Core Insights - Shake Shack's CFO, Katherine Fogertey, will leave the company on March 4, 2026, transitioning to a senior advisor role immediately to assist in the handover process [1] - The company is initiating a search for a new CFO and has established an Office of the CFO to ensure stability during the transition [2][3] - Shake Shack has reiterated its financial guidance for Q4 2025 and the full year, projecting total revenue growth of 16% year-on-year for 2025 [4][5][6] Financial Guidance - For Q4 2025, Shake Shack forecasts total revenue between $406 million and $412 million, with licensing revenue expected to be between $15.4 million and $15.7 million [5] - Same-Shack sales are anticipated to increase by a low single-digit percentage compared to the same period last year [5] - For the full year 2025, total revenue is projected at approximately $1.45 billion, with licensing revenue expected between $54.1 million and $54.5 million [5][6] Strategic Goals - The company maintains its guidance for adjusted earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) in the range of $210 million to $215 million for fiscal year 2025 [6] - Shake Shack's three-year targets remain unchanged, aiming for total revenue growth and system-wide unit expansion in the low-teens percentage range [6]

Core Insights - Mane Global Capital Management LP fully exited its position in Shake Shack during the third quarter, selling 570,507 shares for a net change of $80.21 million [1][2][9] Company Overview - Shake Shack Inc. operates as a leading fast-casual restaurant with a multi-channel growth strategy, combining company-owned and licensed locations to expand globally [6] - The company has over 12,800 employees and operates restaurants in the U.S. and internationally [6] - Shake Shack's revenue primarily comes from hamburgers, chicken sandwiches, hot dogs, fries, shakes, frozen custard, and beverages [8] Financial Metrics - As of November 25, 2025, Shake Shack's share price was $86.99, down 33% over the past year [3][4] - The company's market capitalization is $3.5 billion, with a trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue of $1.37 billion and a net income of $42.60 million [4] Performance Analysis - Shake Shack's share price has been volatile, fluctuating between $75 and $140 in the past year, with a nearly 40% decline since its 52-week high in August [9][10] - The company has grown its same-store sales for 19 consecutive quarters and increased its store count by 14% to 630 locations in the last quarter [10][11] - Management believes it can quadruple the number of company-owned stores over the long term [11] Investment Perspective - Shake Shack is trading at 18 times cash from operations, which could rise to 22 to 25 times free cash flow if it ceased expansion plans [11][12] - The company has achieved annual sales growth of 17% over the last five years and 15% this year, indicating potential as a growth stock at current prices [12]

Core Insights - Katherine Fogertey has resigned as CFO of Shake Shack, effective immediately, and will serve as a senior advisor until March 4 to ensure a smooth transition [1][2] - The company operates and franchises over 645 restaurants and will begin searching for a new CFO while forming an "Office of the CFO" with leaders from various financial departments [2][3] - CEO Rob Lynch acknowledged Fogertey's positive impact on the company, highlighting her contributions to strategic and financial growth [3] Financial Performance and Guidance - Shake Shack has experienced same-store sales growth every quarter since Fogertey joined in 2021 [2] - The company reiterated its guidance for Q4 and fiscal year 2025, expecting revenue between $406 million and $412 million, with licensing revenue between $15.4 million and $15.7 million [4][5] - Same-store sales growth is anticipated to be in the low single digits, with a restaurant-level operating profit margin projected at 23.3% to 23.8% [5]

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of "value hooks" like the Big Shack burger has blurred the price boundaries within the restaurant industry [1] Group 1 - The concept of "value hooks" is influencing pricing strategies in the restaurant sector [1]

Core Insights - Shake Shack's Chief Financial Officer Katie Fogertey will leave the company on March 4, transitioning to an advisory role immediately while a search for a permanent replacement begins [1][2] - The company is establishing an "Office of the CFO" to oversee financial operations during the transition, consisting of experienced leaders in various financial disciplines [2] - Under Fogertey's leadership since 2021, Shake Shack expanded significantly despite challenges such as the COVID-19 pandemic and inflation [2][3] Financial Performance - Shake Shack has seen modest same-store sales growth in the first half of 2025, with a stronger 4.9% increase in Q3, contrasting with declines faced by many fast casual brands [4] - The brand has increased advertising spending and shifted towards digital value deals to attract consumers, contributing to its same-store sales growth [3] Executive Changes - Shake Shack has undergone numerous executive changes since appointing Rob Lynch as CEO, including hiring a new chief operations officer and creating new marketing positions [5] - Recent appointments include Jamie Griffin as chief people officer and the first chief brand officer [6]

