Market Overview - The U.S. stock market reached new historical highs driven by strong performance in chip stocks and a rotation into value sectors, with the S&P 500 index rising 0.65% to 6966.28 points, marking its highest closing price ever [3] - The labor market showed resilience, with December non-farm payrolls increasing by 50,000, slightly below the expected 73,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, better than the anticipated 4.5% [7] - The S&P 500 index saw a weekly increase of 1.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose over 2.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.9%, indicating a continued recovery in risk appetite [3] Sector Performance - Among the S&P 500 sectors, materials led with a 1.8% increase, followed by utilities with a 1.24% rise, reflecting a broad-based rally [3] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index surged by 2.7%, reaching a record high, with notable gains in storage and equipment stocks, such as Lam Research, which rose 8.7% [4] - Major tech companies also saw stock price increases, with Broadcom up 3.79%, Tesla up 2.11%, and Alphabet's Class A and C shares both rising by 0.96% [4] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations shifted, with traders now estimating a 4.8% probability of a rate cut at the upcoming January meeting, down from 11.6% prior to the employment data release [7] - The two-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 4.6 basis points to 3.534%, while the ten-year yield fell slightly by 1.4 basis points to 4.183%, indicating mixed market reactions to economic data [7] Investment Trends - Investors are increasingly selective, moving from broad bets on AI to more refined stock picking, signaling a transition towards realizing revenue growth from technological advancements [9] - The S&P 500 value index has outperformed the growth index, rising approximately 3% year-to-date compared to the growth index's 1% increase, suggesting a reallocation of funds towards undervalued assets [9] - The current S&P 500 index is trading at about 22 times expected earnings, which, while lower than the previous year's 23 times, remains above the five-year average of 19 times, indicating a cautious outlook as earnings season approaches [9] Commodity Market - International oil prices increased, with light crude oil futures for February rising by $1.36 to $59.12 per barrel, a 2.35% gain [11] - Gold prices continued to show strength, with spot gold rising to $4496.09 per ounce, up 0.5%, and a weekly increase of approximately 3.9% [11] - Silver prices also saw significant gains, with spot silver up 3.81% to $79.93 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rising by 5.92% [12]

本报讯 （记者昌校宇） （编辑 张明富） 电力ETF景顺以中证全指电力公用事业指数为跟踪标的。该指数从中证全指中选取电力公用事业行业股票，当前成份股57 只，全面覆盖火电、水电、风电、核电等多种类型，既能把握电力系统多样化投资机会，也有助于分散单一电力品种的价格波 动风险等。该指数前十大权重股均为各电力细分领域龙头，合计权重52.07%，行业代表性较强，有利于通过龙头效应提升指数 的稳定性。 此外，作为公用事业板块，电力行业受经济周期变化的影响相对较小，长期以来呈现盈利稳健、估值较低的红利特征。 Wind资讯数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，中证全指电力公用事业指数的股息率为2.57%，高于代表A股整体表现的中证全指 （1.96%），具备较好的长期配置价值。同时，过去5年，在完整市场周期中，该指数累计上涨30.30%，表现相对稳健。 2025年以来，AI技术的持续突破带动算力爆发式增长，数据中心等AI基础设施快速扩张，推动电力需求显著提升，电力已 成为数字经济时代的关键生产要素。同时，国内政策对可再生能源的大力支持，有望持续提升电力在终端能源消费中的占比。 在此背景下，景顺长城基金旗下的电力ETF景顺应势 ...

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector, led by artificial intelligence (AI), is on track for a third consecutive year of over 20% gains, but signs of narrowing leadership and increased volatility are emerging, prompting a shift towards defensive stocks to balance risks in tech holdings [1]. Group 1: Defensive Sectors - Traditional defensive sectors such as blue-chip pharmaceuticals, regulated utilities, and essential consumer goods continue to play a significant role in investment strategies [3]. - Quantitative strategist Steven Cress has identified four high-quality defensive stocks that combine durable cash flows, essential services, and key growth metrics, suitable for investment if the tech sector cools down by 2026 [3]. Group 2: Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP.US) - Brookfield Infrastructure operates a global portfolio of high-quality infrastructure assets, generating predictable cash flows largely insulated from economic cycles, supported by long-term contracts linked to inflation [4]. - The company reported a funds from operations (FFO) of $654 million for Q3 2025, with a per unit FFO of $0.83, reflecting a 9% year-over-year growth [5]. - Brookfield aims to distribute 60-70% of its FFO as dividends, targeting a 5-9% annual dividend growth, making it a foundational holding for defensive allocations in 2026 [5][6]. Group 3: Iberdrola (IBDRY.US) - Iberdrola is one of the largest electric utility companies globally, with a strong focus on renewable energy and regulated pricing structures that provide profit visibility [7]. - The company reported a 16.6% year-over-year increase in net profit and a 4.4% growth in adjusted EBITDA for the first nine months of the year, supported by robust cash flow of $15 billion [7]. - Iberdrola offers a solid dividend yield of 3.40%, making it an attractive option for investors seeking stability and gradual growth [8]. Group 4: Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX.US) - Vertex Pharmaceuticals is a biotechnology company known for its leadership in cystic fibrosis and sickle cell disease, providing strong recurring revenue and industry-leading profit growth [9]. - The company has a low price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.16, indicating an attractive valuation relative to its future earnings growth [9]. - Vertex is diversifying its pipeline beyond cystic fibrosis, which supports its strong forward growth indicators, including a projected EBITDA growth rate of nearly 12% [10]. Group 5: Incyte (INCY.US) - Incyte focuses on oncology and inflammatory diseases, with its flagship product Jakafi being a cornerstone of its revenue and cash flow [11]. - The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.20, significantly lower than the industry median, and a PEG ratio of 0.07, indicating strong growth potential at an attractive valuation [11]. - Incyte's recent approval of a treatment option for certain adult follicular lymphomas further supports its growth outlook [11]. Summary - As the technology sector shows signs of fatigue, investors may find better risk-adjusted opportunities in defensive sectors with inherent growth drivers. Brookfield Infrastructure and Iberdrola provide classic, cash flow-driven utility defensive attributes, while Vertex Pharmaceuticals and Incyte enhance the resilience of the healthcare sector [12].

