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PotlatchDeltic: Why We Bought A Position
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-29 18:14
Group 1 - The Conservative Income Portfolio targets value stocks with high margins of safety and aims to reduce volatility through well-priced options [1][4] - The Enhanced Equity Income Solutions Portfolio is designed to generate yields of 7-9% while minimizing volatility [1][4] - Trapping Value provides Covered Calls and focuses on capital preservation in its investment strategies [3][4] Group 2 - PotlatchDeltic Corporation (NASDAQ: PCH) was previously suggested for shorting by analysts [2] - The analysts at Trapping Value have over 40 years of combined experience in generating options income [4]
2 Wood Stocks Worth Watching Defying Challenging Industry Landscape
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 18:15
Core Viewpoint - The Zacks Building Products – Wood industry is facing challenges due to increased construction costs, high mortgage rates, and potential trade tariffs, which are straining consumer affordability and demand conditions [1][4][5]. Industry Overview - The industry encompasses forest product companies and manufacturers of lumber and wood products used in home construction, repair, and remodeling, including flooring products and timberland REITs [3]. Current Trends - High interest rates and trade policies are significantly impacting the U.S. housing and remodeling market, leading to low buyer urgency and limited residential remodeling activity [4]. - The reimplementation of tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber is expected to increase material costs, with estimates suggesting an additional $10,900 to the cost of constructing a new home due to these tariffs [5]. - The industry has historically experienced volatility in lumber prices, affecting inventory costs and profit margins [6]. Positive Developments - There is a strong need for investments in home performance improvements and modernization of aging housing stock, alongside increased funding for infrastructure and ESG-related projects [2][7]. - Companies are focusing on acquisitions, product innovation, and cost-reduction strategies to enhance operational efficiency and support growth [9]. Industry Performance - The Zacks Building Products – Wood industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Construction sector but has lagged behind the S&P 500 Composite over the past year, gaining 4.2% compared to the sector's 5.5% decline and the S&P 500's 9.8% increase [14]. - The industry's current forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 22.76, higher than the S&P 500's 20.97 and the sector's 17.33 [17]. Company Highlights - Worthington Enterprises, Inc. has been benefiting from operational excellence, strategic innovation, and disciplined growth execution, with an upward estimate revision for 2025 earnings to $2.75 from $2.67 per share [22][23]. - PotlatchDeltic Corporation is experiencing growth driven by its broad-based strength across timberlands and wood products, with an upward estimate revision for 2025 earnings to 83 cents from 81 cents per share [27][28].
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-02 15:46
Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Form 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 or ☐ Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File Number 1-32729 PotlatchDeltic Corporation (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 82-0156045 (Sta ...
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 21:06
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter of 2025 was $63 million, an increase of $10 million from $53 million in the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting improved performance across all business segments [22][3][21] - The Timberlands segment's adjusted EBITDA rose from $34 million in Q4 to $42 million in Q1, driven by higher harvest volumes and increased sawlog prices [23][22] - Wood Products adjusted EBITDA increased from $9 million in Q4 to $12 million in Q1, attributed to slightly higher average lumber prices [25][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Timberlands harvested 1.968 million tons in Q1, exceeding plans, with Idaho sawlog prices increasing by 9% per ton [23][24] - Wood Products shipped 290 million board feet of lumber in Q1, surpassing guidance by 10 million board feet, primarily due to the Waldo sawmill's performance [10][26] - Real Estate segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $23 million in Q1, up from $19 million in Q4, with over 7,000 acres sold at an average price of $3,300 per acre [27][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Lumber markets faced tepid demand, with Southern yellow pine prices remaining firm while SPF prices increased due to tariff discussions [5][4] - U.S. housing starts remained stable at nearly 1.4 million units, with single-family homebuilding starts resilient near 1 million units [16][17] - The multifamily homebuilding segment faced challenges due to restrictive financing and oversupply [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on natural climate solutions, expanding solar option contracts and exploring lithium development opportunities [12][14] - A balanced capital allocation strategy is maintained, with share repurchases prioritized over timberland acquisitions due to stock trading at a discount to net asset value [15][14] - The company anticipates a favorable long-term outlook despite near-term volatility, with expectations for lumber demand to improve as housing affordability constraints ease [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that while the near-term environment is uncertain, long-term fundamentals in the industry remain strong, driven by demographic shifts and housing undersupply [20][21] - The company expects second-quarter total adjusted EBITDA to be lower than Q1 due to seasonally lower harvest volumes and higher forest management costs [33][32] - Management expressed confidence in the Waldo sawmill's contribution to future EBITDA growth, despite current pricing challenges [57][56] Other Important Information - The company has $447 million in liquidity, including $147 million in cash, and plans to refinance $100 million of maturing debt [29][30] - Capital expenditures in Q1 totaled $23 million, with a full-year CapEx forecast of $60 million to $65 million [30][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about demand trends in the new IT channel and R&R channel? - Management described the current lumber market as decent, with the South performing better than the North, and noted that prices are higher in the South [36][38] Question: How would you characterize channel inventories? - Management indicated that the industry operates at relatively low inventory levels, with some northern species experiencing inventory hangover from tariff concerns [41][42] Question: What impact did the recent tariff announcements have on order books? - Management stated that there was no significant change in end consumer demand, although some advanced ordering may have occurred [48][50] Question: What is the expected impact of higher Canadian lumber duties? - Management anticipates that some Canadian competitors may absorb costs, while smaller operators may face challenges, potentially leading to mill closures [51][52] Question: Can you provide insights on cedar log prices? - Management noted that cedar prices are driven by regional demand and that customers have been short on cedar, leading to price increases [93] Question: What is the timeline for solar and lithium opportunities? - Management expects that one or two solar deals may close next year, with option periods typically lasting three to five years [83][84] Question: How does the company reconcile increased production with tepid demand? - Management clarified that increased production does not necessarily indicate falling demand, as the overall market is expected to grow modestly [110]
