Overall Performance - In FY2025 Q3, the company reported revenue of 95.49 billion yuan, which was below Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 97.47 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 2% [1] - The adjusted net loss was 16.01 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 13.96 billion yuan [1] Core Local Business - Core local business revenue was 67.4 billion yuan, compared to the consensus estimate of 69.2 billion yuan, with an operating loss of 14.1 billion yuan, worse than the expected loss of 12.6 billion yuan, resulting in an operating margin of -20.9% [1] - New business revenue was 28 billion yuan, slightly below the consensus estimate of 28.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year operating loss increase of 24.5% to 1.3 billion yuan, better than the expected loss of 2.3 billion yuan [1] Food Delivery and Flash Purchase - Within the core local business, the in-store travel and dining segment contributed approximately 5.1 billion yuan in operating profit, while the food delivery and flash purchase segments incurred an operating loss of about 19.1 billion yuan [2] - The average order value (AOV) for high-priced orders (above 15 yuan) accounted for two-thirds of the gross transaction value (GTV), with orders above 30 yuan making up 70% [2] - The company anticipates that competition will focus on operational efficiency and service quality, with a potential improvement in food delivery unit economics as subsidy investments are expected to narrow [2] In-store Travel and Dining - The in-store travel and dining segment is expected to see revenue growth slowdown due to overall market deceleration and competitive pressures, with Q3 revenue contribution estimated at 18 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12% [2] - Operating profit for this segment was 5.1 billion yuan, with an operating margin of 28%, showing a decline both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [2] New Business Developments - The company launched Keeta in Brazil at the end of October, with plans to enter São Paulo by December 1 [3] - The Brazilian food delivery market is competitive, but the company expects manageable investment levels, projecting that losses for the new business in 2026 will not exceed those in 2025 [3] - Keeta aims to replicate its success from Hong Kong and the Middle East, potentially contributing 100 billion USD in GTV, which would represent about 70% of the company's domestic food delivery scale in 2024 [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company faces peak competitive pressure in food delivery this quarter, but with a narrowing of subsidies, there is potential for improvement in user engagement and brand loyalty [3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 364.067 billion yuan, 408.478 billion yuan, and 455.156 billion yuan, with adjusted net profits of -11.525 billion yuan, 21.534 billion yuan, and 44.567 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]

他指出，要不了多久，可能会看到阿里、腾讯、美团这些大厂抱团推出联合防御协议，一起限制AI跨 APP调用。手机厂商更不会让出桌面控制权，小米MIUI华为Harmony OS这些厂商手握系统权限，可以 随时限制豆包运行，降低调用速度，甚至推出自家助手正面抗衡。明年新手机可能直接预装厂商系助 手，把豆包挤到硬商店角落。 【#周鸿祎称豆包手机冲垮大厂护城河#，美团淘宝高管可能要连夜开会了】12月4日消息，360创始人、 董事长@红衣大叔周鸿祎 发视频谈豆包手机。视频中，周鸿祎表示，手机操作要变天了，字节不造手 机，却要抢走所有手机的灵魂。最近豆包手机助手一出来，美团淘宝的高管们可能要连夜开会了。因为 这个AI不用点他们的APP，就能帮用户完成所有操作。这款处于技术预览阶段的手机助手，核心亮点不 是手机，是这个助手。它不是单独的APP，是直接嵌入手机系统的，也就是说它能接管你的手机。 他表示，最狠的是，这会直接冲垮互联网大厂的护城河，他们原本靠用户必须打开APP才能享受服务， 建立的优势可能要重新定义了。比如淘宝、美团靠用户停留和广告赚钱，现在AI帮用户直接完成任 务，不用看广告，不用刷首页，APP核心KPI彻底作废， ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for Meituan-W (03690) [2] Core Insights - Meituan is a leading local business platform in China, actively exploring new business increments while facing short-term profit pressure due to increased competition in its core local commerce segment [7][19] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, which is expected to significantly broaden its Total Addressable Market (TAM) and create structural growth opportunities for future profitability [7][22] - Despite short-term losses, the long-term value of Meituan remains intact due to its established competitive advantages and operational efficiencies [7][30] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Meituan, founded in March 2010, has evolved into a comprehensive platform offering various local services, including food delivery, hotel bookings, and travel services [10] - The revenue structure for 2024 is projected to consist of 74% from core local commerce and 26% from new businesses [13] Q3 2025 Performance Review - In Q3 2025, Meituan reported revenue of 95.