本文为【ESG真心话】系列报道第十八篇。 专题第十八篇 这一次，我们将目光对准上市公司，对准ESG。今日，任何一家企业的竞争力都不再仅仅局限于财务因素。 ESG（Environmental,Social and Governance，即环境、社会和公司治理）方面的非财务因素正在发挥作用，甚至可以说，是决定性的作用。 但在国内，ESG体系的构建，起步较晚。甚至有的企业这方面的意识也才刚刚觉醒。在采访中，一位国企人士依然充满疑惑："我为什么要做ESG？" 近一年多来，不同部门陆续出台与ESG相关的新政和指引，财政部、生态环境部等部门，也在酝酿下一步推动ESG的政策文件。 到2027年，包括财政部在内的国家部委，将陆续出台国内相关企业的可持续披露基本准则、气候相关披露准则。到2030年，国家统一的可持续披露准则体系 要基本建成。 自上而下的推动，也催生着ESG市场的火热。 我们会持续关注ESG的发展，邀请相关人士探讨关于ESG的真问题。 施义：ESG不是"评分游戏" 经济观察报记者 王雅洁 从瑞士到中国，施义一直在关注着ESG（环境、社会和公司治理）投资如何超越字母游戏与分数比拼，真正触及企业运营与社会发展的内核。 ...

随着近来美股市场出现动荡、甲骨文CDS（信用违约掉期）交易激增，甚至连AI领域的内部人士也开始 承认市场有些泡沫，这使得对冲基金等活跃机构当前是"如何、何时、何地"做空市场，成为了不少投资 者关注的焦点。 好在，高盛最新发布的对冲基金仓位报告，涵盖了不少值得深挖的信息。从高盛报告中能得到的核心发 现是：所谓的"聪明钱"目前尚未准备好大举做空AI巨头，但部分机构却已开始瞄准该领域中实力相对 较弱的的一些公司…… 美股空头仓位处于近年来高位 先来看整体市场的情况。尽管年内经历了强劲的涨势，但标普500指数成分股的空头比例中位数仍然高 得惊人。目前的空头头寸相当于总市值的2.4%，处于过去五年的第99百分位——且远高于自1995年以 来的长期平均水平。 公用事业板块成AI泡沫缩影？ 业内人士其实早在今年5月份就注意到美股做空兴趣的回升，但有趣的是，自那时以来，该水平依然略 有上升并保持高位——尽管在7月和10月中旬发生过两次规模虽小但足以令空头感到痛苦的逼空行情。 在不同的指数方面，以科技股为主的纳斯达克100指数目前的空头比例比标普500还要略高，为2.5%。 当然，空头最多盘踞的还是小盘股，罗素2000指数成分 ...