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total adjusted EBITDA increased by $10 million, rising from $53 million in the fourth quarter to $63 million in the first quarter [24][5][6] - The Timberlands segment's adjusted EBITDA increased from $34 million in the fourth quarter to $42 million in the first quarter [25][24] - Wood Products adjusted EBITDA rose from $9 million in the fourth quarter to $12 million in the first quarter [27][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Timberlands harvested 1.968 million tons in the first quarter, exceeding the Q1 plan by almost 170,000 tons [26][25] - Wood Products shipped 290 million board feet of lumber, which was 10 million board feet over the upper range of Q1 guidance [12][28] - Real Estate segment generated adjusted EBITDA of $23 million in the first quarter compared to $19 million in the fourth quarter [28][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Random Lengths Western SPF composite price rose by $60 during the quarter, while Southern yellow pine markets remained relatively firm [6][7] - U.S. housing starts averaged nearly 1.4 million units, with single-family homebuilding starts near 1 million units [20][19] - Existing home inventory has risen, but sales remain on pace with last year's low levels due to elevated interest rates [21][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on natural climate solutions, including solar and lithium development, with an estimated net present value of around $475 million for solar options [14][15] - The capital allocation strategy remains balanced, with share repurchases prioritized over timberland acquisitions due to the stock trading at a significant discount to net asset value [17][18] - The company anticipates a favorable long-term outlook despite near-term volatility, driven by structural tailwinds in the housing market [22][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the current lumber market is characterized by tepid demand, but expects price risks to be to the upside in the latter half of the year [41][40] - The company plans to harvest between 1.6 million and 1.7 million tons in the second quarter, with expectations for stable Southern sawlog pricing [32][33] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term fundamentals of the industry, despite current economic uncertainties [22][23] Other Important Information - The company has $447 million in liquidity, including $147 million in cash, and plans to refinance $100 million of debt maturing in August [30][24] - Capital expenditures totaled $23 million in the first quarter, with an anticipated full-year spend of $60 million to $65 million [31][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about demand trends in the new IT channel and the R&R channel? - Management described the current market environment for lumber as decent, with the South on firmer footing than the North, and noted that prices are higher in the South [37][38] Question: How would you characterize channel inventories? - Management indicated that the industry is operating at relatively low inventory levels, with some northern species experiencing a slight inventory hangover [42][43] Question: What impact did the recent tariffs have on order books? - Management stated that there was no significant change in end consumer demand, although some advanced ordering may have occurred [51][52] Question: What do you expect regarding Canadian lumber volumes with increased duties? - Management expects a mix of outcomes, with larger competitors potentially absorbing costs while smaller operators may face challenges [55][56] Question: Can you discuss the performance of the Waldo mill? - Management noted that the mill is running well, but pricing has not yet reached desired levels, with expectations for improvement as the year progresses [60][62] Question: What is the outlook for larger real estate transactions? - Management indicated that while smaller transactions are strong, larger transactions may see increased activity as clarity on NCS opportunities improves [66][68] Question: What is the timeline for solar and lithium opportunities? - Management anticipates that one or two deals may close next year, with option periods ranging from three to five years [85][86] Question: Are homebuilders switching to yellow pine due to potential duties? - Management confirmed that substitution has been occurring and is expected to continue as Southern yellow pine production grows [90][91] Question: What is the impact of cedar log prices in Idaho? - Management noted that cedar prices are driven by regional demand and customers being short on cedar [93][94] Question: How will Section 232 tariffs impact timberland valuations? - Management stated that the impact is uncertain and depends on the size and duration of the tariffs [95][94]
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-04-29 15:19
Financial Performance - Total Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $634 million, with a 236% margin[10] - Cash Available for Distribution (CAD) reached $1253 million[10] - The company returned cash through a $142 million annual dividend run rate, yielding 40%[11] - Share repurchases amounted to $41 million at $45 per share[11] Segment Results - Timberlands Adjusted EBITDA was $424 million, with 19 million tons harvested[10] - Wood Products Adjusted EBITDA was $117 million, shipping 290 MMBF of lumber[10] - Real Estate Adjusted EBITDA was $227 million, including the sale of 70K rural acres and 11 residential lots[10] Timberlands - Northern sawlog prices increased by 9% due to higher indexed and cedar sawlog prices[22] - Northern sawlog harvest volume increased by 17000 tons from Q4 2024 to 354000 tons in Q1 2025[27] - Southern sawlog prices decreased, primarily due to a higher mix of smaller diameter logs[22] Wood Products - Average lumber price increased by 2% to $454 per thousand board feet (MBF) in Q1 2025[41] - Lumber shipment volume increased by 7 MMBF from Q4 2024 to 290 MMBF in Q1 2025[47] Real Estate - 7043 rural acres were sold at an average price of $3303 per acre[53, 55] - 11 residential lots were sold at an average price of $112745 per lot[54] Capital Structure - The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $447 million available[11] - Net debt to enterprise value is at 200%[11]
PotlatchDeltic(PCH) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-04-28 20:19
Exhibit 99.1 News Release For immediate release: Contact: Investors Media Wayne Wasechek Anna Torma 509.835.1521 509.835.1558 PotlatchDeltic Corporation Reports First Quarter 2025 Results SPOKANE, Wash., April 28, 2025 (BUSINESS WIRE) – PotlatchDeltic Corporation (Nasdaq: PCH) today reported net income of $25.8 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, on revenues of $268.3 million for the quarter ended March 31, 2025. Net loss was $0.3 million, or $0.00 per diluted share, on revenues of $228.1 million for the q ...
