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Is Valley National Bancorp (VLY) the Best Undervalued Stock Under $20 to Buy?
Insider Monkey· 2025-11-14 10:10
Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgency to invest in AI technologies now [1][13] - The energy demands of AI technologies are highlighted, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities, leading to concerns about power grid capacity and rising electricity prices [2][3] Investment Opportunity - A specific company is presented as a critical player in the AI energy sector, owning essential energy infrastructure assets that are poised to benefit from the increasing energy demands of AI [3][6] - This company is not a chipmaker or cloud platform but is positioned to profit from the surge in electricity demand driven by AI data centers [3][7] Energy Infrastructure - The company owns significant nuclear energy infrastructure, making it central to America's future power strategy [7] - It is capable of executing large-scale engineering, procurement, and construction projects across various energy sectors, including oil, gas, and renewables [7][8] Financial Position - The company is noted for being debt-free and holding a substantial cash reserve, which is nearly one-third of its market capitalization [8][10] - It has an equity stake in another AI-related company, providing indirect exposure to multiple growth opportunities in the AI sector [9][10] Market Perception - Wall Street is beginning to recognize this company as it benefits from various market trends without the high valuations typical of many energy and utility firms [8][10] - The company is trading at less than 7 times earnings, indicating a potentially undervalued investment opportunity [10] Future Trends - The ongoing AI infrastructure supercycle, the onshoring boom due to tariffs, and a surge in U.S. LNG exports are all trends that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on [14] - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive continuous innovation and advancements, further solidifying the importance of investing in AI-related companies [12]
Valley National Bancorp(VLY) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-11-07 21:13
Financial Position - As of September 30, 2025, the company reported total assets of approximately $63.0 billion, total net loans of $48.7 billion, total deposits of $51.2 billion, and total shareholders' equity of $7.7 billion[165]. - Total deposit balances increased by $450.5 million to $51.2 billion, primarily due to inflows from commercial and government deposits[167]. - Liquid assets totaled $5.7 billion, representing 9.9% of interest-earning assets, an increase from $5.4 billion or 9.3% at the end of the previous quarter[167]. - Total investment securities rose by $231.7 million to $7.7 billion, accounting for 12.3% of total assets, driven by purchases of residential mortgage-backed securities[167]. - The company's total risk-based capital ratio was 13.83% as of September 30, 2025, up from 13.67% at June 30, 2025[168]. - Shareholders' equity reached approximately $7.7 billion as of September 30, 2025, representing 12.2% of total assets, an increase of approximately $260.2 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2025[312]. Income and Earnings - Net income for the third quarter of 2025 was $163.4 million, or $0.28 per diluted common share, compared to $97.9 million, or $0.18 per diluted common share, for the same quarter in 2024, reflecting a $65.5 million increase[168]. - Net interest income increased by $35.7 million, driven by lower interest rates on deposit products and additional income from investment securities[172]. - Non-interest income rose by $4.2 million, with increases in net gains on loan sales and service charges, partially offset by lower litigation settlement income[172]. - Non-interest expense increased by $12.5 million, primarily due to higher salary and employee benefits, and professional fees[172]. - The effective tax rate for the third quarter 2025 was 22.2%, a slight decrease from 22.7% in the third quarter 2024, mainly due to larger investments in tax credits[218]. - The company reported a net income of $163.4 million (GAAP) for Q3 2025, compared to $97.9 million in Q3 2024, marking a 66.8% increase[187]. Loan and Credit Quality - The allowance for credit losses (ACL) for loans was $598.6 million, representing 1.21% of total loans, with an anticipated range of 1.20% to 1.25% through December 31, 2025[167]. - The net loan charge-offs for the third quarter of 2025 were $14.6 million, a decrease from $37.8 million in the previous quarter[167]. - Non-performing assets (NPAs) increased by $66.6 million, or 18.4%, to $427.3 million at September 30, 2025, primarily due to increases in non-accrual commercial real estate and construction loans[291]. - NPAs as a percentage of total loans rose to 0.86% at September 30, 2025, compared to 0.73% at June 30, 2025[291]. - The provision for credit losses for loans was $19.2 million in the third quarter of 2025, down from $37.8 million in the second quarter of 2025 and $75.0 million in the third quarter of 2024[311]. Asset and Liability Management - Average interest-earning assets rose to $58.6 billion in Q3 2025, up $971.5 million from Q3 2024, driven by a $1.5 billion increase in average taxable investments[190]. - Average interest-bearing liabilities increased to $42.7 billion in Q3 2025, up $20.7 million from Q3 2024, primarily due