Red Robin Gourmet Burgers(RRGB)
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红罗宾汉堡(RRGB.US)扭亏翱翔! 自2019年以来首次实现盈利 股价盘后暴涨超55%
智通财经网· 2025-05-30 04:11
Core Viewpoint - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers has successfully turned a profit in Q1 of FY2025, marking its first quarterly profit since 2019, despite facing challenges such as tariff pressures and a downward revision of its revenue guidance for FY2025 [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a GAAP net profit of $1.2 million in Q1 FY2025, a significant improvement from a net loss of $9.5 million in the same period last year [1][3]. - Adjusted EBITDA under NON-GAAP standards doubled compared to the previous year, reaching $27.9 million, up from $13.4 million [1]. - Total sales increased by 1% year-over-year to $392.35 million, exceeding market expectations [1]. Operational Insights - The company benefited from a 6.8% net menu price increase and significantly lower labor costs, which contributed to an adjusted earnings per share of $0.20, compared to a loss of $0.73 in the prior year [1]. - The management has revised its FY2025 revenue guidance down to a range of $1.21 billion to $1.23 billion, from a previous estimate of $1.225 billion to $1.25 billion [2]. Strategic Initiatives - Red Robin is focused on its "North Star" performance revival plan, which emphasizes ingredient upgrades, service experience, and cost control [2]. - The CEO, David Pace, highlighted the ongoing journey of brand revival and the significant market opportunities ahead [1].
Compared to Estimates, Red Robin (RRGB) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 23:06
Group 1 - Red Robin reported revenue of $392.35 million for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a 1% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +1.28% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $387.4 million [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $0.19, a significant improvement from -$0.80 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +133.33% compared to the consensus estimate of -$0.57 [1] - Over the past month, Red Robin's shares have returned +14.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +6.7% change, with a current Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3] Group 2 - The total number of Red Robin restaurants is 491, slightly below the average estimate of 497 based on three analysts [4] - Comparable restaurant revenue showed a year-over-year change of 3.1%, matching the average estimate from three analysts [4] - Restaurant revenue was reported at $385.81 million, exceeding the three-analyst average estimate of $376.61 million, with a year-over-year change of +1.9% [4]
Red Robin (RRGB) Surpasses Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-29 22:16
Core Viewpoint - Red Robin (RRGB) reported quarterly earnings of $0.19 per share, significantly beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.57 per share, and showing improvement from a loss of $0.80 per share a year ago [1] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $392.35 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.28% and showing an increase from $388.54 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Red Robin has exceeded consensus revenue estimates four times, but has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once [2] Stock Performance - Red Robin shares have declined approximately 39.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's slight gain of 0.1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.29 on revenues of $291.24 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is -$1.88 on revenues of $1.23 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Red Robin is mixed, and future changes in estimates will be closely monitored following the recent earnings report [6][7] Industry Context - The Retail - Restaurants industry, to which Red Robin belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Comparatively, Darden Restaurants (DRI), another player in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.92 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.2% [9]
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers(RRGB) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 21:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $392.4 million, compared to $388.5 million in Q1 2024, reflecting an increase [11] - Comparable restaurant revenue increased by 3.1%, driven by a 6.8% increase in net menu price, despite a 3.5% decline in guest traffic [12] - Restaurant level operating profit as a percentage of restaurant revenue was 14.3%, an increase of 330 basis points compared to Q1 2024 [12] - Adjusted EBITDA was $27.9 million, an increase of $14.5 million versus Q1 2024, attributed to cost efficiency gains and menu price increases [13] - General and administrative costs rose to $27 million from $25.8 million in Q1 2024, while selling expenses decreased to $9.4 million from $13.5 million [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The revamped Red Robin Royalty program had approximately 15.3 million members at the end of Q1 2025, contributing to increased guest engagement [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates annual comparable restaurant sales to remain generally unchanged at approximately 0% for 2025 [15] - Guest traffic trends are expected to continue at a decline of approximately 4% for the remainder of the year [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain improvements in guest experience while implementing strategies for sustainable growth in restaurant traffic and profitability [20] - Key priorities include retaining operational execution, returning to sustainable traffic growth, strengthening financial position by reducing debt, and reinvesting in restaurant facilities [21][22] - The company is focused on enhancing marketing strategies to restore Red Robin as a preferred dining option [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the company's progress but acknowledged the need for further improvements in guest experience [19] - The company is cautious about the broader macro and consumer environment, which has led to a more conservative outlook for the remainder of the year [15][16] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 2025 with $24.2 million in cash and cash equivalents, $9.1 million in restricted cash, and $35 million available under its revolving line of credit [14] - The company plans to refinance a term loan maturing in Q1 2027 and has made progress in reducing debt [14][76] Q&A Session Summary Question: Profitability in Q1 and guidance for the year - Management noted that efficiency gains in labor contributed significantly to Q1 profitability, despite anticipated pressure from tariffs and traffic declines [30][32] Question: Menu price contribution and expectations for the rest of the year - Management expects menu price contribution to decline throughout the year, with projected check growth of about 4% in Q2 and Q3, and 2% in Q4 [37] Question: Loyalty program performance and future opportunities - Management indicated that the loyalty program is performing well, with significant opportunities for further growth and engagement [39][40] Question: Traffic trends and promotional performance - Management confirmed that traffic trends are consistent with previous expectations, and the Hot Honey promotion exceeded expectations [46][48] Question: Restaurant closures and timing - The company expects to close 10 to 15 restaurants throughout the year, with closures spread evenly over the remaining months [49] Question: Selling expenses and media spend outlook - Management expects selling expenses to remain around $30 million for the year, with some variability quarter to quarter [71]
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers(RRGB) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 21:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $392.4 million, an increase from $388.5 million in Q1 2024, primarily driven by a 3.1% increase in comparable restaurant revenue and a 6.8% increase in net menu price, despite a 3.5% decline in guest traffic [10][11] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $27.9 million, an increase of $14.5 million compared to Q1 2024, attributed to cost efficiency gains and menu price increases [12] - Restaurant level operating profit as a percentage of restaurant revenue was 14.3%, an increase of 330 basis points compared to the same quarter last year [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The revamped Red Robin Royalty program had approximately 15.3 million members at the end of Q1 2025, contributing to increased guest engagement and frequency of visits [8] - The company has focused on operational efficiency through its managing partner program, which incentivizes restaurant leaders to achieve strong financial results [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates comparable restaurant sales to remain generally unchanged at approximately 0% for the year, with expectations of a decline of about 3% in Q2 2025 due to headwinds from the loyalty program changes [14][16] - Guest traffic was down 3.5% in Q1 2025, with expectations of a continued decline of approximately 4% for the remainder of the year [32][34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen its financial position by reducing debt and increasing free cash flow generation, allowing for greater flexibility in investment opportunities [22] - Key priorities for 2025 include retaining operational improvements, returning to sustainable traffic growth, and reinvesting in restaurant facilities and atmosphere [19][20] - The company is focused on enhancing guest engagement and marketing strategies to restore Red Robin as a preferred dining option [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the company's progress but acknowledged the need for continued improvement in guest experience and traffic growth [18][19] - The broader macroeconomic environment and consumer trends have led to a more cautious outlook for the remainder of the year, prompting a reduction in revenue guidance [14][15] Other Important Information - The company ended Q1 2025 with $24.2 million in cash and cash equivalents, $9.1 million in restricted cash, and $35 million available under its revolving line of credit [13] - The company plans to close 10 to 15 restaurants by the end of the year, with closures expected to be evenly spread throughout the year [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: Profitability in Q1 and maintaining guidance - Management noted that efficiency gains in labor contributed significantly to Q1 profitability, despite anticipated pressure from tariffs and traffic declines [30][31] Question: Menu price contribution throughout the year - Management expects menu price contribution to decline throughout the year, projecting about 4% check growth in Q2, 4% in Q3, and 2% in Q4 [35] Question: Loyalty program effectiveness - Management confirmed that the loyalty program is performing well, with significant opportunities for further growth and engagement [39] Question: Traffic trends and promotions - Management indicated that traffic trends are consistent with previous expectations, and the Hot Honey promotion has exceeded expectations [46][47] Question: Selling expenses and media spend outlook - Management expects selling expenses to remain around $30 million for the year, with some variability quarter to quarter [68] Question: Refinancing debt outlook - Management is optimistic about refinancing opportunities following strong Q1 results, but no specific timeline was provided [72][73]
