PotlatchDeltic(PCH)
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BofA Downgrades Potlatch to Underperform, Lowers Target to $46 Amid Lumber Weakness
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-17 19:33
Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities downgraded PotlatchDeltic Corp. from Buy to Underperform, reducing its price target to $46 from $49 due to ongoing weakness in the lumber and construction markets [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Lumber prices and construction demand are expected to remain subdued through the winter [1] - Lumber operating rates of 78–80% indicate an oversupplied market, which limits the impact of tariffs or duties on pricing [2] Group 2: Company Valuation - Potlatch's land value supports its long-term asset base, but current valuations are not compelling on an operating cash flow basis due to weak commodity pricing [3] - The new price target of $46 reflects a lower target AFFO multiple of 16–20x, down by two turns from the previous estimate [3] Group 3: Future Catalysts - The closing of Potlatch's planned merger with Rayonier is unlikely to occur before late Q1 or early Q2 2026 [3]
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-11-07 19:40
Timberland and Wood Products Operations - The company owns 2.1 million acres of timberland and operates six sawmills, an industrial-grade plywood mill, and a real estate development business[101]. - In Q3 2025, total harvest volume for the Timberlands segment was 1.9 million tons, slightly lower than Q3 2024, with expectations to harvest 1.7 to 1.8 million tons in Q4 2025[115]. - The Wood Products segment expects to ship between 290 and 300 million board feet of lumber during Q4 2025, driven by increased shipments from the Waldo sawmill[116]. - Total harvest volume decreased by 72,750 tons to 1,880,710 tons in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024[136]. - Timberlands Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 was $41.0 million, an increase of $5.2 million compared to $35.8 million in Q3 2024[137]. - Timberlands Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 increased by $5.2 million compared to Q3 2024, driven by a 16.4% rise in sawlog prices in the Northern region to $128 per ton[138]. - Wood Products segment revenues for Q3 2025 were $165.9 million, up $26.5 million from $139.4 million in Q3 2024, with a nine-month total of $502.3 million, an increase of $60.8 million from $441.6 million[139]. - Average lumber sales price decreased slightly to $396 per MBF in Q3 2025 from $402 per MBF in Q3 2024, while for the first nine months, it increased to $432 per MBF from $419 per MBF[141][146]. - Wood Products Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 improved by $7.1 million to $(2.5) million compared to $(9.6) million in Q3 2024, and for the first nine months, it increased by $27.4 million to $10.9 million from $(16.5) million[143][144]. - Total Northern harvest volume increased by 1.6% in the first nine months of 2025, while Southern region harvest volume declined by 2.8% due to land sales[138]. Real Estate Segment - The Real Estate segment anticipates selling approximately 5,000 rural acres and 46 residential lots in Chenal Valley during Q4 2025[117]. - Real Estate Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 rose by $31.2 million to $63.0 million compared to $31.9 million in Q3 2024, but decreased by $19.1 million for the first nine months to $108.5 million from $127.7 million[148][147]. - Total rural real estate acres sold in Q3 2025 increased significantly, including a 6,500-acre conservation sale and a 6,300-acre recreation tract, with average price per acre at $3,280 compared to $3,727 in Q3 2024[145][148]. Financial Performance - Revenues for Q3 2025 increased by $59.0 million to $314.2 million compared to Q3 2024, driven by higher lumber shipments and significant real estate sales[121]. - Cost of goods sold rose by $29.6 million to $257.1 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to increased fiber and manufacturing costs[122]. - Net income for Q3 2025 was $25.9 million, a significant increase of $22.6 million compared to $3.3 million in Q3 2024[120]. - Total Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 increased by $43.4 million to $89.3 million, attributed to higher lumber shipments and real estate sales[126]. - Year-to-date revenues for the first nine months of 2025 increased by $53.5 million to $857.4 million, supported by higher average lumber prices[127]. - Cost of goods sold decreased by $5.3 million to $716.9 million for the first nine months of 2025, mainly due to fewer rural real estate acres sold[128]. - Net cash from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $155.7 million, an increase of $12.6 million from $143.1 million in 2024[149]. - Cash received from customers rose by $49.8 million, driven by higher lumber prices and shipments, partially offset by lower Southern harvest volume[151]. - Net income for Q3 2025 was $25,893,000, a significant increase from $3,309,000 in Q3 2024[169]. - Total Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 reached $89,263,000, compared to $45,902,000 in Q3 2024, reflecting a growth of 94%[169]. - Cash Available for Distribution (CAD) for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $90,328,000, up from $39,291,000 in the same period of 2024[170]. Capital Expenditures and Debt - The company expects to spend approximately $60.0 million to $65.0 million on capital expenditures during 2025, excluding the final closeout payment for the Waldo sawmill Modernization Project[153]. - Total outstanding long-term debt was $1.0 billion as of September 30, 2025, with $27.5 million classified as current[155]. - The company repurchased 1,511,923 shares of common stock for a total of $60.0 million in the first nine months of 2025[151]. - Cash expenditures for property, plant, and equipment were $39.9 million in the first nine months of 2025, down from $71.5 million in the same period of 2024[151]. - The interest coverage ratio was 7.9, significantly above the required minimum of 3.00 to 1.00 as of September 30, 2025[162]. - Market capitalization increased to $3.15 billion as of September 30, 2025, based on outstanding shares of 77.3 million[164]. - The company has a remaining authorization of $30.0 million for future stock repurchases under the 2022 Repurchase Program[154]. Market Conditions and Economic Outlook - The U.S. housing market saw total privately-owned housing starts exceed 1.3 million units in August 2025, with single-family starts averaging approximately 0.9 million units[112]. - Builder sentiment improved in October 2025, with the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rising to 37, the highest level since April[113]. - The repair and remodel sector, the largest driver of lumber demand, is forecasted to grow through 2026 despite a slowdown in discretionary remodel activity[114]. - The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate improved to approximately 6.3% by the end of September 2025, down 55 basis points from year-end 2024[111]. Merger and Strategic Initiatives - The company entered into a merger agreement with Rayonier, where each PotlatchDeltic stockholder will receive 1.7339 shares of Rayonier common stock for each share of PotlatchDeltic common stock[118]. - Merger-related expenses for Q3 2025 were $1.9 million, associated with the pending merger with Rayonier[123]. Cash Flow and Investments - Net cash from investing activities improved by $37.1 million, with a cash outflow of $45.0 million in 2025 compared to $82.1 million in 2024[149]. - The company reported a net cash outflow from financing activities of $168,740,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $137,534,000 in 2024[170]. Risk Management - The company is exposed to interest rate risk on its variable rate debt instruments and uses interest rate swaps to hedge this exposure[172]. - Market risk exposures have not changed materially since December 31, 2024[173].
PotlatchDeltic: The Idaho Portfolio Is Catching My Eyes (NASDAQ:PCH)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-04 19:29
Group 1 - PotlatchDeltic (PCH) has a well-balanced portfolio that offers strong upside potential to lumber prices while benefiting from the stability of timberlands [1] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities in the lumber industry [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any additional relevant content regarding the company or industry [2][3]
PotlatchDeltic: The Idaho Portfolio Is Catching My Eyes
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-04 19:29
Company Overview - PotlatchDeltic (PCH) possesses a well-balanced portfolio that offers significant upside potential in lumber prices through its manufacturing operations while also benefiting from the stability and predictability of its timberlands [1]. Market Position - PCH is strategically positioned to capitalize on favorable market conditions in the lumber industry, leveraging its dual focus on manufacturing and timberland management [1].
