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MongoDB Stock Plunges 54% in a Year: Here's Why You Should Stay Away
ZACKS· 2025-04-11 14:30
Core Viewpoint - MongoDB's stock has significantly underperformed in the past year, dropping 54.1%, amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment and increasing competition [1][2]. Competitive Landscape - MongoDB faces strong competition from Amazon's DynamoDB, Couchbase, and Oracle, which are enhancing their performance and features [3][4]. - Oracle's shares have increased by 10.1% over the past year, while Amazon and Couchbase have seen declines of 2.7% and 40%, respectively [3]. Financial Performance and Margins - MongoDB's operating margin is projected to decrease from 15% in fiscal 2025 to 10% in fiscal 2026, primarily due to the absence of high-margin license revenues and increased R&D and marketing expenses [5]. - The company's gross margin has declined from 77% to 75%, with its lower-margin cloud product, Atlas, now representing 71% of revenues [6]. Revenue Guidance - For fiscal 2026, MongoDB anticipates revenues between $2.24 billion and $2.28 billion, indicating a modest growth of 12.4% year-over-year, a significant drop from the 19% growth in fiscal 2025 [7]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues stands at $2.26 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12.88% [7]. Earnings Outlook - The consensus estimate for earnings is $2.66 per share, revised down by 2.2% in the last 30 days, indicating a year-over-year decline of 27.32% [8]. - MongoDB has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 62.04% [8]. Investment Recommendation - Given the competitive pressures, declining margins, and weaker revenue guidance, it is suggested that investors consider selling MongoDB stock [9][10].
MongoDB: Highflying Stock Is Now A Value Play, Buy The Dip (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-09 14:45
The market rout over the past few weeks has caught the whole world by surprise, and growth stocks that previously sat at very rich multiples got more than their fair share of the reckoning. And though it's difficult to block out theWith combined experience of covering technology companies on Wall Street and working in Silicon Valley, and serving as an outside adviser to several seed-round startups, Gary Alexander has exposure to many of the themes shaping the industry today. He has been a regular contributo ...
Why MongoDB Stock Lost 34% in March
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-08 17:19
Shares of MongoDB (MDB -0.05%) took a dive last month as the maker of NoSQL database software gave disappointing guidance for 2025 and got caught up in the broad market sell-off on fears around waning consumer confidence and the trade war.According to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, the stock finished the month down 34%. As you can see from the chart, the stock tumbled on the earnings report and stayed down from there, slumping toward the end of the month. MongoDB sees a slowdown aheadMongoDB actu ...
These Were the 2 Worst-Performing Stocks in the Nasdaq-100 in March 2025
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-04 08:15
Market Performance - The Nasdaq-100 index experienced a decline of 7.7% in March, marking one of its worst monthly performances in nearly two years [1] - Marvell Technology saw a significant drop of approximately 32.9%, while MongoDB's stock fell by over 34.4% [1] Company-Specific Issues - Marvell Technology's revenue is heavily reliant on China, with 43% coming from that market, raising concerns about potential impacts from U.S.-China trade tensions [2] - MongoDB reported a 19% year-over-year revenue growth for fiscal 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations, but faced a stock price decline due to concerns over its fiscal 2026 guidance being perceived as overvalued [3] Investment Opportunities - The recent stock price drops for Marvell Technology and MongoDB may present attractive opportunities for investors to enter or increase their positions at lower prices [4]
2 No-Brainer Nasdaq Stocks to Buy With $300 in April Before They Soar
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 08:02
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market has faced challenges, with the S&P 500 down 8% and the Nasdaq Composite down 14%, presenting a buying opportunity, particularly for technology stocks listed on Nasdaq [1] Group 1: Shopify - Shopify has a 42% upside potential based on Wall Street's median target price [3] - The company provides commerce software and services, ranking as a leader in digital commerce platforms for mid-market businesses [3][4] - Shopify's merchants account for over 12% of U.S. retail e-commerce sales and 6% in Western Europe, making it the second-largest e-commerce company in these regions [4] - The B2B e-commerce market, where Shopify has been recognized as a leader, is three times larger than retail e-commerce and growing nearly twice as fast [5] - In Q4, Shopify's revenue increased by 31% to $2.8 billion, with non-GAAP earnings rising 29% to $0.44 per diluted share [6] - The median stock price target for Shopify is $135, indicating a 42% upside from the current price of $95, with expected earnings growth of 24% in 2025 [7] Group 2: MongoDB - MongoDB has a 73% upside potential based on Wall Street's median target price [8] - The company is recognized as a leader in cloud database management systems, with strengths in transaction processing and analytical capabilities [9] - MongoDB's customer base grew by 14% to 54,500, with revenue rising 20% to $548 million in Q4 of fiscal 2025 [10] - The median target price for MongoDB is $300, suggesting a 73% upside from the current price of $173 [11] - Despite disappointing guidance predicting a 30% earnings decline in fiscal 2026, MongoDB's current valuation of 65 times forward earnings is the lowest in its history [12]
