Group 1: Company Overview - Vornado Realty Trust (NYSE: VNO) has experienced a 30% decline in value over the past year due to high interest rates and challenging office market conditions [1] - The company primarily focuses on office properties within a diversified real estate portfolio that also includes retail and residential properties located in major cities like New York City, Chicago, and San Francisco [4] Group 2: Market Conditions - The office market has faced significant pressure since the pandemic, driven by the rise of remote and hybrid work, leading to uncertainty in demand for office space [5] - Recent reports indicate a recovery in the office market, with leasing activity in Q4 reaching a post-pandemic high and annual leasing activity increasing by 5.2% [5] - Large-scale transactions in the office sector have risen by 15% year over year, indicating growing confidence among companies in committing to office space [5] - U.S. office sales volume has increased for seven consecutive quarters, reflecting heightened investor confidence in purchasing office properties [5] - The pipeline for new office constructions is trending down towards a record low, suggesting a potential shift towards a new growth cycle in the office sector according to JLL [5] Group 3: Interest Rate Impact - REITs, including Vornado, are highly sensitive to interest rate changes, with higher rates increasing borrowing costs and reducing cash flows, while lower rates can enhance their value by decreasing borrowing costs [2] - Although short-term interest rates have fallen due to Federal Reserve actions, longer-term rates, such as the 10-year Treasury, have not decreased as significantly, which has a greater impact on REIT values [3] - A meaningful decline in long-term interest rates, particularly if inflation dips below 2%, could positively influence Vornado's share price [3]

Core Viewpoint - Vornado Realty (VNO) has experienced a 30% decline from its 52-week high, despite an increase in its occupancy rate, indicating a strengthening demand for prime office space in Manhattan [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Vornado Realty's occupancy rate is rising, suggesting a positive trend in demand for office space [1] - The company's stock price fluctuations reflect broader market dynamics, which can lead to significant wealth creation or destruction over time [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Pacifica Yield focuses on long-term wealth creation by targeting undervalued high-growth companies, high-dividend stocks, REITs, and green energy firms [1]

we discuss ideas like this as they happen in more detail. All active investors are welcome to join on a free trial and ask any question in our chat room full of sophisticated traders and investors.In the following lines, we will take a look at a company that we have reviewed before - Vornado Realty Trust ( VNO ) and its financial instruments (you can see our last article here ). VNO announcedArbitrage Trader, aka Denislav Iliev has been day trading for 15+ years and leads a team of 40 analysts. They identif ...

Core Insights - Vornado Realty Trust's (VNO) fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted funds from operations (FFO) were 55 cents per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents and reflecting a 9.8% year-over-year decline [1][11] - Total revenues for the quarter were $453.7 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $434.8 million, although it showed a slight year-over-year decrease [2][11] - The company reported a full-year FFO of $2.32 per share for 2025, which was higher than the previous year's $2.26 but below the consensus estimate of $2.33 [2] Financial Performance - Total same-store net operating income (NOI) for the quarter was $260.6 million, up from $248.1 million in the prior-year quarter, with significant increases in the New York and THE MART portfolios [4] - The New York office portfolio saw 960,000 square feet leased at an initial rent of $95.36 per square foot, with a weighted average lease term of 9.9 years [5] - The New York retail portfolio leased 21,000 square feet at an initial rent of $273.56 per square foot, with a weighted average lease term of 8.2 years [6] Occupancy Rates - The total occupancy rate for the New York portfolio was 90.0%, an increase of 240 basis points year over year, while THE MART's occupancy was 81.5%, up 140 basis points [8] - Conversely, occupancy for the 555 California Street portfolio decreased to 88.9%, down 310 basis points year over year [8] Balance Sheet - Vornado ended the fourth quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $840.9 million, a decrease from $1.01 billion as of September 30, 2025 [9]