5 Construction Stocks Set to Carve a Beat in Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-04-28 18:11
Core Insights - The U.S. construction sector is experiencing a deceleration, influenced by high borrowing costs, labor shortages, material price volatility, and regulatory complexity [1] Group 1: Sector Performance - Public sector investments in infrastructure and manufacturing have supported growth, while residential remodeling and selective new home construction have posed challenges [1] - The construction sector's total earnings have decreased by 20% year-over-year, with revenues down by 4.2% [2] - Approximately 35.3% of the construction sector's market capitalization on the S&P 500 Index has reported earnings, with 57.1% beating EPS estimates and 42.9% surpassing revenue estimates [2] Group 2: Influencing Factors - Federal spending through the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) has been a significant tailwind, particularly in transportation, water infrastructure, and broadband projects [3] - Industrial construction projects related to the CHIPS Act and Inflation Reduction Act have also contributed to growth, focusing on semiconductor fabs, EV battery plants, and clean energy facilities [3] Group 3: Residential Market Challenges - The residential construction market faces high mortgage rates, seasonal impacts, inflationary pressures, and rising costs, which have negatively affected performance [4] - Homebuilders are under pressure due to increased incentives and lower average selling prices, impacting margins [4] Group 4: Commercial Construction Insights - The commercial construction market shows mixed but resilient performance, with industrial and warehouse projects benefiting from e-commerce and supply chain reshoring [5] - Data center construction is gaining traction due to cloud computing and AI infrastructure needs, while hospitality construction is recovering alongside rebounding travel [5] Group 5: Q1 Earnings Expectations - The construction sector is expected to see a 12.8% decline in earnings for Q1, a decrease from the previous quarter's growth of 1.1% [6] - Revenues are projected to decline by 3.3%, indicating a slowdown from the prior quarter's growth of 1.6% [6] Group 6: Company Highlights - Dream Finders Homes is expected to report a first-quarter EPS of 61 cents, reflecting a 10.9% growth year-over-year [11] - Primoris Services anticipates a first-quarter EPS of 72 cents, representing a 53.2% increase from the previous year [13] - Potlatch is projected to report a first-quarter EPS of 20 cents, improving from break-even earnings a year ago [14] - Martin Marietta Materials expects a first-quarter EPS of $1.92, a slight decline from the previous year [15] - MasTec is likely to report a first-quarter EPS of 34 cents, indicating a significant 361.5% growth year-over-year [16]
Is Potlatch (PCH) Outperforming Other Construction Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-04-18 14:45
For those looking to find strong Construction stocks, it is prudent to search for companies in the group that are outperforming their peers. Potlatch (PCH) is a stock that can certainly grab the attention of many investors, but do its recent returns compare favorably to the sector as a whole? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Construction peers, we might be able to answer that question.Potlatch is one of 90 companies in the Construction group. The Construction gro ...
Potlatch (PCH) Upgraded to Strong Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Potlatch (PCH) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][4]. Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Potlatch for the fiscal year ending December 2025 is projected at $0.80 per share, reflecting a substantial increase of 185.7% compared to the previous year [9]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Potlatch has seen a 1% increase, indicating a trend of rising earnings estimates [9]. Zacks Rating System - The Zacks rating system is based solely on a company's earnings picture, tracking EPS estimates from sell-side analysts, which helps investors make informed decisions [2][3]. - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988, showcasing the effectiveness of the system [8]. Market Implications - The upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 positions Potlatch in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting a strong potential for price appreciation in the near term due to favorable earnings estimate revisions [11]. - Rising earnings estimates and the corresponding rating upgrade imply an improvement in Potlatch's underlying business, which could lead to increased investor interest and stock price appreciation [6].