Key Takeaways AMZN is featured among four retail picks poised to benefit from robust holiday shopping.EXPE has seen its earnings estimate rise over 60 days amid strong holiday spending projections.BOOT shows improved earnings estimates as online sales are expected to fuel holiday growth.The U.S. holiday season has begun, with this week set to witness the biggest shopping days of the year. Although inflationary pressures have been weighing on consumer spending for some time, the holiday season is expected to ...

Third quarter 2025 worldwide net sales totaled $270 million Third quarter operating loss of $22 million and operating margin of (8)%; constant currency adjusted operating loss of $15 million and constant currency adjusted operating margin of (6)% Completes balance sheet transformation, significantly strengthens financial position subsequent to quarter end Reiterates full year 2025 financial guidance RICHARDSON, Texas, Nov. 13, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fossil Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL) today announced financ ...

Core Insights - The Real Real is experiencing significant momentum in the luxury resale market, with a projected Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of $2 billion for the first time in its history, indicating a market shift towards resale [2][3] - A notable statistic reveals that 58% of consumers now prefer the secondary market over the primary market, highlighting a change in consumer shopping behavior [3] Company Strategy - The company operates 19 physical locations, which facilitate consignment by reducing friction for consigners and enhancing customer engagement [4][5] - Plans for expansion include opening 1 to 3 new stores annually, while maintaining a digital-first approach [7] Market Dynamics - The total addressable market (TAM) in the U.S. is estimated at $200 billion, representing significant potential for growth in the luxury resale sector [9] - The intersection of luxury and value is driving consumer willingness to spend, particularly on high-value items such as fine jewelry, watches, and handbags [10] Technological Advancements - The Real Real has leveraged technology and AI to streamline the processing of items, improving efficiency and reducing costs per unit [12][13] - The introduction of the AI tool "Athena" has enabled faster item processing, enhancing operational capabilities [13]

Core Insights - The RealReal reported strong third-quarter results, with gross merchandise value (GMV) increasing by 20% to $520 million and revenue rising by 17% to $174 million, leading to an upward revision of full-year GMV guidance to over $2.1 billion [2][3] Sales Performance - The company’s internal report highlighted fine jewelry as the fastest-growing category, with first-time watch buyers increasing by 46% and searches for wedding dresses rising by 247% year-over-year [4] - Handbag searches for fair-condition items grew by 32%, indicating a shift towards practicality and value retention among consumers [4] Consumer Behavior - Economic conditions are influencing consumer behavior, with nearly 70% of Americans living paycheck to paycheck and 25% struggling to pay bills recently [5] - Almost half of U.S. shoppers now purchase secondhand items as frequently as new ones, suggesting that resale has become a regular purchasing behavior rather than a niche choice [5] Operational Efficiency - The company’s growth strategy emphasizes supply quality and operational discipline, with a revised compensation plan that increased average supply value per luxury manager by 12% [7] - The AI-enabled intake system, Athena, managed 27% of all items during the quarter and is projected to handle 40% by year-end, automating authentication and listing processes [8] Financial Metrics - Gross profit rose by 16% to $129 million, supported by higher-value sales and automation gains, while consignment margins improved to 89% and direct-sales margins rose to 21% [11] - Operating expenses decreased by 6% as a share of revenue, reflecting continued cost discipline, with the company ending the quarter with $123 million in cash and reducing debt by $86 million since early 2024 [11] Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter, The RealReal expects GMV between $585 million and $595 million, representing an approximate 17% increase, and revenue between $188 million and $191 million, up roughly 16% [12] - Management anticipates that efficiency improvements and sustained consumer demand for secondhand luxury will support steady growth into 2026 [12] Customer Engagement - Users who both buy and consign, referred to as "Flywheelers," are two to three times more valuable than single-side participants, driving higher transaction frequency and long-term loyalty [9] - The RealReal's high-value pop-up events generated over $2.6 million in supply within a few days, indicating strong engagement with luxury consignors [10]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record quarterly GMV of $520 million, representing a 20% increase year-over-year [5][14] - Revenue for Q3 was $174 million, up 17% compared to the previous year, with consignment revenue increasing by 15% [14][15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $9.3 million, or 5.4% of total revenue, reflecting a 380 basis point increase year-over-year [5][16] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $14 million, a $12 million improvement year-over-year [16][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Direct revenue increased by 47% year-over-year, accounting for 13% of total revenue in Q3 [14][15] - Average order value rose to $584, a 12% increase from the previous year [15] - The take rate decreased by 70 basis points year-over-year to 37.9% due to a higher mix of direct revenue [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a significant shift in consumer behavior, with 58% of shoppers preferring the secondary market and 47% considering resale value before purchasing new items [4][5] - The active buyer base reached over 1 million, marking a new all-time high with a 7% year-over-year increase [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three strategic pillars: growth playbook, operational efficiency, and customer service [6][10] - Plans to expand retail locations by adding one to three stores per year, with a total addressable market of over $200 billion in the U.S. [7][9] - The introduction of AI-driven tools like Smart Sales and Athena aims to enhance supply acquisition and operational efficiency [6][10][57] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a full-year GMV of over $2 billion, driven by strong market demand and operational improvements [4][19] - The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting GMV in the range of $2.10 billion to $2.11 billion, reflecting a 15% increase at the midpoint [18][19] - Management highlighted the importance of building trust with customers and enhancing the resale experience as key to future growth [10][62] Other Important Information - The company has reduced total indebtedness by over $86 million since the beginning of 2024, reinforcing its commitment to deleveraging [17] - The proprietary AI-enabled product intake process, Athena, is expected to touch 30%-40% of all items by year-end, improving efficiency and reducing costs [10][57] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confidence in Q4 GMV growth guidance - Management noted strong momentum from sales, marketing, and retail efforts, with early signs of success in referral and affiliate programs [23][24] Question: Guardrails for next year's growth rates - Management indicated a medium-term growth rate expectation of high single digits to low double digits, with potential for higher growth in the short term [26] Question: Update on DropShip initiatives - Management stated that this year was focused on testing and learning, with plans for meaningful contributions from DropShip in the medium term [30] Question: Revenue growth drivers - Management emphasized that revenue growth is primarily driven by increased supply coming through the door rather than processing speed [32] Question: Competitive dynamics in the resale market - Management highlighted the company's market leadership and strategic advantages in expertise, data, and customer trust [38][39] Question: Q4 EBITDA expectations - Management expects continued operating efficiencies and leverage in operations and tech, driven by AI initiatives [41] Question: Marketing investment and efficiency - Management confirmed increased marketing investment to drive growth, with a focus on balancing growth and profitability [81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's second quarter revenue growth was 14%, exceeding the high single-digit outlook, with total adjusted gross margin expanding 70 basis points to 67.7% [18][19] - Adjusted operating margin increased 210 basis points to 13.5%, with adjusted operating income rising by 34% [19][20] - The company ended the period with $1.6 billion in cash and short-term investments and $1.2 billion in total debt, with net inventory increasing 12% year-over-year, aligning with revenue growth [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core product sales, representing over 70% of the business, grew mid-teens, driven by strong performance in various categories including sweaters and jackets [11][12] - High-potential categories such as women's apparel, outerwear, and handbags saw strong double-digit growth, outpacing total company growth [11][12] - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) segment delivered strong comp growth across regions, with global comps increasing 13% [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Asia led growth with sales up mid-teens, particularly in China, which grew more than 30% [14][22] - North America revenue increased 13%, with retail comps also up 13%, driven by strong performance in both direct-to-consumer and wholesale businesses [20][21] - Europe revenue increased 15%, with retail comps up 10%, reflecting ongoing brand strength [21][22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company introduced the "Next Great Chapter Drive Plan," aiming to capture a larger share of the $400 billion premium and luxury market, currently holding less than 2% market share [4][5] - Strategic initiatives include elevating the lifestyle brand, driving core products, and expanding in key cities [5][13] - The company is focused on investing in brand-building activations and enhancing consumer engagement through innovative tools like the AI styling assistant [15][33] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains cautious about the second half of the year due to potential consumer headwinds and macroeconomic volatility, but is confident in capturing market share opportunities [6][18] - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of 5%-7%, reflecting better-than-expected