Core Viewpoint - Oakmark Fund's fourth-quarter 2025 investor letter highlights its strong performance, particularly focusing on Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. as a key investment opportunity due to its recent strategic moves and stock performance [1][3]. Performance Summary - The Oakmark Fund (investor class) achieved a return of 4.78% in the fourth quarter of 2025, outperforming the S&P 500 Index, which returned 2.66% [1]. - Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (NASDAQ:WBD) experienced a one-month return of 2.30% and a remarkable 194.79% increase over the last 52 weeks, closing at $28.86 per share with a market capitalization of $71.558 billion on January 13, 2026 [2]. Company Developments - Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. was the top contributor to the Oakmark Fund's performance during the quarter, driven by multiple acquisition offers for the company [3]. - The company announced an agreement to sell its Streaming and Studios business to Netflix while spinning off its Global Networks business to shareholders [3]. - Paramount Skydance made a direct offer of $30 per share to shareholders for the entire company, indicating strong interest in acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery [3]. Hedge Fund Interest - At the end of the third quarter, 70 hedge fund portfolios held shares of Warner Bros. Discovery, an increase from 67 in the previous quarter, reflecting growing interest among institutional investors [4].

Market Overview - US stock index futures are all down, with Dow futures down 0.32%, S&P 500 futures down 0.42%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.63% [1] - The German DAX index is down 0.41%, while the UK FTSE 100 is up 0.26%, and the French CAC40 is up 0.03% [2][3] - WTI crude oil has increased by 1.19%, priced at $61.88 per barrel, and Brent crude oil has also risen by 1.19%, priced at $66.25 per barrel [3][4] Economic Insights - Expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have shifted, with traders increasingly betting that the Fed will maintain rates throughout the year, influenced by recent labor market data and CPI indicating stable inflation [4] - A prominent investor predicts a potential 20% decline in the Dow Jones index by the end of the year, citing pressures on ordinary consumers due to high living costs [5] Debt Market Concerns - Morgan Stanley reports that the size of basis trading in US Treasuries has ballooned to approximately $1.5 trillion, necessitating close monitoring to avoid a repeat of market volatility seen in 2020 [6] Commodity Market Developments - Silver prices have surged nearly 4%, reaching $90.36 per ounce, with a peak at $91.56, driven by rising safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions [7] - LME tin prices have reached a historical high of $51,675 per ton, reflecting a significant increase driven by Chinese investor interest in commodities [7] Company Earnings Reports - Bank of America reported Q4 net revenue of $28.37 billion, exceeding market expectations of $27.76 billion, and net interest income of $15.75 billion, also above expectations [8] - Wells Fargo's Q4 revenue was $21.29 billion, falling short of the expected $21.64 billion, with net interest income of $12.33 billion, below the anticipated $12.43 billion [9] - Tesla is shifting its Full Self-Driving (FSD) sales model to a subscription service, effective February 14, significantly lowering the entry cost for consumers [9] - Netflix is exploring an all-cash acquisition of Warner Bros. to expedite the deal process amid competitive pressures [10] - Citigroup is set to lay off approximately 1,000 employees as part of a broader plan to reduce its workforce by 20,000 by the end of the year [10] Pharmaceutical Innovations - Amgen's experimental weight loss drug MariTide shows promise with a monthly injection regimen that helps patients maintain weight loss over two years, contrasting with the more frequent injections of existing weight loss medications [11]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is preparing to switch to an all-cash offer to expedite its acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery (WBD) amid a competitive landscape with a rival bid from Paramount Skydance [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - Netflix's offer for WBD is valued at $83 billion (£62 billion) and aims to accelerate the acquisition process, making it more appealing to WBD shareholders [1] - The deal would allow Netflix to control WBD's key assets, including Warner Bros and HBO, which host major franchises and popular shows [3] - Under the original terms, WBD shareholders were set to receive $23.25 per share in cash, along with stock in Netflix and equity in WBD's global networks, which Netflix is not acquiring [5] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Paramount, backed by billionaire Larry Ellison, is pursuing its own $108.4 billion takeover of WBD, supported by a $40 billion personal guarantee from Ellison [4] - WBD has advised its shareholders to reject Paramount's "inadequate" hostile bid, citing concerns over the reliance on significant debt financing [4] - Amid the corporate battle, Paramount plans to nominate directors to WBD's board to oppose the Netflix deal [5] Group 3: Market Reaction - Following reports of Netflix's plans, WBD shares increased by 1.6%, while Netflix shares rose by 1% [7]

