike at this time [73]
LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-17 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Group reported total revenues of $3.9 billion, an increase of 17.3% year over year, driven by growth in both passenger and cargo segments [15][16] - Adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.1%, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $1.15 billion during the quarter, and net income totaling $379 million, up 26% year over year [8][17] - Passenger revenues rose by 18.5%, with premium traveler revenues increasing by more than 15% compared to the same period last year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM transported over 22.9 million passengers, with a consolidated load factor of 85.4% [8] - Passenger RASC increased by 8.4% year over year in US dollars, reflecting strong operational performance [11] - Cargo revenues grew by 6.3%, contributing to the overall revenue increase [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - LATAM Airlines Brazil grew capacity by over 12% year over year, launching six new domestic routes [11] - In Spanish-speaking countries, LATAM's affiliates saw passenger RASC increase by 18% year over year [11] - The international segment maintained high load factors, although demand to the U.S. was noted to be softer, particularly in leisure travel [24][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - LATAM is focused on profitable growth, operational excellence, and maintaining cost control as key pillars of its strategy [16][18] - The company is committed to enhancing customer experience through initiatives like the new Premium Comfort Class and the inauguration of a new lounge in Lima [14][13] - LATAM's fleet modernization strategy includes the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer E2 aircraft, which will improve regional connectivity and fuel efficiency [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to continue improving and delivering on its purpose of elevating customer journeys [6] - The outlook for 2025 includes a focus on high single-digit consolidated capacity growth, supported by a healthy demand environment [21][22] - Management acknowledged external factors affecting international traffic, particularly leisure travel to the U.S., but remained optimistic about overall demand [24][36] Other Important Information - LATAM executed a share repurchase program totaling $433 million, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital allocation [9][19] - The company ended the quarter with an adjusted net leverage ratio of 1.5 times, aligning with its financial policy [19] - LATAM was recognized as a five-star global airline for 2026 by APEX, marking the fourth consecutive year of receiving this distinction [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: International performance compared to Brazil and Spanish-speaking countries - Management noted stable and healthy demand in most international segments, with softer demand to the U.S. linked to leisure travel preferences [24][25] Question: Update on Brazil's legislation regarding free baggage - Management confirmed that a law allowing free baggage and seat selection was passed by Brazil's lower chamber but is pending Senate approval [25][26] Question: Impact of premium experience investments on revenue growth - Management indicated that premium revenue is growing faster than capacity, contributing significantly to overall revenue improvements [31][32] Question: Reasons for growth slowdown in international traffic - Management attributed the slowdown to softer demand for leisure travel to the U.S., rather than a fundamental decline in demand [36] Question: Future capital allocation strategy - Management emphasized that business development and growth opportunities will take precedence in capital allocation decisions [29][30]
LATAM AIRLINES GROUP S.A.(LTM) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-17 13:00
Operational Performance - LATAM transported over 229 million passengers, supported by a 93% capacity growth (ASK) year-over-year[8] - Consolidated load factor reached 854%, a 05 percentage point increase compared to the third quarter of 2024[8] - Passenger unit revenue increased by 84% while maintaining broadly stable unit costs[8] Financial Highlights - Adjusted EBITDAR totaled US$1150 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 181%[8] - Net income reached US$379 million[8] - LATAM executed a share repurchase program for US$433 million[8] Strategic Initiatives - LATAM announced the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer aircraft to enhance connectivity in South America, including 24 firm orders and 50 purchase options[8, 9] - The Embraer E195-E2 offers a 30% lower fuel consumption per seat compared to previous-generation models[10] - LATAM will introduce Premium Comfort class in 2027 to enhance the long-haul experience[20] Guidance Update - LATAM updated its 2025 guidance, projecting an adjusted EBITDAR range between US$400 billion and US$410 billion and an adjusted operating margin between 160% and 165%[36]
Airline Stocks to Watch as the Government Shutdown Ends
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 21:36
Group 1: Airline Industry Overview - Airline stocks have shown resilience, particularly after the end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which had caused significant disruptions in flight operations [1] - The Zacks Transportation-Airline Industry is currently in the bottom 25% of over 240 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment for many airlines [2] Group 2: Notable Performers - LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) has gained +65% year-to-date, while International Consolidated Airlines Group (ICAGY) is up nearly +40% in 2025, both outperforming the Zacks-Transportation Airline Market's YTD return of +6% [3] - LTM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), and ICAGY has a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] Group 3: Domestic Airline Stocks - SkyWest (SKYW) is highlighted as a buy-rated stock, with FY25 EPS estimates increasing from $9.95 to $10.33, a 4% rise, and FY26 EPS revisions up 7% from $10.33 to $11.08 [4][6] - United Airlines (UAL) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) are also noted for their appealing EPS growth prospects, both holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [6] Group 4: Revenue and Valuation - Major airlines like United and Delta may face revenue challenges due to flight disruptions, but they lead in international capacity and profitability margins [7] - UAL and DAL are attractively valued, trading around the industry average of 10X forward earnings and less than 1X forward sales [7] Group 5: Stocks to Avoid - There are six stocks in the Transportation-Airline Industry with a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) and two with a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), including Alaska Air Group (ALK) and Sun Country Airlines (SNCY) [9]
4 Value Plays With High Earnings Yield and Upside Potential
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 16:36
Core Insights - Value investing focuses on identifying undervalued assets trading below their intrinsic value, allowing investors to capitalize on market corrections over time [1] - Earnings yield is a crucial metric for value investors, calculated as earnings per share (EPS) divided by the current stock price, serving as an indicator of a stock's profitability relative to its market price [2][9] - A higher earnings yield suggests potential undervaluation and growth opportunities, while a lower yield may indicate overvaluation [2] Stock Picks - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is focused on enhancing core operations and expanding into new markets, with strong demand supporting growth. The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a 7% growth in sales and a 70% increase in earnings year-over-year for fiscal 2026 [8][9][10] - Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) is improving its operations across multiple regions, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate projecting 80% sales growth and 857% earnings growth year-over-year for 2025 [11][12] - LATAM Airlines (LTM) is benefiting from a lean cost structure and increased air travel demand, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasting 9% sales growth and 46% earnings growth year-over-year for 2025 [13][14] - CommScope Holding Company, Inc. (COMM) is enhancing its portfolio through strategic acquisitions and cost-cutting measures, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate indicating 17% sales growth and an extraordinary 5,566% earnings growth year-over-year for 2025 [15][16] Investment Strategy - The primary screening criterion for stock selection is an earnings yield greater than 10%, supplemented by estimated EPS growth exceeding the S&P 500 and a minimum average daily trading volume of 100,000 [5][6] - Stocks priced at $5 or higher and those with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) are considered for potential outperformance in various market conditions [7]