Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who buy shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns to assist in visualizing market movements and potential price actions [1]

Market Overview - US stock futures increased on Monday morning, indicating a continuation of the strong momentum from October, with S&P 500 futures rising 0.3%, Nasdaq 100 futures jumping 0.6%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures adding about 0.1% [1] - October was a strong month for stocks, with the S&P 500 rising 2.3%, the Dow gaining 2.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite climbing 4.7%, driven by investor interest in growth and AI-linked companies, particularly Big Tech and the "Magnificent Seven" [2][19] - Optimism regarding easing US-China trade tensions contributed to market gains, although concerns remain in Washington due to a government shutdown delaying key economic reports [2][19] Earnings Reports - Earnings season is active, with about 300 S&P 500 companies having reported third-quarter results, and over 100 more reports expected this week from firms such as Palantir, Super Micro, and AMD [4][20] - Berkshire Hathaway's stock rose over 1% after reporting a 17% profit increase in its third-quarter results, attributed to a mild hurricane season and investment gains [6][10][20] Significant Corporate Developments - IREN stock surged 24% following the announcement of a $9.7 billion cloud services contract with Microsoft, which will utilize Nvidia's GB300 processors to enhance AI and data center infrastructure [8][20] - The GB300 processors will be installed in stages until 2026 at IREN's 750-megawatt campus in Texas, with Microsoft making a 20% prepayment [9][20] Leadership Changes - Warren Buffett will step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway in January, with Vice Chair Greg Abel set to take over, while Buffett remains as chairman [11][20] - Berkshire Hathaway's significant cash pile of $381.7 billion as of September is expected to remain intact despite recent investments [11][20] Market Reactions - Xiaomi shares rose over 3% following a lighthearted exchange between Chinese President Xi Jinping and South Korean President Lee Jae Myung, highlighting sensitive security issues in US-China relations [13][20] - Gold prices fell below $4000 per ounce after China removed a tax incentive for gold purchases, although prices are still up more than 50% this year due to demand from central banks and investors [15][16][20]

The third quarter earnings season is in full swing, with several AI players reporting results this week, including Palantir (PLTR), AMD (AMD), and Supermicro (SMCI). So far, the earnings season is off to a positive start. As of Oct. 31, 64% of S&P 500 companies have reported results, according to FactSet data, and analysts are expecting a 10.7% jump in earnings per share during the third quarter. If that figure holds, it would mark the fourth straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth but a decelera ...

Core Viewpoint - Supermicro (SMCI.US) is set to release its Q1 FY2026 earnings on November 4, with preliminary revenue expectations of $5 billion, which is below previous guidance and Wall Street estimates, leading to recent stock pressure [1] Revenue Expectations - The market's general expectation for the quarter's revenue is $5.83 billion, reflecting a 1.9% decline year-over-year [2] - Supermicro's preliminary revenue data for Q1 FY2026 was significantly below market expectations, resulting in an 8% drop in stock price [1][2] Analyst Ratings and Reactions - Analyst Kevin Cassidy from Rosenblatt Securities raised the target price for Supermicro from $50 to $60, maintaining a "Buy" rating despite the disappointing revenue forecast, citing over $12 billion in new design orders [3] - Analyst Vijay Lakshman from Mizuho Securities reiterated a "Neutral" rating with a target price of $50, noting that the new design orders are likely from clients expecting deliveries in Q2 FY2026 [3][4] - TipRanks AI analysts assigned a "Neutral" rating with a target price of $56, indicating about 8% upside potential, while highlighting strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements [4] Market Dynamics - The demand for NVIDIA and AMD chips remains strong, which may lead to revenue deferrals into Q2 FY2026 [4] - Dell Technologies is gaining market share in the enterprise AI server market, which could impact Supermicro's competitive position [4] Consensus Ratings - Wall Street consensus rating for Supermicro is "Neutral," based on 8 Neutral, 4 Buy, and 3 Sell ratings, with an average target price of $44.15, suggesting approximately 15% downside risk from current stock levels [5]