来源：IT之家 在彭博社报道 Netflix 可能修改交易条款后，华纳兄弟股价周二上涨了 1.6%，表明这一举措受到华纳兄 弟投资者的欢迎。 截至发稿，Netflix 和华纳兄弟的代表未回应置评请求，派拉蒙则不予置评。 知情人士称，Netflix 修订交易条款旨在为华纳兄弟股东提供一个更快捷、更简单的交易方案。不过知 情人士同时警告称，修订协议的事宜仍在讨论中，相关计划仍可能发生变化。 根据 Netflix 在去年 12 月与华纳兄弟达成的最初协议，这笔交易当时对华纳兄弟估值为每股 27.75 美 元，其中 4.50 美元将以 Netflix 股票支付，总企业价值为 827 亿美元。另据彭博社报道，如果 Netflix 的 股价跌破 97.91 美元，交易还会进行相应调整。自 Netflix 去年 10 月开始寻求收购华纳兄弟以来，其股 价已下跌约四分之一。周二在纽约股市，Netflix 股价一度低至 89.07 美元。 据《金融时报》报道，Netflix 正准备修改以接近 830 亿美元收购华纳兄弟探索公司 (WBD) 的条款，将 其改为全现金报价，以抵御派拉蒙的敌意收购，并加快交易完成速度。 ...

根据双方最初达成的协议，华纳兄弟股东每股将获得23.25美元现金及4.50美元的奈飞普通股并设有保护 条款：若奈飞股价跌破97.91美元，将启动调整机制。自去年10月奈飞正式发起收购以来，其股价已累 计下跌约四分之一。 智通财经APP获悉，据知情人士透露，奈飞(NFLX.US)正着手调整收购华纳兄弟探索公司(WBD.US)的 交易条款，探讨以全现金方式收购该公司旗下的影视工作室及流媒体业务。 此次条款调整，意在加速推进这桩原本需耗时数月才能完成的交易。该收购案不仅遭到部分政界人士反 对，还面临竞购对手派拉蒙(PSKY.US)的阻击，就连机构投资者也对这宗交易的态度呈现明显分歧。 派拉蒙首席执行官大卫・埃里森及其父亲——甲骨文(ORCL.US)联合创始人拉里・埃里森，不仅发起针 对华纳兄弟股票的要约收购、为404亿美元的交易资金提供个人担保，还以获取奈飞交易估值细节为 由，将华纳兄弟诉至法庭。 此外，派拉蒙方面还计划提名董事进入华纳兄弟董事会，以此阻挠这宗收购交易落地。 为推进此次收购，奈飞已从华尔街多家银行筹得590亿美元融资，这也是史上规模最大的过桥贷款之 一。目前，奈飞已通过发行长期债券，为其中约250亿 ...

格隆汇1月14日｜据彭博，奈飞拟就收购华纳兄弟探索频道交易修改条款，并已讨论过以全现金方式进 行收购，以加快交易流程。根据最初的协议，华纳兄弟的股东每股将获得23.25美元现金和价值4.5美元 的奈飞普通股。 ...