to a rise in average interest-bearing deposits[191]. - The bank's loans to deposits ratio was 96.3% as of September 30, 2025, down from 97.5% on December 31, 2024[262]. - Total liquid assets increased to $5,748,032 thousand as of September 30, 2025, compared to $5,505,586 thousand on December 31, 2024[263]. - The average balance of loans for Q3 2025 was $49.27 billion, with interest income of $733.21 million, yielding an average rate of 5.95%[196]. Market and Economic Conditions - The U.S. real GDP increased at an estimated annual rate of 3.8% in the third quarter of 2025, compared to 3.0% in the second quarter[170]. - The GDP growth forecast is 0.8% for Q4 2025, increasing to 2.0% by late 2027[307]. - The unemployment rate is projected at 4.4% for Q4 2025, with a range of 4.4% - 4.8% for the remainder of the forecast period[307]. - The inflation rate is expected to grow to 3.1% in Q4 2025, decreasing to near 2.0% by early 2027[307]. Capital Management - Valley exceeded all capital adequacy requirements as of September 30, 2025, maintaining a common equity Tier 1 capital ratio above the required 4.5%[314]. - Common Equity Tier 1 Capital for Valley was $5,472,775, representing a ratio of 11.00% as of September 30, 2025, compared to $5,230,632 and 10.82% at December 31, 2024[315]. - Cash dividends declared remained at $0.33 per common share for both the nine months ended September 30, 2025, and 2024, with the Board committed to shareholder value considerations[317]. - Valley's market risk is primarily composed of interest rate risk, with potential losses arising from changes in interest rates and other market factors[319].
Best Income Stocks to Buy for Oct. 28th
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 11:55
Group 1: Bread Financial (BFH) - The company is a tech-forward financial services provider offering personalized payment, lending, and saving solutions [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 7.3% over the last 60 days [1] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and a dividend yield of 1.3%, compared to the industry average of 0.0% [1] Group 2: CNA Financial (CNA) - CNA Financial offers commercial property and casualty insurance products primarily in the United States [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 2.2% over the last 60 days [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and a dividend yield of 4.1%, compared to the industry average of 0.7% [2] Group 3: Valley National Bancorp (VLY) - Valley National Bancorp provides a range of financial services including commercial, retail, insurance, and wealth management products [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 1.1% over the last 60 days [3] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and a dividend yield of 4%, compared to the industry average of 2.7% [3]
Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ:VLY) Maintains "Buy" Rating and Sees Price Target Increase
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-27 18:13
Core Insights - Valley National Bancorp (NASDAQ: VLY) has received a "Buy" rating from Cowen & Co., with an increased price target from $14 to $15, indicating strong confidence in the stock's future performance [1][5] - The third-quarter earnings report revealed a significant 55.6% increase in profit, driven by higher net interest income and reduced provisions, leading to an adjusted earnings per share of $0.28, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.26 [2][5] - The company's stock price has increased by 1.18%, currently trading at $11.11, with a market capitalization of approximately $6.22 billion [4][5] Financial Performance - Valley National's financial results were supported by both net interest and non-interest income, which helped offset rising expenses [3] - Despite a slight decline in loan balances, the company experienced deposit growth and improvements in capital ratios and profitability metrics [3] - Excluding non-core income and charges, net income reached $163.4 million, reflecting a 66.9% increase compared to the previous year [3]
Valley National Q3 Earnings Top on Y/Y Revenue Increase, Stock Up 4.2%
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 15:55
Core Insights - Valley National Bancorp (VLY) reported better-than-expected quarterly results, with adjusted earnings per share of 28 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 26 cents, and a year-over-year increase of 55.6% [1][10] Financial Performance - The third-quarter 2025 net income reached $163.4 million, a 66.9% increase from the previous year, driven by higher net interest income (NII) and non-interest income, despite higher expenses and lower loan balances [2][10] - Total revenues on a fully-taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis were $512.4 million, an 8.4% year-over-year increase, although slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $513.9 million [3] - NII on an FTE basis was $447.5 million, up 8.7% year over year, with a net interest margin of 3.05%, expanding by 19 basis points [3] - Non-interest income rose 6.9% year over year to $64.9 million, primarily due to increases in various fee income components [4] Expense Management - Non-interest expenses totaled $282 million, a 4.6% increase year over year, while adjusted non-interest expenses rose 3.5% to $272.8 million [4] - The adjusted efficiency ratio improved to 53.37%, down from 56.13% in the prior-year quarter, indicating enhanced profitability [5] Loan and Deposit Trends - As of September 30, 2025, total loans were $49.3 billion, showing a slight decline, while total deposits increased to $51.2 billion, up approximately 1% from the previous quarter [6] Credit Quality - Total non-performing assets increased to $427.3 million, a 40.1% rise year over year, with the allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans at 1.21%, up 7 basis points [7] - Provision for credit losses was $19.2 million, down 74.4% year over year [7] Profitability and Capital Ratios - Adjusted annualized return on average assets improved to 1.04%, up from 0.62% in the previous year, while adjusted annualized return on average shareholders' equity rose to 8.62%, up from 5.64% [8] - The tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio was 8.79%, an increase from 7.68% in the corresponding period of 2024, and the Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio improved to 11.72% from 10.29% [9]
Valley National (VLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Transcript
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-23 19:13
Core Insights - Valley National Bancorp reported strong third-quarter results with net income of approximately $163 million, or $0.28 per diluted share, marking a significant increase from $133 million, or $0.22, in the previous quarter, representing the highest quarterly profitability since 2022 [3] - The company has seen robust core customer deposit growth, with nearly 110,000 new deposit accounts added over the past twelve months, contributing to a nearly 10% growth in core deposits [4] - Valley's balance sheet remains strong, with a disciplined approach to expense control and a meaningful reduction in credit costs, achieving many profitability goals ahead of schedule, including an annualized return on average assets above 1% [3][4] Leadership Changes - Pratchett Smith joined as president of the consumer bank, bringing experience from Santander and Capital One, and will oversee retail, consumer, and small business sectors [1] - Gina Martucci was appointed president of commercial banking, contributing extensive experience from M&T Bank to support the development of Valley's commercial franchise [2] Deposit Growth and Management - The company gathered about $1 billion in core deposits during the quarter, allowing for the payoff of approximately $700 million in maturing brokered deposits, reducing brokered deposits to 11% of the total deposit base, the lowest level since 2022 [10] - The average cost of deposits has decreased by 56 basis points since 2024, with expectations for continued benefits from lower deposit costs into 2026 [4][10] Noninterest Income and Fee Growth - Noninterest income has grown at an annual rate of 15% since 2017, significantly outpacing publicly traded peers, with treasury management and tax credit advisory initiatives contributing approximately $3 million in incremental revenue during the third quarter [5] - The treasury management platform has generated nearly $16 million in incremental deposit service charge revenue on an annualized basis since 2024 [5] Credit Performance - Valley experienced a significant reduction in net charge-offs and provisions during the third quarter, with expectations to sustain these levels into the fourth quarter [6] - Cumulative commercial real estate (CRE) charge-off rates have remained low, with aggregate losses limited to just 57 basis points of average CRE loans over the last seven quarters [6][15] Strategic Focus and Future Growth - The company is targeting growth in traditional small business and middle market opportunities, particularly in healthcare C&I and capital call lines, with no losses recorded on Valley-originated loans in these areas [7] - Valley aims to enhance its retail banking presence and has identified opportunities for organic growth in small business and retail deposits [38][39] Financial Outlook - Valley anticipates net interest income growth of another 3% sequentially in the fourth quarter, supported by fixed-rate asset repricing and a favorable interest rate backdrop [13] - The company is targeting a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 15% by late 2027 or early 2028, with expectations for mid-single-digit loan growth and continued margin expansion [64]
Valley National Bancorp(VLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net income of approximately $163 million or $0.28 per diluted share, up from $133 million or $0.22 in the previous quarter, marking the highest quarterly profitability since the end of 2022 [4] - The annualized return on average assets is above 1%, achieving many profitability goals ahead of schedule [4][10] - Core customer deposit growth was approximately $1 billion during the quarter, contributing to a total of nearly 10% core deposit growth over the past year [11][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross loans decreased modestly due to targeted runoff in transactional C&I and the C&I commodity subsegment, with average loans increasing by 0.5% during the quarter [12][13] - Non-interest income has grown at an annual rate of 15% since 2017, significantly outpacing publicly traded peers [8] - The company experienced a 3% net interest income growth for the second consecutive quarter, with net interest margin (NIM) improving for the sixth consecutive quarter [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has seen a significant reduction in net charge-offs and