4 Growth Stocks Down 20% or More to Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-26 13:45
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential of growth stocks that have recently experienced significant declines in value, presenting them as attractive investment opportunities for long-term portfolios [1][3]. Group 1: Market Overview - Growth stocks are appealing for investors aiming to achieve financial goals quickly, although some may prefer dividend-paying stocks [1]. - Recent market downturns have led to attractive valuations for certain growth stocks, with some companies experiencing share price drops of at least 20% over the past month [3]. Group 2: Company Analysis - **Block (formerly Square)**: - The stock has fallen significantly, nearing its 2018 price, with a recent revenue growth of only 4.5% year over year, but earnings per share (EPS) increased by 51% [5][4]. - **The Trade Desk**: - Despite a 41% drop in stock price following a disappointing earnings report, the company reported a 22% year-over-year revenue increase and a 44% rise in non-GAAP income [6][7]. - The CEO acknowledged execution missteps but expressed optimism due to increasing ad placements in streaming services [8]. - **Accenture**: - This professional services giant has seen its stock decline nearly 20% over the past year, but it has a strong historical performance with annual gains of 16.5% over the past five years [10]. - Recent earnings showed a drop in new bookings growth, but the company is investing in new technology and has a growing dividend yield of 1.8% [11]. - **MongoDB**: - The company reported a 20% year-over-year revenue increase, with its cloud platform, Atlas, contributing 71% of the revenue [12]. - Concerns exist regarding customer spending in the current economic climate, but the company is investing in artificial intelligence [12][13]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Each of the discussed companies presents potential for above-average gains in the long term, despite current market challenges [13]. - For investors uncertain about selecting individual stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) focused on growth may be a viable alternative [13].
After Massive Post Earnings Fall, Does Hope Remain for MongoDB?
MarketBeat· 2025-03-24 12:16
MongoDB NASDAQ: MDB recently had a historically bad trading day after the database firm’s latest earnings on Mar. 5, shares traded down by nearly 27%. As of the March 20 close, the stock is down over 47% from where it started 52 weeks ago. Despite having a strong fiscal Q4 2025, the firm’s guidance for the next year was very disappointing. Wall Street analysts across the board slashed price targets, punctuating the market's displeasure. MarketBeat tracked 15 analysts who updated their price target on Mar. 6 ...
MongoDB(MDB) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Report
2025-03-20 22:06
Revenue Growth - The company achieved an annual recurring revenue (ARR) expansion rate of 118% in the fourth quarter[56]. - Total revenue for the year ended January 31, 2025, reached $2,006.4 million, up from $1,683.0 million in 2024, indicating a year-over-year increase of about 19.2%[381]. - Subscription revenue for the year ended January 31, 2025, was $1,943.9 million, an increase from $1,627.3 million in 2024, representing a growth of approximately 19.4%[374]. - MongoDB Atlas-related revenue reached $1,405.2 million, up 27.2% from $1,105.4 million in the previous year[512]. - Deferred revenue as of January 31, 2025, was $359.8 million, down from $377.4 million in 2024, with approximately 18% of total revenue recognized from deferred revenue[514]. Customer Base and Market Presence - The company has over 54,500 customers across more than 100 countries, with no single customer representing more than 10% of total revenue in fiscal year 2025[72]. - Revenue generated outside of the United States accounted for 46% of total revenue for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2025[58]. - The company plans to continue expanding its international presence and driving platform adoption globally[58]. Employee and Organizational Structure - As of January 31, 2025, the company had 5,558 employees, with 2,819 located outside the United States[58]. - The sales and marketing organization had 2,542 employees as of January 31, 2025, focusing on driving awareness and adoption of the platform[76]. - The research and development