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Monster Beverage's P/E Valuation Looks Expensive: Buy Now or Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-04-09 19:00
Valuation - Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 29.19x, which is a premium compared to the industry's average of 18.25x and the S&P 500's 18.56x, indicating that the stock is overvalued [1][2]. Price Performance - The stock has rallied 10.2% over the past six months, outperforming the industry's decline of 6% [3][5]. Business Performance - In the fourth quarter of 2024, the Monster Energy Drinks segment achieved net sales growth of 4.5% year over year, with a currency-adjusted increase of 7.6%, demonstrating the brand's resilience [7][9]. - The U.S. energy drink sales increased by 6.2% for the 13 weeks ended February 15, 2025, reinforcing Monster's strong position in its home market [9]. - The company has shown strong margin expansion due to improved cost efficiencies and operational improvements, with gross margin strengthening both year over year and sequentially [10]. Market Trends - The global energy drink category remains vibrant, with notable growth in international markets, particularly in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America [11]. - Monster Beverage's commitment to product innovation is a key driver of its success, with several new products launched in late 2024 and early 2025 [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects a 13% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal 2025, followed by an additional 11.6% increase in 2026, reflecting positive sentiment around the company [13]. Challenges - Despite strong performance in core energy drinks, the Alcohol Brands segment faced challenges, with sales declining due to weaker craft beer demand, leading to higher inventory reserves [14]. - Operating expenses rose year over year due to impairment charges related to the Alcohol Brands business and increased payroll, sponsorship, and legal expenses [15][16]. Investment Outlook - Monster Beverage is viewed as a compelling investment opportunity, supported by its strong brand portfolio and long-term growth strategies, despite trading at a premium [17].
Monster Beverage Corporation Responds to Report by Short Seller Containing Inaccurate and Misleading Statements
Globenewswire· 2025-04-09 12:00
Rodney Sacks and Hilton Schlosberg, Chairman and Vice Chairman, respectively, and Co-Chief Executive Officers of the Company, jointly stated: "We have always prided ourselves on having and continue to have a strong reputation for ethical operations and transparent reporting, and these principles remain critically important to all of us at Monster. The document released by a self-interested activist short seller is filled with and based on inaccuracies and aspersions that appear to be designed to distort the ...
Monster Beverage Corporation Responds to Report by Short Seller Containing Inaccurate and Misleading Statements
Newsfilter· 2025-04-09 12:00
CORONA, Calif., April 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Monster Beverage Corporation (NASDAQ:MNST) ("Monster" or the "Company") today issued the following statement in response to a report issued on April 8, 2025 by a short-selling firm, Spruce Point Capital Management, containing false and misleading characterizations about the Company's business from non-credible sources. Rodney Sacks and Hilton Schlosberg, Chairman and Vice Chairman, respectively, and Co-Chief Executive Officers of the Company, jointly stated ...
Short Seller Sees 25% To 40% Downside In Monster Beverage Shares: 'Vulnerable To Escalating Threats'
Benzinga· 2025-04-08 18:30
Core Viewpoint - Spruce Point Capital Management has initiated a short position against Monster Beverage Corp, citing a potential downside risk of 25% to 40% due to concerns over the sustainability of its financial performance and the accuracy of its accounting practices [1][2]. Financial Performance Concerns - A forensic financial review raised issues regarding Monster's recent financial performance and the transparency of its financial reporting [1][2]. - Spruce Point believes that Monster's shares are fully valued, indicating a poor risk/reward ratio from current levels [3]. Market Position and Valuation - The company is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 30.8, which is considered an "irrational" premium compared to Coca-Cola's price-to-earnings ratio of about 20 [4]. - More than 50% of analysts do not have a "Buy" rating on Monster's stock, suggesting a lack of confidence in its future performance [3]. Relationship with Coca-Cola - Spruce Point alleges that the relationship between Monster and Coca-Cola is "not healthy," with evidence of financial strain emerging since 2022 [5]. - The potential for a takeover deal between the two companies is deemed unlikely [5]. Revenue Recognition Issues - Concerns were raised regarding Monster's reporting of sales for its Tour Water brand, which is not classified as an energy drink but is reported within the Monster Energy Drinks segment, potentially inflating organic sales figures [6]. - The distribution claims through the Alcohol Brands segment further cast doubt on the soundness of Monster's revenue recognition practices [6]. Competitive Landscape and Market Outlook - Spruce Point highlighted issues such as margins on sales through Amazon, production inefficiencies, increasing competition, and stagnation in social media branding as significant challenges for Monster [7]. - A "Strong Sell" opinion was issued, predicting that Monster will underperform both the food and beverage industry and the broader equity market [7]. Stock Performance - At the time of publication, Monster Beverage shares were down 2.6%, trading at $55.60 [7].