provisions during the third quarter, with expectations to sustain these levels in the fourth quarter [9][16] - The competitive environment for new deposit relationships remains strong, with the company originating $1.4 billion of new deposits at an average rate of 2.9% [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its commercial and consumer banking sectors, with new leadership in place to drive growth [5][6] - There is a strategic emphasis on expanding into the Florida market and targeting healthcare C&I and capital call lines for growth opportunities [10][29] - The company aims to achieve a low single-digit expense growth rate while investing in revenue-generating talent [50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future prospects, citing strong customer growth, talent acquisition, and profitability [10] - The company anticipates continued NIM expansion and expects to achieve a normalized NIM of 3.20% to 3.40% in the future [64] - Management remains confident in achieving a 15% return on equity target by late 2027 or early 2028 [77] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $12 million worth of common shares during the quarter [17] - Non-accrual loans increased primarily due to a construction loan migration, but management does not anticipate any losses from this [16][35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Could you speak to the competitive backdrop regarding the decline in C&I loans? - Management noted that while there was a decline in C&I loans, the competitive environment for new deposit relationships remains strong, with opportunities for repricing the backbook [20][22] Question: How are you thinking about the buyback opportunity against conserving capital for longer-term growth? - Management indicated a focus on maintaining a CET1 target of around 11% while considering buybacks as a source of capital deployment going forward [24] Question: What areas are you most focused on for growth? - Management highlighted the Florida franchise as a key area for growth, along with opportunities in upmarket C&I and small business banking [44][46] Question: Can you provide more color on the increase in non-accrual loans? - Management explained that the increase was primarily driven by a land loan, with 50% of non-accrual loans current on payment, indicating a positive outlook for resolution [35][36] Question: What is the outlook for NIM and loan growth? - Management expects NIM to normalize between 3.20% and 3.40%, with loan growth projected in the mid-single-digit range for 2026 [64][70]
Valley National Bancorp(VLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net income of approximately $163 million or $0.28 per diluted share, up from $133 million or $0.22 in the previous quarter, marking the highest quarterly profitability since the end of 2022 [4] - The annualized return on average assets is above 1%, achieving many profitability goals ahead of schedule [4][10] - Core customer deposits grew by about $1 billion during the quarter, contributing to a total of nearly 10% core deposit growth over the past year [11][7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross loans decreased modestly due to targeted runoff in transactional C&I and the C&I commodity subsegment, with average loans increasing by 0.5% during the quarter [12][13] - Non-interest income has grown at an annual rate of 15% since 2017, significantly outpacing publicly traded peers [8] - The company experienced a second consecutive quarter of 3% net interest income growth, with net interest margin (NIM) improving for the sixth consecutive quarter [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has added nearly 110,000 new deposit accounts over the past 12 months, reflecting strong market demand [7] - Brokered deposits now comprise 11% of the total deposit base, the lowest level since Q3 2022 [11] - The pipeline for C&I and CRE loans stands at $3.3 billion, indicating strong market activity [59] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its commercial and consumer banking sectors, with new leadership in place to drive growth [5][6] - There is a strategic emphasis on expanding into the healthcare C&I and capital call areas, which are seen as having compelling risk-adjusted return profiles [9] - The company aims to grow its small business and retail banking segments, leveraging its existing branch network [46][48] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future prospects, citing strong customer growth, talent acquisition, and profitability [10] - The competitive environment remains challenging, particularly in C&I and CRE, but the company is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities [22] - Management anticipates continued stability in non-accrual loans and expects to maintain low credit costs moving forward [16][36] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately $12 million worth of shares during the quarter, reflecting confidence in its capital position [17] - Adjusted non-interest expenses declined modestly, driven by lower compensation and occupancy costs [15] - The efficiency ratio continues to improve, with expectations for further progress in the upcoming quarters [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Could you speak to the competitive backdrop regarding the decline in C&I loans? - Management noted that while spot deposit costs have declined, the competitive environment for new deposit relationships remains strong, with