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 18:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $89 million, up from $52 million in Q2 2025, primarily driven by strong real estate activity [5][16] - Adjusted EBITDA for the timberland segment increased from $40 million in Q2 to $41 million in Q3 [16] - The wood products segment reported an EBITDA loss of $2 million in Q3, compared to a positive $2 million in Q2, due to lower lumber prices [8][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Timberlands harvested 1.9 million tons in Q3, with Idaho producing its highest quarterly volume of 411,000 tons [7][16] - The wood products segment shipped 333 million board feet in Q3, an increase of 30 million board feet from Q2 [8][18] - Real estate generated adjusted EBITDA of $63 million in Q3, up from $23 million in Q2, with significant sales in rural real estate [10][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sawlog prices in Idaho declined by 5% per ton compared to Q2, while average southern sawlog prices increased by just over 1% [17] - The overall demand in the U.S. housing market remains constrained, but mortgage rates have fallen to 6.1%, improving affordability [13] - The repair and remodel market is experiencing muted activity due to economic uncertainty, but demand for home improvement is expected to remain stable [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The proposed merger with Rayonier is expected to create significant strategic and financial benefits, including increased scale and operational efficiencies [6][7] - The company is focused on expanding its natural climate solutions portfolio, including opportunities in solar and lithium development [11][12] - Capital allocation remains disciplined, with a focus on executing the strategic plan and maintaining a solid financial position [13][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the long-term fundamentals driving demand in the industry, despite near-term headwinds [15] - Lumber prices are expected to stabilize, supported by a more balanced supply-demand dynamic [10][15] - The company anticipates a decline in total adjusted EBITDA in Q4 due to fewer rural real estate acres sold and seasonally lower harvest volumes [24] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $60 million of common stock in the first half of the year, but share repurchases will be limited prior to the merger closing [12] - The company maintains $388 million in liquidity, including $89 million in cash [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on pulpwood markets in the U.S. South - Management acknowledged recent mill closures affecting pulpwood prices but emphasized their scale and customer relationships allow them to maintain steady log takeaway [25][26] Question: Performance in wood products and cash margins - Management indicated that while there was a loss in wood products, operational execution was strong, and they expect prices to move slightly higher in Q4 [29][30] Question: Factors driving better-than-expected real estate performance - Management noted that larger conservation sales significantly contributed to the outperformance in real estate, with strong demand for rural properties [33] Question: Outlook for supply constraints and pricing - Management mentioned that curtailments in production are expected to support improved pricing in 2026, despite a slow period in Q4 [38][39] Question: Revenue from conservation sales - Management indicated that conservation sales contributed about 25% of total rural revenues, with prices up approximately 10% year-over-year [40][41]
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-04 17:00
Q3 2025 Financial Performance - Total Adjusted EBITDDA reached $89.3 million, driven by strong Real Estate segment performance[10] - Timberlands Adjusted EBITDDA was $41.0 million, reflecting seasonally higher harvest volumes[10, 19] - Wood Products Adjusted EBITDDA was negative $(2.5) million, impacted by lower lumber prices[10] - Real Estate Adjusted EBITDDA significantly increased to $63.1 million due to rural real estate sales and increased Chenal Valley sales[10, 51] Timberlands Segment - Northern Timberlands Adjusted EBITDDA was $21.2 million with sawlog harvest volume at 403 thousand tons and an average price of $128 per ton[30] - Southern Timberlands Adjusted EBITDDA was $19.8 million with sawlog harvest volume at 614 thousand tons and an average price of $47 per ton[36] Wood Products Segment - Lumber shipment volume increased to 333 MMBF, but the average lumber price decreased by 12% to $396 per MBF[10, 44, 46] Real Estate Segment - Rural land sales involved 15,636 acres at an average price of $3,280 per acre[10, 53, 55] - Development segment sold 55 residential lots at an average price of $138,938 per lot and 13 commercial acres at $532,942 per acre[10, 53, 57] Capital Allocation and Liquidity - Cash Available for Distribution (CAD) was $118.5 million for the trailing twelve months[10] - The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $388 million available and a net debt to enterprise value of 23.1%[11]
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-11-03 21:23