performance in the first half [24][25] - Management emphasized the resilience of the core consumer and the ongoing demand for the brand, despite macroeconomic pressures [32][34] Other Important Information - The company plans to exit 90-100 wholesale doors in fiscal 2026, with a focus on elevating brand presence and reducing off-price sales [21][22] - Recent marketing investments normalized at 7.8% of sales, down from 8.7% the previous year, with expectations to maintain around 7.5% for fiscal 2026 [19][20] - The company is committed to leveraging its strong balance sheet for strategic growth investments and shareholder returns, having repurchased $313 million in shares this fiscal year to date [23][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Updated outlook for consumer health and macro assumptions - Management noted strong momentum in business and no significant changes in consumer behavior, maintaining a focus on full-price customer recruitment [31][32] Question: Pricing strategy and ability to mitigate tariffs - The company continues to leverage pricing as a growth driver and expects to mitigate tariff impacts through strategic actions [37][40] Question: Engagement strategies for North America value-oriented consumers - Management highlighted flexibility in pricing architecture and targeted marketing to appeal to value-sensitive consumers during the holiday season [42][45] Question: AUR growth and unit sales - The company has seen consistent AUR growth and is focusing on unit growth in targeted areas, while navigating macro pressures [48][50] Question: North America wholesale trajectory - Management expressed confidence in the underlying quality growth of the wholesale business, despite planned reductions in off-price sales [52][56] Question: Performance in outlet versus full-price stores - Consistent growth was observed across full-price and outlet stores, with a focus on expanding full-price locations while consolidating outlet presence [58][59]

This presentation contains certain "forward -looking statements" based on management's current expectations. Forward -looking stat ements include, but are not limited to, the statements under "Financial Outlook," statements regarding long term performance, statements regarding the Company's capital deployment plans, including anticipated annual dividend rates and share repurchase plans, and statements that can be identified by the use of forward -looking terminology such as "may," "can," "if," "continue," " ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q3 2025 was $667.9 million, a 6.9% increase compared to Q3 2024. Excluding Kurt Geiger, revenue decreased by 14.8% [9] - Wholesale revenue was $442.7 million, down 10.7% compared to Q3 2024, with a 19% decrease when excluding Kurt Geiger [9] - Direct-to-consumer revenue increased by 76.6% to $221.5 million, with a 1.5% increase when excluding Kurt Geiger [9] - Net income attributable to Steve Madden Ltd. was $30.4 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to $64.8 million, or $0.91 per diluted share in Q3 2024 [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wholesale footwear revenue was $266.5 million, a 10.9% decrease from Q3 2024, or down 16.7% excluding Kurt Geiger [9] - Wholesale accessories and apparel revenue was $176.2 million, down 10.3% compared to the prior year, or down 22.5% excluding Kurt Geiger [9] - Direct-to-consumer gross margin was 61.9%, down from 64% in the comparable period in 2024 due to tariff pressures and the addition of Kurt Geiger [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comp sales for Kurt Geiger London were up mid-teens in Q3 2025, indicating strong consumer response [6] - The company operated 397 retail stores, including 99 outlets, and 7 e-commerce websites as of the end of the quarter [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on deepening consumer connections through compelling products and effective marketing, particularly for the Steve Madden brand [5] - Strategic pricing actions and sourcing initiatives are being implemented to mitigate gross margin pressure [5] - The integration of Kurt Geiger is on track, with progress on revenue synergies and cost savings opportunities [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges posed by new tariffs but expressed confidence that the worst is behind them [4] - There is optimism for improved financial performance in Q4 2025, with expectations of revenue growth of 27%-30% compared to Q4 2024 [14] - Management believes they have the brands and strategy to drive sustainable revenue and earnings growth over the long term [8] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per share, payable on December 26, 2025 [14] - Inventory at the end of the quarter was $476 million, compared to $268.7 million in Q3 2024 [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the fashion developing this fall and what are the inventory levels in the wholesale channel? - Management noted strong performance in the core Steve Madden women's shoe business, particularly in boots, and expressed confidence in spring prospects [17][18] Question: What is the expected revenue contribution from Kurt Geiger in Q4? - Management expects Kurt Geiger's revenue contribution to be between $182 million and $187 million, with over 70% coming from DTC [20][21] Question: How is the margin structure expected to recover? - Management believes all margin erosion is recoverable over time, with expectations