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2%, but below market expectations [18] - The core local commerce segment generated revenue of 67.4 billion yuan, down 2.8% year-on-year, primarily due to increased subsidies impacting delivery service revenue [19] Competitive Landscape - The report highlights the competitive pressures from rivals like JD and Alibaba, which have intensified the subsidy wars in the food delivery market [24] - Meituan's operational efficiency and established market presence provide a strong defense against these competitive threats [25] International Expansion - Meituan's overseas expansion, particularly through its Keeta brand, has shown promising results in markets like Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia, with plans to further penetrate the Middle East and Latin America [22][29] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 366.2 billion, 417.4 billion, and 468.9 billion yuan, respectively, with expected adjusted net profits of -17.4 billion, 17.1 billion, and 40.3 billion yuan [30][31] - The report emphasizes that while short-term losses are anticipated, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the company's solid market position and competitive advantages [30]

Group 1 - Southbound funds net bought HKD 1.48 billion in Hong Kong stocks on December 4, with notable purchases in the Tracker Fund (HKD 2.606 billion), WuXi Biologics (HKD 315 million), Xiaomi Group (HKD 231 million), and Xpeng Motors (HKD 102 million) [1] - Significant net sales were observed in Tencent Holdings (HKD 1.346 billion) and SMIC (HKD 458 million) [1] - Southbound funds have continuously net bought Meituan for 6 days, totaling HKD 2.28896 billion, and Xiaomi for 5 days, totaling HKD 2.0526 billion [3] Group 2 - WuXi Biologics is expected to see optimistic growth in the CXO sector by 2026, with overseas biopharmaceutical investments likely to increase significantly as interest rates decline [5] - Xiaomi Group's president revealed substantial investments in AI, with progress in AI models and applications exceeding market expectations, and over 500,000 cars delivered since April 3, 2024 [5] - SMIC is projected to experience a 22.1% year-on-year revenue growth in the global foundry industry by 2025, driven by AI and electric vehicles [5] Group 3 - UBTECH announced a strategic cooperation framework with ZhiSheng Technology to focus on "industry models + embodied intelligence," aiming to deploy 10,000 robots and secure commercial orders worth billions over the next five years [6]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 美团 呈交日期: 2025年12月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | | 股份類別 | B | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 03690 | | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 多櫃檯證券代號 | 83690 | RMB | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 9,264,431,217 | USD | | 0.00001 | USD | | 92,644.31 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Meituan [9] Core Insights - In Q3 FY2025, Meituan's revenue reached 954.9 billion CNY, which was below Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 974.7 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2%. The adjusted net loss was 160.1 billion CNY, exceeding the expected loss of 139.6 billion CNY [6][10] - The report highlights that the competitive pressure in the food delivery sector has peaked, and as subsidies narrow, the focus will shift towards user retention and brand recognition, which are crucial for long-term repurchase rather than new customer acquisition [2][10] - The report projects Meituan's overall revenue for 2025-2027 to be 3,640.67 billion CNY, 4,084.78 billion CNY, and 4,551.56 billion CNY, with adjusted net profits of -115.25 billion CNY, 215.34 billion CNY, and 445.67 billion CNY respectively [2][10] Summary by Sections Overall Performance - Core local business revenue was 674 billion CNY, below the consensus estimate of 692 billion CNY, with an operating loss of 141 billion CNY compared to the expected loss of 126 billion CNY. The operating profit margin was -20.9% [10] - New business revenue was 280 billion CNY, slightly below the expected 286 billion CNY, with a year-on-year operating loss increase of 24.5% to 13 billion CNY [10] Food Delivery and Flash Purchase - The core local business saw a significant operating loss of approximately 191 billion CNY in Q3, with the average order value (AOV) for high-priced orders (above 15 CNY) accounting for two-thirds of the gross transaction value (GTV) [10] - The report emphasizes that user stickiness and brand recognition are essential for the platform's capabilities, and future competition will likely focus on operational efficiency and service quality [10] In-store Dining and Travel - The in-store dining and travel segment contributed approximately 180 billion CNY in revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 12%. The operating profit was 51 billion CNY, with a profit margin of 28% [10] New Business Initiatives - Meituan's new business, Keeta, officially launched operations in Brazil, with expectations of manageable investment levels. The report anticipates that Keeta could contribute significantly to Meituan's GTV in the long term [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Beijing Consumer Association has signed the first national "Commitment to Promote the Standardized Application of AI Technology" with eight e-commerce platforms, establishing self-regulatory norms to protect consumer rights and delineate compliance boundaries for AI technology applications [1][9]. Group 1: Legal Compliance and Consumer Protection - E-commerce platforms and merchants must adhere to laws such as the Consumer Rights Protection Law and the E-commerce Law, ensuring consumer rights are prioritized when using AI-generated content [3][11]. - The commitment includes six specific measures to create a compliance framework for AI technology applications [1][9]. Group 2: Transparency and Disclosure - Merchants and content creators are required to clearly label AI-generated content, such as digital avatars and virtual scenes, with terms like "AI-generated" or "simulated scene" [4][13]. - Platforms are encouraged to provide unified AI content labeling features to promote transparency [4][13]. Group 3: Monitoring and Enforcement - Content monitoring and manual review will be implemented to prevent the dissemination of unmarked AI-generated content, with measures to add prominent labels to non-compliant content [4][14]. - Platforms will take further actions, such as blocking links, against confirmed violations [4][14]. Group 4: Support and Training - E-commerce platforms will provide tools and clear guidelines to help merchants and content creators comply with AI labeling requirements [5][15]. - Training programs will be established to enhance compliance awareness among merchants and content creators [8][17]. Group 5: Integrity of AI Standards - Strict measures will be enforced against the malicious deletion, alteration, or concealment of AI content labels, ensuring the integrity of the AI regulatory framework [6][16]. - Violating accounts and content will be dealt with according to legal regulations to maintain the seriousness of AI standards [6][16]. Group 6: Consumer Education and Engagement - The Beijing Consumer Association will continue to monitor AI technology applications and engage in consumer education to enhance awareness of AI technology and its implications [8][17]. - Multi-channel educational activities will be conducted to improve consumers' ability to identify false content and enhance their protective awareness [8][17].

Core Viewpoint - The Beijing Consumer Association has signed the first national commitment letter to promote the standardized application of AI technology with eight e-commerce platforms, aiming to establish self-regulatory norms and protect consumer rights in the context of rapidly evolving AI applications in e-commerce [1][2][3] Group 1: Issues Identified - Insufficient protection of consumer rights regarding information transparency, with nearly 90% of surveyed consumers calling for significant labeling of AI-generated content [1] - The misuse of synthetic technology has led to increased consumer risks, particularly concerning "false marketing" practices observed in AI-driven live streaming [2] - Shortcomings in platform review mechanisms have been identified, indicating a need for improved risk prevention capabilities and management rules for AI content [2] Group 2: Measures Proposed - The commitment letter outlines six specific measures centered on transparency, strict review, and traceable responsibility to delineate compliance boundaries for AI technology in e-commerce [3] - The Beijing Consumer Association plans to continue monitoring AI technology applications and will engage volunteers to provide feedback on live shopping experiences [3] - Consumer education initiatives will be launched to enhance awareness and ability to discern false content, contributing to a safer online shopping environment [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong technology stocks experienced a strong upward trend before noon, with notable gains from several companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Trip.com Group saw an increase of over 3% in its stock price [1] - Meituan also reported a rise of more than 3% [1] - Bilibili and Xiaomi Group both experienced gains exceeding 2% [1]

Group 1 - UBS maintains a positive long-term outlook on Meituan due to its strong competitive moat, solid consumer mindshare, and differentiated supply-side innovations such as "Raccoon Kitchen" and "Flash Purchase" [1] - The overseas business initiative KeeTa is seen as a potential upward factor that has not yet been reflected in the stock price [1] - Morgan Stanley has increased its stake in Meituan by 9.0614 million shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [1] Group 2 - Meituan's Q3 2025 commentary highlights that subsidies have entered a deep-water phase, with high-priced orders becoming the focal point of competition [1] - UBS has assigned a "Buy" rating to Meituan with a target price of HKD 128 [1]