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers(RRGB) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-29 20:35
Financial Performance - Total revenues for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 were $392.4 million, an increase of $3.8 million compared to the same period last year[75]. - Net income for the first quarter was $1.2 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $9.5 million in the prior year, representing a $10.7 million increase[75]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $27.9 million, reflecting a 108.2% increase from $13.4 million in the same quarter last year[75]. - Restaurant revenue rose by 1.9% to $385.8 million in Q1 fiscal 2025 from $378.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2024, with total restaurant operating costs decreasing by 1.9%[98]. - Restaurant level operating profit increased by 32.5% to $55.0 million in Q1 fiscal 2025, with a margin of 14.3% compared to 11.0% in Q1 fiscal 2024[102]. - Net income for Q1 fiscal 2025 was $1.25 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $9.46 million in Q1 fiscal 2024[99]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 fiscal 2025 was $27.9 million, up from $13.4 million in Q1 fiscal 2024[100]. Revenue Sources - Comparable restaurant revenue increased by 3.1%, with a total increase of $11.5 million, while non-comparable and closed restaurant revenue decreased by $4.3 million[74][75]. - Franchise revenue decreased by 16.0% to $4.5 million, primarily due to reduced franchisee contributions for marketing programs[84]. Cost Management - Labor costs as a percentage of restaurant revenue decreased to 37.1%, down from 39.3% in the same quarter last year, indicating improved efficiency[88]. - Cost of sales as a percentage of restaurant revenue decreased by 1.0% to 22.8%, driven by menu price increases and vendor contributions[86]. - Selling expenses decreased by 30.8% to $9.4 million in Q1 fiscal 2025 from $13.5 million in Q1 fiscal 2024, representing 2.4% of total revenues[95]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents decreased by $6.1 million to $33.3 million as of April 20, 2025, with total liquidity of approximately $59.2 million[103]. - Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $5.8 million to $19.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2025 compared to $13.7 million in Q1 fiscal 2024[105]. - Capital expenditures totaled $11.97 million in Q1 fiscal 2025, up from $8.25 million in Q1 fiscal 2024[107]. - Net cash flows used in financing activities decreased to $19.3 million in Q1 fiscal 2025 from $21.9 million in Q1 fiscal 2024[108]. Debt and Financing - As of April 20, 2025, the Company had outstanding borrowings of $164.8 million under the Credit Facility, with $35.0 million of available borrowing capacity[113]. - The Second Amendment to the Credit Agreement increased aggregate revolving commitments by $15.0 million to $40.0 million through the third quarter of 2025[111]. - The Company is subject to customary covenants under its Credit Facility, including a net total leverage ratio covenant, and was in compliance as of April 20, 2025[114]. - A 1.0% change in the effective interest rate on $171.7 million of borrowings would result in a pre-tax interest expense fluctuation of $1.7 million annually[124]. - Interest expense increased by $0.6 million to $8.1 million in Q1 fiscal 2025, with a weighted average interest rate of 14.1% compared to 13.2% in Q1 fiscal 2024[96]. Shareholder Actions - The Company has repurchased a total of 1,088,588 shares at an average price of $15.18 per share for an aggregate amount of $16.52 million since the share repurchase program began[116]. Operational Changes - The total number of restaurants decreased from 505 to 491, with 401 company-owned and 90 franchised locations as of April 20, 2025[76][77]. - Average weekly net sales volumes in company-owned restaurants increased by 4.1% to $59,483 compared to $57,139 in the prior year[82]. Risk Management - The Company continues to monitor interest rate risk and may use interest rate swaps to manage exposure to interest rate changes[125]. - A 1.0% increase in food and beverage costs would negatively impact cost of sales by approximately $2.9 million on an annualized basis[126]. Seasonal Trends - The business is subject to seasonal fluctuations, with historically higher sales during spring, summer, and winter holiday seasons[117]. Accounting and Compliance - The Company has no significant changes in critical accounting estimates since the last Annual Report[119]. - The Company operates with a working capital deficit, utilizing operating cash flows to fund capital expenditures and debt repayment[115].