Monster Beverage Trades Above 200 & 50-Day SMAs: Is it Time to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-03-24 18:40
Core Insights - Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is experiencing strong upward momentum, trading at $57.31, above its 200-day SMA of $51.23 and 50-day SMA of $51.41, indicating a bullish trend [1][2] - The company has achieved an 11.9% rise in stock price over the past six months, significantly outperforming the industry, which declined by 5.9% [3] - The energy drinks segment reported a 4.5% year-over-year increase in net sales in Q4 2024, with currency-adjusted growth at 7.6%, reflecting strong brand positioning and product innovation [7] Financial Performance - Monster Beverage's gross margin improved year-over-year due to lower input costs, despite challenges from an unfavorable geographical sales mix [8] - The company has seen record sales driven by international market momentum, with notable growth in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America [10] - The Alcohol Brands segment faced challenges, with a decline in sales due to weaker craft beer demand, impacting overall profitability [11][12] Operational Resilience - Despite weather-related disruptions, Monster Beverage maintained strong growth across key retail channels, showcasing operational resilience [9] - The company is exploring opportunities for its alcohol products in international markets, further expanding its portfolio beyond energy drinks [10] Cost Management - Adjusted operating expenses increased year-over-year due to higher impairment charges in the Alcohol Brands segment and elevated payroll and sponsorship costs [13] - The increase in operating expenses as a percentage of sales may continue to pressure overall profitability [13] Strategic Outlook - Monster Beverage is well-positioned for potential upside, supported by its strong brand portfolio and long-term growth strategies [14] - Ongoing strategic initiatives and product expansion efforts provide a positive outlook, despite recent stock fluctuations [14]
If You'd Invested $10,000 in Monster Beverage Stock 5 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-24 10:30
It's fun to play "what if" games, and you can play them with stocks, too. For example, what if you'd plunked $10,000 into shares of Monster Beverage (MNST 0.83%) stock five years ago, as the COVID-19 pandemic heated up? How would you have done?The answer isn't as pretty as it appears: Your $10,000 stake would have grown to be worth about $20,922 -- amounting to an average annual growth rate of 15.9%. That sure looks good, and it's well above the stock market's long-term average annual gain of close to 10%. ...
Monster Beverage Corporation Recommends Stockholders Reject “Mini-Tender” Offer by TRC Capital Investment Corporation
Globenewswire· 2025-03-14 18:00
Core Points - Monster Beverage Corporation has received notice of an unsolicited mini-tender offer from TRC Capital Investment Corporation to purchase up to 2,000,000 shares of its common stock at a price of $52.95 per share, which is approximately 5.1% lower than the last closing price of $55.77 on March 10, 2025 [1][2] Company Position - The Company does not endorse TRC's unsolicited mini-tender offer and recommends that stockholders reject the offer and refrain from tendering their shares [2][5] - The mini-tender offer is below the current market price and is subject to various conditions, with the Company stating it is not associated with TRC or the offer [2][3] Mini-Tender Offer Context - Mini-tender offers aim to acquire less than 5% of a company's outstanding shares, allowing them to bypass many SEC disclosure and procedural requirements designed to protect stockholders [3][4] - The SEC has warned investors about mini-tender offers, indicating they can catch investors off guard and lead to selling securities at below-market prices [4][5] Recommendations for Stockholders - Stockholders are advised to obtain current market quotations, consult with brokers or financial advisors, and exercise caution regarding TRC's mini-tender offer [5][6]
Monster Beverage: Not For Me, For Now
Seeking Alpha· 2025-03-13 21:44
Core Insights - Monster Beverage Corporation, previously known as Hansen's Natural, has been recognized as one of the best stock price compounders in the market [1]. Company Overview - Monster Beverage Corporation trades under the NASDAQ ticker MNST and has a history of strong stock performance [1]. Investment Strategy - The investment group Sungarden YARP Portfolio focuses on navigating the modern investment climate with a disciplined and non-traditional approach to income investing [1].
