U.S. stock futures are presenting a mixed picture this Tuesday, January 27, 2026, as investors navigate a busy week dominated by corporate earnings reports, a crucial Federal Reserve policy meeting, and fresh geopolitical developments. While technology-focused futures show upward momentum, broader market indicators suggest a more cautious approach in premarket trading.Premarket Activity and Index FuturesAs of early Tuesday, premarket trading indicates a divergence among the major U.S. indexes. Nasdaq 100 fu ...

Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies has secured an extension for the Waha Concessions in Libya until the end of 2050, aiming to boost production through revised fiscal terms and the development of the North Gialo field [1][2]. Group 1: Agreement and Extension - The extension of the Waha Concessions was signed by TotalEnergies' CEO Patrick Pouyanné during the Libya Energy & Economy Summit, with the presence of Libya's Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeiba [1]. - The revised fiscal terms are designed to enhance production from the Waha Concessions, which currently yield approximately 370,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) [2]. Group 2: Production Plans - The North Gialo field is a significant development under the new agreement, expected to increase production by 100,000 boepd [2]. - TotalEnergies has been present in Libya since 1956 and aims to increase Waha's production, starting with the North Gialo field development [5]. Group 3: Stake and Collaboration - The Waha Concessions are jointly held by Libya's state-owned NOC (59.16%), TotalEnergies (20.42%), and ConocoPhillips (20.42%), with operations managed by the NOC-owned Waha Oil Company [3]. - In November 2022, TotalEnergies and ConocoPhillips acquired an 8.16% stake in the Waha Concessions from Hess, increasing TotalEnergies' stake from 16.33% to 20.41% [6]. Group 4: Commitment and Social Responsibility - TotalEnergies signed an agreement with NOC in late 2019 to assist in the development of the Waha Concessions, committing $70 million upfront and additional contributions of $30 million each for future developments [7]. - The Waha Oil Company has successfully reduced gas flaring at the North Defa field by 20 million cubic feet per day through maintenance efforts [5].

产业链供需及库存变化分析 美国在中东集结军力，地缘溢价提升 一、日度市场总结 供给端 ：乌克兰袭击俄罗斯炼油厂（克拉斯诺达尔地区）可能加剧地缘政 治风险，潜在减少俄罗斯成品油供应；哈萨克斯坦Tengiz油田准备恢复石 油产量，预计增加供应；OPEC+代表预计维持当前产量稳定（应对全球供应 过剩和地缘风险），减少政策不确定性；道达尔能源签署协议增加特许权 产量（日均约37万桶油当量），利比亚协议延长至2050年，可能提升长期 供应；俄罗斯能源部提议解除汽油出口禁令，潜在增加成品油出口；英国 石油公司对委内瑞拉跨境机遇感兴趣，暗示供应潜力。 原油期货市场数据变动分析 需求端 ：需求端存在分化迹象。三井住友银行航空资本CEO表示旅行需求 基本面强劲，支撑航空燃料油需求；但美国航班取消（近12000个航班，20 多个机场关闭）可能短期抑制成品油需求；燃料油价格上涨（日内涨幅超 5%）反映成品油需求增加。 主力合约与基差 ：2026-01-26，SC原油期货价格从441.9元/桶升至457.3 元/桶，涨幅3.48%，显著上扬；WTI原油期货价格维持在61.28美元/桶，无 变化；Brent原油期货价格维持在65.44 ...

Core Viewpoint - TotalEnergies has entered into a long-term agreement to supply renewable electricity to SWM, indicating a strategic move towards sustainable energy solutions in the manufacturing sector [1] Group 1: Company Details - TotalEnergies will supply 800 gigawatt-hours of renewable electricity to SWM over a period of 10 years [1] - The agreement covers three sites located in France, showcasing TotalEnergies' commitment to expanding its renewable energy footprint [1]