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers(RRGB) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-29 20:10
Exhibit 99.1 Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Reports Results for the Fiscal First Quarter Ended April 20, 2025 Englewood, CO – May 29, 2025 – Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) ("Red Robin" or the "Company"), a full-service restaurant chain serving an innovative selection of high-quality gourmet burgers in a family-friendly atmosphere, today reported financial results for the fiscal first quarter ended April 20, 2025. Highlights for the Fiscal First Quarter of 2025, Compared to the Fiscal First ...
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Reports Results for the Fiscal First Quarter Ended April 20, 2025
Prnewswire· 2025-05-29 20:05
Core Viewpoint - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the fiscal first quarter of 2025, showing increases in both sales and profits compared to the same period in 2024, while outlining strategic priorities for future growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - Total revenues for the first quarter of 2025 were $392.4 million, an increase of $3.8 million from $388.5 million in the same quarter of 2024 [4][7]. - Restaurant revenues rose to $385.8 million, up from $378.6 million year-over-year [4][7]. - Net income was $1.2 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $9.5 million in the previous year, marking a $10.7 million increase [4][7]. - Adjusted EBITDA reached $27.9 million, reflecting a 108.2% increase from $13.4 million in the prior year [4][7]. Operational Highlights - Comparable restaurant revenue increased by 3.1%, with guest traffic declining by 3.5% and menu prices rising by 6.8% [16]. - Restaurant Level Operating Profit was $55.0 million, with a margin of 14.3%, compared to $41.5 million and 11.0% margin in the previous year [4][26]. Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of April 20, 2025, the company had outstanding borrowings of $171.7 million, down by $17.8 million from the end of fiscal 2024 [5]. - Liquidity stood at approximately $59.2 million, including cash and cash equivalents [5]. Strategic Priorities - The company aims to focus on four key priorities: enhancing operational execution, driving sustainable traffic growth, strengthening financial position through debt reduction, and reinvesting in restaurant facilities [3]. Outlook for Fiscal 2025 - Updated guidance for total revenue is projected between $1.21 billion and $1.23 billion, with Adjusted EBITDA expected to remain in the range of $60 million to $65 million [9]. - The company anticipates a decline in comparable restaurant sales of approximately 3% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 due to the non-recurrence of benefits from a loyalty program [9].
Red Robin Gears Up for Q1 Earnings: Key Factors to Note
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. is expected to report a loss in its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with significant challenges from high expenses and a tough macroeconomic environment [1][2]. Q1 Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate anticipates a loss of 57 cents per share, an improvement from an adjusted loss of 80 cents per share in the prior-year quarter [2]. - Revenue estimates are set at $387.4 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 0.3% [2]. Factors Impacting Performance - The company's performance is likely to be negatively impacted by high expenses related to sales-building initiatives, including advertising and technical upgrades [2]. - Increased costs from remodeling, restaurant maintenance, and staffing are also expected to contribute to the financial pressures [2]. - Dismal traffic remains a concern for the company [2]. Positive Initiatives - Red Robin's focus on loyalty programs and strategic initiatives aimed at driving growth may have positively influenced its performance [3]. - The company has made significant investments in food quality and hospitality, leading to improved guest satisfaction [4]. - The introduction of flat-top grills and menu upgrades for over 85% of its offerings have enhanced the gourmet burger experience [4]. Revenue Predictions - Restaurant revenues for Q1 fiscal 2025 are predicted to decrease by 1.7% year over year to $372.2 million, while same-store sales are expected to increase by 3.7% year over year [5]. Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model indicates that Red Robin is unlikely to achieve an earnings beat this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -2.35% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [6].
Gear Up for Red Robin (RRGB) Q1 Earnings: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-26 14:15
Core Insights - Red Robin (RRGB) is projected to report a quarterly loss of $0.57 per share, reflecting a 28.8% increase in losses compared to the same period last year [1] - Revenue estimates for the quarter are forecasted at $387.4 million, indicating a slight decrease of 0.3% year over year [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 3.6% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions to the stock [3] Revenue and Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for restaurant revenue is $376.61 million, showing a decline of 0.5% from the previous year [5] - Analysts expect the total number of restaurants to reach 497, down from 505 year-over-year [5] - The number of franchised restaurants is estimated to be 93, slightly up from 92 in the previous year [5] - The number of company-owned restaurants is projected to be 405, down from 413 in the same quarter last year [6] Stock Performance - Red Robin shares have increased by 15.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 8.2% [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the overall market [7]