to return to pre-tariff margins eventually [64][65] Question: What is the performance outlook for wholesale channels? - Strongest performance is seen in regular price channels, while value price channels have faced more pressure [85] Question: How is the international growth outlook for Steve Madden and Kurt Geiger? - Steve Madden is expected to see high single-digit revenue growth internationally, while Kurt Geiger is anticipated to achieve strong double-digit growth [73]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q3 2025 was $667.9 million, a 6.9% increase compared to Q3 2024. Excluding the newly acquired Kurt Geiger, consolidated revenue decreased by 14.8% [9] - Net income attributable to Steve Madden Ltd. for the quarter was $30.4 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, compared to $64.8 million, or $0.91 per diluted share in Q3 2024 [12] - Operating income for the quarter was $46.3 million, or 6.9% of revenue, compared to $85.4 million, or 13.7% of revenue in the comparable period in the prior year [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Wholesale revenue was $442.7 million, down 10.7% compared to Q3 2024. Excluding Kurt Geiger, wholesale revenue decreased by 19% [9] - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue increased by 76.6% to $221.5 million. Excluding Kurt Geiger, DTC revenue increased by 1.5% [9] - Wholesale footwear revenue was $266.5 million, a 10.9% decrease from the comparable period in 2024, or down 16.7% excluding Kurt Geiger [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comp sales for the new brand, Kurt Geiger London, were up mid-teens in Q3 2025, indicating strong consumer response [6] - The company ended the quarter with 397 company-operated retail stores, including 99 outlets, and 7 e-commerce websites [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on deepening consumer connections through compelling products and effective marketing, particularly for the Steve Madden brand [5] - The acquisition integration of Kurt Geiger is on track, with progress on revenue synergies and cost savings opportunities [7] - The company plans to open a handful of stores in the U.S. for Kurt Geiger next year and is working on expanding its international presence [28] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in Q3 due to new tariffs on imports but expressed confidence that the worst is behind them [4] - The company expects revenue to increase by 27%-30% in Q4 2025 compared to Q4 2024, with earnings per share projected to be in the range of $0.41-$0.46 [13][14] - Management believes that the underlying consumer demand for their brands remains strong despite tariff-related challenges [5] Other Important Information - The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.21 per share, payable on December 26, 2025 [13] - Inventory at the end of the quarter was $476 million, compared to $268.7 million in Q3 2024 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the fashion developing this fall and what are the inventory levels in the wholesale channel? - Management noted strong performance in the core Steve Madden women's shoe business, particularly in boots, and expressed confidence in spring prospects [16][18] Question: What is the expected revenue contribution from Kurt Geiger in Q4? - Management expects Kurt Geiger's revenue contribution to be between $182 million and $187 million, with over 70% coming from DTC [19][20] Question: How is the handbag business performing and what are the expectations for apparel? - The handbag business is expected to stabilize as demand improves, while apparel has been a growth story with good sell-throughs in key accounts [46][47] Question: What is the outlook for wholesale performance by channel? - Strongest performance is seen in regular price channels, while value price channels like off-price and mass have faced more pressure [82] Question: How is the company addressing margin recovery? - Management believes that all margin erosion is recoverable over time, with expectations to return to pre-tariff margins in the core business [64]

Core Viewpoint - Fossil (UK) Global Services Ltd, a subsidiary of Fossil Group, Inc., is set to hold a Plan Meeting on November 6, 2025, to discuss a proposed restructuring plan related to its US $150,000,000 7.00% Senior Notes due November 30, 2026, following a court order [1][8]. Restructuring Plan Details - The restructuring plan is proposed under Part 26A of the Companies Act 2006 and aims to address the financial obligations of the company [1]. - An Explanatory Statement detailing the terms of the Restructuring Plan is available online for Plan Creditors [2][3]. Meeting Logistics - The Plan Meeting will take place at Weil, Gotshal & Manges LLP in London and will also be accessible via video conference [4]. - Registration for the meeting is required, with a deadline set for November 3, 2025 [5][6]. Voting Procedures - Plan Creditors who wish to vote must have their Notes validly placed on DTC's Automated Tender Offer Program system by the Record Date of October 27, 2025 [4]. - Those who have not voted are encouraged to appoint a proxy by the Voting Instructions Deadline of November 3, 2025 [5]. Additional Information - If the Restructuring Plan is approved, a Sanction Hearing will be held on November 10, 2025, to finalize the plan [8]. - Retail holders of the Notes can contact a designated Retail Advocate for assistance regarding the voting procedure [7].