opportunities for repricing existing deposits [20] Question: How are you thinking about the buyback opportunity against conserving capital for longer-term growth? - Management indicated a near-term CET1 target of around 11%, with buybacks being considered as a source of capital deployment going forward [24] Question: Do you expect to continue to have more business coming from outside the Northeast? - Management confirmed that originations are evenly split among the Southeast, Northeast, and specialty businesses, with strong contributions expected from Florida [27][30] Question: Can you provide more color on the increase in non-accrual loans? - Management clarified that the increase was primarily driven by a construction loan, with a significant portion of non-accrual loans being current on payments [34][36] Question: What areas are you most focused on for growth? - Management highlighted opportunities in the Florida franchise, upmarket C&I, and small business banking as key areas for growth [44][46] Question: How do you think about the impact of lower rates on loan growth? - Management indicated that while lower rates could accelerate payoffs, they believe their portfolio is somewhat insulated from this risk [57] Question: What is the outlook for NIM expansion? - Management expects NIM to normalize between 3.20% and 3.40%, with confidence in achieving above 3.1% in the fourth quarter [66] Question: How are you quantifying the potential boost in growth from new hires? - Management anticipates significant momentum in upmarket C&I and business banking growth as new hires are onboarded [68][70]
Valley National Bancorp(VLY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Valley National Bancorp reported net income of approximately $163 million or $0.28 per diluted share, up from $133 million or $0.22 in the previous quarter, marking the highest quarterly profitability since the end of 2022 [3] - The annualized return on average assets exceeded 1%, achieving many profitability goals ahead of schedule [3][4] - Non-interest income has grown at an annual rate of 15% since 2017, three times faster than publicly traded peers [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core deposits increased by about $1 billion during the quarter, with nearly 110,000 new deposit accounts contributing to a nearly 10% growth in core deposits [5][10] - Gross loans decreased modestly due to targeted runoff in transactional C&I and commodity subsegments, with average loans increasing by 0.5% during the quarter [11] - Non-interest income continued strong momentum, with deposit service charges growing due to expanded treasury management capabilities [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brokered deposits now comprise 11% of the total deposit base, the lowest level since Q3 2022 [10] - The pipeline for C&I and CRE loans is currently at $3.3 billion, indicating strong demand and activity in the market [52] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its commercial and consumer banking sectors, with new leadership in place to drive growth [4] - Valley aims to leverage its strong foundation to accelerate strategic initiatives, particularly in healthcare C&I and capital call lines [8][41] - The company is targeting low single-digit loan growth for 2026 and beyond, with a focus on diversifying its balance sheet [36][64] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about future prospects, citing strong customer growth, talent acquisition, and profitability [9] - The company anticipates continued stability in credit performance and expects to sustain low charge-off levels [15][91] - Management is confident in achieving a 15% return on equity target by late 2027 or early 2028, driven by net income expansion and margin improvement [70] Other Important Information - The efficiency ratio continues to improve, with expectations for further progress as positive operating leverage is generated [14] - The company remains well-capitalized, with regulatory capital ratios increasing and plans for share repurchases [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Competitive backdrop regarding C&I loans and deposit costs - Management noted a decline in spot deposit costs and emphasized the competitive environment for new deposit relationships, with a focus on repricing the backbook [18][19] Question: Capital allocation and buyback opportunities - Management indicated a near-term CET1 target of around 11% and expressed confidence in using buybacks as a capital deployment strategy [22][23] Question: Geographic distribution of C&I and CRE - The company reported a balanced distribution of originations across different geographies, with strong performance in Florida [26][27] Question: Fee income outlook for capital markets and insurance businesses - Management anticipates general stability in fee income for the fourth quarter, with positive momentum expected in capital markets [29] Question: Increase in non-accrual loans - Management clarified that the increase was primarily due to a construction loan migration, with no anticipated losses [32][33] Question: Timeline for non-accrual balances to decline - Management expressed optimism about the resolution of non-accruals, citing positive trends in the C&I market [87][88] Question: Profitability improvement outlook - Management reiterated confidence in achieving the 15% return on equity target, supported by net income expansion and controlled credit costs [70][91]