Vornado Realty Trust (NYSE:VNO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 10, 2026 10:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsGlen Weiss - EVPMichael Franco - President and CFOSteve Borenstein - EVP and Corporate CounselSteven Roth - Chairman and CEOThomas Sanelli - EVP of Finance and Chief Administrative OfficerConference Call ParticipantsAlexander Goldfarb - AnalystAnnabelle Ayer - AnalystAnthony Paolone - AnalystDylan Burzinski - AnalystFloris van Dijkum - AnalystJana Galan - AnalystJohn Kim - AnalystNick Yulico - AnalystSeth ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable FFO for 2025 was $2.32 per share, slightly higher than 2024 and better than anticipated [28] - Fourth quarter comparable FFO was $0.55 per share, down from $0.61 per share in Q4 2024, primarily due to higher net interest expense [28] - Overall same-store GAAP NOI increased by 5% for the quarter, while same-store cash NOI decreased by 8.3% [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company leased 4.6 million sq ft of office space, with 3.7 million sq ft in Manhattan, marking the highest Manhattan leasing volume in over a decade [8] - Average starting rents in Manhattan were $98 per sq ft, with mark-to-markets of +10.4% GAAP and +7.8% cash [9] - Office occupancy rose from 88.8% to 91.2% [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The New York office market is experiencing a significant recovery, with demand from finance, tech, and other industries robust [5] - The financing markets for Class A assets are strong, with CMBS spreads at their tightest since 2021 [31] - The company has a liquidity of $2.39 billion, including cash balances of $978 million and undrawn credit lines of $1.41 billion [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on the Manhattan office market, believing it to be the best in the country, and anticipates a tightening landlord's market [5] - Development projects include 350 Park Avenue and 623 Fifth Avenue, with construction expected to commence soon [16][18] - The company is also considering several options for a new development site at 3 East 54th Street [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing recovery of the New York office market and expects significant earnings growth in 2027 [30] - The company plans to maintain a highly liquid balance sheet while exploring stock buybacks due to perceived undervaluation [26][27] - Management noted that the difference between leased occupancy and GAAP occupancy represents a significant revenue opportunity, expected to materialize over the next few years [14][54] Other Important Information - The company has extended maturities on nearly $3.5 billion of debt through 2031 [25] - S&P has changed the company's credit outlook from negative to stable, affirming its credit rating [34] - The company is actively engaged in stock buybacks, having repurchased 2.35 million shares for $80 million recently [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in the structure of 350 Park Avenue - Management confirmed that there were amendments to the agreement, allowing for flexibility in equity percentage, but no significant changes in economics [36] Question: Yield expectations for 350 Park Avenue - Management indicated that Citadel's rent will be based on a formula related to financing costs, with an appetite for more space than initially planned [38][39] Question: Overall leasing pipeline and tenant conversations - The leasing pipeline remains strong, with significant activity from new tenants and expansions, particularly in financial services and tech [42] Question: Cash vs. GAAP same-store NOI - Management expects to see cash NOI turn positive in the second half of 2026 as free rent periods expire [48] Question: Retail market conditions on Upper Fifth Avenue - The retail market is improving but still struggling to reach peak rents from previous years [51] Question: Difference between GAAP and leased occupancy - The $200 million difference is not annualized and will be recognized as tenants build out their spaces [54] Question: Dividend restoration timeline - Management indicated that a return to a normal dividend is not expected this year but will be pursued as income stabilizes [82] Question: Sources and uses of funds for upcoming projects - Management outlined a capital plan that includes financing, asset sales, and careful management of buybacks [89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable FFO for 2025 was $2.32 per share, slightly higher than 2024 and better than anticipated [26] - Fourth quarter comparable FFO was $0.55 per share, down from $0.61 per share in Q4 2024, primarily due to higher net interest expense [26] - Same-store GAAP NOI increased by 5% for the quarter, while same-store cash NOI decreased by 8.3% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company leased 4.6 million sq ft of office space, with 3.7 million sq ft in Manhattan, marking the highest leasing volume in over a decade [6] - Average starting rents in Manhattan were $98 per sq ft, with mark-to-markets of +10.4% GAAP and +7.8% cash [7] - Office occupancy rose from 88.8% to 91.2% in 2025, driven by significant leasing activity [12][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The New York office market is experiencing a tightening landlord's market, with robust tenant demand from finance and tech sectors [4] - The financing markets for Class A assets are strong, with CMBS spreads at their tightest since 2021 [29] - The company has a liquidity of $2.39 billion, including cash balances of $978 million and undrawn credit lines of $1.41 billion [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its Manhattan-centric office strategy, with significant developments planned, including 350 Park Avenue and 623 Fifth Avenue [5][15] - The company aims to capitalize on the shortage of large blocks in better buildings by bringing prime space to market [14] - The management team is committed to maintaining a highly liquid, cash-heavy balance sheet while exploring stock buybacks [22][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes the current fundamentals in Manhattan are the best in 20 years, with expectations for continued tightening in the landlord's market [4] - The company anticipates significant earnings growth in 2027 as the positive impact from PENN 1 and PENN 2 lease-up takes effect [28] - Management acknowledges the disconnect between stock price and asset value, viewing current stock buybacks as an attractive investment opportunity [24][25] Other Important Information - The company has extended maturities on nearly $3.5 billion of debt through 2031 and has been active in refinancing to bolster liquidity [23][30] - The acquisition of 623 Fifth Avenue is viewed as a strategic move, with plans to create a high-quality boutique office space [15][16] - The company is also developing a 475-unit rental residential building on 34th Street, expected to break ground in the fall [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in the structure of 350 Park Avenue - Management confirmed that there were amendments related to the overall deal, providing flexibility in equity percentage [35] Question: Overall leasing pipeline and tenant conversations - The leasing pipeline remains strong, with over half of the activity from new tenants and significant expansion from financial services and law firms [40] Question: Cash and GAAP same-store NOI difference - Management expects to see cash NOI turn positive in the second half of 2026 as free rent periods end [45] Question: Retail market conditions on Upper Fifth Avenue - The retail market is improving but still struggling to meet top-tick rents from four or five years ago [48] Question: Difference between GAAP occupancy and leased occupancy - The $200 million difference is not annualized and will be recognized as tenants build out their spaces [51]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Comparable FFO for 2025 was $2.32 per share, slightly higher than 2024 and better than anticipated [23] - Fourth quarter comparable FFO was $0.55 per share, down from $0.61 per share in Q4 2024, primarily due to higher net interest expense and lease termination income from the previous year [24] - Company same-store GAAP NOI increased by 5% for the quarter, while same-store cash NOI decreased by 8.3% [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company leased 4.6 million sq ft of office space, with 3.7 million sq ft in Manhattan, marking the highest Manhattan leasing volume in over a decade [6] - Average starting rents in Manhattan were $98 per sq ft, with marked markets showing +10.4% GAAP and +7.8% cash [7] - Office occupancy rose from 88.8% to 91.2% [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The New York office market is experiencing a tightening landlords market, with robust tenant demand from finance, tech, and other industries [4] - The financing markets for class A assets are strong, with CMBS spreads at their tightest since 2021 [26] - The company has a liquidity of $2.39 billion, including cash balances of $978 million and undrawn credit lines of $1.41 billion [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its Manhattan-centric office strategy, with significant developments planned, including 350 Park Avenue and 623 Fifth Avenue [5][14] - The company aims to create high-quality office spaces and enhance its retail offerings in the Penn District [13][19] - The management team is committed to maintaining a cash-heavy balance sheet while exploring stock buybacks due to perceived undervaluation [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes the current fundamentals in Manhattan are the best in 20 years, with expectations for continued tightening in the landlords market [4] - The company anticipates significant earnings growth in 2027 as the positive impact from PENN 1 and PENN 2 lease uptakes materializes [25] - Management acknowledges the disconnect between stock price and asset value, viewing it as a potential buying opportunity [22] Other Important Information - The company has extended maturities on nearly $3.5 billion of debt through 2031 and has been active in refinancing to bolster liquidity [27][28] - The company is planning to develop a 475-unit rental residential building and enhance retail offerings along 34th Street [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes in the structure of 350 Park Avenue - Management confirmed that there were amendments related to the overall deal, allowing for flexibility in equity percentage [30] Question: Overall leasing pipeline and tenant conversations - The leasing pipeline remains strong, with over half of the activity from new tenants and significant expansions from financial services and tech sectors [34] Question: Share buybacks and asset dispositions - Management expressed strong interest in pursuing share buybacks, viewing the stock as undervalued [35] Question: Difference between cash and GAAP same-store NOI - Management indicated that the inflection point for cash NOI turning positive is expected in the second half of 2026 [37] Question: Retail market performance on Upper Fifth Avenue - The retail market is improving but still struggling to meet top rents from four or five years ago [39] Question: GAAP occupancy and lease occupancy differences - Management clarified that the $200 million difference is not annualized and will be recognized as tenants build out their spaces [40]

