Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Pembina reported adjusted EBITDA of CAD 1.034 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 1% increase year-over-year [15] - Earnings for the third quarter were CAD 286 million, a 26% decrease compared to the same period last year [16] - Total volumes in the pipelines and facilities divisions were 3.6 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, a 2% increase year-over-year [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the pipelines segment, higher demand on seasonal contracts and increased tolls contributed to revenue growth, while lower firm tolls on the Cochin Pipeline impacted results [15] - The facilities segment saw higher contributions from Pembina Gas Infrastructure (PGI) due to transactions with Whitecap Resources and increased volumes at the Duvernay complex [15] - Marketing and new ventures experienced lower net revenue due to decreased NGL margins and higher input natural gas prices [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has secured a 20-year agreement with Petronas for 1 million tons per annum of liquefaction capacity at the Cedar LNG facility, enhancing its export business [5] - The Green Light Electricity Center project has secured a 907 megawatt power grid allocation, with expectations for development as early as 2027 [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Pembina aims to ensure long-term resilience and provide visibility to attractive growth through the end of the decade [4] - The company is focused on expanding its LNG business while maintaining a risk profile characterized by long-term, contracted cash flow streams [6] - Pembina continues to strengthen its core business through successful recontracting and capital project execution [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving the tightened adjusted EBITDA guidance range of CAD 4.25 billion to CAD 4.35 billion for 2025 [18] - The company remains optimistic about growth opportunities in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) despite current commodity price pressures [19] - Management is in a listening mode with customers to refine the outlook for 2026 based on their transportation service needs [22] Other Important Information - Pembina is nearing completion on approximately CAD 850 million of projects expected to enter service in the first half of 2026 [11] - The company is progressing on various conventional pipeline projects to enable growth in the WCSB [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you share insights on pricing outlook and volumetric expectations for 2026? - Management is currently meeting with customers to understand their needs and will provide a refined outlook in December [22] Question: What are the next steps for the Green Light project? - The company is continuing commercial discussions and engineering work, aiming for a final investment decision in the first half of 2026 [24] Question: Can you comment on the volume trends in the conventional business segment? - Conventional volumes in Q3 were up about 4% quarter-over-quarter, with expectations for continued single-digit growth supported by oil sands demand [80][82]

Core Insights - Pembina Pipeline reported quarterly earnings of $0.31 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.45 per share, and down from $0.44 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -31.11% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.3 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.95%, and down from $1.35 billion year-over-year [2] - Pembina Pipeline has underperformed the market with a 2.3% increase in shares since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's gain of 15.6% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.55 on revenues of $1.12 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.17 on revenues of $5.78 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Pembina Pipeline was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Production and Pipelines industry is currently in the top 34% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that stocks in the top 50% outperform those in the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8] - Another company in the same industry, Enbridge, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.39 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -2.5%, with revenues anticipated at $10.86 billion, down 0.5% from the previous year [9][10]

REPORT TO SHAREHOLDERS Third Quarter 2025 MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS Table of Contents | 1. About Pembina | 2 | | --- | --- | | 2. Financial & Operating Overview | 3 | | 3. Segment Results | 7 | | 4. Liquidity & Capital Resources | 21 | | 5. Share Capital | 25 | | 6. Capital Expenditures | 27 | | 7. Selected Quarterly Information | 28 | | 8. Selected Equity Accounted Investee Information | 30 | | 9. Related Party Transactions | 31 | | 10. Accounting Policies & Estimates | 32 | | 11. Non-GAAP & Oth ...

