Core Insights - MongoDB is set to announce its earnings on December 1, 2025, with a current market capitalization of $27 billion and reported revenue of $2.2 billion over the last twelve months, alongside operational losses of $165 million and a net income loss of $79 million [3] Earnings Analysis - Historical data shows that over the past five years, MongoDB has recorded 20 earnings data points, resulting in 11 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns, translating to a positive return rate of approximately 55%. However, this rate drops to 50% when focusing on the last three years [9] - The median for the 11 positive returns is 19%, while the median for the 9 negative returns is -11% [9] Trading Strategies - Traders can adopt two approaches: understanding historical probabilities to position themselves ahead of the earnings announcement or analyzing the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns following earnings to adjust their positions accordingly [4] - A relatively lower-risk strategy involves comprehending the correlation between short-term (1D) and medium-term (5D) returns after earnings, allowing traders to take a "long" position for an additional 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is favorable [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on MongoDB (MDB), and highlights the potential misalignment of interests between brokerage firms and retail investors [1][5][11]. Brokerage Recommendations for MongoDB - MongoDB has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.53, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on 38 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 38 recommendations, 27 are classified as Strong Buy, accounting for 71.1%, while 2 are classified as Buy, making up 5.3% of the total [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies show they often fail to guide investors effectively towards stocks with high price appreciation potential [5][11]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][11]. Zacks Rank as an Alternative - Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, categorizes stocks from Strong Buy to Strong Sell and is based on earnings estimate revisions, which have shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [8][12]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently than the ABR, reflecting timely changes in analysts' earnings estimates [13]. MongoDB's Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MongoDB's current year earnings has increased by 0.6% over the past month to $3.7, indicating growing optimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [14]. - The recent change in consensus estimates, along with other factors, has resulted in a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) for MongoDB, suggesting a positive outlook for the stock [15].

Core Insights - MongoDB is a leading player in the database management industry, recognized for its innovative cloud-based solutions and expanding AI partner ecosystem, enhancing its visibility and adoption in the software industry [1] Financial Performance - MongoDB is set to release its quarterly earnings on December 1, 2025, with an expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.79, reflecting a 31.9% decrease from the previous year, while revenues are projected to rise by 11.7% to $591 million [2][6] - The stability in the consensus EPS estimate over the past month indicates that analysts have maintained their forecasts, which is crucial for investor confidence [3] Valuation Metrics - The company has a high price-to-sales ratio of 12.17 and an enterprise value to sales ratio of 11.89, indicating a strong market valuation [4][6] - MongoDB maintains a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 5.70, demonstrating its ability to cover short-term liabilities [4][6] Financial Stability - The low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.012 reflects minimal reliance on debt financing, which is a positive sign for financial stability [5][6] - As MongoDB continues to grow its AI partner ecosystem and expand its customer base, these financial metrics will be crucial in assessing its long-term growth potential and market position [5]

Core Insights - Analysts project MongoDB (MDB) will report quarterly earnings of $0.79 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 31.9% [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $591.22 million, marking an 11.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - There have been no revisions in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' forecasts [1] Revenue Projections - 'Revenue- Services' is estimated to be $18.30 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.6% [4] - 'Revenue- Subscription' is projected at $572.95 million, indicating an 11.9% year-over-year growth [4] - 'Revenue- Subscription - MongoDB Atlas-related' is expected to reach $455.82 million, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 25.7% [4] - 'Revenue- Subscription - Other subscription' is anticipated to be $114.85 million, showing a year-over-year decline of 23.2% [5] Customer Metrics - The consensus among analysts is that 'MongoDB Atlas customers' will total 59,906, up from 51,100 in the previous year [5] Stock Performance - MongoDB shares have decreased by 2.8% over the past month, compared to a 1.2% decline in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [6] - With a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), MongoDB is expected to outperform the overall market in the near future [6]

Core Insights - Carillon Tower Advisers released its third-quarter 2025 investor letter for the Carillon Eagle Mid Cap Growth Fund, highlighting a continued rally in equity markets driven by enthusiasm for AI, limited inflationary effects from tariffs, and expectations for interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve [1] - The Russell Midcap Growth Index increased by 2.78%, underperforming the Russell Midcap® Value Index, which rose by 6.16% during the same quarter [1] Company Analysis: MongoDB, Inc. - MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB) is recognized as a global provider of general-purpose database platforms, with a one-month return of -1.73% and a 52-week loss of 1.42% [2] - As of November 24, 2025, MongoDB's stock closed at $330.63 per share, with a market capitalization of $27.017 billion [2] - The company reported revenue of $591 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, marking a 24% year-over-year increase, exceeding the high end of its guidance range [3] - Despite strong earnings and a positive outlook, MongoDB is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with 75 hedge fund portfolios holding its stock at the end of the second quarter, up from 72 in the previous quarter [3] - The firm believes that while MongoDB has investment potential, certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential with less downside risk [3]

MongoDB (MDB) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended October 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on December 1. On ...

