Note: Ralph Lauren's FY'25 concluded in March 2025. Photo Illustration by Budrul Chukrut/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images Ralph Lauren (NYSE: RL) is set to disclose its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, May 22, 2025, with analysts estimating earnings of $2.40 per share on $1.65 billion in revenue. This would indicate a 45% year- over-year increase in earnings and a 5% rise in sales compared to last year's figures of $1.41 per share and $1.57 billion ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project Ralph Lauren (RL) will report quarterly earnings of $1.96 per share, a 14.6% increase year over year, with revenues expected to reach $1.63 billion, reflecting a 4.1% increase from the same quarter last year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.2% lower over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net revenues- Retail' at $1.01 billion, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 6.7% [5] - 'Net revenues- Wholesale' are projected to reach $585.58 million, indicating a 0.9% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Geographic Net revenues- Other- Licensing' is expected to be $35.47 million, reflecting a decrease of 3.4% year over year [5] Geographic Revenue Estimates - 'Geographic Net revenues- North America' are anticipated to be $685.16 million, a 2.6% increase from the year-ago quarter [6] - 'Geographic Net revenues- Europe' are projected at $493.24 million, suggesting a 5.1% year-over-year increase [6] - 'Geographic Net revenues- Asia' are expected to reach $420.67 million, indicating a 6.7% increase year over year [6] Stock Performance - Ralph Lauren shares have returned 32.9% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 13.1% change [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to mirror overall market performance in the near future [7]

Core Viewpoint - Ralph Lauren Corporation is expected to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on May 22, with revenue estimates of $1.63 billion, reflecting a 4.1% year-over-year growth, and earnings estimates of $1.96 per share, indicating a 14.6% increase from the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The consensus estimate for revenues indicates a growth of 4.1% from the prior year's quarter [1] - The earnings consensus has increased by a penny in the last 30 days, suggesting positive sentiment [1] - In the last reported quarter, the company's earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.6%, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise averaging 6.5% [2] Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Ralph Lauren's performance is likely to benefit from a strong brand presence, diverse product portfolio, and expanding e-commerce capabilities [2] - The company added 1.9 million consumers to its direct-to-consumer business in the preceding quarter, indicating effective customer acquisition strategies [3] - Management anticipates revenue growth of nearly 6-7% on a constant currency (cc) basis for the fiscal fourth quarter, with operating margin expected to expand by 120-140 basis points [4] Group 3: Currency Impact - The company faces challenges from international exposure, particularly due to fluctuating foreign exchange rates, with the stronger U.S. dollar expected to reduce revenues by approximately 100 to 150 basis points for fiscal 2025 [6][7] - In the fourth quarter, foreign exchange is projected to cut revenues by about 300 basis points, impacting both top-line and margin performance [7] Group 4: Valuation and Market Performance - Ralph Lauren's stock is trading at a premium valuation of 19.56X on a forward 12-month basis, compared to the industry average of 12.67X [9] - The stock has risen 29.1% in the past six months, contrasting with a 3.8% decline in the industry [9] Group 5: Earnings Prediction - The model predicts a likely earnings beat for Ralph Lauren, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +2.72% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [8]

Group 1: Stock Performance - Ralph Lauren (RL) closed at $240.37, reflecting a +1.34% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.44% [1] - Over the past month, Ralph Lauren's shares have increased by 30.08%, surpassing the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 13.89% and the S&P 500's gain of 10.62% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - Ralph Lauren is set to release its earnings report on May 22, 2025, with projected earnings of $1.96 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 14.62% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $1.63 billion, which represents a 4.05% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Group 3: Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Ralph Lauren reflect shifting business dynamics, with upward revisions indicating analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations and profit generation [3] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 0.24% over the past month, and Ralph Lauren currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Ralph Lauren has a Forward P/E ratio of 17.45, which is higher than the industry average of 13.55, suggesting that the company is trading at a premium [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.27, compared to the average PEG ratio of 1.55 for the Textile - Apparel industry [7] Group 5: Industry Context - The Textile - Apparel industry is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 179, placing it in the bottom 28% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Viewpoint - Ralph Lauren Corporation has maintained a strong market position through brand elevation, a diversified growth strategy, and its "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate" plan [1] Stock Performance - Ralph Lauren's stock has increased by 44.5% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's return of 12.5% and the Zacks Textile - Apparel industry's decline of 12.5% [2] - The current stock price is $237.19, which is an 18% discount from its 52-week high of $289.33, while being 52.1% above its 52-week low [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company's performance is bolstered by its "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate Plan" and digital initiatives, focusing on brand elevation, business expansion, and strengthening its presence in key cities [4] - Ralph Lauren is enhancing its global lifestyle brands by offering premium products that align with evolving consumer preferences, utilizing strategies such as product elevation and disciplined inventory management [5] - Investments in marketing, digital growth, and ecosystem expansion in major cities are ongoing, with direct-to-consumer channels performing well, including a 14% increase in digital sales in Europe and a 29% increase in Asia [6] Channel Performance - Strong gains are observed across retail and wholesale channels, supported by solid reorder trends, brand momentum, and full-price sell-through [7] Financial Outlook - Adjusted operating expenses rose by 10% year-over-year in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with management expecting marketing expenses to be about 7% of sales in fiscal 2025 [11] - The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 17.25, higher than the industry average of 10.98 and its median of 16.39, indicating a premium valuation [13] Growth Projections - Analysts project sales growth of 5.8% and earnings per share (EPS) growth of 16.6% year-over-year for fiscal 2025, with further increases of 4.1% in sales and 13% in EPS for fiscal 2026 [15]

