Group 1 - Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ: NBIS) has more than doubled since April lows, indicating strong market performance [1] - The stock is considered a buy despite its recent rally, suggesting potential for further growth [1] - The analysis emphasizes that the majority of technical indicators support the continuation of the stock's upward trend [1] Group 2 - The author has a strong focus on the tech sector and aims to provide high-quality technical analysis [1] - The author's core values include excellence, integrity, transparency, and respect, which are deemed essential for long-term success [1] - The article encourages reader feedback to enhance the quality of future analyses [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the expertise and background of a research analyst in the investment banking sector, focusing on pre-IPO and venture divisions, with a specialization in Biotechnology, Internet, and Media [1]. Group 1 - The analyst has over 10 years of experience in investment banking, including 5 years as a global equity research analyst [1]. - The analyst holds both CFA and FRM charters, indicating a strong foundation in financial analysis and risk management [1]. - The analyst is also an author of a Russian-language Telegram channel, suggesting engagement with a broader audience [1].

Group 1 - The article discusses the author's favorite companies for investment, highlighting a focus on long-term strategies [1] - MMMT Wealth, managed by Oliver, emphasizes research on investment strategies and stocks, aiming for insights from various financial sources [1] - Oliver has a background in financial services, particularly in private equity, hedge funds, and asset management, with a passion for investing [1] Group 2 - The author holds long positions in several companies, including SOFI, NBIS, AMZN, and LMND, through various financial instruments [1]

Core Insights - Palantir Technologies has achieved a remarkable 1,122% return over the past five years, turning an initial investment of $10,000 into $122,200, with its stock trading at 222 times forward earnings [1][2] Company Analysis: Palantir Technologies - The launch of Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in mid-2023 has been a significant driver of revenue growth, with a 39% year-over-year increase in the first quarter of 2025 [2] Company Analysis: BigBear.ai Holdings - BigBear.ai operates in the government AI market, providing AI-powered decision intelligence solutions, and has a $385 million backlog, which is over 10 times its quarterly revenue run rate [5][6] - The company reported a 5% year-over-year revenue growth to $34.8 million in the first quarter, while reducing its net loss from $127.8 million to $62 million [7] - BigBear.ai has strengthened its balance sheet by reducing long-term debt by $58 million and raising $64.7 million from warrant exercises, with $107.6 million in cash available for growth initiatives [8] - The company is positioned at the intersection of government digital transformation and AI adoption, trading at a significant discount compared to Palantir despite operating in the same high-growth market [9] Company Analysis: Lemonade - Lemonade utilizes AI to disrupt the $9 trillion global insurance industry, achieving over $1 billion in in-force premium within eight and a half years of operation, with a revenue increase of 2,240% since its IPO in 2020 [10][11] - The company is targeting the $350 billion U.S. auto insurance market through its subsidiary Lemonade Car, with early results showing promise in cross-sales [12] Company Analysis: Nebius Group N.V. - Nebius Group is capitalizing on the AI boom by providing essential infrastructure for AI development, with a 385% year-over-year revenue growth to $55.3 million in the first quarter of 2025 [13][16] - The company operates a full-stack AI cloud platform designed for intensive AI workloads, differentiating itself from traditional cloud providers [14] - Despite an adjusted EBITDA loss of $62.6 million in Q1 2025, Nebius is well-positioned to capture market share from traditional providers as demand for specialized cloud services increases [15][16]

Group 1 - Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ: NBIS) reported Q1 2025 results, indicating strong interest from retail investors with 47% of them holding the stock [2] - The stock is gaining popularity among retail investors, which may influence market sentiment and trading volume [2] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the importance of careful investment consideration [3]

Group 1 - The core focus of JR Research is on identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities that can potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500 [1][2] - The investment strategy combines sharp price action analysis with fundamentals investing, avoiding overhyped stocks while targeting battered stocks with significant recovery potential [2] - JR Research runs the Ultimate Growth Investing group, which specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors with a 18 to 24 month outlook for investment theses [3] Group 2 - The group is designed for investors looking to capitalize on growth stocks with robust fundamentals, buying momentum, and turnaround plays at highly attractive valuations [3]

Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. reported a first-quarter 2025 adjusted net loss of $92.5 million, which is 19% wider than the loss of $77.6 million from the previous year [1] - The company's revenues increased significantly by 385% year over year to $55.3 million, primarily driven by growth in its core artificial intelligence (AI) business [1] Business Overview - Nebius operates an AI cloud platform designed for intensive workloads, supported by in-house developed software and hardware, with R&D hubs in Europe, North America, and Israel [2] - The company has distinct brands, including Avride for autonomous driving technology and TripleTen, a leading edtech platform for tech career reskilling [2] Financial Performance - The adjusted EBITDA loss for the first quarter was $62.6 million, an improvement from the $70.9 million loss in the same quarter last year [4] - Sales, general, and administrative expenses rose by 29% year over year to $66.1 million [4] - As of March 31, 2025, the loss from operations was $129.5 million, compared to a loss of $82.9 million in the prior year [4] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of March 31, 2025, Nebius had $1,447 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $2,449.6 million as of December 31, 2024 [5] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its momentum heading into the second quarter of 2025, reaffirming its full-year ARR guidance of $750 million to $1 billion and overall revenue guidance of $500 million to $700 million [6] - Although adjusted EBITDA is expected to remain negative for the full year, Nebius aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2025 [6] - The capital expenditure forecast for 2025 has been raised to approximately $2 billion from the previous estimate of $1.5 billion [7] Market Performance - Nebius currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and its shares have surged 66.6% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Internet - Software and Services industry's growth of 26.2% [8]

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Group 1 - The analyst has not purchased Nebius shares since the valuation reached recent trough levels, indicating a cautious approach to investment in this stock [1] - The analyst focuses on macroeconomic factors and has a global perspective, particularly in sectors such as technology, semiconductors, AI, and energy [1] - The investment strategy is centered on a long-only, unleveraged portfolio aimed at capital preservation and capturing asymmetric upside during market dislocations [1] Group 2 - The analyst manages positions through medium-term cycles and exits based on intrinsic value, suggesting a disciplined investment approach [1] - Research is published on platforms like Seeking Alpha, TipRanks, and GuruFocus, indicating a broad audience for the analyst's insights [1] - The Nasdaq High-Alpha Black Swan Portfolio is highlighted as a private strategy designed for resilience and long-term outperformance [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy and services offered by Seeking Alpha, particularly highlighting the BAD BEAT Investing approach which focuses on short- and medium-term investments, income generation, and momentum trades [2] - Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ: NBIS) was previously rated as a Buy in the high teens, indicating a volatile stock suitable for swing traders [2] - The BAD BEAT Investing team, known for their historical market calls, emphasizes teaching investors to become proficient traders through in-depth research and clear entry and exit targets [2] Group 2 - The article mentions that the BAD BEAT Investing team has been on average 95% long and 5% short since May 2020, showcasing their investment strategy's focus on market trends [2] - The team consists of seven analysts with diverse expertise in business, policy, economics, and other fields, contributing to their investment insights [2] - Seeking Alpha offers various tools and resources for traders, including chat rooms, daily analyst summaries, and options trading education [2]