潘彦磊透露，道达尔能源在多个炼油厂生产SAF，并有扩大产能的计划，但由于客户对购买超过满足欧 盟规定所需数量的产品持谨慎态度，因此决定搁置增加生产能力的投资。 中化新网讯 近日，法国能源巨头道达尔能源首席执行官潘彦磊表示，预计欧盟未来将放宽其对可持续 航空燃料(SAF)的要求。他预计此举将类似于欧盟撤销此前提议的从2035年起禁止销售新的内燃机汽车 的决定。 去年，欧盟强制规定机场使用的航空燃油中，SAF的比例必须达到2%。到2030年，这一比例将提高到 6%，到2035年将提高到20%。潘彦磊在世界经济论坛清洁燃料小组会议上表示："所有航空公司都反对 6%的SAF限制。欧洲的SAF规定会发生与汽车规定相同的情况。" ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the upcoming 4Q25 earnings season for Europe's Big Oils, starting with Equinor on February 4th, 2026, and the guidance for 2026 is expected to be a key topic [1][9] - The preference ranking for investment is Oil Services > Big Oils > Exploration & Production (E&Ps), with TotalEnergies (TTE) highlighted as the top pick among Big Oils [1] Core Insights and Arguments - The $60/bbl Brent price assumption is challenging for Europe's Big Oils, leading to a projected decline in refining margins by 35% compared to 4Q25 [2] - Capital expenditure (capex) budgets are expected to remain flat, with an average buyback cut of approximately 25% across the sector, except for TTE [2] - TTE and Galp are noted for their organically falling breakeven Brent prices, with TTE's Integrated Power business transitioning from a drag to a contributor to free cash flow (FCF) [3][11] - TTE's recent trading update has positively influenced consensus estimates, contrasting with downgrades from peers like BP and Shell [4] Financial Projections - The aggregate organic cash flow from major companies is projected to show a $16 billion deficit post distributions, which decreases to approximately $5.5 billion after accounting for inorganic cash flows [13] - TTE is expected to have the lowest organic breakeven price in the peer group at around $60/bbl for 2026, with projections of it dropping below $55/bbl by 2027 [14][16] - TTE's capex is anticipated to decline by over 10% year-on-year in 2026, with a significant reduction expected by 2028 [17][20] Balance Sheet and Debt Analysis - The analysis indicates that all Big Oils will reduce shareholder distributions in 2026 compared to 2025, with Equinor expected to see the most significant declines [22] - BP is projected to maintain the highest gearing in the peer group at around 40%, while TTE and Galp are expected to decrease their net debt year-on-year [31][36] Market Sentiment and Consensus - The consensus estimates for 4Q25 earnings have been revised down by 8% year-to-date, with TTE showing a rare positive update that has led to flat revisions compared to an average 8% downgrade across peers [49] - The overall sentiment indicates a cautious outlook for cash flows, with aggregate payouts expected to exceed 140% of organic FCF at the $60/bbl Brent price [10] Upcoming Catalysts - Key upcoming earnings reports include Galp and Equinor on February 4th, followed by several other companies throughout February [62] Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of cash flow cushions and balance sheet strength, particularly for TTE and Equinor, as they navigate the challenging oil price environment [10][11] - The analysis suggests that the market may have already priced in the expected cuts to buybacks, indicating a potential for volatility in stock performance as earnings reports are released [65] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding the oil industry and specific companies, particularly focusing on TotalEnergies and its competitive positioning within the sector.

Core Insights - TotalEnergies has signed an agreement to extend Libya's Waha oil concessions until the end of 2050, indicating a long-term commitment to the region [1] - The new financial terms are aimed at boosting output from the Waha oil fields, which suggests a strategic move to enhance production capacity [1] Company Summary - TotalEnergies is a French oil major that is actively involved in the Libyan oil sector through the Waha oil concessions [1] - The extension of the concessions reflects TotalEnergies' confidence in the potential of Libyan oil production and its strategic importance [1] Industry Summary - The agreement to extend oil concessions in Libya highlights the ongoing interest of major oil companies in North African oil resources [1] - The focus on boosting output aligns with broader industry trends of increasing production to meet global energy demands [1]

TotalEnergies has signed an agreement extending the Waha oil concessions in Libya through December 31, 2050, securing a long-term foothold in one of the country’s most important producing areas and setting the stage for a new investment cycle. The deal was signed on January 24 during the Libya Energy & Economy Summit in Tripoli by TotalEnergies Chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanné, in the presence of Libyan Prime Minister Abdul Hamid Dbeiba. The extension introduces revised fiscal terms designed to support h ...

Core Insights - TotalEnergies has signed an agreement to extend the Waha Concessions in Libya until December 31, 2050, which will allow for increased production and new investments in the region [1][2][3] Group 1: Agreement Details - The new fiscal terms established by the agreement will facilitate an increase in production from the Waha Concessions, which currently produces approximately 370,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) [2] - The development of the North Gialo field is expected to add an additional 100,000 boe/d to production [2] Group 2: Company Commitment - TotalEnergies has been operating in Libya since 1956 and is committed to enhancing production in collaboration with local authorities and partners [3][4] - The company holds a 20.42% stake in the Waha concessions, which are primarily operated by the National Oil Corporation (NOC) [4] Group 3: Company Overview - TotalEnergies is a global integrated energy company involved in various energy sectors, including oil, natural gas, and renewables, with a workforce of over 100,000 employees [5]

Core Insights - Indian liquefied natural gas (LNG) importers are delaying long-term contracts to secure lower prices amid an anticipated increase in global supply [1][2] - Major buyers like Gail India Ltd. and Bharat Petroleum Corp. are seeking more flexible contracts, resulting in stalled negotiations with LNG producers for over a year [2][4] - The upcoming India Energy Week will focus on these negotiations, with significant producers attending [3] Industry Dynamics - India aims for gas to constitute 15% of its energy mix by 2030, but has faced challenges due to high LNG prices, leading to stagnant annual imports since 2020 [4][5] - Global LNG capacity is projected to increase by 50% by the end of the decade, prompting Indian buyers to seek long-term contracts around 2028 [5][6] - The city gas sector and non-fertilizer industrial demand are expected to drive LNG consumption growth as affordable LNG becomes available [6] Market Behavior - Indian buyers are currently well-supplied due to contracts signed for 2024 and 2025, reducing the urgency for new long-term deals [7] - Price sensitivity among Indian buyers is high, with industries ready to switch to cheaper alternatives if LNG prices remain elevated [7][8] - Recent price spikes due to cold weather in Europe and Northeast Asia led some Indian buyers to halt purchases, highlighting their price-sensitive nature [8]