Group 1 - The oil and gas sector has shown recovery from the lows experienced in April, driven by improving market sentiment [1] - This sector is highly sensitive to fluctuations in oil and gas prices, as well as political and geopolitical events [1]

Company Overview - Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) shares have increased by approximately 12.4% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 index [1] - The most recent earnings report is essential to understand the key drivers behind this performance [1] Earnings Estimates - Fresh estimates for Northern Oil and Gas have trended downward in the past month, indicating a negative outlook [2][4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of an in-line return in the upcoming months [4] VGM Scores - Northern Oil and Gas has a Growth Score of B, a Momentum Score of F, and a Value Score of A, placing it in the top 20% for the value investment strategy [3] - The aggregate VGM Score for the stock is A, which is significant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3] Industry Performance - Northern Oil and Gas is part of the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry [5] - Range Resources (RRC), a competitor in the same industry, has seen a 15.9% increase in its stock price over the past month [5] - Range Resources reported revenues of $854.02 million for the last quarter, reflecting an 18.9% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $0.96 compared to $0.69 a year ago [6]

Core Insights - Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) reported revenue of $576.95 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting an 8.4% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +3.27% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $558.68 million [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $1.33, compared to $1.28 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +18.75% against the consensus estimate of $1.12 [1] Financial Performance - Average Daily Production of Oil was 78,675 BBL/D, exceeding the estimated 77,194.71 BBL/D [4] - Average Daily Production of Natural Gas and NGLs reached 337,706 Mcf/D, surpassing the estimate of 313,853.6 Mcf/D [4] - Total Net Production was 12,146 KBOE, above the estimated 11,760.28 KBOE [4] - Average Sales Prices for Oil were $64.92, lower than the estimated $67.63 [4] - Net Sales for Oil and Gas Sales totaled $576.95 million, compared to the average estimate of $561.55 million, marking a year-over-year increase of 8.4% [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Northern Oil and Gas have returned -3.4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite changed by -0.5% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Financial Performance - Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) reported first-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $1.33, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.12 and up from $1.28 year-over-year [1] - Oil and natural gas sales reached $577 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $559 million and increasing from $532 million in the previous year [1] - The company achieved a production record in the Appalachian region, with production of 113.5 million cubic feet equivalent of gas per day [3] Production and Sales - Total production increased by 13% year-over-year to 134,959 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Boe/d), beating the estimate of 131,200 Boe/d [6] - Oil volume was 78,675 Boe/d, up 12% year-over-year, while natural gas production was 337,706 thousand cubic feet per day, up 14% [6] - The average sales price for crude oil was $64.92 per barrel, an 11% decrease from the prior-year quarter [7] Costs and Expenses - Total operating expenses rose to $372.8 million from $344 million in the year-ago period, exceeding the estimate of $366 million [8] - Capital expenditures for the first quarter were reported at $249.9 million, with $245.1 million allocated to drilling and completion [9][10] Cash Flow and Financial Position - Operating cash flow for the quarter was $407.4 million, with free cash flow totaling $135.7 million, a 41% increase from the previous quarter [3][12] - As of March 31, NOG had $33.6 million in cash and cash equivalents and long-term debt of $2.3 billion, resulting in a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 49% [12] Dividends and Share Repurchase - The board declared a cash dividend of 45 cents per share, reflecting a 12.5% increase from the previous year [2] - The company repurchased 499,100 shares of common stock at an average price of $30.07 per share [4] Guidance and Future Outlook - NOG anticipates full-year 2025 production of oil equivalent between 130,000 and 135,000 barrels per day, with oil production expected between 75,000 and 79,000 barrels per day [13] - Total capital expenditures for the year are projected to be between $1,050 million and $1,200 million [14]

Group 1 - The article promotes a free two-week trial for the investment group Distressed Value Investing, which offers exclusive research on various companies and investment opportunities [1] - The investment group focuses on value opportunities and distressed plays, particularly in the energy sector [2] - The author, Aaron Chow, has over 15 years of analytical experience and previously co-founded a mobile gaming company that was acquired by PENN Entertainment [2] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that past performance is not indicative of future results and does not provide specific investment recommendations [3] - It clarifies that the analysts contributing to the platform may not be licensed or certified by any regulatory body [3]

Table of Contents For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from ____________ to____________ Commission File No. 001-33999 NORTHERN OIL AND GAS, INC. (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter) UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, DC 20549 FORM 10-Q _________________________________ ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXC ...

Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 09:00 AM ET Speaker0 Greetings, and welcome to the NOG's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. The question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It's now my pleasure to introduce your host, Evelyn Inferno, Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin. Speaker1 Good morning. Welcome t ...

Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 09:00 AM ET Company Participants Evelyn Infurna - VP - IRNicholas O'Grady - CEOAdam Dirlam - PresidentChad Allen - CFONoah Hungness - Equity Research AssociateJim Evans - Chief Technical OfficerNoel Parks - Managing Director - Energy Research Conference Call Participants Phillips Johnston - Senior E&P Analyst Operator Greetings, and welcome to the NOG's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants ar ...

Q1 2025 Highlights - Average daily production reached 135.0 Mboe/d, showing a 2.4% increase QoQ and a 13.0% increase YoY[5] - Adjusted EBITDA hit a record $434.7 million, up 12.3% YoY and 6.9% QoQ[5] - Free Cash Flow surged 151.4% YoY, driven by XCL asset contribution and record production[5] - Shareholder returns totaled approximately $57 million in Q1, through stock repurchases and dividends[5] Operations & Investment Activity - Uinta volumes increased by approximately 15% sequentially and 18% on an Mboe/day basis[5] - NOG closed $4.8 million in Ground Game deals in Q1, adding over 1,000 net acres and ~1.1 net wells[5] - A 2,275 net acre acquisition in Upton County, Texas, was completed for $61.7 million[5] - Net elections increased 35% compared to 2024's quarterly average[23] Financial Position - Net Debt to LQA Adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 1.32x, a decrease of 0.15x QoQ[5] - Over $900 million in available liquidity at quarter-end[5] Guidance - The company anticipates annual production between 130,000 and 135,000 Boe/day[40] - Total budgeted capital expenditures are projected to be between $1.05 billion and $1.2 billion[40]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Northern Oil and Gas (NOG) despite an increase in revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Northern Oil and Gas is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.12 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 12.5% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $557.77 million, indicating a 4.8% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 10.72% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Northern Oil and Gas is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +1.96% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [8]. - Northern Oil and Gas currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating the prediction of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Northern Oil and Gas was expected to earn $1.13 per share but reported $1.11, resulting in a surprise of -1.77% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - While Northern Oil and Gas does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].