Core Viewpoint - Supermicro (SMCI.US) is set to release its Q1 FY2026 earnings report on November 4, 2023, with preliminary revenue expectations of $5 billion, which is below previous guidance and Wall Street estimates, leading to recent stock pressure [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's preliminary revenue for Q1 FY2026 is approximately $5 billion, significantly lower than the market consensus of $6.48 billion, resulting in an 8% drop in stock price following the announcement [1] - Wall Street anticipates a 49.3% year-over-year decline in earnings per share (EPS) to $0.38 for Q1 FY2026 [1] - The market's general expectation for Q1 FY2026 revenue is $5.83 billion, reflecting a 1.9% decrease compared to the same period last year [1] Group 2: Orders and Future Outlook - Despite the disappointing revenue forecast, Supermicro reported over $12 billion in new design orders, which are expected to start delivering in Q2 FY2026 [1][2] - Analyst Kevin Cassidy from Rosenblatt Securities raised the target price from $50 to $60, maintaining a "buy" rating, citing the new design orders as a mitigating factor against the negative revenue outlook [2] - Analyst Vijay Lakshman from Mizuho Securities reiterated a "neutral" rating with a target price of $50, noting that the new orders are likely from clients seeking delivery in the upcoming quarter [2][3] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - The consensus rating for Supermicro stock on Wall Street is "neutral," based on 8 neutral, 4 buy, and 3 sell ratings, with an average target price of $44.15, indicating a potential downside risk of about 15% [4] - TipRanks AI analysts assigned a "neutral" rating with a target price of $56, suggesting an upside potential of approximately 8% [3]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and personal analysis intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages users to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock experienced a decline from approximately $60 to $50, but remains about 9% higher than its previous valuation when the last bullish article was written [1] Company Analysis - The stock's recent performance indicates volatility, yet it retains a higher valuation compared to earlier assessments, suggesting potential resilience in the market [1] Investment Perspective - The author emphasizes a strong background in IT and fundamental analysis, which contributes to a confident approach in investment decisions, particularly in technology stocks [1] - The intention is to provide accessible insights for both seasoned and novice investors, fostering a collaborative exploration of market opportunities [1]

Super Micro Computer, Inc. ( SMCI ) stock had a few tough weeks after dropping from around $60 to $50. Nevertheless, the stock is still around 9% more expensive than it was when I wrote my previous bullishComing from an IT background, I have dived into the U.S. stock market seven years ago by managing portfolio of my family. Starting managing real money has been challenging for the first time, but long hours of mastering fundamental analysis of public companies paid off and now I feel very confident in my i ...

Group 1: Apple - CEO Tim Cook expects the Chinese market to recover growth in the upcoming fiscal quarter, driven by iPhone sales, with overall sales projected to increase by 10% to 12% year-over-year [2][4] - Apple reported total net sales of $102.466 billion for Q4, up from $94.93 billion year-over-year, with net profit of $27.466 billion compared to $14.736 billion in the same period last year [5] Group 2: Meta - Meta issued $30 billion in corporate bonds, the largest issuance of the year, with record subscription orders reaching $125 billion [6] Group 3: Nvidia - Nvidia has invested in 59 AI startups this year, surpassing the total number of investments made last year, and plans to invest up to $1 billion in the AI startup Poolside, potentially quadrupling its valuation [7] Group 4: OpenAI - OpenAI is preparing for an IPO that could value the company at up to $1 trillion, with a minimum fundraising target of $60 billion, and is expected to submit its application as early as the second half of 2026 [8] Group 5: Microsoft - Microsoft plans to increase its AI computing power by over 80% this year due to high demand for its cloud and AI services, and aims to double the size of its data centers in the next two years [9][10] Group 6: Amazon - Amazon reported total net sales of $180.169 billion for Q3, up from $158.877 billion year-over-year, with net profit of $21.187 billion compared to $15.328 billion in the same period last year [12] Group 7: Netflix - Netflix announced a 10-for-1 stock split, effective November 17, to make its stock more accessible for employees participating in stock option plans [13] Group 8: Paramount - Paramount is laying off approximately 2,000 employees to address internal redundancies and adapt to changing priorities [14] Group 9: Vodafone - Vodafone plans to acquire German cloud computing company Skaylink for €175 million (approximately $204.09 million) to expand its service offerings [15] Group 10: Iliad - CK Hutchison is considering a potential merger of its Italian telecom unit Wind Tre with Iliad's Italian operations, with Iliad's business independently valued at over €3 billion [16] Group 11: Super Micro - Super Micro Computer, Inc. has established Super Micro Federal LLC to accelerate its expansion into the U.S. federal market, focusing on high-performance AI-ready solutions [17] Group 12: CSP Capital Expenditure - Global cloud service providers are expected to increase capital expenditures to $520 billion in 2026, driven by the rapid expansion of AI server demand, with a projected 61% year-over-year increase in 2025 [18]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) is recognized as a promising growth stock for the next five years, particularly following the launch of its new 6U 20-Node MicroBlade system featuring AMD EPYC 4005 Series Processors [1][3] Group 1: Product Launch and Features - The new 6U MicroBlade system is designed to be a cost-effective and environmentally friendly solution for Cloud Service Providers, achieving 3.3 times higher density than traditional 1U servers, allowing up to 160 servers and 16 Ethernet switches in a single 48U rack, resulting in up to 2560 CPU cores per rack [2] - The system utilizes Supermicro's unique building block architecture, providing up to 95% cable reduction, 70% space savings, and 30% energy savings compared to traditional 1U servers, which helps enterprises maximize their Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) savings [3] Group 2: Company Overview - Super Micro Computer Inc. and its subsidiaries develop and sell server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture across the US, Asia, Europe, and internationally [4]