Core Viewpoint - The rise of counterfeit goods is significantly reshaping the consumer market, with brands like Adidas and Nike facing overwhelming competition from fake products, leading to a decline in their market presence [1][3]. Group 1: Impact on Brands - Counterfeit sales of brands like Adidas and Nike have reportedly surpassed those of genuine products, indicating a market dominated by fake goods [3]. - Champion, once a popular brand, has seen a drastic decline in popularity due to the prevalence of counterfeit products, with consumers expressing dissatisfaction over quality and price [5][7]. - The high volume of counterfeit Champion products, including variations in logos, has contributed to its negative reputation [9][11]. Group 2: Specific Brand Analysis - Arc'teryx, known for its high-end outdoor gear, faces a counterfeit crisis, particularly with its popular jackets, where an estimated 80% of products in the market are fake [13][14]. - Ralph Lauren, a staple for middle-class consumers, is heavily affected by counterfeit goods, with many imitations featuring altered logos that can mislead consumers [18][20]. - Kappa, once a leading sports brand, has seen its reputation decline due to the influx of counterfeit products, which has confused consumers and diminished brand value [25][27].

拉夫·劳伦首席执行官帕特里斯·卢韦特表示，在职场中面临重大问题时，果断地解决这些问题对员工的职业发展 至关重要。图片来源：Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty Images 如今执掌一家《财富》美国500强公司绝非易事，但适度的刚柔并济才是长久经营之道。 对拉夫·劳伦首席执行官帕特里斯·卢韦特而言，这意味着在提供负面反馈时，必须开门见山直奔主题。 卢韦特在LinkedIn《This is Working》播客中表示："若员工存在重大问题，应该直截了当地指出问题。 有时人们需要当头棒喝，因为温言软语未必能点醒梦中人。" 这位60岁的掌门人表示，对于屡次错过关键节点等严重问题，必须态度严厉，但对于诸如条理性欠佳等 非原则性瑕疵，他会先着重肯定员工的优势，然后再提供改进建议。 卢韦特表示："要以创造发展机遇作为出发点向员工提供反馈。"卢韦特自2017年起执掌该时尚品牌。他 补充道，这是他在宝洁（Procter & Gamble）近三十载职业生涯中领悟到的管理智慧。 他说道："你必须把大部分时间投入到自己擅长的事情上。比如将80%的时间投入优势领域，20%的时 间用于处理机会。如果将所有时 ...

Company Performance - Ralph Lauren's stock closed at $224.51, reflecting a -0.2% change compared to the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.63% [1] - Over the past month, Ralph Lauren shares have depreciated by 4.82%, while the Consumer Discretionary sector gained 1.14% and the S&P 500 lost 0.7% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The company's earnings report is scheduled for May 22, 2025, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of $1.96, indicating a 14.62% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is expected to reach $1.63 billion, reflecting a 4.05% increase compared to the year-ago quarter [2] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Ralph Lauren are being monitored, as positive revisions indicate optimism about the company's business and profitability [3] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 0.24% in the past month, and Ralph Lauren currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - Ralph Lauren is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 16.55, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 12.45 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.2, while the average PEG ratio for the Textile - Apparel industry is 1.48 [7] Industry Context - The Textile - Apparel industry is part of the Consumer Discretionary sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 158, placing it in the bottom 37% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Group 1 - Albert Anthony is a Croatian-American media personality and analyst for financial media platforms, focusing on dividend stocks and general market commentary [1] - The author has covered over 200 companies across multiple sectors and has gained over 1,000 followers since 2023 [1] - Albert Anthony has experience as an analyst in the IT sector and has worked with a top 10 financial firm in the US [1] Group 2 - The author plans to launch a new book in 2025 on Amazon discussing his stock rating methodology [1] - Albert Anthony & Co. is a sole proprietorship registered in Austin, Texas [1] - The author does not provide personalized financial advice and does not hold material positions in any rated stocks at the time of rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Ralph Lauren Corporation is currently overvalued with a forward P/E ratio of 15.45X compared to the industry average of 10.29X, despite a significant stock price increase of 31.4% over the past year while the industry declined by 18.4% [1][3] Company Performance - Ralph Lauren is executing a strategic transformation that is positively impacting stock performance, focusing on brand elevation and premiumization, which has led to increased demand across core and emerging categories [3][4] - The company is making progress under its "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate" plan, aiming to streamline operations and enhance customer experience, with expectations to exceed sales and profit targets [8] Digital and Omnichannel Strategy - Investments in digital transformation and direct-to-consumer initiatives have strengthened market presence, with nearly two million new customers added to the DTC business in Q3 of fiscal 2025, primarily from younger, high-value consumers [7][9] - Ralph Lauren's social media presence is expanding, utilizing platforms like TikTok and Instagram to enhance customer engagement through digital storytelling and personalized experiences [10] Financial Outlook - For fiscal 2025, Ralph Lauren expects revenue growth of 6-7% year-over-year, an increase from the prior estimate of 3-4%, with operating margins projected to expand by 120-160 basis points [11][12] - The company anticipates a revenue growth of nearly 6-7% for the fiscal fourth quarter, with operating margins expected to expand due to gross margin improvements [13] Challenges - Despite strong operational momentum, Ralph Lauren faces challenges from currency volatility, particularly due to a strengthening U.S. dollar, which is expected to negatively impact revenues by 100 to 150 basis points in fiscal 2025 [14][15] - The company is also navigating inflationary pressures, shifting consumer spending behaviors, and supply chain disruptions, which have led to increased operating expenses [16] Investment Rationale - Ralph Lauren is viewed as a compelling investment due to its differentiated product offerings, strong brand positioning, and strategic investments that have driven increased consumer demand [18] - While the stock trades at a premium, the company's solid execution and robust financial outlook justify investor confidence, although current investors are advised to hold while new investors may wait for a better entry point [19]