Financial Performance - PotlatchDeltic Corporation reported net income of $25.9 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, on revenues of $314.2 million for Q3 2025, compared to net income of $3.3 million, or $0.04 per diluted share, on revenues of $255.1 million for Q3 2024[2][5] - Net income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, reached $25,893,000, a substantial increase from $7,354,000 in the previous quarter, marking a growth of 252.5%[21] - Basic and diluted net income per share for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $0.33, compared to $0.09 in the previous quarter, reflecting a 266.7% increase[21] - Total Adjusted EBITDDA for Q3 2025 was $89.263 million, up 71.5% from $52.025 million in Q2 2025 and 94.5% from $45.902 million in Q3 2024[29] - Operating income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $35,058,000, compared to $13,846,000 in the previous quarter, representing a significant increase of 153.5%[21] Segment Performance - The Real Estate segment generated revenues of $69.6 million, a significant increase of $40.5 million compared to Q2 2025, with Adjusted EBITDDA rising by $40.4 million[10][18] - The Timberlands segment reported revenues of $108.0 million, an increase of $6.3 million from Q2 2025, with Adjusted EBITDDA of $41.0 million[6][8] - The Wood Products segment experienced a revenue decline to $165.9 million, down $5.9 million from Q2 2025, with Adjusted EBITDDA dropping to $(2.5) million[7][9] - Timberlands segment revenues increased to $107,989,000 in Q3 2025 from $101,664,000 in Q2 2025 and $105,132,000 in Q3 2024[27] - Wood Products segment reported revenues of $165,881,000 in Q3 2025, a decrease from $171,819,000 in Q2 2025 but an increase from $139,412,000 in Q3 2024[27] - Real Estate segment revenues surged to $69,582,000 in Q3 2025, significantly up from $29,096,000 in Q2 2025 but down from $38,701,000 in Q3 2024[27] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Net cash from operations for Q3 2025 was $65.7 million, compared to $26.5 million in Q3 2024[5] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $88,773,000 as of September 30, 2025, from $151,551,000 as of December 31, 2024, a decline of 41.5%[23] - Net cash from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $155,710,000, compared to $143,062,000 for the same period in 2024, an increase of 8.8%[25] Debt and Liabilities - Long-term debt increased to $1,007,594,000 as of September 30, 2025, from $935,100,000 as of December 31, 2024, an increase of 7.7%[23] - The company reported a total current liabilities of $130,204,000 as of September 30, 2025, down from $200,278,000 as of December 31, 2024, a decrease of 34.8%[23] Mergers and Acquisitions - The company entered into a definitive merger agreement with Rayonier Inc., expected to close in late Q1 or early Q2 2026, aimed at creating a leading U.S. land resources owner[3][4] - The company incurred merger-related expenses of $1,903,000 in Q3 2025, which impacted net income but were accounted for in the Adjusted Net Income calculation[29] Market Conditions - Average lumber prices decreased by 12% to $396 per thousand board feet in Q3 2025, impacting the Wood Products segment's performance[9] - Interest expense for Q3 2025 was $11,461,000, compared to $10,412,000 in Q2 2025 and $9,635,000 in Q3 2024, indicating rising borrowing costs[29] Dividends - The company declared dividends per share of $0.45 for both the three months ended September 30, 2025, and June 30, 2025, maintaining consistency[21]
PotlatchDeltic Corporation Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
Businesswire· 2025-11-03 21:10
Core Insights - PotlatchDeltic Corporation reported a net income of $25.9 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, on revenues of $314.2 million for Q3 2025 [1] - Adjusted net income, excluding after-tax special items, was $27.8 million, or $0.36 per diluted share for the same quarter [1] - For the quarter ended September 30, 2024, the company reported a net income of $3.3 million, or $0.04 per diluted share, on revenues of $255.1 million [1] Financial Performance - The revenue for Q3 2025 was $314.2 million, showing an increase compared to $255.1 million in the same quarter of the previous year [1] - The adjusted net income for Q3 2025 was $27.8 million, indicating a stronger performance when excluding special items [1] - The diluted earnings per share increased from $0.04 in Q3 2024 to $0.33 in Q3 2025, reflecting significant growth in profitability [1] Special Items - The reported net income for Q3 2025 included after-tax special items related to merger expenses [1] - The adjusted figures provide a clearer view of the company's operational performance by excluding these one-time costs [1]
PotlatchDeltic Q3 2025 Earnings Preview (NASDAQ:PCH)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 21:35
Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content related to a company or industry [1]
Appia Announces Engagement of Marketing Firm ShareholdersIPR LLC, Update for PCH Transaction, and Acceleration of 2025 Warrants
Newsfile· 2025-10-30 12:56
Core Points - Appia Rare Earths & Uranium Corp. has signed a 30-day investor awareness campaign agreement with ShareholdersIPR LLC, which will include a research report and social media dissemination [1][2] - The campaign is set to begin on November 6, 2025, at a cost of USD $2,950, with no shares or options issued to ShareholdersIPR as part of the engagement [2] - Appia is proceeding with a transaction involving Ultra Rare Earth Inc., where Ultra will acquire a 50% interest in Appia Brasil Rare Earths Mineracao Ltda, which holds the PCH Project in Brazil [4][5] - The transaction is expected to close on October 31, 2025, with Ultra investing USD $2 million in a private placement at a price of $0.50 (Cdn) per unit [5] - The company has accelerated the expiry date of certain common share purchase warrants due to the stock closing at a price of at least $0.25 for ten consecutive trading days [6] - Appia holds rights to acquire up to a 70% interest in the PCH Ionic Adsorption Clay Project in Brazil and is also focused on high-grade critical rare earth elements and uranium exploration in various locations [7] - The company has 177 million common shares outstanding and 213.9 million shares fully diluted [8]