Date: February 26, 2026 Time: 8:00 a.m. Central Time Dial-In: (800) 715-9871 International Dial-In: (646) 932-3411 Conference ID: 4503139 Webcast: Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call ...

Key Points Northern Oil and Gas stock is cheap, pays a high yield, and can benefit from global energy uncertainty. Increasing well counts show expanding operations, albeit at the cost of free cash flow. Northern Oil and Gas has a business model that keeps costs low. 10 stocks we like better than Northern Oil and Gas › 2026 is starting off with fresh uncertainty regarding the situation in Venezuela and global oil markets. The oil-rich nation, with larger reserves than Saudi Arabia, has been produ ...

Core Viewpoint - Investors are increasingly focusing on heavily shorted stocks, either to capitalize on further declines in value or to benefit from potential short squeezes [1][3]. Group 1: Characteristics of Heavily Shorted Stocks - A stock is considered "heavily shorted" when a significant number of traders and institutional investors believe it is fundamentally overvalued, leading to expectations of a price decline [2]. - High short interest often indicates a strong conviction among professional traders that the company faces serious risks, while retail traders may see it as an opportunity for rapid gains through a short squeeze [3]. Group 2: Short Squeeze Dynamics - A short squeeze occurs when a stock's price unexpectedly rises, forcing short sellers to buy back shares to cover their positions, which creates a spike in demand and further drives up the price [4]. - The volatility associated with a short squeeze can result in returns that significantly exceed typical stock movements within a short time frame [4]. Group 3: Most Heavily Shorted Stocks - As of December 29, the following stocks are the most heavily shorted, with market caps above $2 billion and free floats above 5 million: - Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:LCID) - 54.51% - Choice Hotels International, Inc. (NYSE:CHH) - 50.20% - Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:CAR) - 48.80% - Revolve Group, Inc. (NYSE:RVLV) - 43.14% - Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (NYSE:MPW) - 37.13% - MARA Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA) - 36.23% - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE:HIMS) - 35.22% - TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) - 35.11% - Kohl's Corporation (NYSE:KSS) - 34.27% - Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NYSE:NOG) - 33.27% [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. has updated its hedge profile following a recent joint acquisition in Ohio's Utica region, emphasizing its strategy to protect its capital program through financial derivative instruments [1] Hedging Update - The company continues to implement its policy of entering into financial derivative instruments to lock in future commodity prices for a portion of its expected production [1] - Northern Oil and Gas has added substantial gas hedges as part of its risk management strategy [1]

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Core Insights - The article highlights a free two-week trial offer for the Distressed Value Investing community, which provides exclusive research on various companies and investment opportunities [1] - The author, Aaron Chow, has over 15 years of analytical experience and co-founded a mobile gaming company that was acquired by PENN Entertainment, showcasing his expertise in the industry [2] Company and Industry Summary - Distressed Value Investing focuses on value opportunities and distressed plays, particularly in the energy sector, indicating a strategic emphasis on sectors that may offer significant returns despite current challenges [2] - The community includes access to a portfolio of historic research with over 1,000 reports on more than 100 companies, suggesting a comprehensive resource for investors seeking in-depth analysis [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current landscape of heavily shorted stocks, highlighting the reasons traders engage in short selling and the potential for short squeezes as investment opportunities [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Heavily Shorted Stocks - Stocks become heavily shorted when experienced traders and institutional investors believe the company is fundamentally overvalued, anticipating a price decline [2]. - Short sellers borrow shares, sell them at high prices, and aim to repurchase them at lower prices for profit, indicating a strong conviction about the company's risks [3]. Current Market Data - As of December 10, 2025, the top 10 most shorted stocks with market caps above $2 billion and free floats above 5 million are listed, ranked by short interest percentage [5]. - The most heavily shorted stock is Lucid Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: LCID) with a short interest of 52.70%, followed by Avis Budget Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CAR) at 51.53% and Choice Hotels International, Inc. (NYSE: CHH) at 49.05% [6][7]. Market Characteristics - Heavily shorted stocks often reflect a battleground between negative fundamentals and speculative trading, where short squeezes can lead to significant, rapid gains but also come with high risk and volatility [8]. - Monitoring short interest can help identify potential short squeeze candidates, although timing such trades is challenging [8].

Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of enabling Javascript and cookies in browsers to prevent access issues [1] - It highlights that users with ad-blockers may face restrictions when trying to access content [1]

Acquisition Overview - Agreement to acquire a 49% interest in Ohio Utica upstream and midstream assets for $588 million[3, 10] - The acquisition includes approximately 35,000 net acres with over 100 identified gross locations[4, 10] - The asset includes over 140 miles of gathering pipelines and approximately 90 miles of water delivery systems[4, 10] - Expected to close by the end of Q1 2026, with an effective date of July 1, 2025[5, 10] Production and Financial Projections - 2026 net production is estimated at approximately 65 MMcfe per day, with an anticipated growth rate of over 30% CAGR through the end of the decade[4, 10] - Projected cash flow from operations for CY2026 is approximately $100 million net to NOG, with substantial growth projected[10] - Average annual capital spending of approximately $100 million is expected on the asset through the end of the decade[10] Strategic Rationale - The acquisition strategically positions NOG to benefit from global demand growth for gas driven by LNG, AI, and continued growth in power[10, 12] - The integrated midstream system enhances margins, improving combined asset operating costs by over $0.70/mcfe[15] - The midstream cash flows are expected to grow by 140% by the end of the decade[10]

Core Insights - Short interest data provides insights into investor sentiment and potential risks in the stock market, helping gauge market confidence in a company's future [1] - A stock is deemed heavily shorted when a significant percentage of its available shares are borrowed and sold by investors anticipating a price drop [2] - Short squeezes can occur when short-sellers rush to cover their positions, leading to rapid price increases, as seen in recent meme stock manias [3] Short Interest Overview - The most heavily shorted stocks as of November 13 include Lucid Group, Inc. (48.99%), Choice Hotels International, Inc. (46.71%), and Avis Budget Group, Inc. (46.13%) [5] - Stocks are ranked by short interest, which is the total number of shares sold short and not yet covered, expressed as a percentage of shares available for public trading [4] Market Dynamics - Highly shorted stocks represent a battleground where negative fundamentals meet speculative trading [7] - Monitoring short interest can help identify potential short squeeze candidates, although timing such trades is challenging due to high volatility [7]