Shake Shack(SHAK)
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Shake Shack Surges on Earnings Beat: Are Shares a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-03 06:45
Core Insights - Shake Shack's shares increased by 5% following a strong Q3 earnings report, with revenue of $367.4 million, a 15.9% year-over-year increase, and net income of $12.5 million [1][2] - The company opened 13 company-owned stores and seven licensed locations in the quarter, aiming to expand its store count to 1,500 by 2026 [3] Financial Performance - Shake Shack's earnings growth exceeded analysts' estimates by 16.1%, while revenue surpassed expectations by 1% [2] - The restaurant-level profit margin improved to 22.8% [1] - The company's market capitalization is $4 billion, with a current price of $96.51 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 94, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 31 [3][9] Growth Strategy - Shake Shack plans to open 90 to 110 new company-owned and licensed locations in fiscal 2026 as part of its growth strategy [3] - The company has consistently grown same-store sales for 19 consecutive quarters, despite raising prices [7] Industry Challenges - The fast-casual dining sector is facing macroeconomic challenges, with consumer spending on fast food plateauing and expected to remain stagnant [5] - Shake Shack anticipates mid-teens beef inflation for the second half of 2025, which could impact its cost structure [6] - Rising unemployment rates and potential economic slowdowns may pose risks to Shake Shack's performance [8] Valuation Concerns - Shake Shack's PEG ratio stands at 2.21, indicating potential overvaluation compared to its earnings growth rate of 16.1% year-over-year [10][12] - The company's valuation metrics suggest that it is priced for much higher growth than it is currently achieving, raising concerns about downside risk [12]
Jim Cramer Discusses Shake Shack’s Surprising Strength in a Weak Restaurant Group
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-03 03:10
Core Insights - Shake Shack Inc. has recently shown resilience in the restaurant sector, reporting better-than-expected same shack sales and a revenue beat, leading to a stock rally of nearly 2% [1] - The stock experienced a significant decline from over $140 to just under $90 before the recent positive earnings report [1] - Despite not providing perfect guidance for the current quarter, the results were sufficient to boost investor confidence [1] Company Overview - Shake Shack operates a chain of restaurants that serve a variety of food items including burgers, chicken, hot dogs, fries, shakes, frozen custard, and beverages [2]
Shake Shack returns to profit in Q3 2025
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 15:49
Core Insights - Shake Shack reported a net income of $12.5 million for Q3 2025, a significant turnaround from a net loss of $10.21 million in Q3 2024 [1] - Total revenue for the quarter reached $367.4 million, reflecting a 15.9% increase from $316.92 million year-over-year [1] - System-wide sales increased by 15.4% to $571.5 million compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Financial Performance - Operating income for Q3 2025 was $18.5 million, compared to an operating loss of $18 million in the same quarter of the previous year [2] - For the full year 2025, Shake Shack projects total revenue of $1.45 billion, with licensing revenue expected to be between $54.1 million and $54.5 million [2] - The company forecasts net income for 2025 to be between $50 million and $60 million [2] Strategic Initiatives - Shake Shack's CEO highlighted progress on strategic priorities, emphasizing improvements in guest service, operational efficiency, and culinary innovation [3] - The company plans to open its first location in Hawaii in 2027 and aims to establish 15 new locations in Vietnam by 2035 [3]
Shake Shack: Robust Fundamentals And Attractive Valuation Should Heat Up Momentum (SHAK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 14:55
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential and diversification opportunities [1] Group 1: Investment Focus - The company has diversified its investments across various sectors including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels, indicating a strategic approach to portfolio management [1] - The entry into the US market in 2020 reflects a growing interest in international investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like banks, hotels, and logistics [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines since 2014 suggests a shift in investment preferences among local investors, moving towards more diversified financial products [1] - The trend of using stock markets for portfolio diversification rather than relying solely on traditional savings methods indicates a broader acceptance of equity investments among investors [1]
Shake Shack: Robust Fundamentals And Attractive Valuation Should Heat Up Momentum
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 14:55
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential and diversification opportunities [1] Investment Focus - The company has diversified its investments across various sectors including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels, indicating a strategic approach to portfolio management [1] - The entry into the US market in 2020 reflects a growing interest in international investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like banks, hotels, and logistics [1] Market Trends - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines since 2014 suggests a shift in investment preferences among local investors, moving towards more diversified financial products [1] - The trend of using platforms like Seeking Alpha for market analysis indicates a growing reliance on analytical tools for informed investment decisions [1]
Shake Shack grows traffic with ad spend, operational improvements
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-31 09:42
Core Insights - Shake Shack has increased its general and administrative budget allocation towards marketing, particularly for promotions like the $1 drinks and Dubai Chocolate Shake [3][4] - The company reported a significant increase in G&A expenses from $35.7 million in Q3 2024 to $44.4 million in Q3 2025, with approximately $8.7 million attributed to marketing efforts [4] - The $1 drinks promotion led to a 50% increase in app downloads, indicating a successful strategy to drive consumer engagement [4][5] Financial Performance - Shake Shack achieved a 4.9% same-store sales growth in Q3 2025, supported by a 1.3% increase in traffic [8] - The increase in traffic is linked to the brand's advertising spending, operational improvements, and a strong value proposition [8] Market Performance - Geographic performance varied, with Southern, Midwestern, Western, and Southern regions showing same-store sales growth of 7% or more, while the Northeastern region saw only a 1% increase and New York City-area sales dropped by 1% [6] - Florida, Denver, Houston, and San Francisco are highlighted as strong markets for Shake Shack, with plans for expansion in these areas due to recent traffic increases [7] Customer Engagement - The company plans to launch a new loyalty program next year, which is expected to enhance customer spending and frequency of visits [5] - Customers who engage with the app tend to increase their frequency of visits to nearly four times a year [5]
Shake Shack Stock: Port In The Storm In A Battered Sector (Upgrade) (NYSE:SHAK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 08:34