organization comprised 1,327 employees as of January 31, 2025, with ongoing investments to enhance existing products and develop new ones[78]. Financial Performance - Gross profit for the year ended January 31, 2025, was $1,471.1 million, compared to $1,258.5 million in 2024, reflecting a gross margin improvement[381]. - The net loss for the year ended January 31, 2025, was $129.1 million, a decrease from a net loss of $176.6 million in 2024, showing an improvement of approximately 26.9%[381]. - Total current assets as of January 31, 2025, were $2,923.5 million, an increase from $2,483.6 million in 2024, representing a growth of about 17.8%[379]. - Total liabilities decreased significantly from $1,800.7 million in 2024 to $648.1 million in 2025, indicating a reduction of approximately 64.0%[379]. - Operating expenses for the year ended January 31, 2025, totaled $1,687.2 million, compared to $1,492.3 million in 2024, marking an increase of approximately 13.1%[381]. Cash and Investments - As of January 31, 2025, the company had cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short-term investments totaling $2.3 billion[356]. - Cash and cash equivalents as of January 31, 2025, were $490.1 million, down from $803.0 million in 2024, a decline of about 38.9%[379]. - The company invested $11.3 million in non-marketable securities during the year ended January 31, 2025, compared to $2.1 million in 2024[410]. - The company experienced a net cash outflow from investing activities of $657.440 million in 2025, compared to a net cash inflow of $188.019 million in 2024[390]. Research and Development - The company introduced MongoDB version 8.0 in 2024, featuring improved performance and enterprise-grade security[58]. - Research and development costs are expensed as incurred, primarily consisting of personnel costs, which underscores the company's commitment to innovation and product development[457]. Patents and Intellectual Property - The company has been issued 84 patents in the U.S. as of January 31, 2025, with expiration dates ranging from 2030 to 2042, and has 47 pending patent applications[84]. - The company relies on a combination of patent, copyright, trademark, and trade secret laws to protect its proprietary technology[83]. - The company has 13 registered trademarks in the U.S. and 2 pending trademark applications as of January 31, 2025[84]. Revenue Recognition and Accounting Policies - The Company recognizes subscription revenue from database-as-a-service offerings, which includes term licenses and post-contract customer support[434]. - Revenue from post-contract customer support is recognized ratably over the contract duration[441]. - The Company recognizes revenue when control of the promised goods or services is obtained, reflecting the consideration expected to be received[436]. - The Company allocates transaction prices to performance obligations based on relative standalone selling prices[443]. Stock-Based Compensation - The company recognized stock-based compensation expense on a straight-line basis over the employee's requisite service period, generally four years, indicating a structured approach to employee compensation[462]. - The company reported a significant increase in stock-based compensation, totaling $493.940 million in 2025, up from $456.907 million in 2024 and $381.454 million in 2023[390]. Lease and Deferred Costs - Total lease costs for the year ended January 31, 2025, were $28.6 million, compared to $27.2 million in 2024, reflecting a 5.2% increase[496]. - Deferred commissions increased to $363.4 million as of January 31, 2025, up from $294.2 million in 2024, with non-current portions at $250.7 million and $201.7 million respectively[519]. - Amortization expense for deferred commissions was $112.6 million for the year ended January 31, 2025, compared to $99.5 million in 2024 and $79.6 million in 2023, indicating a year-over-year increase[519].
Nasdaq Correction: You Won't Believe What Stock Is Near a 52-Week Low
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-11 13:46
The Nasdaq Composite's (^IXIC 0.35%) sell-off deepened Monday as investors' worries about the state of the U.S. economy pushed the index deeper into correction territory. But as Nasdaq stocks have fallen, some now look like bargains.One of these is tech giant MongoDB (MDB 2.43%). Its shares hit a 52-week low of $173.13 on March 10, and through that date, the stock is down 23% in 2025. MongoDB's plunge is a dramatic turnaround from the 52-week high of $387.19 reached last May. Wall Street's fears of economic ...
MongoDB: Recent Sell-Off Presents Opportunity
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-11 10:31
Company Overview - MongoDB, Inc. is an open-source non-relational (NOSQL) database provider, popular among developers for building scalable applications [1] - Traditional relational databases are noted to be too costly to scale and unable to handle large volumes of diversified data [1] Research Focus - GSBR Research specializes in identifying small-cap stocks that are undercovered and have strong price appreciation potential [1] - The team at GSBR Research has over 12 years of experience in stock market investing [1]