Core Insights - Vornado reported revenue of $453.71 million for the quarter ended December 2025, a year-over-year decline of 0.9%, with an EPS of $0.55 compared to $0.01 a year ago, indicating a significant improvement in earnings despite the revenue drop [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $434.77 million by 4.36%, while the EPS fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.57 by 3.05% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Vornado's shares have returned -9.4% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.2% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) [3] - Occupancy rates in New York were reported at 90%, surpassing the average estimate of 88.5% by four analysts [4] - Total property square footage in New York was 20,907.00 Ksq ft, slightly below the three-analyst average estimate of 21,036.00 Ksq ft [4] - New York retail occupancy was 79.4%, slightly below the average estimate of 80.1% [4] - New York office occupancy was reported at 91.2%, exceeding the average estimate of 89.8% [4] Revenue Breakdown - Total revenues from New York amounted to $374.81 million, compared to the estimated $348.51 million, reflecting a -2.3% change year-over-year [4] - Total rental revenues were $382.14 million, slightly below the average estimate of $382.95 million, representing a -4.1% year-over-year change [4] - Fee and other income from management and leasing fees was $2.61 million, below the average estimate of $2.85 million, with a year-over-year change of +3.6% [4] - Tenant expense reimbursements totaled $38.37 million, significantly lower than the estimated $42.7 million, reflecting a -15.2% change year-over-year [4] - Other income was reported at $27.71 million, exceeding the average estimate of $18.33 million, with a year-over-year change of +41.4% [4] - BMS cleaning fees amounted to $41.25 million, surpassing the average estimate of $36.98 million, with a year-over-year change of +10.9% [4] - Amortization of acquired below-market leases, net, was reported at $0.1 million, below the estimated $0.15 million, reflecting a -48.7% change year-over-year [4]

Vornado (VNO) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $0.55 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57 per share. This compares to FFO of $0.61 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an FFO surprise of -3.05%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this real estate investment trust would post FFO of $0.55 per share when it actually produced FFO of $0.57, delivering a surprise of +3.64%.Over the last four quarters, t ...