Core Insights - MongoDB's expanding AI partner ecosystem is a key catalyst for broader industry adoption, with new partners like LangChain, Temporal, and Galileo enhancing its platform visibility and ease of integration [1][2][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues is projected at $591.22 million, reflecting an 11.7% year-over-year increase, indicating steady demand supported by a wider distribution channel [2] - Customer growth is robust, with estimates for total customers at 62,000, up 17.8% year-over-year, and high-value accounts generating over $100,000 in ARR expected to reach 2,699, up 16.6% year-over-year [3] Partner Ecosystem - The partner-led expansion reinforces MongoDB's position as enterprises seek data platforms that integrate seamlessly into modern development stacks, with Atlas being the primary deployment surface for these integrations [2] - The expanding partner network is a strong leading indicator of future customer additions and larger workloads, as more partners build native integrations with MongoDB [1][3] Competitive Landscape - MongoDB's AI partner ecosystem strategy contrasts with broader platform strategies of competitors like Snowflake and Amazon AWS, which focus on larger partner networks and cloud infrastructure adoption [4] Financial Performance - MongoDB shares have appreciated 41.3% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet – Software industry's growth of 1.7% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 23.2% [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings is pegged at 79 cents per share, indicating a 31.9% decline year-over-year [12]

Group 1 - MongoDB has established a niche in the database market, which is currently dominated by Oracle, IBM, and Microsoft [1] - The company's "nonrelational" database technology may become increasingly relevant as artificial intelligence reshapes the database landscape [1] - MongoDB's stock is experiencing a boost due to its positioning in the evolving market [1] Group 2 - The stock market is showing signs of recovery, with the Dow Jones index bouncing back after a sell-off [2] - Nvidia, Palantir, and Tesla stocks have rebounded, indicating a potential recovery in tech stocks [2] - The overall market sentiment is influenced by hopes of rate cuts following recent market fluctuations [2] Group 3 - The AI stock market has faced significant declines, erasing approximately $2.4 trillion in value [4] - Despite the downturn in AI stocks, IBM's stock has gained due to its partnership with Cisco in quantum computing [4] - Oracle, a key player in AI database software, has rebounded and is now part of the elite top stocks list [4]

Company Performance - MongoDB's stock closed at $329.09, down 2.4% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500 which lost 1.56% [1] - Over the past month, MongoDB shares have gained 3.72%, while the Computer and Technology sector increased by 0.27% and the S&P 500 decreased by 0.26% [1] Upcoming Earnings - MongoDB is set to release its earnings report on December 1, 2025, with analysts expecting earnings of $0.79 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 31.9% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $591.22 million, indicating an 11.68% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $3.7 per share and revenue at $2.35 billion, representing increases of 1.09% and 17.31% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for MongoDB indicate a positive outlook, with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate rising by 0.55% in the past month [5] Valuation Metrics - MongoDB is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 91.05, significantly higher than the industry average of 29.35, indicating a premium valuation [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 5.81, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.98 [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, which includes MongoDB, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 64, placing it in the top 26% of over 250 industries [8]

Core Insights - MongoDB (MDB) has seen a significant stock price increase of 58.8% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry's decline of 12.5% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 10.9% [1] - The stock's performance is attributed to stronger adoption of the Atlas platform and increasing demand for AI-driven applications [1] Performance Overview - MongoDB's Atlas revenues grew by 29% year over year to $438.97 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, accounting for 74% of total revenues [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 fiscal 2026 Atlas revenues is projected at $455.82 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 25.7% [11] - The number of Atlas customers is expected to reach 59,906, marking a 17.2% year-over-year growth [11] Valuation Metrics - MongoDB trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 10.3X, significantly higher than the sub-industry average of 4.64X, indicating strong expectations for continued growth in AI-ready data infrastructure [4] Strategic Positioning - The Atlas platform serves as a unified operational data layer, enabling enterprises to manage various workloads without the need for multiple services [7] - MongoDB's JSON-native design offers advantages over traditional systems like PostgreSQL, particularly for AI applications requiring flexible schemas and fast data retrieval [12] Customer and Partner Ecosystem - MongoDB added over 5,000 customers in the first half of fiscal 2026, with notable growth in large enterprise accounts and self-serve customers [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total customers in Q3 is 62,000, up 17.9% year over year, with high-value accounts (customers over $100K) expected to reach 2,699, a 16.3% increase [17] Conclusion - MongoDB's growth is driven by structural tailwinds, including increased Atlas adoption, deeper integration into AI infrastructure, and a broadening partner ecosystem across major cloud platforms [19] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from ongoing cloud modernization and the rise of AI-powered applications, making it a compelling investment option despite its premium valuation [19][20]