Group 1 - The Q3 earnings season has been challenging for businesses directly affected by weaker consumer spending, particularly in the restaurant sector [1] - The article highlights the experience of Gary Alexander, who has a background in technology companies and has been contributing to Seeking Alpha since 2017 [1] Group 2 - No specific financial data or performance metrics were provided in the articles [2][3]
Shake Shack: Port In The Storm In A Battered Sector (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 08:34
Core Insights - The Q3 earnings season has been challenging for businesses directly affected by declining consumer spending, particularly in the restaurant sector [1] Industry Summary - The restaurant industry is experiencing negative impacts due to weaker consumer spending, which is reflected in the earnings reports during the current earnings cycle [1] Company Summary - No specific companies are mentioned in the provided content, but the overall sentiment indicates a cautious outlook for companies in the restaurant space amid the current economic conditions [1]
Shake Shack outlines 2026 plan for 55–60 new units and expects supply chain savings to offset beef inflation (NYSE:SHAK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-30 21:17
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]
Shake Shack(SHAK) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 20:08
Sales Performance - Same-Shack sales for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 4.9% year-over-year, driven by a 3.6% increase in price mix and a 1.3% increase in guest traffic [108]. - Average weekly sales were $78,000 for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025, compared to $76,000 for the same period last year, primarily due to higher menu prices [109]. - System-wide sales for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 15.4% to $571.5 million compared to the same period last year [110]. - Digital sales for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 19.1% to $124.2 million, representing 35.2% of Shack sales [111]. - Total revenue for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 was $367.4 million, a 15.9% increase from $316.9 million in the same period last year [114]. - Shack sales for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 15.7% to $352.8 million, primarily due to the opening of 49 new Company-operated Shacks [116]. New Openings and Operations - The company opened 13 new Company-operated Shacks and seven new licensed Shacks during the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 [112]. - As of September 24, 2025, there were 630 Shacks in operation, including 359 Company-operated and 271 licensed Shacks [112]. - The Company opened 49 new Company-operated Shacks between September 25, 2024, and September 24, 2025, contributing significantly to revenue growth [118]. - The Company experienced a closure of nine Company-operated Shacks in fiscal 2024, which partially offset some of the revenue increases from new openings [118]. Financial Performance - Net income attributable to Shake Shack Inc. for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 was $12.5 million, compared to a net loss of $10.2 million in the same period last year [114]. - Shack sales for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 12.9% to $1,005.9 million compared to the same period last year, driven by the opening of 49 new Company-operated Shacks [118]. - Licensing revenue for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 21.1% to $14.6 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 17.8% to $38.9 million, primarily due to the opening of 29 net new licensed Shacks [120]. - Net income for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025, was $13.7 million, compared to a loss of $11.1 million in the same period of 2024 [165]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025, was $54.1 million, representing a margin of 14.7%, compared to $45.8 million and a margin of 14.4% in 2024 [165][167]. Expenses and Costs - Food and paper costs for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 20.2% to $103.5 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 13.8% to $286.1 million, largely due to the opening of new Shacks [122]. - Labor and related expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 2.9% to $88.0 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 3.6% to $262.8 million, influenced by the opening of new Shacks [125]. - Other operating expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 18.0% to $53.8 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 16.3% to $152.8 million, primarily due to increased transaction costs and marketing spend [128]. - Occupancy and related expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 14.3% to $27.0 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 11.9% to $77.2 million, mainly due to the opening of new Shacks [131]. - General and administrative expenses for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 24.3% to $44.4 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 16.4% to $125.7 million, driven by increased marketing investments and team costs [134]. - Depreciation and amortization expense for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased 5.3% to $27.1 million, and for the thirty-nine weeks, it increased 4.6% to $80.2 million, primarily due to new Shack openings [137]. Cash Flow and Financing - As of September 24, 2025, the company maintained a cash and cash equivalents balance of $357.8 million, an increase from $310.9 million at the end of the prior year [177][183]. - For the thirty-nine weeks ended September 24, 2025, net cash provided by operating activities was $159.2 million, up from $126.1 million for the same period in 2024, representing an increase of 26.2% [184]. - Net cash used in investing activities for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 24, 2025, was $106.7 million, compared to $31.4 million in the prior year, primarily due to the absence of $69.4 million in proceeds from maturities of held-to-maturity marketable securities [185]. - Net cash used in financing activities increased to $15.5 million for the thirty-nine weeks ended September 24, 2025, from $8.5 million in the prior year, mainly due to higher withholding taxes related to net settled equity awards [186]. - The company believes existing cash and cash equivalents, along with cash from operations, will be sufficient to meet its obligations for at least the next 12 months [181]. Tax and Income - Income tax expense for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 was $7.4 million, reflecting a significant increase of $11.3 million compared to the same period last year [149]. - The effective income tax rate for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 was 35.2%, up from 25.9% in the same period last year, primarily due to higher state income tax expenses [149]. - Net income attributable to non-controlling interests for the thirteen weeks ended September 24, 2025 increased to $1.2 million, compared to a loss of $0.9 million in the prior year [153]. Debt and Obligations - The company has obligations totaling $248.5 million under the Tax Receivable Agreement as of September 24, 2025, contingent upon future taxable income generation [180]. - The company entered into a Revolving Credit Facility allowing borrowings up to $50.0 million, with the potential to increase by an additional $100.0 million, subject to certain conditions [188]. - As of September 24, 2025, the company was in compliance with all covenants under the Revolving Credit Facility [192]. - The company issued $250.0 million aggregate principal amount of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028, which will mature on March 1, 2028, unless converted or redeemed earlier [187].