Core Insights - Pembina Pipeline Corporation reported its financial and operational results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a decrease in earnings and net revenue compared to the previous year, while adjusted EBITDA showed a slight increase [2][4][28]. Financial and Operational Overview - Revenue for Q3 2025 was CAD 1,791 million, a decrease of CAD 53 million from CAD 1,844 million in Q3 2024 [4]. - Net revenue for Q3 2025 was CAD 1,211 million, down CAD 48 million from CAD 1,259 million in Q3 2024 [4]. - Operating expenses decreased by CAD 18 million to CAD 259 million in Q3 2025 [4]. - Gross profit for Q3 2025 was CAD 658 million, a decrease of CAD 89 million from CAD 747 million in Q3 2024 [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was CAD 1,034 million, reflecting a CAD 15 million increase from CAD 1,019 million in Q3 2024 [4][24]. - Earnings for Q3 2025 were CAD 286 million, a decrease of CAD 99 million or 26% from CAD 385 million in Q3 2024 [4][28]. - Cash flow from operating activities was CAD 810 million, down CAD 112 million from CAD 922 million in Q3 2024 [4]. - Capital expenditures for Q3 2025 were CAD 178 million, a decrease of CAD 84 million from CAD 262 million in Q3 2024 [4]. Business Update - Pembina updated its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of CAD 4.25 billion to CAD 4.35 billion, previously set at CAD 4.225 billion to CAD 4.425 billion [5][7]. - New transportation agreements were signed on the Peace Pipeline, adding approximately 50,000 barrels per day with an average term of about 10 years [5][15]. - The Alliance Pipeline's long-term contractual profile was strengthened, with shippers opting for a new 10-year toll on approximately 96% of the available firm capacity [5][15]. - Pembina is advancing over CAD 1 billion in proposed pipeline expansions to meet rising transportation demand [5][11]. - A 20-year agreement with PETRONAS for 1.0 million tonnes per annum of capacity at the Cedar LNG facility was confirmed [5][14]. - Progress towards the commercialization of the Greenlight Electricity Centre is ongoing, with a final investment decision anticipated in the first half of 2026 [5][21]. Financial Highlights by Division - Pipelines division reported adjusted EBITDA of CAD 630 million for Q3 2025, a CAD 37 million increase from the previous year [24]. - Facilities division reported adjusted EBITDA of CAD 354 million for Q3 2025, a CAD 30 million increase from the previous year [24]. - Marketing & New Ventures division reported adjusted EBITDA of CAD 99 million for Q3 2025, a CAD 60 million decrease from the previous year [24][31]. - Corporate division reported adjusted EBITDA of negative CAD 49 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a CAD 8 million increase from the previous year [24][27].

Core Insights - Pembina Pipeline Corporation (PBA) has outperformed the broader Oil & Gas Production and Pipelines sub-industry and the overall Oil-Energy sector, with a share price increase of 4.5% over the past three months compared to a 1.6% rise for its sub-industry and a 1.3% decline for the sector [1][5] Stock Performance Overview - PBA's stock has shown resilience in a volatile energy sector, indicating stronger investor confidence [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PBA's earnings per share (EPS) for the next fiscal year remains steady at $2.19, while the estimate for the fiscal year after has slightly decreased by 1.29% from $2.33 to $2.30 [3][6] Competitive Advantages - PBA is the only Canadian energy infrastructure company with a fully integrated value chain across all commodities, providing significant competitive advantages [6] - The company has a proven track record of executing major capital projects on time and under budget, enhancing returns and delivering expansions at a cost-per-barrel basis that is 15-20% lower than competitors [7] - PBA is advancing over C$1 billion in fully-supported pipeline expansions, secured by long-term contracts, which provides a visible pipeline of future fee-based earnings [8] - The weighted average contract life on PBA's pipeline systems is approximately seven and a half years, demonstrating the company's ability to extend contracts and ensure a strong base of committed volumes [9] Recent Financial Performance - PBA's second-quarter 2025 results showed declines in key financial metrics, with adjusted EBITDA falling 7% to C$1.01 billion, earnings decreasing 13% to C$417 million, and adjusted cash flow from operating activities dropping 17% to C$698 million [10] - The Marketing & New Ventures division experienced a dramatic 48% decrease in adjusted EBITDA, primarily due to lower NGL margins and prices, indicating exposure to volatile commodity-based earnings [11] Market Challenges - Increasing customer consolidation in Western Canada may pressure toll rates and market share, as larger producers negotiate more aggressively on transportation and processing costs [12] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with risks from other midstream players and the potential for producers to bring midstream activities in-house, making market share gains more challenging [13] Conclusion - PBA's fully integrated value chain and strong project execution provide competitive advantages, while over C$1 billion in secured pipeline projects and long-term contract extensions offer visibility into future earnings [14] - However, recent financial results indicate year-over-year declines, and the company faces challenges from volatile earnings and increasing competition [15]

Core Viewpoint - Pembina Pipeline Corporation has successfully closed its offering of $225 million in 5.95% Fixed-to-Fixed Rate Subordinated Notes, Series 2, due June 6, 2055 [1] Group 1 - The total principal amount of the Series 2 Notes is $225 million [1] - The interest rate for the Series 2 Notes is set at 5.95% [1] - The offering was conducted through a syndicate of underwriters, co-led by CIBC Capital Markets, BMO Capital Markets, and Scotiabank [1]

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