Monster Beverage (MNST) Reliance on International Sales: What Investors Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-03-04 15:15
Core Insights - The international operations of Monster Beverage (MNST) are crucial for assessing its financial resilience and growth prospects, especially in the context of a global economy [1][2] International Revenue Performance - For the quarter ended December 2024, Monster Beverage reported total revenue of $1.81 billion, reflecting a 4.7% increase [4] - Asia Pacific contributed $132.69 million, accounting for 7.32% of total revenue, with a surprise increase of +6.84% compared to expectations [5] - Latin America and Caribbean generated $177.67 million, representing 9.81% of total revenue, exceeding the consensus estimate by +16.31% [6] - EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa) revenues reached $356.29 million, making up 19.66% of total revenue, with a surprise of +10.82% [7] Future Revenue Projections - Analysts project total revenue of $1.98 billion for the current fiscal quarter, indicating a 4% increase year-over-year, with regional contributions expected from Asia Pacific (7.6%), Latin America and Caribbean (9.3%), and EMEA (20.6%) [8] - For the full year, total revenue is projected at $7.96 billion, a 6.2% increase from the previous year, with regional shares expected to be Asia Pacific (7.8%), Latin America and Caribbean (9.3%), and EMEA (20%) [9] Market Context - The reliance on international markets presents both opportunities and challenges for Monster Beverage, making the analysis of international revenue trends essential for forecasting future performance [10] - Wall Street analysts are closely monitoring these trends to refine earnings predictions, acknowledging that domestic performance also significantly influences earnings forecasts [11]
Monster Beverage: Monster Upside or a Risky Buy?
MarketBeat· 2025-03-04 12:02
Core Viewpoint - Monster Beverage faces challenges in its alcohol segment, which is contracting, necessitating rationalization and potentially impacting shareholder value [1] - Despite these headwinds, strong performance in other segments and solid operations present a compelling investment opportunity [2][5] Financial Performance - In Q4, Monster Beverage reported a revenue growth of 4.6%, although it missed consensus on earnings per share (EPS), delivering $0.38, flat compared to the previous year [5][7] - The company’s FX-neutral growth is in the high single digits, with expectations for solid growth in 2025 [5] Market Position and Analyst Ratings - The stock price forecast for Monster Beverage is $56.47, indicating a 2.36% upside, with a high forecast of $68.00 and a low of $40.00 [6] - Analysts show a high conviction in their Hold rating, with 52% rating it as Buy, and price targets are on the rise [3][6] Segment Performance - The Monster segment grew by 7.6%, with an 11.1% increase internationally, while the alcohol segment contracted by 0.8% [6] - The company is experiencing margin pressures, with gross margin gains offset by increased costs and expenses [7] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Cash flow remains solid, supporting balance sheet health and capital returns in 2025, with $500 million left under the current share repurchase authorization [8] - The share count has been reduced by 4.2%, contributing to shareholder value [8] Institutional Support - Institutional buying has provided a tailwind for Monster Beverage stock, with institutions owning over 72% of the stock [10] - Institutional activity has ramped to a two-year high, indicating strong support for the stock [10] Long-term Outlook - The long-term outlook for Monster Beverage is bullish, with expectations of consistent high-single-digit revenue growth and leveraged earnings growth [12] - The P/E ratio is projected to fall below 10x in under a decade, suggesting the stock is deeply undervalued [12]