Core Insights - Madison Small Cap Fund experienced a challenging third quarter in 2025, with the fund down 1.3%, underperforming its benchmarks due to stock selection and a speculative market environment [1] Fund Performance - The Madison Small Cap Fund's performance was significantly impacted by a broad-based decline in the small-cap index [1] - The fund's top five holdings are highlighted as key picks for 2025 [1] Shake Shack Inc. Analysis - Shake Shack Inc. (NYSE: SHAK) reported a one-month return of -8.87% and a 52-week loss of 31.96%, closing at $83.70 per share with a market capitalization of $3.573 billion on November 20, 2025 [2] - The fund noted that Shake Shack's performance was affected by aggressive analyst expectations and concerns about the job market, which could impact future customer traffic [3] - Despite the challenges, the long-term outlook for Shake Shack remains positive, with potential for improved store-level margins [3] Financial Performance - Shake Shack Inc. reported total revenue of $367.4 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.9% [4] - The company is not among the top 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with a decrease in hedge fund holdings from 39 to 34 [4]

Core Insights - Shake Shack's stock has declined over 40% since its peak in July, primarily due to slower-than-expected growth reported in Q2 2025, with same-store sales growth dropping to 1.8% from 4% year-over-year [1][8] - The company has shown signs of recovery in Q3 2025, with same-store sales growth accelerating to 4.9% and revenue reaching $367.4 million, a 16% increase year-over-year [8] - Analysts suggest that the current dip in Shake Shack's stock presents a buying opportunity, with a forward EV/EBITDA multiple of 23x deemed justifiable given the company's growth prospects [9] Company Overview - Shake Shack originated as a hot dog cart in Madison Square Park in 2004 and has since expanded to over 630 locations globally, with 405 in the US and 225 in international markets [3] - The menu includes a variety of burgers, chicken sandwiches, hot dogs, and milkshakes, catering to diverse customer preferences [2] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 results showed strong revenue but disappointing same-store sales growth, leading to a significant stock price drop [1] - In contrast, Q3 2025 results indicated a recovery, with revenue exceeding forecasts and a non-GAAP EPS of 36 cents, beating expectations by 5 cents [8] Analyst Sentiment - Loop Capital analyst Alton Stump highlights Shake Shack's strong near-term growth prospects, suggesting that recent concerns over slowing comparable sales growth are overblown [9] - The stock currently has a Hold consensus rating, with 7 Buys, 11 Holds, and 2 Sells, and an average target price indicating a potential 32% gain over the next year [9]

Core Viewpoint - Loop Capital upgraded Shake Shack Inc. from Hold to Buy and raised its price target to $127 from $98, indicating a positive outlook on the stock following a significant selloff [1] Group 1: Company Fundamentals - The upgrade reflects Shake Shack's strong fundamentals, including unit growth in the low double-digit to mid-teen range [2] - The company is noted for industry-leading store-level returns and expectations for stable to modestly positive same-store sales over the next 12 to 18 months [2] Group 2: Market Performance - Shake Shack shares have declined more than 30% since July, which Loop Capital views as an attractive buying opportunity [1] - The new price target implies roughly 23x the firm's 2026 EV/EBITDA estimate, justified by Shake Shack's growth trajectory and profitability outlook [2]

Core Insights - Shake Shack (SHAK) is attempting a recovery after a significant decline in stock price, down 36% from its 52-week high of $144.65 reached on July 10 [1][5] - Hedgeye has initiated a short position on Shake Shack, predicting a potential 20% downside due to concerns over declining food quality and a shift towards a quick-service restaurant model [2] Company Overview - Shake Shack is a fast-casual dining company known for its premium burgers and related menu items, with a market capitalization of approximately $4 billion [4] - The company operates hundreds of locations both domestically and internationally [4] Financial Performance - In Q3, Shake Shack reported total revenue of $367.4 million, reflecting a nearly 16% year-over-year increase [7] - Same-store sales increased nearly 5% year-over-year, alleviating some concerns from analysts [7] - Operating income improved to $18.5 million compared to a loss of $18 million in the previous year, while net income was $13.7 million versus a loss of $11.1 million in 2024 [7] Future Outlook - Shake Shack opened 13 new company-operated locations and seven licensed locations in the quarter [7] - The company anticipates Q4 total revenue between $406 million and $412 million, with same-store sales expected to rise in low single digits [7]

Group 1 - The article highlights Shake Shack Inc. as a high-end burger chain that is emerging as a potential value play, competing with McDonald's and Wendy's [1][2] - Shake Shack's Value score in Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings has surged from 16.5 to 34.05 within a week, indicating a significant improvement in its valuation metrics [4] - Despite a 35% decline in stock price over the past three months, Shake Shack reported a 5% year-over-year increase in revenues and exceeded consensus estimates in its recent third-quarter results [4] Group 2 - The company's forward earnings are trading at 52 times, which is considered pricey, but its EV/EBITDA is at a near-record low of 31.46, suggesting a more attractive valuation relative to earnings [5] - Shake Shack shares closed at $94.44, with a slight increase of 0.97% on Tuesday and 0.25% overnight, indicating some positive market movement [6] - The stock scores high on Growth in Benzinga's Edge Stock Rankings, although it faces unfavorable price trends in the short, medium, and long terms [6]