Group 1: Photovoltaic Industry - The export tax rebate for photovoltaic products will be fully canceled starting April 1, 2026, increasing export costs for companies [2] - The export tax rebate for photovoltaic silicon wafers, batteries, and modules was previously reduced from 13% to 9% in December 2024, indicating a trend of declining export tax rates [2] - The Chinese photovoltaic industry has seen a decrease in export prices since 2024, leading to a "volume increase, price decrease" situation, with some companies passing on rebate amounts to foreign buyers, resulting in profit loss [2][3] - The cancellation of export tax rebates aims to promote rational competition in the photovoltaic industry and curb excessive price declines [3] Group 2: Elderly Care Robotics - Eight departments, including the Ministry of Civil Affairs, have issued measures to encourage the development of the elderly care robotics industry, promoting technological integration across various sectors [4] - The initiative aims to provide comprehensive intelligent support for the elderly, leveraging technologies such as embodied intelligence and new materials [4][5] - The market for elderly care technology products and services is expected to expand rapidly, although current technology maturity remains insufficient [5] Group 3: Real Estate Market in Tianjin - Tianjin will tighten control over new housing prices, limiting price changes to within 10% of the registered price for new sales permits [6] - The city has previously implemented price control measures to stabilize housing prices, with over 20 cities having introduced similar "price drop limits" [6][7] - The new management approach aims to control both price increases and decreases, although enforcing price decreases may face challenges [6] Group 4: AI and Technology Collaborations - Google and Apple have entered a strategic partnership, with Google's Gemini model being used to support Apple's AI developments, including Siri [8] - Apple is expected to pay approximately $1 billion annually to Google for technology licensing, indicating a significant investment in AI capabilities [8] - Nvidia and Eli Lilly have announced a $1 billion collaboration to establish a research lab focused on AI applications in the pharmaceutical industry, highlighting the growing intersection of AI and healthcare [10][11] Group 5: ByteDance's Stock Options - ByteDance's stock option price has increased from $44 in 2019 to $226.07 in January 2024, representing a rise of over 4 times [14] - The company is reportedly raising its valuation to between $350 billion and $370 billion as it continues to enhance employee compensation and stock option incentives [14][15] - ByteDance's strong financial performance and aggressive AI application strategy position it as a leading player in the tech industry, despite facing increasing policy risks in overseas markets [15]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is likely to convert its $27.75-a-share bid for Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) into an all-cash offer due to declining share prices and investor concerns over the stock component of the initial bid [1][2]. Group 1: Netflix's Bid Strategy - The initial bid from Netflix included both cash and stock, but the company is now considering a 100% cash offer to alleviate investor anxiety [1][2]. - Netflix's current offer is not expected to increase, and it is contingent on the uncertain valuation of WBD's cable properties, including CNN, TNT, and Discovery Inc. [2][6]. - The shift to an all-cash offer could trigger a bidding war for WBD, particularly from Paramount Skydance, which has already made a hostile bid for the company [3][5]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Valuation Concerns - Netflix's stock has seen a significant decline, losing approximately $160 billion in value over the past six months, which has affected the perceived value of its bid [6]. - Investors, including Mario Gabelli from Gamco Inc., are urging Netflix to simplify its offer to include more cash, emphasizing that "cash is king" in the current market [8]. - Paramount Skydance is hesitant to increase its bid above $78 billion or $30 per share, arguing that Netflix's reliance on stock in a volatile market is risky [5][13]. Group 3: Legal and Competitive Developments - Paramount has intensified its efforts by filing a lawsuit to obtain details of WBD's board deliberations regarding the selection of Netflix's proposal over its own [11]. - The company is also pursuing a proxy battle to elect new directors to WBD's board, indicating a strategic long-term approach despite the pressure to increase its bid [11][13]. - Paramount believes that the valuation of WBD's cable properties may not meet expectations, potentially leading to a lower sale price than anticipated [14].

Core Viewpoint - Netflix is considering changing its cash-and-stock deal for Warner Bros. studios and streaming assets to an all-cash offer, amidst competition from Paramount's $30-a-share cash proposal for Warner Bros. Discovery [1][2]. Group 1: Netflix's Offer - Netflix's current offer for Warner Bros. is $27.75 per share, which includes $23.25 in cash and $4.50 in Netflix shares [2]. - The potential shift to an all-cash deal by Netflix is seen as a response to Paramount's assertion that cash offers are more favorable [2]. Group 2: Paramount's Actions - Paramount has filed a lawsuit against the Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) board in Delaware Chancery Court, seeking documentation on the decision-making process that led to the choice of Netflix over its own offer [3]. - Paramount is also planning a proxy fight to elect its own directors to the WBD board, aiming to challenge the Netflix deal and promote its own proposal [3]. Group 3: WBD's Position - WBD has labeled Paramount's lawsuit as "meritless" and argues that a merger with Paramount poses greater risks for Warner Bros. and its shareholders [4]. - The WBD board has advised shareholders against accepting Paramount's offer and remains committed to the agreement with Netflix [2][4].

Key Points Paramount filed a lawsuit to compel Warner Bros. Discovery to provide details behind its decision to be acquired by Netflix. The boards of directors of Netflix and Warner Bros. have already unanimously approved the deal, but Paramount didn't like the outcome. Shareholders will ultimately decide how this battle plays out. 10 stocks we like better than Warner Bros. Discovery › Another day, another development in the ongoing conflict between Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD) and Param ...