Core Insights - The report from BMO Capital Markets highlights a significant divergence in institutional investor interest in the Canadian energy infrastructure sector over the past month, reflecting struggles in traditional pipeline asset valuations amid macroeconomic headwinds and a market eager to reprice new growth opportunities in the context of energy transition [1][2] Group 1: Key Topics - Pembina Pipeline (PBA.US) is a focal point, with two major discussions surrounding it: the potential sale of KKR & Co's 40% stake in Pembina Gas Infrastructure and the upcoming investment decision for a data center project in partnership with Greenlight, which is expected to have a power capacity of 900 MW [1] - Brookfield Renewable Partners LP (BEP.US) has gained attention due to an $8 billion investment in the U.S. nuclear power sector and strategic partnerships, leading BMO to raise its target price to $36, indicating an implied upside of nearly 18% from the current market price of $30.54 [2] - Alberta's forward electricity prices have surged, with contracts for 2028-2030 reaching $80-90 per MWh, more than doubling from the average of about $43 per MWh since 2025, prompting a reevaluation of local generation asset values [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The pipeline index has underperformed the utility sector by 11 percentage points (-7% vs +4%), indicating investor skepticism regarding the long-term growth prospects of traditional fossil fuel infrastructure, despite stable cash flows in the sector [2] - Storage facilities are entering an expansion phase, with companies like Enbridge (ENB.US) and Canadian Utilities expanding their capacities, prompting a reassessment of the strategic value of these seasonal assets [3] - In the pipeline sector, Pembina is highlighted for its strategic moves, while Keyera (KEY.US) has underperformed by an additional 4 percentage points, raising questions about its fundamentals [3] Group 3: Utility Sector Dynamics - Capital Power has monetized its 375 MW AESO Phase I project allocation, and the market is keen to see how it will engage in larger opportunities [4] - TransAlta is seen as a bellwether for rising electricity prices in Alberta, with institutions requesting updates on its net asset value under optimistic scenarios reflecting future electricity prices and demand from large data centers [4] - Boralex has seen increased investor inquiries as it remains one of the few covered stocks not yet experiencing price increases, leading to efforts to clarify its relative weakness [4]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated earnings year-to-date in 2025 were $1.51 per diluted share, an increase from $1.44 in 2024 [3] - For Q3 2025, consolidated earnings were $0.36 per diluted share compared to $0.23 per diluted share for Q3 2024 [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Year-to-date results at Avista Utilities were $1.63 per diluted share, reflecting a nearly 15% increase over 2024's year-to-date results [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The 2025 wildfire season concluded without the need for public safety power shutoffs, indicating effective risk management and operational preparedness [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to supporting reliable and affordable customer service, community investment, and shareholder value through strategic initiatives [4] - The 2025 all-source RFP aims to secure up to 425 megawatts of new capacity and at least 5 megawatts of demand response, with a positive response from bidders [9][10] - The company is focusing on leveraging federal tax credits for selected projects that need to begin construction by July 2026 [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future opportunities, particularly in engaging with potential large load customers, which are central to long-term planning and investment strategy [10][11] - The company expects capital expenditures of $525 million in 2025 and $3.7 billion from 2025 through 2030, with a growth rate of 6% [13][14] Other Important Information - The company confirmed its consolidated earnings guidance for 2025, with a range of $2.52-$2.72 per diluted share, impacted by valuation losses in other businesses [15][16] - The company plans to submit its wildfire mitigation plan to the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, marking a significant regulatory step [7][8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding the $80 million equity needs for 2026 and potential divestitures - Management indicated that the expectation of up to $80 million for 2026 would not necessitate significant changes such as divesting other businesses [20] Question: Clarification on rate-based outlook and incremental CapEx opportunities - Management stated that additional capital opportunities could help reach the top end of the growth range of 4%-6% but would not exceed that [22] Question: Managing external risks in the upcoming Washington MYRP filing - Management explained that they have the option to refile if external risks like inflation impact the plan, allowing flexibility in their approach [27][28] Question: Mark-to-market values and potential impacts on year-end updates - Management confirmed a quarter lag for some investments, with optimism about potential recovery in clean energy investment values [32] Question: Mix of debt and equity financing for potential incremental CapEx - Management indicated that the base capital plan for this year is $120 million debt and $80 million equity, with incremental capital expected to be roughly 50/50 [33]

Group 1 - UBS economists expect interest rate cuts in the upcoming FOMC meetings in October and December [1] - UBS's foreign exchange team predicts the US dollar will weaken by year-end, with USD/CNY reaching 7.10 [1] - Historically, emerging markets and Chinese stocks have shown higher sensitivity to declines in US real yields and dollar depreciation compared to US stocks [1] Group 2 - UBS's global strategy team has upgraded emerging market stocks to overweight and remains optimistic about Chinese stocks due to relatively low valuations [2] - Chinese stocks are trading at a 30% discount to the MSCI World Index, aligning with historical averages [2] - UBS currently favors A-shares over US-listed Chinese stocks (ADRs) due to the potential impact of retail investor inflows [2]

Group 1 - Yongtai Energy (600157.SH) reported its semi-annual results for 2025, with 22 institutional investors holding a total of 5.88 billion shares, representing 26.46% of the total share capital [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 26.34% of Yongtai Energy, with a 0.25 percentage point increase compared to the previous quarter [1] Group 2 - In the public fund sector, one fund, Southern CSI 500 ETF, increased its holdings by 0.20% compared to the previous period [2] - Two new public funds were disclosed this period, including GF CSI All Share Power ETF and Su Xin CSI 500 Index Enhanced A [2] - Seven public funds were not disclosed in this period, including Guotai CSI Coal ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI Energy ETF [2]

- The report does not contain any quantitative models or factors for analysis